NATURAL GAS: Buy opportunity near oversold levels.Natural Gas is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 33.738, MACD = -0.139, ADX = 32.983) right at the bottom of the three month Channel Down. Last time the 1D RSI dipped under 30.000 (oversold level), the LL was formed, the Channel Down bottomed and posted a strong December-January rally. Due to the long term bearish trend on NG, we don't expect such a rally this time but the price is low enough to justify a short term buy to test the 1D MA50 (TP = 2.500).
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Natgas
NATGAS SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello,Friends!
NATGAS uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 2.242 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the NATGAS pair.
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NATGAS Will Grow! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NATGAS made a massive
Gap down but the fall
Has slowed down and
The price will soon reach
A massive horizontal support
Of 1.960$ from where
I will be expecting local
A bullish rebound
Buy!
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NATGAS ContraContrarian scenario where this actually deserves or gets a little bit more of a push above, unless we are in just another correction formation. For the long setup to hold and to be considered, a bounce from a curve needs to happen with a precise candlestick setup right at one of the curves, for example where the green circle is, bouncing from the white curve and continuing on the green path towards the red.
All curves are potential support and resistance formations, projected in time, but the price might just hold on to them in magnet mode creating a wave along one of them. I have been playing around with this concept, with forward testing instead of back-testing, so it will be interesting to see how this project unfolds. (/anyone interested in those experiments can check the tube or X).
If the bullish sentiment does not hold, and the curves are broken below, a shorting opportunity might appear, with a bounce on the flip from any of the curves, example highlighted in the scenario with the purple path.
Nat Gas is testing Support line - Expecting a soon rebound !Daily chart, Nat Gas is testing the Support Line S, and it should rebound to trade inside the orange channel for some time before breakout. Then, the target will be 3.45
Stabilizing above 3.45 for 2 days, the target will be 4.30
Be careful - watch the Support line S and consider a suitable stop loss level.
NATGAS: Bears Will Push Lower
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the NATGAS pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
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NATGAS The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
NATGAS looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 2.719 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 2.604
About Used Indicators:
The average true range ATR plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
The Red Sea tensions - all you need to knowThe West Texas Intermediate crude oil has trended mostly sideways for over a month, moving between $68 and $75 per barrel. Yet, while the situation in the Middle East and the Red Sea continues to deteriorate, the oil market keeps growing increasingly ignorant of the dangers of a broader war in the region that could further disrupt the transit of goods and oil through (other) important shipping chokepoints and impact the oil supply (remember, the Middle East region accounts for about one-third of global oil supply).
To put into perspective how bad the situation in the Red Sea has become (following the start of the Israel-Hamas War), here are a few numbers: the number of cargo ships and oil tankers transiting through the Bab el-Mandev Strait fell by approximately 50%, and the volume of the cargo (measured in metric tons) dropped by about 67% between 7th October 2023 and last Friday (with most of the decline starting in mid-December 2023 after major shipping like companies halted transit through the Red Sea). In addition to that, since the start of the year (until last Friday), the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operation reported thirty-five instances of either attack, hijacking, incident, or suspicious approach in the area.
Furthermore, about a week and a half ago, the United States and the United Kingdom finally decided to take more aggressive steps against Houthi’s harassment, launching airstrikes on their positions in Yemen. In response to that, the rebels vowed to continue fighting the United States and Israel (and their allies), executing multiple new attacks on commercial and military vessels in the regional waters (the terrorist group also announced a safe passage for Russian and Chinese ships). In essence, Houthi’s attacks against the United States Navy equal a declaration of war, something the United States is trying to deny as it attempts to avoid an all-out war with Houthis and other proxies of Iran (and potentially Iran itself; do not forget this is a highly political question for the United States as it would mean higher prices of oil and a likely return of rising inflation).
Nevertheless, with Israel’s administration being opposed to stopping its campaign against Hamas in Gaza, it is improbable there will be any relief from Houthi’s attacks anytime soon. In fact, a lack of diplomatic efforts to end the Israel-Hamas War and to resolve the Red Sea crisis keeps increasing the risk of new parties entering the conflict and letting the war spiral out of control. As this has tremendous implications for the oil market (with the broader war being a highly bullish catalyst for the oil price), monitoring the situation in the Red Sea remains a high priority. However, as this scenario still remains only a speculation, our price target of $65 per barrel remains unaffected (at least for now); in the short term, though, we expect the USOIL to continue oscillating between $68 and $75 (and perhaps even breaking temporarily above this range).
