Nasdaqtrading
Nasdaq Short: Weak Tech & Key Data AheadTaking advantage of the current bearish momentum in the Nasdaq with a daily short setup. Recent price action reveals a double-top pattern and a significant trendline break, suggesting potential downside. As we approach critical economic data releases, volatility is expected, which could fuel further bearish movement.
Technical Analysis
• Pattern: Double-top formation, a bearish reversal signal, confirmed with a break below the neckline.
• Trendline: The long-standing upward trend has been broken, validating the bearish scenario.
• Key Resistance: $20,200 area is acting as a strong resistance zone.
• Support Levels: Initial support around $18,800 with further downside potential if broken.
Fundamentals:
The short position on Nasdaq is driven by the weak tech performance, with giants like MSFT (-6.05%) and META (-4.09%) showing declines. Rising bond yields have intensified pressure on tech stocks, indicating potential shifts in investor sentiment. Additionally, tomorrow’s key data—Non-Farm Payrolls (forecast: 113K vs. prior 254K), Unemployment Rate (expected steady at 4.1%), and ISM Manufacturing PMI (forecast: 47.6)—could further impact market outlook, with any surprises likely to influence Fed expectations and Nasdaq sentiment.
Risk Management
• Entry: Near current levels, aiming for downside momentum.
• Stop Loss: Above recent highs to protect against false breakouts.
• Target: Initial target at $18,800, with potential to extend if bearish momentum persists.
Risk Note: Given the volatility associated with these macroeconomic events, there is potential for increased fluctuations. Managing risk through stop-losses and close monitoring of data releases is essential.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
NASDAQ: Forming the new Low of the Channel UpNasdaq is on a neutral 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.183, MACD = 55.990, ADX = 31.366) as the price is trading sideways on an upward slope at the bottom of the 1 month Channel Up. This is technically the new HL formation process and it is taking place under the 4H MA200 this time. The formation however of a 4H MACD Bullish Cross under 0.000 has been the most reliable buy indicator in the last two months, so it is a good enough reason to buy for us, since the risk factor at the bottom of the Channel Up is so low. The HH that followed the last HL was pcied on the 1.236 Fibonacci level and since the symmetry inside this pattern is high so far (Bearish waves indentical), our target is under the 1.236 Fib extension (TP = 20,750).
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NASDAQ: Channel Up topped. Opportunity for short term selling.Nasdaq turned bearish on its 1H technical outlook (RSI = 38.742, MACD = -3.920, ADX = 40.192) as it crossed under the 1H MA50. This comes after almost an exact touch at the top of the September Channel Up and while the 1D timeframe has gone from bullish to almost neutral. The last two rejections at the top targeted at least the 1.236 Fibonacci level on the pullback. That is what we aim for on the short term (TP = 20,250).
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NASDAQ: Approaching lower supports. Two levels you can enter.Nasdaq has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.116, MACD = 179.950, ADX = 45.004) as it failed to make a new High above the LH trendline and is being pulled down towards the 4H MA200 and 1D MA50. Those two are the major support zone and buy entry. But before that, the first is where the price is right now, at the bottom of the dotted Channel Up. The 4H RSI is almost on the S1 level (33.50), which has been the buy signal for October.
So the first buy entry is now, aiming at a +4.50% increase (TP = 20,950). If it fails, add another just over the 1D MA50 and take profit on both after again a +4.50% price increase (TP = 20,650).
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Nasdaq Breakdown: Today’s Metrics and Analysis 18-OCT-2024Good morning, traders! As a seasoned price action trader, I'll share my Nasdaq insights to help you improve your trading skills.
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NASDAQ: Buy the next pullback and aim at 20,800Nasdaq is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.111, MACD = 227.000, ADX = 44.293) and maintains a short-term Channel Up since September 12th. The price is currently under the Channel's median, which suggests it's a buy opportunity. We expect the next bullish wave to form a HH at the top of the Channel Up. Based on the previous bullish wave, we're targeting the 1.786 Fibonacci (TP = 20,800).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Nasdaq Thoughts 09-Oct-2024GOOD MORNING Everyone! Please find my Nasdaq market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader."
Nasdaq Thoughts 09-Oct-2024GOOD MORNING Everyone! Please find my Nasdaq market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader."
NASDAQ: Bullish breakout is taking placeNasdaq is marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 57.848, MACD = 196.930, ADX = 44.220) and that shows the strong upside that the 1H momentum has today. Technically it is on a similar situation like Sep 19th when it crossed over a Channel Up and made a +3.00% rise on the 2.0 Fib. A 1H Golden Cross is about to take place, so we think that is a strong buy entry to target a +3.00 rise (TP = 20,300).
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Nasdaq Thoughts 04-Oct-2024GOOD MORNING Everyone! Please find my Nasdaq market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.
NASDAQ: New buy level approaching.Nasdaq has almost turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.199, MACD = 255.840, ADX = 43.908), which is gradually starting to wave a buy signal again as the price almost hit the 4H MA200. Technically if the 4H RSI approaches the oversold level of 30.000, it is the first buy entry inside the Channel Up. We already have a 4H Golden Cross in our hands. Expect at least a +15.55% rise (TP = 21,150) to complete this bullish wave.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Nasdaq thoughts 3-Sept-2024Happy New Week all, Kindly see my Nasdaq thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great
NASDAQ: Short term bullish if the 1H MA50 holdsNasdaq turned on excellent bullish technicals on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 63.446, MACD = 268.010, ADX = 43.526) and that sets the tone for a strong medium term continuation. On the short term 1H timeframe however, we had a strong pullback today of -1.75%, the strongest inside the the two week Channel Up, but along the lines of the previous two. It managed to reach the 1H MA50 and is consolidating on it.
The 1H MA50 has been holding for the past week and as long as it continues, this will be the best buy opportunity to aim for a new +3.30% rise (TP = 20,600). If it breaks however, the pattern is negated, so keep the SL tight around pattern limits.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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NASDAQ: Clear path to 21,150. Checked all bullish signals.Nasdaq is on very healthy bullish 1D technicals (RSI = 60.054, MACD = 172.430, ADX = 25.087) as not only it crossed and closed over the LH trendline of the previous Top but kept the 4H MA50 as support and formed a 4H Golden Cross. The driving pattern seems to be yet again a Channel Up and this is its second bullish wave structure. Keeping the 4H MA50 intact should technically push the price to a HH. The previous wave topped a +15.55%, which is the basis for our target (TP = 21,150).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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NASDAQ: Critical breakout ahead that can send it to 22kNasdaq is almost overbought on the lower time-frames but just turned bullish on 1D (RSI = 55.402, MACD = -62.050, ADX = 25.952) and the main reason is that it closed over the 1D MA50 yesterday. This can't be considered a bullish signal on its own as the LH trendline is right over it and is being tested today. If broken, it is very likely to see the next bullish wave of the Channel Up. The previous two waves confirmed the uptrend after a candle closed over the LH.
If that happens, we will aim for a new Channel Up HH at the end of the year, almost at +31% from the bottom (TP = 22,000) like March's High.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Nasdaq Thoughts 05-Aug-2024HELLO Everyone! Please find my NASDAQ market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.
Nasdaq thoughts 24-07-2024Please find my NASDAQ market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.
Nasdaq thoughts - 11-JUL-2024Hello all, here's my plan for Nadaq entries for today. Remember to use this to compare with your chart and improve yourself, they aren't meant for you to just use as signals. On trading view, you can click on " Make this chart mine" and it will automatically open the chart on yours.