Risky Long From Trendline NATGASFollowing the substantial decline in price today, it is expected that we may see a retracement. This is a common occurrence after a large price movement and is often an opportunity for traders to enter the market or adjust their existing positions. It is important to carefully analyze the price action and consider multiple factors, such as market trends, fundamental analysis, and technical indicators, when making any trading decisions.
NATURAL GAS
Natural Gas (NATGASUSD) coming to demand zone 💨Hello guys, Everything is clear on the chart for you like always. Next potential move of gas could be an upward. we have a strong support and demand zone at 3.3-3.5 $. So you can consider it and monitor the price's action in the circle to enter buy position.
Good luck.
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Natural Gas (NATGASUSD): Time to Grow?! 💨
Natural Gas dropped to a key weekly/daily demand zone one more time.
Chances will be high to see a pullback from that.
A bullish breakout of a falling parallel channel on 1H time frame confirms the strength of bulls.
Goals: 5.6 / 5.8
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Natural Gas is looking for a pullbackNatural Gas had a huge drop, then a big bounce (3 day bar surge!). It looks like it has hit resitance again and may fall into that lower bear target area.
NatGas: Don't trip 🚶🏼NatGas is currently facing down and should leave the turquoise target zone to climb below the support line at $4.750 to complete the pink wave iii. Our alternative scenario implies, that the course could rise above the resistance mark at $7.064 instead, if the course would stay above the $5.337-mark. After the completion of the pink iii in our primary scenario, we're expecting the course to rise between $4.750 and $5.337 to finish off the pink wave iv, before dropping back South. The downwards slope should stretch until the turquoise target zone between $3.436 and $1.880 to end the green wave .
NATURALGAS - Bullish price action ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my analysis of NATURALGAS .
Here we can see that price rejected one more time from support zone, so I expect we can see bullish price action upcoming days, but for medium term perspective I see price to take out liquidity below support zone.
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Natural gas 2023 outlook: Approaching a key confluence zone The recent price action in the daily natural gas price chart updated to December 5, 2022, saw prices falling rapidly and breaking below the supports of two moving averages (50dma and 200dma) and some key Fibonacci retracement levels, such as the 50% retracement of the post-Ukraine war rally to August highs.
The two moving averages earlier created a death-cross pattern on November 10, which proved bearish after a brief rally to $8.04/MMBtu.
In the summer, natural gas completed a head-and-shoulders pattern, falling below the $5.30 price support. That technical pattern was preceded by negative RSI divergence between April and June 2022, which also led in severe bearish price action to the $5.30 support level.
The double bottom in October and July, as well as the significant technical resistance between November 2021 and March 2022, signal a very critical confluence zone for natural gas.
The $5.30 critical support line is an important test for natural gas prices, which would have dropped by a recession-like 47% from their peak in August.
If the war in Ukraine persists, it is quite improbable that prices will return to the $4.3 level, where they were trading on February 24, 2022, when Russia invaded Ukraine. Bulls may therefore reappear if the $5.3 support line and $5 psychological level are tested.
On the upside, it is unlikely that the skyrocketing price levels observed in the summer of $9.5 or more will be retested anytime soon, as they coincide to an unprecedented supply issue in Europe that triggered an increase in US domestic prices due to increased LNG exports.
In the first quarter of 2023, a sideways market trend with prices ranging from $5 to $8 appears to be the most likely scenario for US natural gas. The colder the winter. The more severe the winter in the Northern Hemisphere, the greater the possibility that prices will trade between $6.5-8 range. Rising recession risks and warmer-than-average temperatures, on the other hand, could prevent a depletion in gas reserves, keeping prices under pressure.
NATURALGAS - Long from here ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my analysis of NATURALGAS.
Here we are bullish from an H4 timeframe perspective, so I am looking for longs. I expect bullish price action from here as the price fills the imbalance and could reject from the bullish orderblock.
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NatGas: Caffeine Overdose ☕️🔋Looks like somebody overindulged on caffeine yesterday since NatGas jumped quite high to complete wave a in pink. We're currently expecting the course to drop back below the resistance line at $7.221 to finish off wave b in pink, before starting another climb above this mark. As soon as NatGas has crossed $7.221, it should rise further to complete wave (B) in white near the resistance at $9.238. A 33% chance remains, though, that NatGas could continue the downwards movement and fall below the support at $5.547, thus triggering further descent below $4.750 and into the pink zone between $4.068 and $3.493.
🔥 Natural gas (NG): resumption of the long-term bull trend.●● Preferred count
● Natural Gas Cash ( NG .C), 🕐TF: 20D
Fig.1
I worked out in detail the counting of long-term waves on the historical chart 1930-2022 .
The chart has a number of notes. The structure of wave (IV) in the future may become more complicated to a triangle. The ending diagonal (V) is also questionable — the development of momentum I-II-III-IV-V is possible.
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● Natural Gas (CURRENCYCOM), 🕐TF: 1W
Fig.2
Variant of counting of wave structure V of (III) in the form of an expanding diagonal and subsequent (IV) , which, apparently, took the form of a double zigzag with a triangle in x .
