Natural Gas falling sharply! Profits Secured! Natural Gas has lost over 15% of the recent rally.
Pulling back today with the market, this commodity is now coming into an area for potential dip buyers.
Will the 200 MA hold firm?
Nat gas equities are holding relative strength despite the sell side pressure.
2 key trend channels of support are observed.
Profits secured on KOLD
Natural Gas
NATURAL GAS: Rejection on the 7 month Resistance.Natural Gas is only marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.609, MACD = 0.187, ADX = 40.616) as it failed to cross over the LH trendline. At the same time, it is supported on the 1D MA200 having broken out for the first time since January 3rd. Long-term we remain slightly bullish on NG but on the short-term, we will wait for LH validation. If the price crosses above it, we will take a short term buy and aim for the R1 level (TP = 3.350). If instead the price crosses under the 1D MA200, we will take a short term sell aiming at the 1D MA50 (TP = 2.200).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Natural Gas Money Heist Plan on Bearish SideMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
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Natural Gas Positive economic indicators like the United States GDP Annual Growth Rate can be bullish for natural gas as demand grows with the economy. Conversely, high interest rates in the U.S. can be bearish as they may pressure consumption.
Traders often look at pivot points and support/resistance levels to make informed decisions.
It's important to note that natural gas trading is influenced by a wide range of factors, and prices can change rapidly. For those interested in trading or investing, staying updated with the latest forecasts, news, and technical analysis is crucial for making informed decisions. Always consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BLOOM ENERGY CORPORATIONBE:1W
Tradingview Description: Bloom Energy Corp. engages in the manufacture and installation of a solid oxide fuel-cell based power generation platform. Its product, Bloom Energy Server, converts standard low-pressure natural gas or biogas into electricity through an electrochemical process without combustion. The company was founded by K. R. Sridhar, John Finn, Jim McElroy, Matthias Gottmann, and Dien Nguyen on January 18, 2001, and is headquartered in San Jose, CA. (The above description is from the Tradingview Website)
My Analysis: Using the 1 week time frame (each bar equals 1 week of time) and showing 5 years of price history, I see a bullish descending wedge pattern that could turn up over the course of the next year.
A recent earnings miss has put price at multiyear lows and if I want to get long this stock this might not be a bad time. Despite this earnings miss NYSE:BE just posted its first positive earnings in the last 7 quarters, albeit below analyst estimates which is why its price recently took a nose dive.
Given the bullish price to RSI divergence (bottom indicator), whereby price is printing lower lows and the RSI is printing higher lows, we can take this as an indication of downside selling momentum waning to an exhaustion point and price beginning to find its 'local bottom' before potentially turning up.
That being said, I remain cautious about looking at this stock as an investment and I see it as more of a trade over the course of 6 months to a year. The most recent 'bearish outside bar' that 'fully engulfs' the prior bar is also of concern in the near term and could portend one more price drop before fully bottoming out.
Over the past 5 years price is down -2.08% which means that an investor has lost a little more than 2% on their capital appreciation over the course of the last 5 years if they held this stock the entire time.
Out of the19 Tradingview analysts reviewing the stock over the last 90 days, the stock is rated as a 'buy" with an average price target 71% above its current price point with a timeline to hit that level at some point over the course of the next year.
I love it as an extended 'swing trade', however natural gas is a fickle market within the energy sector and highly unpredictable so I would be very careful with the duration of time I held the stock and size my position accordingly. If I were up 40% or more I would set a 'stop loss' to preserve my gains on this particular stock given the volatility in the underlying commodity that drives the stock price which seems to be highly pegged to the natural gas market along with the broader clean energy sector.
Lower price target: 14.21
Upper price target: 17.90
Lower support begins at 4.27.
NATURAL GAS: Bullish- SHARK + WOLFE WAVENATURAL GAS: Bullish- SHARK + WOLFE WAVE
So, regarding gas the Wolf of Zurich detected a "Shark" and a "Wolf Wave" in Daily.
The market could rise violently.
There is a strong divergence on the ROC
Attention!!
The 50 and 200 exponential moving averages are potential targets
There
stay careful
$UNG starting to accumulate a position. Swing TradeBuilding a position in unleveraged natural gas AMEX:UNG in $13-14's
Divergence on price/RSI.
Falling Wedge
Would like to see price get over and hold above daily 50MA
Will likely update once that is achieved
After 50MA is achieved and held, breakout the wedge and target the 200MA daily for profit.
