Will the Perfect Storm in Natural Gas Markets Lead to a New EnerIn an era of unprecedented global energy transformation, the natural gas market stands at a critical juncture where geopolitical tensions, technological advancement, and infrastructure development converge to create a potentially game-changing scenario. The ongoing Middle East crisis, particularly the Israel-Iran tensions threatening the Strait of Hormuz, could reshape energy flows and trigger a cascade of effects across interconnected global energy markets, potentially forcing a fundamental reassessment of natural gas's role in the global energy mix.
A seismic shift is approaching in North American markets with LNG Canada's anticipated 2025 launch, which promises to revolutionize Canadian gas pricing dynamics and global market access. This transformation coincides with an extraordinary surge in potential demand from AI and data centers, projected to consume between 3 and 30 billion cubic feet per day of additional North American gas. Such technological evolution, coupled with Asia's growing appetite for cleaner energy sources, suggests a structural reformation of traditional gas flow patterns and pricing mechanisms.
The convergence of these factors presents both challenges and opportunities for market participants. While weather patterns and storage dynamics continue to influence short-term price formation, longer-term strategic considerations are increasingly dominated by infrastructure development, market access, and geopolitical risk management. As the industry adapts through strategic hedging, infrastructure investment, and consolidation, the natural gas market appears poised for a period of dynamic evolution that could fundamentally alter its global value proposition and establish a new paradigm in energy markets.
Natural-gas
UNG to $60 ...... is the idea...... UNG is the way to play Nat Gas.
Nat Gas traders fir under production costs at $6.5 to $7.5 per BTU - UNG at $6.5 per BTU will trade above $60
Nat Gas is cyclical, it moves in 4 year intervals, perfect to start the move Up now.
Please research my findings.
Cyclicality of the NAt Gas Market
Nat Gas is industry's energy
Nat Gas is the cleanest form of fossil fuel energy.
Nat Gas goes for $67 per BTU in Europe, the USA needs to be selling Nat Gas.
Many other positive things about NAT GAS and its required expansion.
We need Nat Gas and plenty of it.
NATTY down for a breather NATTY is extremely overextended and finds itself on the 0.5 Fib retracement after accumulating a substantial bearish divergence on the 4hr.
After breaking out of the cup & handle, it has yet retested those areas which it will IMHO.
NATTY often peaks in the middle of May which is often followed my strong consolidation into May, before it really gets going in June/July.
✅NATGAS SHORT FROM RESISTANCE🔥
✅NATGAS made a massive
Gap up from the support
But after the gap the price
Immediately hit a horizontal
Resistance level of 2.00$
From where we are already
Seeing a bearish reaction
And I think that we will see
A further move down next week
SHORT🔥
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NATURAL GAS Breakdown OpportunityHi!
NATGAS is pretty bearish, reading about a warm December, at least in the US, and overproduction. (reading headlines at naturalgasintel.com).
So, I'm expecting price to break down at the test of this trendline, which could be a good opportunity to SHORT on this one.
Have a great week ahead, and please comment if you have something good to add.
Best Regards,
ThomChris
NATTY 15% Correction on the way?Natural Gas has recorded a negative bearish divergence on the 4hr which I believe is the sign of a correction to retest the green base below.
It had fired on all of it's cylinders yesterday which I believe was a dead cat bounce removing as many short sellers as possible.
Shorting this time of year usually means commission from your broker - mine is offering 3% of my total investment.
+90% Natural GasIs natural gas a good stock to buy?
When investing in natural gas stocks, it is important to look for companies with good financial stability, and a strong history of profitability. Natural gas stocks can be a good investment for stock market investors. This is because natural gas prices are expected to continue to rise in the future.
Natural gas will go higher!So, we are back with another trend analysis and new support/resistance levels.
We have had a major pullback from our latest resistance level of 3 back to around 2.8~. Which is fine, its natural.
But I still strongly believe in a major bull run and upside in natural gas, which is why I believe we have to go higher, and we will in the last 2 quarters of 2023.
We have resistance level around 3.3~ - this was tested back in October/November 2020 and most recent around January 2023. This is my first target price (TP 1).
What happens after this is hard to guess at this point of time.