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● CFDs on Natural Gas (OANDA), 🕐TF: 1D
Fig.3
The July 2021 forecast has been implemented. As expected, correction ② (wave Ⓑ in the current version of the counting) took the form of an expanded flat, returning to the area of the previous fourth wave .
A long-term bullish trend is expected to resume.
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● CFDs on Natural Gas (OANDA), 🕐TF: 8h
Fig.4
A good signal for opening a long position will be formed by waves 1 and 2 with consolidation above the moving average with a period of 610 .
📚 Elliott Wave Guide & Ellott Wave Archive ⬇️⬇️
Natural Gas (NATGASUSD): Technical Outlook 💨
A lot of questions about Natural Gas.
Here is my detailed technical outlook.
2 weeks ago, the market reached a key daily structure support and nicely bounced from that.
Zooming in the chart and analyzing a price action, we may spot an ascending triangle formation - a classic bullish accumulation pattern.
The price sets higher lows, respecting 6.2 - 6.6 horizontal resistance.
I believe that the next bullish move will initiate after a bullish breakout of the underlined structure (we need a daily candle close above that to confirm the breakout).
A bullish continuation will be expected to 7.076 then.
Alternatively, a bearish breakout of a trend line may push the market to a current low.
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NATURAL GAS NEAR DEMAND ZONENatural Gas has seen a sharp fall within past few weeks from 9.051 to 5.480 within 7 to eight weeks only. This is more than 35% fall. Now it has reached near the major support zone where there was high demand during the July month, we can buy Natural Gas now and aim for 6.508 price level
Natural gas trading idea.NATGAS has a lot of big fundamental factors currently, with Russia controlling I believe 75% of the worlds NATGAS reserves we are seeing the tampering of supply alter the market price alot.
Coming into the winter months we could see the price rise considerably as everyone tries to store as much gas as possible we could see supply side issues.
Ideally TWAP turning green gives a good indication of any further imbalance.
Natural Gas (NATGASUSD): Confirmed Breakout 💨
Last week, I shared with you a head and shoulders pattern formation
that I spotted on Natural Gas on a daily time frame.
The price has successfully closed below its neckline.
The price is currently heading towards 6.175.
Bias remains very bearish.
If you missed the entry, consider an occasional retest of a broken neckline.
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Natural gas: head and shoulders top pattern; $5 in sight?US natural gas prices have formed a head and shoulders top pattern, which may signal a weakening of the current major bullish trend and a subsequent reversal into a bearish one.
The left shoulder coincided with the relative highs at the end of July at $9.30/MMbtu, a level that was then followed by a pullback to $7.53 (August 8) prior to the beginning of a new rally toward the head at nearly $10.
The right shoulder was formed by the decline from $9.97 to $7.80, followed by a brief rebound at $9.22 and another decline to the current $7.86.
Although a brief breakdown was seen in the September 19 session, natural gas is now testing the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern. If confirmed, we could see a return to the level of $5.30, which were hit in early July 2022.
Additional bearish technical signals for the price of US natural gas include the MACD oscillator dipping below the zero line and the RSI slightly pointing south.
Idea written by Piero Cingari, forex and commodity analyst at Capital.com
NATGAS huge Head and ShouldersPrice Broke the neckline and currently testing support at 7.5 area.
If the price managed broke the support and established below we may see further bearish price action.
XNGUSD ready to reverse recent downtrend LONGGLOBALPRIME:XNGUSD
XNGUSD a few weeks back downtrended afer breaking the neckline of a head and shoulders pattern down to
the support of a double bottom formed in early August. Volume profiles are added to the 30 minute chart.
I see an uptrend retracement of the recent downtrend and accordingly the following:
Stop Loss at 7.64 just below the recent swing low
Target 1 8.59 the bottom of the high volume areas and near the Fib 0.382
Target 2 8.84 just under the Fib 0.50
Target 3 9.15 just under the POCs of the volume profiles and the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern.
Fundamentals: decreasing DXY will cause a relative rise in commodities; winter is coming storage of compressed NG
is underway and increasing demand.
All is all, this forex pair is ready for a long trade.
NATURAL GAS - 240 MINS CHARTThe Structure looks good to us, waiting for the this to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (chart).
Note: its my view only and its for educational purpose only. only who has got knowledge in this strategy will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap.
we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. we anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive moves).
Just ride the bullish or bearish impulsive move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle.
buy low and sell high concept. buy at cheaper price and sell at expensive price.
Keep it simple, keep it Unique.
please keep your comments useful & respectful.
Thanks for your support....
Natural Gas | European Natural Gas Pipeline Closed IndefinitelyGazprom, the russian state-owned energy giant, cut indefinitely the flow of natural gas through the Nord Stream 1 pipeline into Germany citing an oil spill in a turbine.
This looks like the weaponization of energy flows by the russian authorities.
Russia will not restart gas supplies to Europe until western sanctions are lifted, official said.
My chart scenario is a triple top formation with short term price target for Natural Gas of $9.5.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.