Get started

Natgas

NATURAL GAS Ready to buy at the bottom of the Channel Up?Natural Gas (NG1!) is trading within a logarithmic Channel Up pattern since the April 14 Low. The current bearish leg is one step before testing the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but the bottom is located just below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). That trend-line has priced the last three Higher Lows (September 26, September 06, August 24), so we are ready to buy there and target the 0.786 Fibonacci at 3.250, which has been a standard rebound target since July. The most optimal buy signal though since April 13 is when the 1D RSI enters its Support Zone. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by TradingShot
Nat Gas (UNG, NG) Retracement LongConsidering a trend continuation long in NG here. Per the attached charts (also using futures for zoning), we've had a decent pullback and are nearing intermediate-term (daily) demand. Using the futures chart, there are multiple 15-minute demand zones stacked 3.058-3.006. So, if we penetrate that zone (flirting with it now), look for micro timeframe reversal cues. Looking for a solid swing from this one, so we'll see what happens! Quick take, but want to get this posted as the trade is setting up as I type. Godspeed! Jon @ LionHart Trading
AMEX:UNGLong
by LionHart_Trading
Natural Gas Trend Continuation LONGNot a market we trade super often, but there has obviously been a LOT of opportunity in natural gas as of late. After a long period of accumulation, NG has finally broken out to the upside. We are looking for potential trend continuation longs. Ideally, we would like to enter this trade around the ~3.00 level (roughly coincides with Anchored VWAP + support/resistance “flip zone”), but it may be a bit before NG trades back to those prices (if it does). However, shorter-term/more aggressive entries exist via demand zones circa 3.2. We’ve formed new/”fresh” 60-minute supply @ 3.346-3.380, so that is an upside target. One should drill down via smaller timeframes (30/20/15-minute), though, to see what additional supply zones form between ~3.2 and 3.346 – it’s likely other sell levels will exist within expanded range candlesticks formed earlier this morning (EST). Smaller timeframe supply zones + any resistance levels should serve as profit targets for longs; if you enter a trade with multiple contracts, you can always hold a runner and look for new highs if upside momentum is strong. Finally, keep in mind seasonality. We are doing a more thorough analysis here, but NG tends to catch a tailwind during colder months (vs. summer)... We’ll keep an eye on this market and will provide updates accordingly. As is always the case with trading, our approach/thesis could change as price action unfolds, so use your discretion when evaluating this idea. Questions/comments welcome! Jon @ LionHart Trading
RUS:NG1!Long
by LionHart_Trading
NATURAL GAS EXPECTED HIGH VOLATILITY WITH BULLISH TENDENCIESThe ongoing conflict in the Middle East involving Israel, Hamas, and Iran, is having a potential impact on global energy markets. The conflict is complex, with deep-rooted historical and political dimensions, and has the potential to escalate, affecting regional stability. Geopolitical tensions in oil-producing regions can disrupt global energy markets, leading to price spikes and volatility in oil and gas prices. US energy policies, including decisions on domestic oil production and international relations with oil-producing nations, can influence global energy markets as well. That situation creates conditions for high volatility in the natural gas prices, with more tendency to bullish outcome. If the bullish tendencies continue, the price might reach its resistance level at 3.394. In the opposite scenario, the price might revert to 3.271. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
PEPPERSTONE:NATGASLong
by legacyFXofficial
Crude trader - trying to price certainty in conflict The high on our Brent crude price has been $89.68 – hit at midday – but while our clients are long of crude (65% of open interest is held long), we’re seeing better sellers in the broader market, as we roll towards EU trade. The early rally felt reasonably orderly, but a lot of questions were being asked and without many immediate answers to obtain the certainty we crave as market participants - so naturally in this backdrop we get outsized moves, as a lack of clarity causes dispersions in price. When it comes to knowledge most market participants are now military experts and have quite poor knowledge of Middle East relations – again this makes it harder to price risk. Our US crude price sits up 3.8%, off the earlier highs of $87.45 and holds the 50-day MA – should EU/UK traders come in and buy the slight intraday dips then $89.03 is the level to watch topside for supply. It could go either way, but on balance I favour selling into intraday rallies. Today been some reversal after the recent drawdown in crude into $82 – positioning played a big part in that run, but we had seen signs that the Saudis may look at increasing production at year-end. We had even seen positive steps at a geopolitical level; brokered by the US, an agreement that Saudi would recognize Israel and as MBS said, forge “the biggest historical deal since the end of the Cold War”. Instead of this positive backdrop, we have seen a 180-degree turn with Hamas's attack on Israel, with the market now questioning if we could see engagement with Hezbollah and Lebanon. With President Biden standing firm with Israel, the view is Iran’s oil exports which have been growing will be cut. If we look at Crude ‘time spreads’ – that is, front-month crude futures – June 2024 futures - we see this +$0.97, so modestly higher – if we really felt like Saudi production was going to get impacted by the unfolding situation then this would higher still. If in doubt, switch gears and head to Nat Gas which is building on the recent breakout and looks like it may start to bull trend.
