NATURAL GAS: Rebound expected near the 1D MA50.Natural Gas is on a six day bearish streak, turning neutral on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.415, MACD = 0.105, ADX = 27.914). The pattern since April is a Bullish Megaphone and every pullback like this, has been a buy opportunity. The last one reversed just before it hit the 1D MA50, and as the 1D RSI is also near the S1 level, we turn bullish, targeting the R1 level (TP = 3.645).
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Natgas
Oil - Bulls Will Be Totally AnnihilatedIn early September, we made what turned out to be a pretty accurate call on crude, predicting that $95~ was the target.
CL WTI Crude Oil - Getting In Sync With The Market Makers
In July, after analysis, I predicted that the target for crude in the intermediate term is actually a 3-or-4 handle, based on reading the tea leaves of yearly bars.
Oil - A New Long Leg Down Soon Begins
There's all sorts of fundamental reasons, one will say, that mean there's NO WAY oil should go down, so much! It should go up, because reasons!
And I think that is true. I think we're going to see $150 or $200 crude in a future that isn't very far away.
But before that happens, since oil has failed to continue upward momentum, the entire previous range from the Russia-Ukraine War has been traded, and the year has mostly been flat-red, it seems to me pretty obvious that the MMs are going to be MMs and go dumpster some long-term longs.
Which means we have a target of $56 before the end of 2024, based on monthly candles:
It's only that I think $56 won't be "the bottom," they'll drive it lowerer for longerer and make energy bulls and equities bears hate their life, before the real fun starts, because that's how big accumulation happens.
Super high prices is almost always preceded by super deep selling. Producers get net short.
Before they get net short, it takes some time to get net long, and even though you may not see that in Commitment of Traders, the big oil companies have entire floors of their headquarter buildings devoted to trading, a lot like a bank.
The Black Swan of Black Swans, though, that can spoil everyone's fun plans, is the Chinese Communist Party and Xi Jinping's tenuous grip on power and reality.
I've said in virtually every post that the CCP is going to fall in our lifetimes. It can fall in one of two ways:
1. Xi Jinping goes Gorbachev and throws the evil Party away, saving China and himself
2. Xi Jinping is strung up as the head of the evil Party, goes down to Hell with the CCP, and something else replaces it
What's at stake for Xi is not only the CCP's boundless crimes against humanity and the ruination of China's 5,000 year Heavenly Dynasties, but the eternal sin of the 24-year organ harvesting and genocide against Falun Dafa's 100 million students.
Although that persecution was started in 1999 by former Chairman Jiang Zemin, who died, because Xi is the leader of the CCP, he'll inherit the crime and face the same Sepulcher, unless he can throw the regime away like the man he ought to be.
When the CCP finally falls, whether it's because Wuhan Pneumonia dropped more than former Premier Li Keqiang, or because Xi dumpsters the Jiang Faction and the International Q Cult that's made itself a particle of the Red Dragon, everything is going to be bigly gap down on a Monday morning.
Stuff like the price of oil may seriously moon, however, because the world society's electricity, heat, and transportation relies entirely on fossil fuels.
And so all dumps on commodities may sharply truncate and reverse seemingly without cause, all equities rallies may sharply truncate and reverse seemingly without cause, and so the risk is enormous.
Trading in these markets in the next 6 months is going to be like playing with fire or gambling your fingers near a really sharp knife.
Never forget this point: a knife just cuts.
A knife doesn't care who or what it cuts. It just cuts.
If you don't want to lose your fingers and your hands, don't put your fingers and your hands under a knife.
Once they're gone, there are no miracles to bring them back.
The way it's looked at up high is that, in reality, you made the choice to put your hands under the knife, and so when it cuts what should be cut, it cut what should be cut, and that's your own problem caused by your own pursuits.
Be careful.
Natural Gas OIL GOLD DXY Silver Price Forecast00:00 Natural Gas stock Bulls NatGas Support & Resistance Guide
03:50 AMEX:UNG Stock Forecast
06:04 USO Oil Stock Forecast
08:00 Gold XAUUSD Stock Forecast
09:46 DXY US dollar Stock Forecast
11:56 Silver XAGUSD
#naturalgas #xauusd #dxy #xagusd #natgas #naturalgastechnicalanalysis #technicalanalysis #tradingstrategy #daytrading #naturalgasanalysis #naturalgastrading #natgasanalysis #uso #crudeoil
Natural Gas - Keylevels - DailyNatural Gas remains in a downward trend, we are getting closer to winter, and demand will increase.
