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Natgas

Sep 23,22-NG still sliding...to what? 6?So recession fears are the talk of this week and the markets are tanking. As you all know, people have a short memory - could be next week or the week after, NG will rise again. Be ready for the turnaround and ride it up. That's what I'm going to be looking for. How low will it go? Probably 6.5 for sure, maybe even 6. Next week is a new week so trade smart - volatile times we are in that's for sure. Between War, Cold coming, and world resources changing ESPECIALLY regarding NG (as Russia has cut Europe off), NG is going to be a hard one to trade. Stay safe and enjoy your weekend! Heiko
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by HEIKOTradingSystem
Natural Gas (NATGASUSD): Technical Outlook 💨 Natural Gas formed a huge head and shoulders pattern on a daily time frame. 7.33 - 7.88 is its wide horizontal neckline. If the price breaks and closes below the neckline, it will be a very strong bearish signal. I believe that then the market can easily drop to 6.17 level. Remember, that for now, a neckline represents a strong demand area. Consider shorting only after its breakout. ❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section. Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
NShort
by VasilyTrader
6
Soybeans ZS - Lagging the Pack, but Ready to GoThis is a call I wanted to make yesterday, but didn't have time. With the time I had, there was a choice between this and a Nasdaq NS call and made the Nasdaq call: Nasdaq NQ - 8 Days & 1,700 Points But in fairness, I did pick up November options during yesterday's session, so at least I can say that much for myself, since this has some vibes of hindsight based on today's action. Regardless, Soybeans gives strong cause to believe bullish action is imminent, based on the monthly candles: What this tells us that our June high formed a double top with the '12 all-time high. But most critically, it formed a lower high double top, which means that MMs are likely to seek this level to crush bear skulls, and it's just a question of when. The post-resistance top was really a long gap fill and we've also had three months of consolidation. As everyone who's traded with real money knows, picking the direction and the price is not the hardest, but instead, the timing is the very hardest, and most critical, thing. And in terms of timing, the weekly gives us good cause to believe we're ready to go. We see that late July featured a gap up, which has been filled in and heavily consolidated over the course of five weeks: And thusly, there is significantly reduced reason to believe that Soybeans are set to seek new lows instead of new highs. And indeed, on the daily, what has manifested is a string of higher lows, culminating in this morning's gundown of the 1,400 level A gundown that looks exceptionally turtle soup on the 1H, albeit retrospectively since it already ripped. But note that the rip occurred at 9:00 just before NYSE opens, significant because there are ETFs like SOYB that get caught gap up. More importantly, maybe consider not trying to short the pop. Instead, going long on a pullback could be quite good. And so, in magnifying the timeframe down to the 4H, I discovered that targeting boxes that appeared correct on the wider time frame were a little too shallow on the lower time frames. Thusly, I have generated a "revised" targeting box. However, like I said, time is the harder consideration. I feel ZS will get there, but who knows when? In the meantime, a rundown of the 1,500 level, which corresponds with those August-July relative equal highs around ~1,485 is very realistic. Everyone knows the global food supply is in trouble because of all the drought . Whether it's corn, wheat, soy, or whatever. And while you can certainly expect a new all time high to be made, it's really a question of when. Months like December, January, and February when everything is both trapped in winter, a new calendar year, and people are struggling to pay incredibly high natural gas/electricity bills across the world resulting from problems governments have created since the Russian Federation's invasion of Ukraine this year, may be the more likely time target for 2,000 point Soybeans.
CBOT:ZS1!
