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Natural Gas

XNGUSD Short BiasXNGUSD on the 30-minute chart is accompanied by drawn-in trendlines, a Fibonacci retracement as well as an anchored VWAP and volume profile. An RSI indicator is also added. Price hit a recent high of 2.81 on May 19th and then trended down to 2.11. While a 50% retracement might have been expected ( to 2.46) price only rose to 2.42. I consider this as showing selling pressure from sellers to be slightly exceeding buying pressure. Short bias for XNGUSD is confirmed since it is trading below the POC line of the long-term volume profile and below the anchored mean WVAP which are acting as confluent resistance. The RSI topped out at 60 during the retracement and has fallen below 50. Overall, the chart supports a short XNGUSD trade with a stop loss just above VWAP / POC and the target the trendline of support ( green line ) making for a Reward: Risk of about 2:1 Any leveraged forex trade would amplify both potential loss and potential profit.
FXOPEN:XNGUSDShort
by AwesomeAvani
XNGUSD- Spot Natural Gas Ascending WedgeAs shown on the 15 minute chart XNGUSD is in an ascending wedge pattern which is generally considered bearish. In the past day, price has fallen slightly below the support trendline. Is this a fake-out or a breakdown? The RSI had turned decidedly weak while the MACD lines crossed above the histogram and are now under the horizontal zero line. These both suggest a breakdown falling out of the pattern. Price was well above the high volume area of the profile where there is little trading to support a further price rise. Overall, XNGUSD may have went up too far and too quickly. I expect a full reversal as suggested by the mass index indicator so I will short-sell this forex pair. with moderate leverage. The stop loss will be inside the pattern just above the support trendline while the target is 2.35 about the value where price started its previous uptrend.
FXOPEN:XNGUSDShort
by AwesomeAvani
Natural Gas, Uranium & NvidiaNatural gas has made an epic 2 day rally off the 52 week lows. Looks like the Covid support zone is holding & we can move higher off of tight consolidation. Uranium is into some minor daily chart support, a bounce is likely off the EMA 113. Nvidia reported earnings and had a double beat. This stock was up over 10% in the after-hours. Completely saving and rallying the Nasdaq. Semis will be hot tomorrow, the question is, do they hold their gains?
NASDAQ:NVDA
0
by Trading-Capital
1
NATURAL GAS: Ahead of a 12 month Bull Market at least.Natural Gas is on a very sharp four month decline after failing to cross over the 1M MA50, the second most aggressive four month drop so far in the past 19 years. Since the July 2008 High, the market is trading inside a Channel Down and this sharp decline is technically the final phase of the Bearish Wave to a LL at the bottom of the Channel Down. That means that a long term buy opportunity is gradually approaching and we are estimating a fair target level to be 1.400 unless the 1M RSI touches the 15 year Buy Zone earlier. Every bottom rebound extended initially to at least +134% and that is our target (TP = 3.100) for the next 12 months. It will also be a potential test of the 1M MA200. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by InvestingScope
BOIL vs KOLD Natural Gas Leveraged ETFs : LONG KOLDThe KOLD / Boil Ratio is shown here on a daily char. A rising ratio level indicates KOLD is rising and BOIL is falling making the ratio rather extreme If KOLD rises 10% in a week and so BOIL falls, in a hypothetical say they start out 140 and 20 respectively and KOLD goes to 154 while KOLD falls to 18 the ratio moves from 7 to 154/18 = 8.55 the ratio moves 22% for the week. What does this all mean ? With triple leveraging and management fees taken out long leveraged ETF shares may experience time decay on a daily basis. Share values are net after expenses. From the chart's visible the only time the ratio fell and BOIL was the long play was September 25,'23 to November 15, '23 and December 14, '23 to January 14, '24. In 2023 prior to late September KOLD was always the long play, In 2024, after January 15 and to the present KOLD is the long play and the ratio is accelerating and getting more volatile as it is potentially getting over-extended. Combined volume in the range of 20 M /day is 2X showing great interest by market participants. I conclude especially since natural gas spot prices are falling as recession fears are not yet in the past, that KOLD is the leveraged gas futures ETF to take long. This trader considers the management fees as a cost of business. The futures are stratified and leveraged obivously the cost brings value. I will take shares of KOLD and take a call or two along the way for an expiration in the fall whenever price rises about an even $5.00 amount to be assured of the lowest price. I will follow KOLD on a 60-90 minute chart looking for topping wicks or a price fall under the EMA 7 as a sign that it should be on watch for a market top. Frankly, I do not expect to see it. This is because on the 2-time frame RSI indicator ( by Chris Moody) with the 4H in green and the 1W in red, both lines are rising and in a healthy 75 +/- range. If they top out and fall, then I again think I might be seeing bullish divergence and put the trade on watch. For those who trade VWAP bands and volume profile, the ratio has been in an obvious breakout since early November with a pullback in mid-December after the ratio rose outside the third upper VWAP band. Using the VWAP bands and the volume profile will make any fades very obvious most especially on lower time frames.
AMEX:KOLDLong
by AwesomeAvani
3
Natural Gas LONG TERM TRADE analysis Hello Traders In This Chart NATGAS HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today NATGAS analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (NATGAS market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NATGAS Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by ForexPlanet20
BOIL reverses from a quick downtrend LONGBOIL on may 9th went into hard resistance in the highest VWAP line area, the Hull moving averages did a death cross and it fell 12% into the support of the first upper standard deviation line where it double bottomed with a reversal. The ZL MACD shows lines and trends that are confirmatory. As a result, I have closed my short trade from my prior idea and revested the capital gained into a long position of stock and calls. If you are interested in knowing targets or stop losses, please leave a comment.