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of the USOIL. Yellow arrows indicate significant events in the Middle East. It can be observed that oil rose only slightly in response to the eruption of the Israel-Hamas War on 7th October 2023, and then quickly reversed the direction. Once Houthi rebels began to ramp up their attacks on commercial and military ships in November 2023, oil ticked higher only a bit and then resumed a decline (it is important to note that Houthis were causing problems in the region already before the war). Then, in mid-December 2023, major shipping companies started to halt the transit of their ships through the region. Since then, the USOIL has trended mostly sideways (despite tensions continuing to rise).
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Neutral
Weekly time frame = Neutral
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
NATGAS BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
Hello,Friends!
Bullish trend on NATGAS, defined by the green colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is oversold based on the BB lower band proximity, makes me expect a bullish rebound from the support line below and a retest of the local target above at 2.915.
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NATURAL GAS - Only Way Is Up!From a technical standpoint, Natural Gas is currently at levels where there's very very limited downside and major potential for upside.
Many times when we've seen prices come to these lows, price shot up hundreds of %. It's unlikely that we'll hit 0 and therefore balance of probability suggests that going Long on Natural Gas would be a good bet!
Trade Idea:
- For a safe entry, enter on break of the red trendline
- For a risk entry, look for buying opportunities anywhere between the region of 1.6 and 1.8
- stops below lows after the red trendline breaks
- Targets: 3.5, 6, 10
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
NATGAS The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for NATGAS is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 2.519
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 2.869
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NATGAS: Bullish Continuation & Long Signal
NATGAS
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy NATGAS
Entry Level - 2.519
Sl - 2.356
Tp - 2.926
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Natural Gas Probes Support. Is One More Feb '24 Bounce Possible?The US Natural Gas Fun (UNG) paces for its third-worst single-session performance in the ETF's 17-year history as of this writing. Tuesday afternoon weather model runs did the prompt-month of natural gas no favors, and the February contract has plunged all the way back under $3 after poking above $3.30 late last week. The current record-shattering polar snap will prove to be short-lived for the CONUS. A mild forecast in both the NOAA 6-10 day and 8-14 day outlooks are bearish for the energy-dependent commodity.
This is the most volatile time of the year for nat gas, and the infamous “widowmaker” trade (the March/April spread) looms. For now, though, I see support on the chart in a broad range. Notice in my featured chart this week that $2.80 to $3.00 has historically been a battleground between the bulls and bears. What’s more, natty is now testing its 38.2% retracement from the December low to the January high, offering potential support.
The trade here, in my view, is long with a stop under $2.80 on the prompt month. We will have a contract roll later this month to the much cheaper March contract (currently about 45 cents less expensive than Feb). So, we will get a natural gap down once the roll takes place. Thus, the duration of this idea is through January 26.
NATGAS Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on NATGAS and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 3.331 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 3.061
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Natgas: Dive in! 💦With its recent high, the Natgas price should have established the high of the blue wave (iii) and is now in an intermediate correction of the blue wave (iv). We have already drawn a target zone between $3.02 and $2.90 where the price should now dip deeper and reverse. Following the low of this move, it should then go beyond $4 again before the magenta wave iv is completed. However, there is also a 25% probable alternative, which already places the price in the last leg of the white wave alt. (c). In this context, the price would fall below the support level at $2.23.
✅NATGAS SHORT FROM RESISTANCE🔥
✅NATGAS is set to retest a
Strong resistance level above at 3.00$
After trading in a local uptrend for some time
Which makes a bearish pullback a likely scenario
With the target being a local support below at 2.836$
SHORT🔥
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NATURAL GAS Strong sell on the 1D MA50.Natural Gas has been so far following the sell strategy we shared with you a month ago (December 04, see chart below), having already hit one Target (2.425):
Yesterday the price hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and managed to close the 1D candle below it, which stands out as the most efficient sell opportunity since the October 27 2023 High. Technically we can see a new Channel Down emerging with two Lower Lows and two Lower Highs already. Our long-term 2.135 Target on Support 2 remains, but technically the downside can be considerably bigger (-38.67% was the previous Bearish Leg).
If the price breaks above Resistance 1 (2.990), we will take an additional short-term buy, targeting 3.275 (Resistance 2).
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