Natural Gas Reversing at Major Flip ZoneNatural Gas has been in a downtrend with multiple swings, and we hit a major support/flip zone which you can see on the longer term chart.
We began to range on the 4 hour chart, which is a potential sign of a trend exhaustion. We then had a break of the 2.183 short term flip zone, and since then, we are now pulling back to retest resistance now turned support.
Awaiting to enter the trade. Two options:
1) Enter now with a better risk vs reward ratio, but a lower probability of success.
2) Or wait for the confirmed first higher low, which requires a higher high ( break and close above 2.234). Risk vs reward may be reduced, but the probability of success is much higher.
On the fundamental side, Natural Gas is of course cyclical...during the winter months people tend to heat their homes etc. There still is a large supply of Natural Gas out there, so not expecting any crazy increases in the long run, however, see a nice pattern here with many confluences including a fundamental of a more colder winter.
NATURAL GAS
Buy Opportunity !!!!!the Natural Gas bounced on a strong support at 2.092 this might be a huge buy opportunity to target 2.198 but we could retest first before going up
my strategy is to buy and keep buying unless we close below 2.09 -2.07 then my scenario is invalid but we have a high probability of going up : Buy at 2.10-2.11 to target 2.19 then 2.33 with a stop loss at 2.04-2.03
Waiting for NATGASUSD short entry. Waiting for NATGASUSD short entry. The exchange rate of natural gas is the fractal copy shown in the analysis. Since you have made a very accurate copy so far, I assume that the last descending wave sequence of the fractal will also be copied. In case my analysis is correct, I assume the current rise to be a correction gain, and the decreasing wave sequences to be the main trend. The target price for the next descending wave sequence is 1.408usd.
Natural Gas (NATGASUSD) How To Buy With Confirmation?
hey traders,
this is my update for NATGAS.
I know that most of you have noticed that the price is approaching a current market low
and many of you are waiting for a signal to buy.
I suggest you focus on a falling trendline on 4H.
Being broken it will trigger a buying reaction of market participants and most likely we will see a nice impulse upwards.
While it is trading below the trendline just wait!
once it breaks I will buy the market
my targets will be
2.30
2.45
stop will be below the last lower low.
NaturalGas: Bottom and Buy OpportunityIt can be a very good buy opportunity. The price reached the local bottom, and we should be ready to use a reversal to open long trades.
If the price bounces from the support, it will be possible to buy with stop orders below 2.00 level. The market can start a new uptrend or just continue the sideways movement in the borders of the horizontal price channel. It does not matter for us as for both cases we have room for the upward movement.
The market must be added to a watch list as the market with a very good buy opportunity. If the price drops below 2.00, it will confirm the continuation of the bearish trend. But lower, the market also has strong support levels, which will be good for buy as well as the support zone we use now.
NATGASUSD in the BUY zone,Bullish Signal...NATGASUSD Update..
The price is approaching strong support level,If the price gives any Bullish Signal,look for Buy opportunity...
Push LIKE & SUPPORT the Idea...
Write in COMMENTS about the Analysis..
For Entry:
Wait for the formation of Bullish Candlestick Pattern to close on 4hr timeframe for confirmation to Buy..
*The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
NATURAL GAS HEAD AND SHOULDERS??GOOD EVENING, HERE IS A POTENTIAL PAN OUT FOR NATURAL GAS. CURRENTLY AT NECKLINE OF WHAT COULD BE A COMPLETED HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERN, RIGHT SHOULDER JUST NEEDS TO DEVELOP! PRICE IS CURRENTLY AT A KEY SUPPLY/DEMAND ZONE AND A NICE REJECTION CANDLE ON LAST DAY, EXTREMELY GOOD RR IF THIS WAS TO COME IN BUT EVEN HALF THIS TARGET WOULD BE GREAT. THE MOVE WILL MOST LIKELY BE VERY IMPULSIVE AND TAKE A FEW WEEKS TO CLIMB TO TOP IF DOES GO THIS WAY.
