Natural Gas ready for seasonal run upUGAZ spiked up on fundamental news last week, but dropped aggressively on Friday to test for supply before breaking out higher. The large players are not willing to mark up prices until they are sure that all the selling has dried up and they did this by gaping prices down to force the bears to show there hand. The volume was so low which means the bears are not interested in selling and the institutions have bought as much as they could on Friday. Now that the big boys know that there's no more sellers, they will be confident in marking up prices to the next level to fill the gap or higher at 22. Then price may fall back down to test the breakout level or keep going if price fails to drop. My final target is at 27 which is the fair value price on the monthly charts. As long as traders are willing to pay above fair value then price will rise to $22.
Stop loss is at 14.50, first target at 21, then the rest at 22 for next week. Once price breaks out above 18.72, there's no major resistance until 22.
Price is also back to the level of before the bullish fundmental news and the fundamentals have not changed so we are buying at a bargain. Worse upside target is price going back up to 18.72 the day of the news release.
Natural-gas
nATURAL GAS NEW UPTRENDHi Traders,
As predicted, Natural Gas topped within the target area at 4.50-4.56. Then again, it retraced to another predicted target area at 4.21-4.18.
Now, Natural Gas should resume the uptrend to the area 5.10-5.13 and higher.
TARGETS
likely: 5.10-5.13
possibly: 5.37-5.38
ELLIOTT WAVES
This new uptrend is nothing more than "wave 3" of the recently started trend at 3.537. See the attached charts.
Natural Gas Major Pivot PointHi Traders,
The end of the line of the downtrend of Natural Gas (now at 3601) is very much in sight. This sputtering downtrend is to be followed soon by a significant reversal that would mark the beginning of a major uptrend.
The attached 1-hour chart displays the sub-minuette waves 1 and 2 (in green, bottom right) as part of a group of a 5 waves down that should be completed at the beginning of the week.
At weekly and daily level, this is the very end of a major A-B-C retracement.
TARGETS
first down to the area 3515-3475
then up to the area 4163-4187
Cheers. Mario D. Conti
au.linkedin.com/in/sydneytraders/
Natural Gas Analysis for THE WINTER: "The Gas Could Explode"Everything can be seen or read on the CHART.
1. Winter Demand UP
2. If Dollar goes Down Price(NatGas) UP
3. Positive Technical Analysis
1.+2.+3. = ====>> to rocket UP; explode(?)
Chesapeake is Headed Higher to $40Chesapeake Energy Corporation is engaged in the acquisition, exploration, and development of properties for the production of natural gas, oil, and natural gas liquids (NGL) from underground reservoirs in the United States. Biggies Guide to Writing Good Articles:
CHK followed by short one sentence description of the company’s business area, product, operation. CHK is currently trading around $29.24 in a 52 week range of $18.86.00-$29.27. The company’s stock has been over performing the market this year with shares rallying year to date. Options traders seem to think that this trend will reverse/continue as order flow in CHK has been decidedly bearish/bullish during today’s trading session. Earlier today a trader bought 35,000 CHK Oct 35-40 Call Spreads for $.41 debit. This is an extremely bullish order and involves this trader laying out $1,435,000 in total premium. One sentence summary of the chart and the cloud. With this order flow and this chart set up I believe CHK is setting up well for a long.
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