Why doesn't the price increase more?
Or...why doesn't the price increase according to your expectations?
Simple..
The story of the war has calmed down and the FUD on prices has decreased and in addition to that, the main factor is that in several countries in EUROPE, the price of gas is capped, so that regardless of demand and supply, the price on the bill remains the same .
My opinion is that if this winter we see Natural Gas between 4-6 dollars, it would be advisable to mark our profits and wait for next year.
Natural Gas - Big moves aheadNATGAS has been putting in consecutive higher highs for the better part of a month. This is indicative of a further move up as called over a month ago. Until this trend is broken we remain bullish and are looking to break the first resistance which should then lead us to 3.5$ very quickly.
BULLISH
Natural Gas DXY GOLD SILVER USO Price ForecastNatural Gas DXY GOLD SILVER USO Price Forecast
Natural Gas Natgas Stock forming equilibrium pattern
00:00 Natural Gas stock Bulls NatGas Support & Resistance Guide
05:44 AMEX:UNG Stock Forecast
06:50 USO Oil Stock Forecast
09:41 Gold XAUUSD Stock Forecast
11:17 US dollar DXY Stock Forecast
13:47 Silver XAGUSD
Natural Gas - Elliott Wave CountNatural Gas - Elliott Wave Count
this is an update to the previous view.
Yesterday, the market completed the 4th wave of its price movement cycle and has since entered the 5th wave. This represents a continuation of the current trend, and we can anticipate a positive recovery in the upward direction once the 5th wave is completed. This signals a potential opportunity for investors to consider taking advantage of the market's recovery trend.
In light of this, we recommend refraining from taking short positions in a bull market. Instead, it would be prudent to wait for a reversal and take a long position.
Please note that this information is solely for educational purposes, and it is essential to exercise caution when trading.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS FOREXCOM:NATURALGASCFD MCX:NATURALGAS1! CITYINDEX:NATURALGASCFD PEPPERSTONE:NATGAS SKILLING:NATGAS
Natural Gas Price Forecast DXY OIL GOLD SILVERWelcome to the everyday how to make money online trading with Natural Gas Technical Analysis show, where I give you guys support & resistance levels to potentially play off of. As well as both sides perspective of a bear and a bull to give us a better understanding of where our trades are currently and not have a bias
- Natural Gas Natgas Stock forming equilibrium pattern
#naturalgas #xauusd #dxy #xagusd #natgas #naturalgastechnicalanalysis #technicalanalysis #tradingstrategy #daytrading #naturalgasanalysis #naturalgastrading #natgasanalysis #uso #crudeoil
00:00 Natural Gas stock Bulls PEPPERSTONE:NATGAS Support & Resistance Guide
05:44 AMEX:UNG Stock Forecast
06:50 AMEX:USO Oil Stock Forecast
09:41 Gold OANDA:XAUUSD Stock Forecast
11:17 US dollar DXY Stock Forecast
13:47 Silver OANDA:XAGUSD
#NATURALGAS LONG TRADE IDEA SETUPGreetings Folks,
today i have prepared a setup of NATURAL GAS on MCX
the analysis is as follows
- the price is looking for a minor reversal
- currently trading at a very important zone
- wait for a retest for entry
dont play with fire, always use a predefined stoploss
NATURAL GAS Ready to buy at the bottom of the Channel Up?Natural Gas (NG1!) is trading within a logarithmic Channel Up pattern since the April 14 Low. The current bearish leg is one step before testing the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but the bottom is located just below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). That trend-line has priced the last three Higher Lows (September 26, September 06, August 24), so we are ready to buy there and target the 0.786 Fibonacci at 3.250, which has been a standard rebound target since July. The most optimal buy signal though since April 13 is when the 1D RSI enters its Support Zone.
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NatGas: Dived in 🤿 🌊The price of NatGas has now reached the turquoise target zone between $2.98 and $2.77. Here we expect a turning point with the low of the turquoise wave (ii), ideally at the 78.60% retracement of the zone. From there, the price should move higher in large steps until it completes the orange wave (iii) at $4.60.
Nat Gas (UNG, NG) Retracement LongConsidering a trend continuation long in NG here. Per the attached charts (also using futures for zoning), we've had a decent pullback and are nearing intermediate-term (daily) demand. Using the futures chart, there are multiple 15-minute demand zones stacked 3.058-3.006. So, if we penetrate that zone (flirting with it now), look for micro timeframe reversal cues. Looking for a solid swing from this one, so we'll see what happens! Quick take, but want to get this posted as the trade is setting up as I type.