I WOULD HIGHLY RECOMMEND HAVING A LOOK AT @MESZAROS & @RANDYFUEGO NATURAL GAS PUBLICATIONS FOR A MORE DETAILED PERSPECTIVE, LINK AT BOTTOM.
NATGASUSD long .....NATGASUSD long ... The analysis shows that the size of the decreasing corrective fractals (rose-blue) is the same. During this time, the amplitude of the response to the reduction in correction increases by a factor of 1-2-4. That's why we trade this set of rules. The primary target price for exchange rate appreciation is US $ 2,370. We need to determine this so that we can accurately determine the initial Risk-Reward. We're currently trading 2.6 RR.
Long Term Prospects for NATGASUSDThe NATGASUSD is in long-term Bear Market with price trading below the 50 and 200 and 800 week emas. The 50 week ema is currently trending down slightly, though price has finished up a sideways correction. A small degree five waves down has completed, so a bounce is likely back to the 30 ema.
Looking at the Long Term chart, price tends to spike up when the economy and stock market trend down. Conversely, the price of natural gas tends to drop when crude oil goes up in price. This makes sense from a Supply perspective with more Nat Gas available when more crude oil drilling takes place. Though from a Demand perspective, it’s backwards. With the Fed doing QE, pumping money into the markets, the price of Natural Gas should drop. This perspective matches up with the Elliott Wave count.
The Market is in a Long-Term Bear Market on the daily, with price below the 50 ema, the 200 ema and the 800 ema. Price is below a long-term trend line and has yet to put in a bottoming pattern. A measured move down would take price to 2.027. We’re still in an downtrend as long as we close below the 13 ema at 2.272.
The Market is in a Bear Market on the 4 hour, with price below the 50 ema, which is below the 200 ema, which is below the 800 ema. Price would have to close above 2.230 to be considered in an upwards correction. That could happen today. We should expect a rally here into the 2.354 to 2.461 range.
Based on the above, the plan would be short on a rally to the daily 30 ema, with a stop above the 50.
This is my NATGASUSD look ahead for my own trading purposes. FUTURES trading involves risk. Feel free to comment, but trade off of this post at your own peril.
NATGASUSD - longs preferredLet's see if it will pullback to green area, where I'd start adding to long position with stop loss below the last low. It may also breakout and continue rising - in this case I'll be looking for retracement in grey area - targets will still remain the same. On dashed levels (TP1, TP2) I'll look for closing part of trade and re-enter on pullback with final target at TP3 area.
Disclaimer: this idea is solely for my own purposes, to satisfy the ego, if it will work out ;)
Natural Gas Overview Natural Gas industry finds itself in an odd predicament – total production is still at record levels, and may continue to climb, albeit at a slower and lower rate. At the same time there are widespread financial problems in the industry, particularly for gas-focused companies. One of the big questions regarding production is whether Texas oil drillers can keep gas output growing enough to offset the declines underway in Appalachia.
- Nick Cunningham
Let's start after this current summary.
Natural gas prices continue to be dominated by bears under the trend line.
The risk / reward ratio for the continuation of the bear market is now at 2 levels.
When we look at the graph, we see a bearish wolfe wave formation, but we cannot say that it started because prices above the reference point.
I think over 2.500 - 2,656 area bears will be replaced by bulls. ( 2.656 = Stop-Loss Level )
The current trend line is not a very accelerated and reasonable line, but may be an indicator of excessive pricing.
The temperatures are above the seasonal norms all over the World.
The support-resistance levels to be followed are:
-Support Level : 1.647
-Resistances : 2.5 - 3.05 - 3.9 - 4.527
Summary
I don't see a very valuable risk / reward ratio for opening positions on a weekly basis, but for the downward refraction of the bullish wolfe wave, opening short for lower time periods can be considered.(Breakout Bullish Wolfe 2-4 Reference Trendline )
I can look forward to an opportunity for a clear upward break of the orange trend line and 2.5 resistance, or for long positions over long periods of time below the level 2, ie close to support.
When one of these possibilities comes true, I will share my opinion with another clear judgment.
Best regards.