NAS100USD ( short direction )NAS100USD
HELLO TRADERS
YESTERDAT , As mentioned until price trading below turning level decline aimed first target +300 pip , today the price still bearish pressure , until the price trade below turning level at 19,688 , short direction of the price .
Tendency the price is a bearish pressure in 19,688
TURNING LEVEL : the price turning level at 19,688 , price stable below this level it becomes reach a support level , but if breaking this level active bullish area
RESISTANCE LEVEL: if the price breaking turning level 19,688 , the price will rise to 19,905 and 20,092
SUPPORT LEVEL : the price trade below turning level 19,688, it will reach the support level of 19,486 and 19,236 , stable this level reach to 19,109
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : price will 19,688 , correct itself before dropping
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* Thank you , if you support this idea with your likes and comments , I hope you a profitable week 🤍
Nasdaqstrategy
NASDAQ H3 Idea | SELL to BUYPlanning to initiate a short position in the Nasdaq when it reaches 19,100, aiming to capitalise on a downward movement to 18,600. Once the Nasdaq hits 18,600, I will close my short position and open a long position, anticipating a rebound that could lead to a new all-time high (ATH). This strategy is designed to take advantage of both the anticipated decline and the subsequent recovery in the Nasdaq index.
Nasdaq buy setup institutional tactics hello traders this is my nas100 buy setup
risk reward 1:10
the system: institutional tactics
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remember the flow state is important
Flow , Glow and know and never blow
Nas100 In case of retracement and continuation upPlease see my previous idea
As my previous idea, I mentioned the next nas100 movements.
Where we are now?
As you can see from the picture, Friday we touched liv 0.786 Fibonacci (17917.60).
On the RSI indicator an overbought position in multiple TF.
Appl on RSI indicator shows overbought in multiple TF.
This calling an obviously down from now. I advise to all that don’t have a positions open now, To open a Short position.
Green LH red HL
Nas100 will aim surely to
0.618 fib level (17529.90)
0.786 fib level ( 17418.40)
If stop the downtrend on those levels and will start to back up, we will consider the downtrend in large Tf invalid and a continuation up, possibly on the ATH.
Nas100 Trading setup Institutional tacticsHello traders this my trading setup in the higher time frame
My tactics ;
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Key Support & Resistance
Market Structure , Price Swings
Open Interest
Order Blocks & breaker block=> Expansion
liquidity => Reversal
imbalance => Retracement
Consolidation => Equalibrium
Market Maker Models buy and sell
Weekly Profiles
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Possible sell opportunity on NASDAQwere on a 3rd day of push to the downside, also currently in the golden zone and also in Premium zone. On the 4H & 15 min time frame weve reached order blocks. Id go for a 1:2 RR for this just to keep it light since this still is an uptrend. If it goes beyond the 2nd leg the trade will be invalid
NASDAQ100 ON MAJOR BUYING ZONEThe analysis suggests that NAS 100 (Nasdaq 100 index) is currently within a major buying and demand zone. This zone is a price range where significant buying interest has historically been observed, indicating strong demand for the index. Specifically, the demand zone is identified between 18,200 to 18,300 points on the NAS 100 index.
In technical analysis, demand zones represent areas where buyers outnumber sellers, resulting in increased buying pressure and potential price support. Traders often view demand zones as favorable entry points for long positions, anticipating a bounce in price from these levels.
The target for this trading setup is set at 200 pips, representing the expected upside movement in the NAS 100 index from the demand zone. Traders typically set targets based on technical analysis indicators, historical price movements, and market sentiment. In this case, the target of 200 pips suggests a significant potential gain for traders who enter positions at the demand zone.
Overall, the analysis indicates a favorable trading opportunity in NAS 100, with a major buying and demand zone identified between 18,200 to 18,300 points. Traders may consider entering long positions with the expectation of a 200-pip upside movement, aiming to capitalize on the potential price appreciation from the demand zone.
NAS100 - MONDAY'S SMALL SHORT FOR BIG LONG! (TARGET 17265)As you might have noticed, the Nasdaq is on fire and I'm more of a reversal trader so times are harder. But, there is an old saying that states: "the trend is your ". I forgot the rest but I'll let you figure out the last word. So in homage of this old saying, we'll tighten our bullish running shoes and propose a setup that satisfies both camps. Here's what I see happening on Monday (29/01/2024):
What is on the chart? (follow the steps)
1) We have our liquidity target level which gave place to the continuation of the rally. So far so good for bulls, price is going up and their net worths too.
