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Natural Gas

NATURAL GAS POSSIBLE RALLYNatural gas is increasing in value due to several factors: the unprecedented wildfires in Canada that are ravaging the country and are disrupting the production throughout the province of Alberta; Reuters also reports that Russian pipeline exports had declined 11.4% this month compared to April’s average, putting an additional hold to the fuel supply. The RSI is above 50. The MACD had broken above its zero level and had triggered signal for further potential gains. If the current trend continues, the price might test resistance levels of 2.764, and if it gets broken, further target might be 2.931. In the opposite scenario, the price might test its previous resistance at 2.025. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by legacyFXofficial
#NaturalGas Can Rise Up Very Quickly #NATGASTraders, Natural gas has created several bullish breakouts over the past weeks but failed to push higher. Now as we are reaching the end of the wedge pattern, a breakout is imminent. This can create a W pattern which in turn can push the prices higher. Please support this analysis by liking and sharing. 👍🙂 Rules: 1. Never trade too much 2. Never trade without a confirmation 3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too ✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums. ✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade setups, and updates on this analysis ✅ Don't hesitate to share your ideas, comments, opinions, and questions. Take care and trade well -Vik ____________________________________________________ 📌 DISCLAIMER The content of this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice and is provided for the sole purpose of education only. Not financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions. ____________________________________________________
NLong
by vikinsa
6
$SO 5 Month Play Energy companies are quite predictable, and $SO is one of the best Energy providers in the United States. Highest employee favourability and a top choice by many investors for consistent growth. One of the best things about $SO is that it has consistent swings of 10-20% and you can catch these swings over 4-6 Month periods. Buying here between $62-$64 and will double down on my position down to the support line at $55. Target is $80-$82. Time based stop loss for end of July
NYSE:SOLong
by bishopknight
Natural Gas: Has it Found a Bottom?Natural gas made a stunning rally to an all-time high, only to come crashing back down again. It's been a while since we last covered natural gas, so let's take a look at what's happened since then. The previous technical & seasonality setup played out perfectly with the RSI bouncing off the low and the rally into the winter season, hitting our profit target and extending further. This time, we're seeing a similar setup on a different timescale. Zooming out, natural gas has retraced the entire move it made in the past three years and is now back to pre-COVID levels. The question is, has natural gas found a bottom here? Looking at the weekly chart for natural gas over the past 20 years, we see an interesting picture. The weekly RSI has only broken past the 30 level five times over this two-decade period, and each time marked the rough bottom for natural gas. Fortunately, we're seeing this exact setup now, with prices seeming to find resistance at the $2 handle, which has also proven to be a reliable resistance level. Comparing the Henry Hub natural gas against the Dutch TTF natural gas, we can see the spread back to the lows when adjusting for the same unit measurement of MMBtu and in USD. On the fundamental side, this excerpt from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) sums up the outlook for Natural Gas vs Coal: “Natural gas-fired generation capacity in the United States has grown in recent years, although coal-fired generation has continued to decline. Lower coal-fired generation is due to a long-term trend of coal power plant retirements and increased competition with natural gas-fired combined-cycle plants when natural gas prices are low. A total of 11.5 gigawatts (GW) of U.S. coal-fired electricity generating capacity retired in 2022. No new coal-fired capacity has come online since 2013, and developers have not reported any plans to build new U.S. coal-fired capacity in the future. In contrast, nearly 6.1 GW of natural gas-fired capacity was added in 2022, according to our Preliminary Monthly Electric Generator Inventory.” Natural Gas saw a record high for the winter heating season. Additionally, close to 23% of US coal plants have plans to retire by 2029, and the last new coal plant that came online in the US was in 2013, 10 years ago. With coal plants being the second-largest source of electricity in the US and supply being cut, energy has to come