Natural Gas Price Forecast & 7 Mega Cap Tech Stocks Forecast00:00 Natural Gas stock Bulls NatGas Support & Resistance Guide
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Natrualgas
Natural Gas Price Forecast | Bull Flag 2.0 formingWelcome to the everyday how to make money online trading with Natural Gas Technical Analysis show, where I give you guys support & resistance levels to potentially play off of. As well as both sides perspective of a bear and a bull to give us a better understanding of where our trades are currently and not have a bias
- Natural Gas Natgas Stock in confirmed daily uptrend
- Next level for natural gas resistance is 2.86
Pushing the gasNYMEX:NG1!
Buy at 2.642 or lower
Stop: 2.614
Notes:
The model:
The Ingenuity Trading Model is a Geometric Markov Model with specific inputs related to Price, Time, Volume , and Volatility. The model attempts to predict local minimums and maximums in price on a daily and weekly basis. A fancy way of saying a trading system that detects specific patterns in price, time, volume, and volatility and indicates whether to buy or sell.
On winning trades after 1 day take at least 1/2 of the position off
The Hard Boiled BOIL Bulls could catch a breakWho says you can't chart 3X leverage?
Got a nice down channel here and about to hit the bottom of the channel.
4.20 at the end of next week would be a nice price.
That would be over a 96% drop from the top. Interestingly, the previous peaks in Nov 2018 and Feb 2014 dropped just over 96% before touching the channel bottom.
Could overshoot below since it overshot out at the top.
Also could bounce early like that small bounce in Dec 2015, before tanking lower and tapping the channel.
Lots of breakout potential in the RSI.
Feeling like there's going to be some crazy times ahead... if things aren't crazy enough.
Natural GAS START MOVING UP.The trend line decline i expect the upward movement to approach the resistence line i expect a corrective and it will continue upwar movement.
8$ NATURAL GAS PER GALLON COMMING???Fundamentals;
Russian President Vladimir Putin is demanding foreign buyers pay for Russian gas in roubles from Friday or else have their supplies cut, a move European capitals rejected and which Germany said amounted to "blackmail".
Putin's decree on Thursday leaves Europe facing the prospect of losing more than a third of its gas supply. Germany, the most heavily reliant on Russia, has already activated an emergency plan that could lead to rationing in Europe's biggest economy.
Western companies and governments have rejected any move to change their gas supply contracts to another payment currency. Most European buyers use euros. Executives say it would take months or longer to renegotiate terms.
Payment in roubles would also blunt the impact of Western curbs on Moscow's access to its foreign exchange reserves.
Meanwhile, European states have been racing to secure alternative supplies, but with the global market already tight, they have few options. The United States has offered more of its liquefied natural gas (LNG) but not enough to replace Russia.
European gas prices have rocketed higher on mounting tension with Russia raising the risk of recession. Companies, including makers of steel and chemicals, have been forced to curtail production
British and Dutch gas prices , were up 4% to 5% after Putin's announcement.
European companies had little or no immediate comment on the Russian announcement or on their contracts with Gazprom (GAZP.MM), which has a monopoly on Russian gas exports by pipeline.
Poland's PGNiG (PGN.WA) said it remained in contact with Gazprom with which it has a long-term contract that expires at the end of this year, but it said it would not discuss details.
Italian energy firm Eni (ENI.MI), another major European buyer of Russian gas, also had no comment. It bought around 22.5 bcm of Russian gas in 2020. Its contracts with Gazprom expire in 2035.
Danish energy firm Orsted (ORSTED.CO), which has a long-term take-or-pay contract with Gazprom, said it was waiting to hear from the Russian firm and declined to comment further.
Uniper (UN01.DE) and EnBW's (EBKG.DE) VNG (VNG.UL), two major German buyers of Russian gas, declined to comment, while RWE (RWEG.DE) did not immediately respond.
Technical ;
Okay so I'm a buyer now how would i enter the market and and what are the technical reasons that would confirm my bias As we can see that on the higher time frame the market
has reached an old highs And retraced and made a higher high in confluence with Fibonacci Retracement and if we zoom out to a
MONTHLY TIME FRAME ;
that we can see a significant change in overall market structure is broken to see this shift see it in terms of a broken wedge pattern starting from dec,1,2009 to 1 oct 2021
the market has recently retested that zone at 3.600 with a fib 0.618 + confluence of retest of major resistance turned support 3.600.