AMEX:BOIL
by AwesomeAvani
1
☄ Natural Gas Futures: This Is Ground Control To Major TomThis publication was partially created by ChatGPT AI, under request to Highlight Ten Factors That Could Drive Natural Gas Prices Below Zero in 2023. Good or bad, y'all be the judge. But here's what ChatGPT said... As an AI, I cannot guarantee the accuracy of such statements, but based on common knowledge, the following factors may be the reasons why natural gas prices drop below zero in 2023: 1. Growth in the use of alternative energy sources such as solar and wind energy. 2. Increasing US shale gas production, which will lead to an increase in global supply. 3. Reduced demand for natural gas due to switching to other types of fuel. 4. Increasing natural gas production in highly competitive countries such as Russia and Qatar. 5. The weakening of economic activity in various countries of the world, including China, the US and Europe. 6. Reducing inflation in various countries, which reduces the cost of natural gas. 7. A record increase in natural gas inventories caused by a reduction in demand and an increase in production. 8. Disputes between countries-suppliers and consumers of natural gas, which may lead to a decrease in exports and imports. 9. Increasing competition in the natural gas market from other producers such as Iran and Iraq. 10. Development of new technologies that make it possible to obtain energy from other sources without the use of natural gas. Technical picture in Natural Gas Futures indicates the biggest YTD decline over the all history of Natural Gas Futures trading since early 1990x. The main chart is adjusted for futures change All History Chart.
NYMEX:NG1!
by PandorraResearch
11
NATURAL GAS Ultimate Cycles cheat sheet shows sell isn't over.Those who follow us for long know that when trading Natural Gas (NG1!) we use a very distinct long-term pattern that has been in effect for more than ten years and last time (January 22 2023, see chart below) has helped us take a new short at 3.174, running so far +100% in profit: As you see on this 1W chart, the price is now below the High Volatility Zone, but the bottom isn't in yet as there is still room before touching the 15 year Lower Lows trend-line nor has the Sine Wave reached its bottom. At the same time the 1M RSI is breaking below its own Higher Lows trend-line, which is a bearish signal. We estimate a Target Zone within 1.300 - 1.250. Note that a 1W Death Cross was formed in August 2023 and since the March 2009 formation, NG prices a bottom significantly (at least 9 months) later. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by TradingShot
2
THREE WORDS THAT YOU SHOULD KNOW. NATTY GOES CRAZYNatty is a slang term for 'natural gas' or natural gas futures. Natural gas is among the most-volatile commodities, especially in contracts for prompt delivery. A big reason why is the demand for natural gas varies considerably based on the weather as it's primarily a heating fuel; though it's increasingly used in electricity production and that can also make it subject to swings on hot summer weather due to air conditioning demand. Increasingly, LNG demand also dictates the price of natural gas. Forecasters from Atmospheric G2 said last Thursday that above-average temperatures are expected for the eastern two-thirds of the U.S. from Feb. 6 to 10. Natural gas prices are also under pressure after the Freeport LNG natural gas export terminal in Texas announced in January, 2024 that it would close one of its three production units for a month for repairs after extreme cold in Texas damaged equipment. The closure of one of the power units will limit the export of natural gas from the United States and increase its supply. Front NYMEX:NGH2024 Natural Gas futures contract recently fell to all-time low, below $1.900 mark. An unusually mild winter reduced demand for natural gas and kept U.S. inventories high. Forecasters at Maxar Technologies said last Wednesday that weather is forecast to become warmer over the next two weeks from the Rockies to the Midwest. According to BNEF, Lower 48 States Dry Natural Gas production on Wednesday amounted to 104.2 bcf per day (+4.2% y/y). Demand for Lower 48 States Dry Natural Gas was 93.1 bcfas of Wednesday, according to BNEF. (+8.9% y/y), and net LNG flows to US LNG export terminals declined to 13.5 bcf as of Wednesday. (-4.2% by weight). Reduced U.S. electricity production will negatively impact demand for natural gas from utility providers. The Edison Electrical Institute reported Wednesday that total U.S. electricity production fell -8.1% year-over-year for the week ending Feb. 3, and total electricity production in the US for the 52-week period ending February 3 fell by -0.4%. The US Climate Prediction Center said there is a more than 55% chance that current El Niño weather conditions will remain strong in the Northern Hemisphere through March, keeping temperatures above average and putting pressure on natural gas prices. AccuWeather predicts also El Niño will limit snowfall in Canada this season and also cause above-normal temperatures in North America. Gas storage facilities in Europe were 71% full as of January 29, above the five-year seasonal average of 58 percent for this time of year. Baker Hughes reported a week ago on Friday that the number of active U.S. natural gas drilling rigs fell by -1 rig to 119 rigs for the week ended Jan. 26, just above the two-year low of 113 rigs recorded on Sept. 8. Rising to a 4.5-year high of 166 rigs in September 2022 from the pandemic-era low of 68 rigs recorded in July 2020 (data dating back to 1987), rigs number decreases again, since Q4'22. Recent EIA report showed in full accordance with expectations, a decrease in reserves of -75 bcf that is much less than the 5-year average for this time of year of -193 bcf. The main technical chart is for United States Natural Gas Fund LP AMEX:UNG ETF that offers straightforward exposure to front-month natural gas futures Basically this graph clear illustrates that disinflation era is still exists, as bearish sentiment is still prevails in the market since the Q4'022, after a key 5yrs SMA breakthrough. Perhaps this is the end, and market capitulation is almost right there, as it typically happens each time in long-term downward market trends.
AMEX:UNG
by PandorraResearch
5