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDE
by Pepperstone
A case for a Short on Natural GasA simple scenario with 3 elements that might occur for a potential shorting setup. In case a new high is formed and resistance is met at the orange line with signs of a potential turnaround, the case for the short becomes even more relevant if a divergence on Awesome Oscillator appears. There is an interesting support curved trend line following the previous lows of the waves of the market, and if this green level is broken the pullback could see this going somewhere from 3.1 to 2.9. Any short position in the green can be carefully managed with tight stop loss or exit if bullish momentum catches steam, especially if the opposite scenario of an AO divergence is met, signaling the potential end of the pullback which could turn out to be just a correction in the overall bullish direction of the price. On the other hand, this could also be the end of this bull run and bring the price back down around 2.83 where most of the previous wave lows have been formed.
SKILLING:NATGASShort
by nen
Natural Gas Price Forecast & stock market update00:00 Natural Gas stock Bulls NatGas Support & Resistance Guide 02:40 AMEX:UNG Stock Forecast 04:50 USO Oil Stock Forecast 07:05 Gold XAUUSD Stock Forecast 09:00 US dollar DXY Stock Forecast 10:39 Silver XAGUSD 12:41 QQQ Stock Price Forecast 15:06 Sp500 ETF Price Forecast 16:11 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis 16:58 Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis 18:15 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis 19:44 Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis 22:03 Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis 23:55 Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis 26:31 Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by ArcadiaTrading
NATGAS on a verge of a significant correction?Interesting development reaction from the top arc over the past 6 months and I'll be taking a punt myself on this one, especially since most brokers are paying out for traders to sell $NATGAS. My broker is paying out c3% and I wouldn't mind a piece of that. SL is tight with a huge potential gain of 5.7/1 . The most recent corrections from the top of the arc have been between 10-12 days which would take us to the 16th of October. You can see an extremely strong bearish divergence on the 4hr chart, as well as the daily which usually means that consolidation is soon under way. Recession will undoubtedly will take place at some point in the near future which usually means commodities heading down due to low demand. This is not trading advice, but I'm extremely excited to see this unfold. Cheers, Sky
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by SkyTrees
1
Equalized Natural Gas and Crude Oil Over DecadesThe goal of this chart is to attempt to show the impact of energy costs in the current economy. We use equal amounts of natural gas and crude oil according to economic websites, so a chart that shows the year-over-year % change of energy costs would be useful to look at so we aren't confused by headlines. Everyone seems to be looking at crude oil as the main driver of inflation, but at the same time refusing to see that natural gas has fallen quite dramatically over the same time window. What I have done with this chart is to plot the ratio of the price of crude oil to natural gas using the 2nd month contract because of the negative price of crude oil in 2020. The current ratio is around 26, so I then used the 26 ratio to plot the top chart. I multiplied NatGas by 26 and added it to Crude Oil to get a "total energy cost" to the economy. I then did a 1 year rate of change to show the oscillations of "bearish headwinds" of inflation and "bullish headwinds" of deflation. Obviously, lower energy prices are supportive of the economy and higher energy prices are inflationary and imply producers and sellers will raise prices, putting pressure on the Fed to raise rates to cool off the economy. Currently, we have a -31.59% YOY% change for the total cost of energy and as recently as May we were at -61%. Granted, energy is not the entire economy. Energy is only 6% of the economy so it is just a small part but it feeds into everyone's costs. Next I will work on some ways to create specific market buy and sell signals to see if we can make a permanent indicator for this idea. Wishing you all well. Tim West 9:06AM EST, Wednesday October 4, 2023
NYMEX:NG2!
