EQT Natural Gas Domestic Player will Top Soon$50-52 in a week or two would be ideal
this is over-cooked and the macro-tailwinds can rapidly become headwind
anti-ESG sentiment is at all time highs
People are now conditioned to believe in a Fossil-Fuel Super Cycle, to protect them against failing Tech investments from 2021
Natural Gas
Oct 17,22-NG Put in a Buy Order @ 6So price action has dropped like crazy for NG...I still have my Buy order at 7 so I added another Buy order at 6.
I think the lowest price will go will be around 5.5. I will put another Buy Order in at 5.5 if it gets that low, otherwise I will ride the price action back up to infinity and beyond!
ok....maybe just to 10 or so.
Anyway, stay safe everyone - as you can see, price action is now OUTSIDE the Linerar Regression Indicator so price should be going up any week now. Not to mention the War and the Winter and Euro and Asian NG prices skyrocketing...anyway.
Heiko
NATURALGAS - Breaks out the range ✅Hello traders!
⁉️This is my analysis on NaturalGas .
Here we are in a range for couple of weeks, I expect price to break out the range to fill the imbalance and then to reject from resistance.
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NG - The ConsolidationFor the last few weeks, NG has been consolidating as the other financial markets move all over the place.
The bearish head & shoulders pattern from June/August may not apply anymore due to the flattening. In previous natural gas declines (like late 2005-early 06) it would decline quickly and sharply after showing this sort of pattern. This does not look anything like that.
Even if it were to go down further, it needs to go up to some sort of support (I marked the ~$7.80 on my chart) so that it can regain the lost momentum. It seems to be bouncing off a longer-term trendline, which could be problematic.
That being said, it doesn't have to be very volatile and it could quickly reject.
I would recommend waiting for it to go to some sort of level and entering short there. My overall bias on this chart & natural gas in general is to the short side. Every time NG has been up to these levels for whatever reason, it goes back down again even if just to $4 or $5.
Any sort of breakdown below the trendline could also hold.
The winter is coming up, though, and you may have to adjust for a slight bullish bias if you plan to keep holding anything.
Taf's Gun to the HeadLooking buy Nat Gas on the backdrop of a strong daily support holding.There is also a potential bullish inverse Head and Shoulders forming.
Entry:6.729
Target:7.282
SL:6.503
RR:2.45
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Natural gas trading idea.NATGAS has a lot of big fundamental factors currently, with Russia controlling I believe 75% of the worlds NATGAS reserves we are seeing the tampering of supply alter the market price alot.
Coming into the winter months we could see the price rise considerably as everyone tries to store as much gas as possible we could see supply side issues.
Ideally TWAP turning green gives a good indication of any further imbalance.
Natural Gas: The supply-demand dynamic is at a critical stageDeutsche Bank reported that in a particularly critical phase is the supply-demand dynamics regarding natural gas towards the winter season, which the behavior of households will be decisive in the coming months, as their consumption represents a large percentage of total consumption. A supply failure is likely to be avoided at least as the scenarios confirm that a 20% YoY reduction in consumption this winter (and flat annual demand thereafter) is likely to lead to some shortages either early in 2023 or the winter of 2023/24.
The reduction in Germany remains at 40%, while if demand falls by only 10% YoY stocks will not be exhausted even in such a scenario. For certain, fill levels would fall below 10% in late winter 2022/23, but this would not put energy security in doubt until 2024. The European Commission is working on proposals to limit prices. While negotiating with reliable suppliers, for instance, Norway, and strengthening common markets seem to be the Commission’s preferred options, the idea of a (temporary) price cap on imported natural gas is gaining ground.
The greater the potential for the implementation of a cap the lower the success of the implementation of the first two measures. Such an implementation could lead to increase supply risks, depending on the design of such an import price cap which would accompany the mandatory demand reduction.
From an Elliot wave perspective, we will examine the Natural Gas chart to see its potential move in the short to mid-term.