2) Our first reversal structure, with a low taken out and the high intact.
3) This is our retracement signal, confirming the market structure shift to the downside. This is paired with the fact that price broke the hourly Tenkan and Kijun + the Tenkan and the Kijun crossed over + breaking the Kumo + breaking the latest low. Additionally, the 4H Kijun and Tenkan reside within the 1H Kumo so those too were broken (not shown on the chart to promote clarity). These are reliable reversal signals. I am not trying to be a contrarian against the general trend but, this is how we spot general highs and lows. The daily is simply bullish so it's harder to spot a minor intraday opportunity such as this one.
4) This rejection confirms our reversal idea, and strengthens the probability of sellside liquidity getting taken out.
5) This is our final target, ideally the 1 Hour FVG. Again, on Monday anything can happen of course but this seems the most likely. I want these lows taken out before anything and, therefore we can short in anticipation of these lows getting taken out!
Most importantly, take some rest and have a great weekend! ;)
Nasdaq Crash Loading - The Black Swan The current state of the NASDAQ indicates an extreme overbought condition, with a rally influenced by speculation surrounding six potential rate cuts in 2024. However, the risk arises from the Federal Reserve's concern about inflation. If the Fed, in response to persistent inflation, opts to raise rates, it could lead to a market decline. Conversely, a decision to cut rates may not be sufficient to buoy the stock market if the number of cuts is lower than expected.
Examining current fundamentals, the housing market has stabilized with low prices and mortgage rates. Although there is a rebound, a potential increase in housing speculation and mortgage rates could prompt a reassessment. Improved employee wages contribute to consumer confidence against inflation.
President Joe Biden's initiatives, such as pausing student loan payments in November and plans to provide homes for 500,000 Americans, may stimulate housing demand, causing prices to rise. This could prompt a review of interest rates and a tightening of monetary policies.
While I maintain a long-term bullish outlook, anticipating a correction of at least 50%, it is prudent to reevaluate macroeconomic indicators at that point to determine whether to take profits or continue holding.
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo - The Most Underrated Indicator (e.g. NAS100)Welcome to my first educational post. This is a big one, Ichimoku Kinko Hyo is the most underused, underrated, least understood and yet most powerful trend indicator available to the general public. I'll first briefly describe the 4 components:
- Tenkan Sen (turning line): it's like a small period moving average but calculated slightly differently. So if price breaks it, it's a first signal of a trend reversal but always wait for the retest.
- Kijun Sen (standard line): it's like a larger period moving average but like the Tenkan it's calculated differently. One interesting note is that when it flatlines it represents the 0.5 fib level of the current range.
Together, they are used for crossovers just like classic moving averages.
- Kumo (Cloud): which is composed of 2 special moving averages called the Senkou Span A and the Senkou Span B. Generally serves as a support/resistance zone and is also subject to crossovers that can confirm reversals (not signal) since it is too slow to signal them. The thicker the cloud the stronger the trend and vice versa.
- Chikou Span (Lagging Span): Mirrors current price action 26 periods in the past. In simple terms, it puts things into perspective and can detect potential blocking points for price.
Here is a case study of the NAS100 and monthly Ichimoku:
What do we see? (Follow the steps)
1) Price breaking the Tenkan and retesting it twice. This is already a major bearish signal.
2) Following the Tenkan break, price doubled down and broke the Kijun + retested it TWICE!
A strong bearish confirmation that the downtrend will continue.
3) The Tenkan/Kijun crossover, this is like a death cross of MAs (look it up).
4) This is a reversal signal. You'll notice how price never touched the cloud again. The monthly Ichimoku really puts things into perspective. It really enables you to see the bigger picture and that it is okay to buy in a bear market. You just have to let it guide you.
5) First confirmation of the reversal: the break of the Tenkan + retest.
6) Second confirmation of the reversal: the break of the Kijun + no retest was even needed.
7) 'Golden cross', the Tenkan/Kijun crossing over which is the third confirmation and that price is simply extremely bullish.
8) The Chikou Span breaking past price. This is similar to price breaking a resistance level, it gives the same kind of signal. This is the final bullish confirmation.
This a very summarised explanation of how the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator should be used BUT if you want to learn more about it, I strongly suggest you read the book by Karen Péloille: Trading With Ichimoku, A Practical Guide to Low-Risk Ichimoku Strategies.