by timwest
3
Natural Gas - Are Prices Going Back Up!?Analysis: Bullish Confluences Strong upwards trend Retest of a key support level Broadening ascending channel present Upwards trendline touch 3k long position decrease for the USD Stay Safe - The JPI Team Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read and responded to. We appreciate any comments at all so thank you! Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does too. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
OANDA:NATGASUSDLong
by jpeacockfx
32
DXY - The US Petrdollar And The "Prigozhin Coup" In RussiaI write this as I listen to Tchaikovsky's Violin Concerto in D Major on the excellent Shen Yun Zuopin platform. It seemed quite fitting for watching the world burn. When you hear propaganda on English social media on a Saturday night that a group of mercenaries are raiding Moscow to overthrow Putin, you absolutely must take what you are hearing and seeing with an entire box of Maldon. Before we begin, I will provide you with the DXY Monthly, which shows the topography more clearly than the daily bars I use for the moving graph: Remember it wasn't even 10 days ago that the US Military was running an exercise in the streets in the United States and the QAnon cultists/CIA campaign were trying to tell people it was because Donald Trump was about to overthrow Joe Biden. The United States has three significant abilities that exceed its direct military power and are why it's able to empire around the world: 1. Masters of propaganda and manipulation 2. A stranglehold on the world economy via the Petrodollar and its oil/LNG production 3. Intelligence, subversion, corruption, and cyber warfare operations No matter what you hear, the war in Ukraine directly involves NATO because NATO member countries are all over the area West of Russia and Belarus, and Washington is the leader of NATO. Wagner PMC and Prigozhin himself are rather savvy propagandists and tacticians. They previously used the narrative that there was much discontent between themselves, the superheroes of the Bakhmut campaign, and the Russian military's old guard, to bait Ukraine into attacking. The end result was a lot of dead UAF and a captured city for the Russian Federation. Moreover, many things right now serve as a distraction to keep the world's eyes and ears away from what's going on inside of mainland China and the coming fall of the Chinese Communist Party. Perhaps Xi Jinping will be this decade's Mikhail Gorbachev and will one night dump the CCP, much to the consternation and dismay of a totally clueless majority mankind. This matter, and the persecution against the 100 million practitioners of Falun Gong by the former Jiang Zemin regime, which Xi has directly contested since he took power a decade ago (this is what the "Anti-corruption campaign" is really annihilating), is what you really need to focus on, rather than "World War III" propaganda. So, you shouldn't go too hard on Sunday and Monday selling equity futures and getting long on gold because you've been told on Twitter that World War III is coming. What you want to do is take a calm and rational look at what can happen. And what can happen entirely revolves around the US Dollar. Right now, the USD looks as if it will pump, rather than dump. Like it or not, it looks like it's going to pump, rather than dump. But the confirmation for the trade comes down to whether or not DXY can breach $105.883. If it can breach $105.883 either in the remaining six trading days of June or in the early portion of July, then we have two scenarios, in my opinion: Whether the target is only the $108-$109 Point of Concern Whether the target is $115-$118-$120 above the '22 high. Frankly speaking, if you look at yearly bars for the DXY: Then literally $135 is en route before 2030. But if $109 is all we have today then $98 is incoming. Generally speaking, it's really worth remembering that USD up = risk off on equities. What's important in life isn't making money in the markets, but it's your family, your friends, your heart, your soul, and your future. Trading should just be a vector for your personal and spiritual development. Gamblers are going to lose more than their shirts, you hear? See the additional calls below for more broad spectrum macro analysis of the situation.
TVC:DXY
by LordWrymouth
3
NATGASUSD Is About to Start Outperforming WTICOUSDWTICOUSD has developed a Diamond Top pAttern at the HOP level of a Bearish Shark and has given Bearish PPO Confirmnation Arrow at this level. Along with that, the PPO has broken below trend and may now look to crash lower. If we are to take all these indications into account, we can safely assume that WTICO is about to Bearishly break down from the Diamond it's formed against NATGAS. This could mean a few things, but mainly it means that either Natural Gas is about to start going up a lot or WTICO is about to start going down a lot, or maybe a combination of the two. In anticipation of this, I will primarily be buying Natural Gas Related Assets and Selling Oil Related Assets.
OANDA:WTICOUSDShort
by RizeSenpai