Nasdaq Breakdown: Today’s Metrics and Analysis 18-OCT-2024Good morning, traders! As a seasoned price action trader, I'll share my Nasdaq insights to help you improve your trading skills.
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Nasdaqsignals
"Nasdaq could experience a significant drop in the coming days.""Dear everyone, NASDAQ may decline in the next few days. I'm currently in two trades."So let's see how things unfold."
As always, it's essential to apply proper money management and never trade without placing an appropriate stop-loss. Remember, trading is a game of probabilities, so your success should be measured over a series of trades, not just one.
Guys always read this quote.It will help you mentally."I just wait until there is money lying in the corner, and all I have to do is go over there and pick it up. I do nothing in the meantime. Even people who lose money in the market say, 'I just lost my money, now I have to do something to make it back.' No, you don't. You should sit there until you find something.” “Jim Rogers:
Thanks!
WOLFSPEED Rallies! Long Trade Hits All Targets, Bulls DominateTechnical Analysis: Wolfspeed – 15-Minute Timeframe (Long Trade)
Wolfspeed demonstrated strong bullish momentum, with a long trade entry at 10.23 and successfully reaching all profit targets.
Key Levels
Entry: 10.23 – The long position was initiated at this level, marking the start of a strong upward movement.
Stop-Loss (SL): 9.75 – Positioned below recent support to manage risk and protect against potential downside.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 10.83 – The first target was achieved, confirming the strength of the bullish trend.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 11.80 – Continued momentum pushed the price to this level.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 12.77 – The bullish rally extended further, reaching this target.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 13.37 – The final target, signaling a complete and highly successful upward move.
Trend Analysis
The price has consistently remained above the Risological Dotted trendline, affirming the strength of the uptrend. The bullish surge indicates strong market interest, supporting further upward moves, though all profit targets have been met.
The long trade on Wolfspeed performed exceptionally well, hitting all designated targets. The final TP4 at 13.37 reflects a robust upward trend, well-supported by the Risological Dotted trendline. The sustained buying pressure indicates that the bulls have maintained control throughout the move.
NASDAQ 100 Drops! Short Trade Confirmed, Eyeing First TargetThe NASDAQ 100 has confirmed a short trade with a strong bearish move below the entry at 20263.46. The price is progressing towards the first profit target (TP1), though it has not yet been reached.
Key Levels
Entry: 20263.46 – The short position was confirmed as the price broke below this level, signaling bearish momentum.
Stop-Loss (SL): 20378.68 – Placed above the recent resistance to protect against potential upside reversals.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 20121.04 – The first target, not yet reached, but in close proximity as the downward trend continues.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 19890.59 – The next target in case of continued bearish pressure.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 19660.15 – A further downside target, aligning with the next support zone.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 19517.73 – The ultimate profit target, marking a significant decline.
Trend Analysis
The price has broken below the Risological Dotted trendline, confirming strong bearish sentiment. The market is likely to move toward TP1 if the selling pressure continues. The downward momentum suggests further potential to reach deeper profit targets.
The NASDAQ 100 short trade is progressing well after confirmation, with TP1 at 20121.04 in sight. If the bearish trend holds, further downside targets are expected to be reached.
NASDAQ Channel Up with more room to rise.Nasdaq (NDX) eventually held the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and no significant correction took place, a development that should extend the uptrend within the 2-month Channel Up. Technically we are still on its Bullish Leg.
We have had two rallies so far within this structure the most recent +11.00% and the one before +15.50%. Assuming there is a declining rate on those by -4.50%, we can assume that the current one will peak at +6.50% from the October 01 Low, which is ideal as it gives a 20900 short-term Target exactly at the top of the Channel Up.
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Can the MAGNIFICENT 7 outperform once more?We have seen the Magnificent 7 (Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Nvdia, Meta, Tesla) underperform historically but since the start of the year this hasn't been as strong as previously (roughly +35% for M7 against + 25% for Nasdaq). The former can be seen on the left chart while the latter on the right. This goes so far against the aggressive nature of the Magnificent 7 (M7), which have outperformed Nasdaq on all previous rallied by around +50%.
In fact the M7's first major rally (2016 - 2018) rose by +140% while NDX's by +97%. The second major rally (2019 - 2021) registered +315% for MA7 and 'just' +185% for NDX. If there is any progression between them, we can argue that the current rallies will be even stronger. Of course the sample isn't big enough for solid conclusions and multi-year rallies can't keep getting stronger on each Cycle for ever.