Looking at the weekly chart, natural gas made an impulsive five-wave rally from the lows, which suggests that low is in place and we can expect a bigger recovery. However, in Elliott waves, after every five-wave rise we can expect a slow down in three waves, so we are tracking now an (A)-(B)-(C) correction before the uptrend resumes. First support is around 5.3 level, while second support would be around 3.5 level.
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NatGas: Athletic 👟💪🎾NatGas has been indulging in athletic activities – quite in accordance with its temperament. Since the end of wave ii in pink, NatGas has been exercising on the stairwalker, has been playing squash in the green trend channel and has been doing some aerobic. Next, it should proceed with trampolining on the blue zone between $5.554 and $4.684 to finish wave iii and iv in pink and then drop onto the pink mattress between $5.156 and $4.455 to complete wave v in pink, which also includes concluding the overarching downwards movement in the course of wave 2 in green. There is a 28% chance, though, that NastGas could skip the blue as well as the pink zone and lift itself directly above the resistance at $8.123.
Oct 9,22-NG Long Still HopingIn looking at the weekly chart, I also added the Linnear Regression Indicator to give me an idea of where price action is...as you can see, it is at the outside so unless price continues to drop, we should expect a price jump.
Maybe I was a little early in my prediction, although price action has touched higher than the 7 mark in the last 2 weeks - I am hoping it will actually CLOSE above 7 this week.
Time will tell...Happy Thanksgiving to all you Canadians!!
Stay safe all.
Heiko
LNG Natural Gas Energy Play LongAMEX:LNG
LNG having trended down with the fall in the price of natural gas is now sitting in the support zone.
I anticipate an up-trending retracement to potentially as up as the resistance zone.
Rising relative volume and rising relative strength lend support to a reversal as does
the consolidation in the price of natural gas after a recent fall.
As a swing long trade the stop loss is below the support zone with the first target of about $ 160 or a 50% retracement
and the final target at $ 167 before resistance.
Natural Gas (Spot) weekly. NGThis weekly chart trend channel and wave count may
suggest the forthcoming trend of the Natural Gas price.
The last low at $5.4/MMBtu may suggest a bottom which
allows the price to trend higher in coming weeks.
However, we may see drop from current level of $7.03
to as low as $6 area before the uptrend may resume.
NATGAS in a 3rd trend, but may riseHi Everyone!✋🏽
Please watch my analysis of the NATURAL GAS. Thanks, and feel free to comment!
ANYWAY, a lot of Qs about the direction of the price. But it doesn't matter. WE JUST REACT!
Trade safe! ⚪️⚫️
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NATURAL GAS on a head & shoulder 🦐NATURAL GAS after the bull run is losing momentum.
The price on the daily chart is creating a head and shoulder and according to Plancton's strategy if the price will break below the neckline and satisfy the A ACADEMY rules we will set a nice short order.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
Oct 4,22-NG Still Long at 7So today was a good day - NG recovered nicely from some serious lows of 6.3. WTF? No idea. Anyway...
We will see where NG ends this week but I'm hoping it will close above 7. Price action is almost at the green line of Williams Alligator - once it closes past it, we should be in good shape.
I'll keep you updated at the end of this week.
Heiko
Netgas Future goes dooooown Although the fundamental data would actually point to a price increase, I still see a price drop of around 30% for net gas before the upward movement can be sustained.
We completed the overriding wave in June 2022 and have been in a correction since then. Wave b was overshooting, which indicates a flat correction.
Thus, we should still reach the 0.618 retracement of the overarching wave at $4.612 before moving back up.
NATURALGAS - Long to resistance ✅Hello traders!
⁉️This is my analysis on NATURALGAS .
Here I expect bullish price action after price filled the imbalance from 6.613. I see price to take out buy side liquidity and to fill the imbalance from 7.667, where I expect to reject from resistance.
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