from somewhere else. While the push for renewable energy continues, natural gas remains the main source of energy production. The dissipation of supply from retiring coal plants will likely be filled by natural gas. The reason being? Natural Gas currently remains most reliable form of energy source, while nuclear faces political pushbacks and Wind, Hydro & Solar have unpredictable/intermittent generation capacity. Lastly, the Dollar sits on a key level now. If broken, the weakening dollar could drive commodities prices higher en masse. All in all, the case to long natural gas from here seems reasonable, with the fundamental outlook for Natural gas still positive and the technical set-up pointing to a low. Taking a long position at the current levels of 2.186 and setting our stops at 1.85 and our first take profit level at 3.1 gives us a reasonable halfway point while setting our next take profit level at 3.8 gives us a higher profit potential if prices continue to rise. CME’s Henry Hub Natural gas is quoted in U.S. dollars and cents per MMBtu. Each 0.001 increment equal to 10$. The charts above were generated using CME’s Real-Time data available on TradingView. Inspirante Trading Solutions is subscribed to both TradingView Premium and CME Real-time Market Data which allows us to identify trading set-ups in real-time and express our market opinions. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Disclaimer: The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios. A full version of the disclaimer is available in our profile description. Reference: www.cmegroup.com www.eia.gov www.eia.gov blogs.worldbank.org
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by inspirante
4
Natgas: More pressure! 💪You know this one? Pascal: “Hurry up! Get a move on! We really need to get going!” - “Whoa, that’s a lot of pressure for just one Pascal…!” Okay okay, bad jokes aside, Natgas does need a bit more pressure to rise from the compound consisting of the white zone between $1.880 and $3.436, the blue zone between $2.407 and $3.277 and the pink zone between $2.573 and $3.439. Above this conglomerate, it should finish wave iv in pink before turning downwards to develop wave 2 in green, which should then lead below the bottom of the white zone. Once this prominent low is established, Natgas should take off again. However, there is a 40% chance that Natgas could leave the white zone on the southern side, thus expanding wave alt.2 in green earlier already.
NYMEX:NG1!
by MarketIntel
NATURAL GAS: Hit the 2 month Support. Buying is favored.Natural Gas hit the S1 Zone today (2.100 - 2.060), which started forming on February 22nd. This support has held another 8 times and with the 1D time frame neutral technically (RSI = 45.392, MACD = -0.046, ADX = 18.986), we are making a buy call targeting the 0.382 (TP = 2.440). In addition, the 1D RSI is bouncing off the HL trendline. In the event however that the 1D candle closes under 2.060, we will revert to selling and target the -0.236 Fibonacci level (TP = 1.830). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NLong
by InvestingScope
9
Long on NATGAS throughout the month of AprilSeasonally, April is on average a bullish month for Natural Gas and looks to have set up for a similar outcome this year. It has made a huge double bottom on the daily with a extreme bullish RSI divergence and you can see a similar positive RSI set up on the hourly and the 4 hour chart as presented in my post. My target is modest 3 which would is the most recent resistance tested on the 3rd of March and a increase of 46%. Good luck!
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by SkyTrees
12
Natural GAS : LONGNatural gas bounced from a low of $1.95/MMBTU, where almost all producers lose money. Since natural gas and crude oil are near or below breakeven levels, producers are reducing their drilling rate - likely lowering production levels given the lack of capacity. The negative shift in weather, falling rig count, and potential export boost from Freeport may push natural gas back into a shortage over the coming months. While natural gas spot prices appear likely bottoming, UNG's immense "contango" pressure remains a key investment rig factor. Source : Seeking Alpha
RUS:NG1!Long
by SWFguy
BOIL: Boiling up and down 🥘Still a bit tentatively but visibly, ProShares Bloomberg Natural Gas (aka BOIL) is starting to boil up, quite in accordance with our expectations. As the first part of a three-part counter movement, the ETF should climb further upwards to finish wave a in magenta, before wave b in magenta should return it to its current level. From there, BOIL should rise into the yellow zone between $7.11 and $19.05 to complete wave c in magenta as well as wave (4) in yellow, whose high should then initiate the overarching downwards trend’s final step: wave (II) in white.
AMEX:BOIL
by MarketIntel
8