As always, have a lovely Sunday and happy trading! ;)
7 Dimension Trade idea For Nasdaq 😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: H4
1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bullish
🟢 Structure Behavior: Break of Structure (BoS)
🟢 Swing Move: Corrective move, indicating a Point of Interest (POI) for potential reversal. Vigilance is required for a bullish reaction at this level.
🟢 Inducement: Not done yet; waiting for a proper internal bullish BoS.
🟢 Internal Structure: Currently bearish, anticipating a shift with a bullish BoS.
🟢 Decisional Order Block: About to be mitigated.
🟢 Demand Area: Identified via FVG, indicating a discounted area.
🟢 Time Frame Confluence: Daily and H4
2️⃣ Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS: No significant chart patterns observed.
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS: Various signals: Record Session count, Shrinking long wick, Change in guard with engulfing, Doji, Momentum, Inside bar, and a blended combo suggesting a potential reversal.
3️⃣ Volume
🟢 Fixed Range: Bullish dominance in these areas.
🟢 Volume during Correction: Comparatively less during correction than in impulsive moves.
4️⃣ Momentum RSI
🟢 Zone: Extremely Bearish
🟢 Range Shift: Waiting for a potential shift from bearish to sideways. Two strong bullish divergences indicate weakness in bearish momentum.
🟢 Loud Moves: Conventional RSI theory suggests an extremely oversold market, possibly signaling a reversal.
🟢 Grandfather Father Son Entries: A robust 7-star buy signal.
5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands
🟢 Price is already under the Middle band.
🟢 After a strong expansion, the market is moving into contraction, indicating a potential bullish sideways move.
🟢 Squeeze breakout awaited.
🟢 Walking on the band not yet.
6️⃣ Strength According to ROC
🟢 Values: Nasdaq shows the highest rate of bullish sentiment compared to all other indices.
7️⃣ Sentiment
Price action signals a clear long entry, but other dimensions like momentum and volatility tell a different story. Waiting for final volatility and momentum confirmation for a long position.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: H4
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bullish
☑️ Current Move: Corrective
✔ Support Resistance Base: FVG demand area
☑️ Candles Behavior: Bullish signals intact - RSC, Long wicks, Doji, Inside, Momentum.
☑️ FIB Trigger Event: Occurred
☑️ Trend Line Breakout: Breached but not confirmed.
💡 Decision: It's prudent to wait until the price provides a proper internal structure breakout. Once a bullish BoS is confirmed, consider a buy. I will update entry, take profit, and stop levels when triggered.
🚀 Entry:
✋ Stop Loss:
🎯 Take Profit: 2nd Exit if Internal Structure changes, also Exit 3rd Trendline Breakout, FOMO.
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio:
🕛 Expected Duration:
SUMMARY: The analysis suggests a potential bullish reversal but advises caution until the price demonstrates a clear internal structure breakout. Various signals indicate a reversal, and a detailed plan will be updated upon market confirmation.
Nasdaq weakness before Christmas?Nasdaq weakness before Christmas?
Barely hanging on to gains in a streak lasting ten days, US stocks managed to recover from initial losses and were trading slightly higher on Wednesday. The attempt to secure a tenth consecutive session of gains pushed the Nasdaq 100 to a new record high of 16,830.
In December, the Nasdaq has seen an increase of over 5%, and its performance for 2023 stands at 43%, on track for its best year since 2020. These gains can be attributed to expectations of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates next year. Additionally, positive economic data this week exceeded expectations, with existing home sales unexpectedly rising and CB consumer confidence experiencing its most significant increase since early 2021.
The NAS100 Index is currently trading above both the 200-day and 50-day moving averages, indicating a bullish trend. However, it is not far from yesterday’s close which raises caution, as it could suggest either a consolidation phase or a potential reversal.
In the short term, there may be some weakness targeting the 16,750 area and 16,400, the latter being the level where consolidation occurred at the beginning of December before the most recent upward movement.
NAS100 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Today is NFP and anything can happen, but according to my analytics that am using, which is universal to everyone, PRICE , PRICE MOVEMENTS , I would like to see a pullback to a Fib level 61.8 which perfectly fit with the previous resistance which is about to turn into Support if the level Holds.
If not then I will be buying at the support level, why? Because the Index have 2 weeks in range, no clear move, and will apply the simple approach or rule of thumb which say's "BUY LOW & SELL HIGH", in this in case, according to my understanding when the price is at support, with the right tools one always have a chance to buy.