Natural Gas: At decision point. On 12.17.22 I thought natural gas may soon turn up at around 5.18. (see link below if interested). Clearly that was premature. It stayed in a down trend until now. A clear example why when something is in a up or down trend you best wait for price action (candle stick pattern, trend line break) to support that a turn around is about to occur. Then you have the recent low or high to be a stop point if wrong.
The overall pattern has not changed. But if this EWT count is correct wave 3 should not cross below the high of wave 1. We still have a bullish divergence in the daily RSI. We still have an expanding triangle at wave 3. with the last wave down current having .a=.c. and ending at a possible support/resistance area. So this would seem like a good place to finally so up. BUT wait for price action to support this idea.
Best to you. Have a great week.
Natualgas
Natural Gas Futures (QG1!), H4 Potential for Bearish DropType: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 627.2
Pivot: 580.7
Support: 424.6
Preferred Case: The H4 price is in a downward trend. The price may drop form the pivot at 580.7, which is in line with the 23.6% fibonacci retracement to the 1st support at 424.6, where the swing and target price of shoulder head pattern is.
Alternative scenario: If the bullish momentum continues, price will move to 627.2, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is located.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Natural Gas Futures ( QG1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum
Type: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 573.8
Pivot: 520.5
Support: 424.6
Preferred Case: The H4 price is in a downward trend. The price may drop form the pivot at 520.5, which is in line with the 78.6% fibonacci retracement to the 1st support at 424.6, where the swing and target price of shoulder head pattern is.
Alternative scenario: If the bullish momentum continues, price will move to 573.8, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is located.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.