by LordWrymouth
3
Sep 18,22-NG-Will it close below level?So I find a decent Support level around 7.5 - question is....will price close below 7.5 on Monday or not? If so, I think price could drop to 7. If not, price could consolidate for a while, then go up or down depending on a million things. I'm not looking for a sell order. I'm waiting for price to bottom out - then I will catch the rise, probably back to an ATH this winter. Winter scares me - between the cold and the war, I have no bloody idea when and how high NG will soar, but it scares the hell out of me. One thing I DO know is...I wanna ride that price action all the way to huge profits. I'll keep you updated as the week progresses. Heiko
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by HEIKOTradingSystem
Sep 16,22 NG-How low will it go? 7?Hopefully you all made some decent profits this past week. There looks like there is some support around 7.8ish. I'm thinking though it might get down to 7 as recession rears kick in and the world expects a slowdown. Remember, this is that lull before winter kicks in and NG usuall goes up in winter due to demand. This year?!?!? Who knows how cold it get, or how early the cold weather will hit. Sometimes in October, sometimes in December. Strap in and hold tight - gonna be a crazy next 6 months. Heiko
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by HEIKOTradingSystem
LNG almost hitting my TP 182 posted last April 17@ 3.618 FiboI made a forecast last April 17,2022 that LNG will be hitting 182. At that time LNG already had A BIG RALLY & seemed to be topping out but actually it was making a FLAG CONSOLIDATION before another run. (I was bashed for that even thought it was only my opinion & not a trading advice) Look how my Fibo levels coincide exactly with ALL important levels in chart. In the coming weeks or months, LNG may have to supply Europe with cargoes of LNG at a premium price since Russia had cut off Europe”s LNG supply & winter is coming. Not trading advice
LLong
by xtremerider8
NatGas: Chin the Bar! 💪NatGas is showing its sporty side and is chinning the bar at the resistance at $8.403. Soon, it should be warmed up enough to vault into the turquoise zone between $8.544 and $9.307, where it should then finish wave (iv) in turquoise. Afterwards, NatGas should jump below the support at $7.532 to complete wave (v) in turquoise as well as wave (2) in white before moving southwards again. Alternatively, there is a 28% chance that NatGas could do a somersault directly above the resistance at $10.028.
NYMEX:NG1!
by MarketIntel
Corn Futures ZC1 - Spooling Like a TurboBecause virtually the whole world is suffering from massive drought this summer, many crops are in bad shape. This is true with the U.S. cotton crop and it's also true with the U.S. corn crop, which according to USDA reports, barely half of is in good or excellent condition as of last week. This is significant because the U.S. is the largest global producer of both, and by a huge margin. This gives good cause to believe that a pump is on the horizon, but when, and how easily will it arrive? The good news is for latecomers is that it seems as if the Ukraine panic pump and dump from April+ bottomed out in July, based on recent price action. "The second mouse gets the cheese." There's a big gap on corn and wheat remaining from the June doom candle, which should transpire as a range that gets eaten into as we head into later September and October. Winter may very well be new all time highs, because the world and humanity is in a lot of trouble. The environment is not in good shape, but to understand what this really means, you have to throw away the leftist-socialist-establishment "carbon" narratives, because those things are not only distractions, but they exist as a Communist Party pretext to take away your Freedom of Movement. But just look at the lack of water and functioning ecosystem and ask yourself how long the happy is going to remain in North America. The situation in Europe is already very dangerous. Regardless, with the way price action has traded this month, it seems likely that corn futures has a good shot of breaking July's high before the end of the month. But it also looks like it may not run in a straight line up and take care of that business on Monday or Tuesday. If you get a retrace into the 597 range, it seems there's a functional trade. However, it's entirely possible that August fails to break July's high. But if you can get out over 640 all the same before the month closes, you'll have done pretty well. As for the rest of that gap above, I don't think we see that until the next commodities supercycle starts, likely beginning to ramp in late September-October. Today is like a turbocharger. They all take a bit to spool. But once they do, it's really fun. Unless you're the one standing in front of the Ferrari.
CBOT:ZC1!
by LordWrymouth
4
WTI oil - An indecisive moment in the oil marketWe warned about the possibility of a downtrend correction in the middle of August 2022. Indeed, we said that the breakout above the sloping support/resistance would lead to such action. Then shortly after that, USOIL rose from its lows and broke above the resistance, halting its rise at 97.65 USD per barrel. Since then, the price fell back below the 90 USD price tag. However, the drop stopped slightly above the sloping support, which is bullish. Accordingly, we are bullish on oil for as long as the price stays above the support. However, an alternative position can be taken (with a tight stop-loss) on the breakout below the support. In the short-term future, we will pay close attention to OPEC's rhetoric and any potential talks about more production cuts. In our opinion, cutting production risks higher prices for oil in the short term. Although with the prospect of global recession unraveling, we think production cuts will only have a temporary effect if any. Illustration 1.01 The picture above shows the daily chart of USOIL. Yellow arrows indicate a bullish breakout above the sloping support/resistance and subsequent failure of the price to retrace below it. As long as the price stays above the sloping support/resistance, it stays in the bullish area. Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI and MACD are neutral. Stochastic is bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is neutral/slightly bearish. Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 shows the daily chart of USOIL and two simple moving averages, which still reflect a bearish constellation. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI is neutral. Stochastic and MACD are bearish. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOIL
by Tradersweekly
26