Add on down days and be very patient with this one
Members Daily Analysis - May 22 2024Markets Sold off: IWM (Small caps) underperformed.
Most commodities hit on the downside: Gold, Silver, Copper, Oil
Natural Gas surging & squeezing
NVDA pumping on earnings: Our SOXL calls will print.
SemiConductors i'll be trading tomorrow. NASDAQ:ON , NASDAQ:SMCI , NASDAQ:ARM
NatGas Extends Gains on Better Supply-Demand EquilibriumNatural Gas prices run their second straight profitable month, covering the Q1 losses and starting the current week on the front foot. This brings the year’s highs in the spotlight (3.3974), but bulls will need fresh impetus for taking them out. The RSI points to highly overbought conditions though, making the commodity ripe for a pullback towards the EMA200 (black line). A move below them would pause the upside bias, but that looks like a toll order under current technical and fundamental conditions.
The advance in natural gas prices is largely due to the improvement in supply-demand dynamics, which can drive further gains. Leading drillers have offered subdued 2024 guidance, while Europe is looking to include LNG in its sanctions against Russia. On the other side of the equilibrium, the outlook on global and Chinese consumption is optimistic. However, there are risks around demand, like Europe’s cuts, China’s bumpy recovery, US elevated stocks and historically warm weather.
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Downtrend Breakout, So Uptrend Confirmation. Long Term AnalysisThis is Long -Term Analysis to understand the "Upcoming" Market Direction. Now Confirmed the Downtrend has Breakout. So market definitely move into Uptrend. It might temporarily move downside as a Retest of the Trendline. Must follow Trend continuation technic.
I marked 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement. It is Next Target for Short Term Traders.
I want to help people Make Profit all over the World throughout my entire life. Additionally, I am eager to Receive Money form Worldwide because of my Potential.
Natural Gas Prices Rally Amidst Geopolitical Tensions and MarketNatural Gas Prices Rally Amidst Geopolitical Tensions and Market Sentiment Shift
The price of natural gas is staging a recovery, currently trading around $1.80 as of the time of writing. Preceding any technical analysis, it's important to note that the US Dollar Index is experiencing a slight decline, as market sentiment favors risk assets over safe havens and cash.
Natural gas futures are showing signs of strength ahead of the US trading session this Tuesday, surpassing the $1.80 mark. This uptick comes after tensions between Israel and Iran nearly escalated into a direct confrontation, causing concerns in the market. Despite the de-escalation of tensions over the weekend, natural gas prices are on the rise, buoyed by a shift in investor sentiment.
Both equities and commodities are regaining favor, with several analysts predicting a notable increase of 10% to 30% in commodity prices, particularly precious metals. Additionally, we are entering a period of seasonality for natural gas, historically marked by price growth during this time of the year.
Technical indicators further support the bullish outlook, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) exiting the oversold territory and currently above the 50 middle level. This suggests a potential long setup trade for a swing reversal, aligning with the seasonal trend.
In light of these developments, traders may consider maintaining open positions for an extended period, in anticipation of the forecasted price movements driven by both geopolitical factors and market sentiment shifts.
Natural Gas: the monster tradeNAtural gas has broken out of a powerful base.
We have seen some stellar price action over the last couple weeks.
A short squeeze in the making could be brewing.
s we approach some heavy daily and weekly resistance, you may see some profit taking ahead of the next leg up.
The daily 200 MA & weekly 50 MA should be respected until they're broken.
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Natural Gas Price Forecast | Oil, Silver, Gold
NATURAL GAS - Important Breakout 🚀
Previously, The Natural Gas Formed a Bullish Falling Wedge Pattern.
On Monday 6 May The Price Broke The Resistance Level (1.973 - 1.893).
Currently, This Key Level is Broken and Becomes a New Support Level !
So, I Expect a Bullish Move 📈
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TARGET: 2.140🎯
Natural Gas Price Forecast | Oil, Silver, Gold00:00 Natural Gas stock Bulls NatGas Support & Resistance Guide
06:37 AMEX:UNG Stock Forecast
08:46 USO Oil Stock Forecast
10:37 DXY US dollar Stock Forecast
11:33 Gold XAUUSD Stock Forecast
12:38 Silver XAGUSD
Natural Gas Price Forecast | Oil, Silver, Gold DXY