Natural Gas
Natural Gas & Trading Indicator!Nat gas closed the week negative.
We have now had 2 consecutive weeks of sell side pressure.
Next week we will get the golden cross on the daily chart.
Typically this is a medium to long term signal.
Using the prior day high and low signal is an extremely useful tool for traders to identify support and resistance.
Cup and Handle Pattern on Natural Gas near breakout line The chart shows a classic "Cup and Handle" pattern forming on Natural Gas prices, suggesting a potential upside move upon breakout. The pattern consists of a "U"-shaped cup, indicating consolidation and recovery, followed by a handle representing short-term consolidation. The resistance line at the cup's peak marks the breakout point, signaling a bullish continuation once breached.
For trading, initiate a long position upon a confirmed breakout above the resistance line and wait for a retest as support. Set the stop-limit just below the resistance line to minimize potential losses. The profit target is around 27, based on the next highest high from January 2024.
Natural Gas, Bitcoin & QQQ : Whats the next trade?Natural GAs has had a nice pullback over the last few days.
Are we going to see this correction go deeper than the last pullback?
Potentially we are observing a failed breakout on the daily chart.
Bitcoin: has triggered bearish formations on the hourly chart.
Sitting right at intermediate support, BTC needs to hold the 50MA or run the risk of flushing lower.
BTC is still chopping in a sideways range that favors lower price action until we break the neckline.
QQQ / Nasdaq : In the strongest uptrend. This looks likely to push a bit higher but its nearing major resistance in a very extended move.
Natural Gas: The Golden OpportunityNatural gas has seen a nice rejection off of 3.19.
A double top on nat gas is observed, does this mean we go lower?
In the near term perhaps some more consolidation is needed but the trend is setting up for the infamous golden cross.
If we get a bullish cross of the 50MA & 200MA this is a likely long term trend signal.
This signals higher probability of a bullish uptrend.
As we approach the elections, a potential trump win could influence the price.
Natural Gas Prices Poised for New 2024 HighsAfter a poor start to the year, Natural Gas prices have surged in the current quarter, largely due to stronger fundamentals. Extending the advance this week, the commodity looks poised to set new 2024 highs (3.397), but it may be early to talk about further gains.
Key drillers have lowered their 2024 output guidance, while demand is expected to accelerate substantially, largely due to Asian industrial use. Adding to the optimistic outlook, the World Bank this week raised its growth forecast for the US and China and India, while the Europe exited its brief recession and the ECB slashed interest rates this month.
On the other hand, supply is expected to expand this year and producers could boost their activity as price rise. European countries have agreed to keep consumption low, while historically warm weather poses another threat to demand optimism. Natural gas is also used for electricity generation though, which can be a tailwind in the summer months.
On the technical front, the RSI has not followed prices higher, in a divergence that can limit the upside and fuel a pullback towards the EMA200 (black line). Daily closes below it would pause the bullish bias, but that would need strong catalyst.
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Natural Gas: A Mega Move is BrewingNatural Gas has been a very volatile asset in recent sessions.
The price action in the 4 hour chart has triggered a bullish breakout.
The next bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern on the daily chart is starting to take shape. This pattern has not yet triggered.
If we see a breakout of this pattern there is about $1.50 of upside from the neckline.
Resource stocks are still holding up very well, granted so is the market.
A very similar structure is playing out on the weekly chart, regarding the 50 Weekly MA
If we see price trade in congruency we should see more upside this week and then potentially we may see some sellers the folling week
UPDATE: Natural Gas hit Target 1 and now pumping to T2 $3.80W Formation formed during April 2024.
The price broke above the Neckline and headed straight to the target recently atr $2.85
The latest development has been an even larger Cup and Handle formation in the process.
This has been since February 2024. The price is breaking above the Brim level and the next target is set to around $3.80.
Looks good!
European Gas Volatility: Causes, Impacts, and Future OutlookThis analysis examines the recent volatility in European natural gas prices triggered by supply disruptions in Norway. Unforeseen outages at the Sleipner gas field and the Nyhamna processing plant resulted in a substantial reduction in gas flows, leading to a price surge of up to 13%. This episode underscores Europe's susceptibility to external gas suppliers and emphasizes the need for a multi-pronged strategy to bolster energy security.
Key takeaways:
Unplanned infrastructure shutdowns in Norway significantly impacted European gas supplies.
The incident exposes Europe's reliance on imported gas, highlighting vulnerability.
Rising gas prices have the potential to escalate production costs for industries and household energy bills.
Price volatility can contribute to economic deceleration, public dissatisfaction, and political pressure.
Effective policy interventions and long-term investments in renewable energy are paramount for ensuring long-term stability.
Natural Gas: Wild price action!Is natural gas a buy at these levels?
Nat gas is currently digesting its recent rally.
You have to expect the bulls to make another push higher at some point but with todays reversal the bulls may have to wait a bit longer.
Resource stocks took another hit today but still holding near the highs.
Nat gas is still holding above the daily 200 MA.
Price action is oscillating between the .236 Fib & .382 Fib
UNG Natural Gas ETF now rising from its reversal LONG (XNGUSD )UNG on a 120-minute chart has reversed from a long trend down which started in mid -January.
This was a steep trend down from the start into mid- March where the trend angle lessened in
a period of relative consolidation until May 1st where the reversal occurred. This is a falling
wedge breakout with the trendlines of the wedge in thick red and thick green for resistance
and support respectively. The VWAP band lines have been downsloping. Price is breaking through
the lower band lines and heading toward the mean anchored VWAP line. Price is now above
a EMA 100 Keltner Channel which is now trending up.
I will take long trades here of both shares and call options. The targets are marked with
black horizontal lines from pivots in Jnauary. The are in the levels of 21 and 26 for now.
I would not be surprised if UNG moves up and targets the highs of last October at 30 in the
upcoming months. Many utility companies this summer will be burning gas to generate
electricity needed for air conditioning and demand should be rising.
Natgas - rebound phase - shortI want to be honest..
The rally long was a surprise for me, I expected a long phase but without this momentum.
It was really strange because we have a big storage increase more than last year and I expected a long phase but more flat.
so I think now we can have a rebound of price until support area more or less 2$ before the last long (if we will have).
The doubt if we have close or not the wave C ..
In any case I try a short position with small size and small risk.
Stop 2.8$
target 2$
NATURAL GAS Rejection at the top of the Falling WedgeNatural Gas (NG!) hit last week the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the long-term Falling Wedge pattern that started on the April 10 2023 Low and was immediately rejected back to the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
As long as it holds, this rejection indicates that technically, the new Bearish Leg should start. Our Target is 1.550 (just above Support 1). If however the trend reverses and gives a candle closing above the Lower Highs, we will take the sell's loss and buy instead, targeting 3.300 (projected 1W MA100 extension).
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Natural Gas falling sharply! Profits Secured! Natural Gas has lost over 15% of the recent rally.
Pulling back today with the market, this commodity is now coming into an area for potential dip buyers.
Will the 200 MA hold firm?
Nat gas equities are holding relative strength despite the sell side pressure.
2 key trend channels of support are observed.
Profits secured on KOLD