Godspeed!
Jon @ LionHart Trading
Natural Gas Trend Continuation LONGNot a market we trade super often, but there has obviously been a LOT of opportunity in natural gas as of late. After a long period of accumulation, NG has finally broken out to the upside. We are looking for potential trend continuation longs. Ideally, we would like to enter this trade around the ~3.00 level (roughly coincides with Anchored VWAP + support/resistance “flip zone”), but it may be a bit before NG trades back to those prices (if it does). However, shorter-term/more aggressive entries exist via demand zones circa 3.2. We’ve formed new/”fresh” 60-minute supply @ 3.346-3.380, so that is an upside target. One should drill down via smaller timeframes (30/20/15-minute), though, to see what additional supply zones form between ~3.2 and 3.346 – it’s likely other sell levels will exist within expanded range candlesticks formed earlier this morning (EST). Smaller timeframe supply zones + any resistance levels should serve as profit targets for longs; if you enter a trade with multiple contracts, you can always hold a runner and look for new highs if upside momentum is strong. Finally, keep in mind seasonality. We are doing a more thorough analysis here, but NG tends to catch a tailwind during colder months (vs. summer)... We’ll keep an eye on this market and will provide updates accordingly. As is always the case with trading, our approach/thesis could change as price action unfolds, so use your discretion when evaluating this idea. Questions/comments welcome!
Jon @ LionHart Trading
NATGAS BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello,Friends!
The BB lower band is nearby so NATGAS is in the oversold territory. Thus, despite the downtrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bullish reaction from the support line below and a move up towards the target at around 3.457.
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NATURAL GAS EXPECTED HIGH VOLATILITY WITH BULLISH TENDENCIESThe ongoing conflict in the Middle East involving Israel, Hamas, and Iran, is having a potential impact on global energy markets. The conflict is complex, with deep-rooted historical and political dimensions, and has the potential to escalate, affecting regional stability. Geopolitical tensions in oil-producing regions can disrupt global energy markets, leading to price spikes and volatility in oil and gas prices. US energy policies, including decisions on domestic oil production and international relations with oil-producing nations, can influence global energy markets as well. That situation creates conditions for high volatility in the natural gas prices, with more tendency to bullish outcome.
If the bullish tendencies continue, the price might reach its resistance level at 3.394. In the opposite scenario, the price might revert to 3.271.
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Crude trader - trying to price certainty in conflict The high on our Brent crude price has been $89.68 – hit at midday – but while our clients are long of crude (65% of open interest is held long), we’re seeing better sellers in the broader market, as we roll towards EU trade. The early rally felt reasonably orderly, but a lot of questions were being asked and without many immediate answers to obtain the certainty we crave as market participants - so naturally in this backdrop we get outsized moves, as a lack of clarity causes dispersions in price. When it comes to knowledge most market participants are now military experts and have quite poor knowledge of Middle East relations – again this makes it harder to price risk.
Our US crude price sits up 3.8%, off the earlier highs of $87.45 and holds the 50-day MA – should EU/UK traders come in and buy the slight intraday dips then $89.03 is the level to watch topside for supply. It could go either way, but on balance I favour selling into intraday rallies.
Today been some reversal after the recent drawdown in crude into $82 – positioning played a big part in that run, but we had seen signs that the Saudis may look at increasing production at year-end. We had even seen positive steps at a geopolitical level; brokered by the US, an agreement that Saudi would recognize Israel and as MBS said, forge “the biggest historical deal since the end of the Cold War”. Instead of this positive backdrop, we have seen a 180-degree turn with Hamas's attack on Israel, with the market now questioning if we could see engagement with Hezbollah and Lebanon. With President Biden standing firm with Israel, the view is Iran’s oil exports which have been growing will be cut.
If we look at Crude ‘time spreads’ – that is, front-month crude futures – June 2024 futures - we see this +$0.97, so modestly higher – if we really felt like Saudi production was going to get impacted by the unfolding situation then this would higher still.
If in doubt, switch gears and head to Nat Gas which is building on the recent breakout and looks like it may start to bull trend.
NATURAL GAS 25% GAINS IMMINENTNATGAS is lining up to break out of this bullish consolidation structure/ bull flag and reaching its next resistance zone around 3.4-3.5.
This resistance also coincides with the measured move of this bull flag.
Upon entering on the breakout my SL would be below the previous lows giving a 2-1 RR.