What is reasonable to count on however, is that as the Fed stepped in recently and gave the market the first Rate Cut in years, a new Cycle of cheap money to invest with has started and we can expect rallies of equal strength with the previous ones. For M7 (+315%) that's $440, so around +60% from the current levels, while for Nasdaq (+185%) that's 30000, so around +47% from the current levels. Not an incredible difference considering the risk that highly volatile stocks like the M7 bear. This could be a sign that the market is shifting to other stocks during this Cycle and the M7 potential may be fading.
In any event, do you think the Magnificent 7 will start to outperform Nasdaq again and if so is this worth the risk than investing your capital on the 100 companies of the index?
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Nasdaq Awaits FOMC Impact, Key Levels for Bullish and Bearish Nasdaq Technical Analysis
The price is oscillating between 20,130 and 20,070, with a breakout likely given today's FOMC. A close of the 4-hour candle below 20,100 would reinforce a bearish outlook, targeting 19,990 and 19,860.
Conversely, if the price stabilizes above 20,190 by closing a 1-hour candle, it could rise to 20,280, with the potential to reach 20,440 thereafter.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 20100
Resistance Levels: 20280, 20440, 20710
Support Levels: 19990, 19860, 19620
Trend:
- Consolidation 20280 - 19990
- Bearish below 19780
- Bullish above 20280
Nasdaq Ready to Fall==>-5%_-10%The Nasdaq Index started to rise with the help of the " Long Island " upward continuation pattern and made the New All-Time High(ATH) .
The Nasdaq Index is currently near the upper line of the Ascending Channel and has succeeded in breaking the Uptrend line .
Also, Regular Divergence (RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect the Nasdaq index to fall at least to the Support zone($71.41-$69.18) =🚨 -5% 🚨, and if the support area breaks, we should wait for this index to fall to the Lower line of the ascending channel = 🚨 -10% 🚨 .
Nasdaq Index Analyze (NDAQUSD), Daily frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
NAS100 / US100 "NASDAQ" Market Money Heist Plan on Bullish SideHola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
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SELL NAS FROM PDHFor Journaling purposes only
Made a sell from PDH = Previous Day High (after 14h30 - normal volume time)
Made back 1st trade of the day -40 PIPS with a sell from PDH +40 PIPS
Waited for the pullback and sold into 3 MIN FVG
Worked in my favour ending the day at breakeven
1 Loss
1 W
Total for the week:
4 W
1 L
NAS100 - We would prefer to doOK team, time to focus, NAS we still have more than an hours, so I just prepare what we will do. I would like to see the market pull back then heading further north. With the current level, we could trade on break out, but we rather wait for real market open, it give you more clear direction what we should do.
all the pricing are in details.
ENTRY long at 19778-19764 - will confirm.
target 1 at 19828
target 2 at 19863
target at 19903
Please advise once it hit first target, take partial and bring stop loss to BE.
NASDAQ critical crossroads for the short-term.Nasdaq (NDX) recovered its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) on Friday, which is something that puts the short-term pull-back since September 26 on hold. In fact, as long as the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) holds, the index is more likely to resume the long-term Channel Up pattern and post a similar +11.00% rebound. So for now, we remain bullish, targeting 21600 (+11.00% from the last week's low).
If on the other hand the 4H MA200 breaks, we will most likely extend the short-term correction all the way to the dotted Higher Lows trend-line. Of course in that case, the (blue) Channel Up will be invalidated, and we will take the loss on the long and sell instead, targeting 19000.
The 4H RSI is posting a Bear Flag similar to August 29 - September 02, which favors the bearish scenario.
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US100 H4 - Sell SignalUS100 H4
Working from the slightly larger timeframes at the moment, as we are trying to block out the market open gaps/noise and surrounding factors. If the dollar is looking to trade closer to 103.000 we could see NAS fall in the short term and continue, but we could also see the correction unfold for the dollar.
At the moment, we are in no mans land, we are neither confident in longs or shorts, we are merely just waiting for a little bit more confirmation on where we are heading, so we can then try and measure opportunity accordingly. Hopefully we can see something for consideration around the time of US market open.
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Bullish Outlook Explained
Nasdaq Index formed a strong bullish pattern on a 4H time frame.
The price violated a neckline of the ascending triangle formation.
With a high probability, the market will continue growing.
Next resistance - 20100
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Nas100 Buy Setup Pending Bullish TDI ConfirmationNasdaq 100 (Nas100) has begun September with a bearish trend, mirroring the OLHC structure observed last month. We are currently awaiting strong support on the daily timeframe to confirm a potential buy opportunity. Buyers are expected to enter the market once a bullish TDI cross appears on the daily chart . I have identified three targets for this setup:
- First Target: 18,160.95
- Second Target: 19,031.30
- Third Target: 19,445.56
Exercise extreme caution and wait for clear signals before making any moves. Patience is key.
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