NATURAL GAS LONG-TERM OUTLOOK TO GO 'SHORT'I usually short term trade/swing trade so often trade support and resistance no matter market trend, this would be on 1H (1 hour) time view and below, long-term views will be depicted on the 4H (4 hours) and 1D (1day) view, like this chart.
Looking at the long-term analysis on the 4H and 1D view of natural gas, it looks like it has more or less finished an upside and headed downward some. There was possible revisit to 3.02-3.07, but market seems to be done going up for now. This is strongly supported by the evening doji star depicted on the 1D view which is a solid indication of market to head down.
I would say anywhere now is a good area to short the market, or you can look at 1HR view (intended for short-term trade) for a more suitable entry point to go short. Suitable entry point being when many indicators are corresponding a short for the 1HR view.
I suggest looking a 2.828 and 2.757 as possible exit points when shorting.
Please remember to look at what indicators are telling you if you can understand some, as they would likely help you determine whether to get in trade for a confirmed downfall. Also, do set stop losses but be generous with how much room you allow for this due to candle wicks.
All comments and questions welcome, if curious about indicators I use then feel free to inquire.
Natural-gas
Natural gas Natural Gas gave a sell setup on 1 hr at a key level. May just get a small pullback or consolidation, but overbought on daily. Could possibly get a large move down from this area forming larger structure. It will come down to price action. If you take good setups, might be able to hold some for a much deeper move down. Haven't actually got a proper reversal pattern. Just like I said, just a 1hr sell setup that happened when I was asleep, but definitely something to take note on and consider.
Camber Energy Rebound$CEI: very oversold, way under 200MA. Potentially bouncing off fib line to retracments: .115, .122. Indicators look polished. Bollinger Bands exploding
Waiting for trend change in Natural Gas pricesThe natural gas has experienced serious price rise due to the various reasons, among which are cold weather, strong demand from China, and limited supply from domestic producers. But among them two most important factors are - new US policy towards weak $USD and backwardation on the natural gas market. In my opinion, all these factors will keep pushing the price up, at least till the end of February.
As a result, DGAZ is in downtrend, which is confirmed by 20 EMA and MACD. If you are a bull by your nature like me, it would be a wise decision not to trade this equity for at least one month.
UGAZ About To Explode To The Upside
Fibonacci spirals on TradingView are not static unfortunately which is why I don't publish more often. Have to post an image to ensure proper spiral placement.
NGAS : Short this to 2.4, Where thy winter ?WXY pullback
Can be expected to touch the top. Start shorting from the red region.
I dont care about winter/weather or this or that.
I trade wave counts and patterns.
if you have fundamental issues pls dont take this trade,
and rest of you who do short, enjoy the ride with me.
I will be posting update on lower tf.
Enjoy Trading !
Natural Gas Short: Only for 1 dayI will be sorting Natural Gas for only 1 day (12/14/2016) I don't think Natural Gas has a clear direction right now, but I do think it is still in limbo, just at a lower level than expected. Thus I do forecast a drop back from the 10DMA levels of 2.737 to erase today's (11/14/2016) gains, but no movement lower, at least not this week.
pennies to thousands long term natural gas big dividendhad big earnings surprise last quarter over 200 prercent increase could do it again long term damage over stabilizing
pays a dividen of 3 cents a quarter
technicals neutral use stop loss see our book on amazon about setting
GASL Bullish BreakoutShares of 3x Bull Natural Gas Related Equities ETF is trading just above a symmetrical triangle on above average volume following 3-months of sideways consolidation at the lows.
Natural Gas SetupSeems like NGAS bounced hard forming a bullish channel with a "stairs" pattern.
It's currently on the channel resistance so it sould go down by now.
We can also see a gap that should be filled at 2.260.
I recommend to sell on breakout or just buy the deep with a target to 2.260 gap.
Regards and happy trading!