4 HOUR TIME FRAME ;
we can see that the market is making higher highs and higher lows with a standard deviation 0.100 points give or take and average of 0.69 points HEADING TO 8.500
THIS IS GENERAL OVERVIEW OF MY PRESPECTIVE
For trend analysis i use quantitative analysis AND ENTRY with help of highly proficient algorithms
CONCLUSION
i understand that 8$ per gallon gas ideas seems far fetched but all i see right now that the market is pricing in something it could be the reasons above or any other reason but this is what i this is going to happen
IF anything happens that changes the fundamentals of this idea, i will update.
please note that this is not financial advice. do your own research and use this information as conformational bias on top of your own analysis.
like for support!!!!
sell on natural gasnatural gas has been consolidating for some time now, transiting to the injection season. the withdrawal season will be coming to an end march 31st. it is falling back down to the demand zone. going for 100 pips to 4.5350. please be mindful as always the price is different on trading view than your broker. Natural gas an oil are seeing a selloff due to Russia and Ukraine war coming to an end, and the Federal Reserve rate hike on the 15th.
Swing sell Idea for Natural gas If you were to start at the Monthly Timeframe you'll see in October of this year it reached the top of the Supply Zone. It had a long bull run due to an energy storage and demand for natural gas went. Price hasn't been this high since '18. Now With producers having to replace natural gas with oil to meet demands, new covid strand, a warmer winter than anticipated and lining up with technical analysis we have a long term swing.
Going down to the 4hr Drawing an uptrend, it broke and retested that trend line for a perfect entry and confirmation of a sell. Price fell beautifully and has pulled back for another entry, there is a sign of a hidden bearish divergence. Hidden bearish divergence letting us know it will continue to sell long term. Prior to the pull back there was a regal bullish divergence. Regular bullish divergence indicates a pull back in a downtrend, making a good entry point for the continued sell.
Thursday: NGAS - Week 29Hello Traders! Check Related Idea for market context!!
I will update my idea as the trade progresses if any changes occur and my analysis is wrong, or need to be adapted to the new development of price-action.
Thanks for the support!
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Trade update: Still in the fightAfter getting knocked out earlier in the month, the most recent range reversal trade has worked out well. I am going to stick with the short position for now as long as the rate of change stays negative and we remain under the 132 bar (or 22 day) moving average. I am still looking for price to hit range lows near 2.238
Buy Signal: 2.691Ingenuity Trading Model- Swing Trading Algorithm used in all markets- Stocks, Forex, Futures, and Crypto
The model is a Geometric Markov Model :
In probability theory, a Markov model is a stochastic model used to predict randomly changing systems. Markov Models are used in all aspects of life from Google search to daily weather forecast. The randomly changing systems we focus on are the equity, futures, and forex markets. The geometric element of the model is the fractal wave structure you can find on any chart you look at across any market and across all time dimensions.
Our model focuses on the current wave formation (current state)- geometric price formation along with its volume and volatility over a given time period and using that information to predict the future state- future price movement.
NATGAS path and directionHello everyone
Natural gas broke a downtrend since 2019
Price broke out of the downtrend retested the broken trend and now heading to supply zone
Price formed a uptrend channel
watch price action inside the channel
Watch chart key notes for more clear path
any question feel free to ask :)
Don't miss the great buy opportunity in NGASMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 1.400, beginning of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 2.250 breaks.
If the support at 1.400 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of uptrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
The RSI bounced from the support #1 at 30 and it prevented price from more losses.
While the RSI downtrend #2 is not broken, bearish wave in price would continue.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 1.640 on 07/20/2020, so more gains to resistance(s) 1.900, 2.000, 2.100 and maximum to Major Resistance (2.250) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 58.
Trading suggestion:
. There is a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested support zone (1.650 - 1.550). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Take Profits:
TP1= 1.900
TP2= 2.000
TP3= 2.100
TP4= 2.250
TP5= 2.500
TP6= 2.700
TP7= 2.950
TP8= 3.650
TP9= Free
Don't miss the great buy opportunity in NGASMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 1.400, beginning of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 2.250 breaks.
If the support at 1.400 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of uptrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
The RSI bounced from the support #1 at 30 and it prevented price from more losses.
While the RSI downtrend #2 is not broken, bearish wave in price would continue.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 1.640 on 07/20/2020, so more gains to resistance(s) 1.900, 2.000, 2.100 and maximum to Major Resistance (2.250) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 58.
Trading suggestion:
. There is a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested support zone (1.650 - 1.550). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Take Profits:
TP1= 1.900
TP2= 2.000
TP3= 2.100
TP4= 2.250
TP5= 2.500
TP6= 2.700
TP7= 2.950
TP8= 3.650
TP9= Free