Will we have another energy crisis? What about the war in Ukraine and Russia? My best guess is that we will go higher after reaching 3.3 – but only time will tell.
Let me know what you guys think!
Good luck!
Natural Gas - BullishWith the current clima, demand for natural gas for AC-cooling, there is a good foundation for a bullish move in Natural Gas.
1. Lets see a move upwards to the 2.8
2. Maybe a slight pullback
3. And then the big move towards the 3-3.05 level
Also bakced by the fact that Buffet have bought into LNG so lets see if the trend can hold.
Good lucK!
Natural Gas - KeyLevels for next WeekIf you wanna take a trade on NATURAL GAS, maybe before that, you need to conisder this KeyLevels of support and resistance areas.
Careful with shorts until on daily is bullish / upptrend + August and september is coming , when de big companies refreshes their stocks for the winter
Natural Gas Critical LevelsNatural gas, which fell sharply from $ 6.5 to $2 is trying to recover again.
During this process, critical levels were determined. These levels appear at $2.10, $3.50 and $5.50.
As long as it does not fall below the $2.10 level, I can say that the $3.50 targeted buying opportunity in natural gas continues.
Where is NATTY going next?Huge sell of occurred after breaking it's previous support, turned resistance.
I'd be looking to buy of the resistance @ around 2.050 with the aim of it reaching the broken support.
If it finds resistance there then we might see a H&S pattern emerge which could be severely bloody.
With recession peaking over the corner, this could well play out.
Just my thoughts, not trading advice . Trade at your own risk. NATTY can be expensive .
Will WTI follow Natty into the basement? Is WTI going to suffer the same fate as Natural Gas ? Endearingly referred to as Natty ? Well the good ship Natty got REKT last week. The long side which was overcrowded, overleveraged caught the "to da moon" bagholders off guard . Stunned whilst spitting out the kool aid they were seen gasping for air when the dead cat bounce rocked the boat ., Natty was batterred and was last seen heading into shallow water dangerously close to the rocks . Choppy water ahead alert the marine units.
The setup on CL very same chart right before the dump so spread out grab your umbrellas !!!
The trade : Let price action have the final say on your entry get the best price you can very important! Patience pays when shorting! Monday may get some purchasing for the week early on so shorts may get pinched a bit before any ride either way. Wednesday the EIA inventory numbers are relesed at 10:30 EST. OPEC meeting also this week I believe so expect volatility. Sell 83.60 & higher use stops longer time frames target 59.50 might be best move of the year if it goes. Record or near record inventory build over the last month so stay tuned! Not a trade recommendation or a reccomendation to buy or sell securites of any kind.
NATURAL GAS POSSIBLE RALLYNatural gas is increasing in value due to several factors: the unprecedented wildfires in Canada that are ravaging the country and are disrupting the production throughout the province of Alberta; Reuters also reports that Russian pipeline exports had declined 11.4% this month compared to April’s average, putting an additional hold to the fuel supply.
The RSI is above 50. The MACD had broken above its zero level and had triggered signal for further potential gains.
If the current trend continues, the price might test resistance levels of 2.764, and if it gets broken, further target might be 2.931.
In the opposite scenario, the price might test its previous resistance at 2.025.
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NATURALGAS Long Natural gas is packed in a tight falling wedge pattern. It is at historic support too, going back to August of 2019. Another point worth mentioning is that the price of natural gas defended this support on February 22nd of this year and produced a >40% rally, peaking on March 3rd. Virtually every timescale from the minutes to the weekly show positive divergences and oversold readings. The targets for this trade are the gaps above, marked in purple. Use UNG or BOIL (x2) for this trade.
Natural gas - bottom callers will be dead before risingMajority of traders are loading up on their AMEX:BOIL longs and natural gas futures long positions.
This is why SSL will be grabbed first between $1.5 to $1.7 before price can increase.
Natural gas - bottom is not in yetIf you see the majority of traders saying that the bottom for natural gas is in, then you should be sure that it isn't.
I predict that natural gas will take out these equal lows at 1.91 and we will see 1.784 soon.
The uptrend will start when no one will be talking about it.
Unfortunately, the majority of traders are in long positions and due to market liquidity, these traders need to be taken out before the market makers and institutions will buy it up again.