Natural Gas Prices Dip to $2.4 After EIA Report SurpriseNATGAS dipped as reports show a surplus in the Natural Gas reserves and a warmer weather forecast for November.
Stochastic is oversold, which could result in the Natural Gas price target of $2.56. A dip below the 50-SMA invalidated the bullish outlook.
Article: fxnews.me
Naturalgasanalysis
Natural Gas Hits Overbought as $2.68 Critical ResistanceFxNews— U.S. Natural Gas tests $2.68 resistance at the 78.6% Fibonacci level with signs of overbought conditions.
A consolidation toward the bullish fair value gap area at 2.55 could be on the horizon. This level would provide a decent bid to join the bull market.
Article: fxnews.me
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NATGAS Could Hit $2.15 as Bears Tighten GripFxNews —The primary trend for NATGAS should be considered bearish, as the price is in a bearish flag pattern. The downtrend is likely to resume if NATGAS bears close and stabilize the price below the 23.6% Fibonacci level, supported by the middle line of the Bollinger Band. In this scenario, the next bearish target could be $2.24, followed by $2.15.
Please note that the bearish outlook would be invalidated if NATGAS exceeds the 38.2% Fibonacci level at $2.38.
NATGAS Faces Major Resistance with Middle East CalmFxNews —U.S. Natural Gas is testing the 38.2% critical resistance level at $2.38. Meanwhile, the Stochastic Oscillator warns traders that N ATGAS is overpriced in the short term.
From a technical perspective, a new bearish wave could be on the horizon if $2.38 holds. In this scenario, the bears' initial target could be $2.28, the 23.6% Fibonacci support level.
Identifying Profit Points and Key Short Opportunities for NGNatural Gas has exhibited a bearish trend beginning on June 12, 2024, with prices opening at $3.200 per contract. Throughout July, the market saw significant profit-taking activities, with trading prices oscillating between $2.120 and $2.000 per contract. This price range was perceived as a strategic buying opportunity, particularly at the L3 pivot point level during August 2024.
Subsequently, prices encountered resistance at the R3 level, stabilizing at $2.320 for an extended period of ten days. This stagnation is likely attributed to institutional traders initiating short positions at this critical juncture, influencing the price dynamics.
Further analysis of the quarterly chart reveals a notable rejection at the L4 level; however, it is crucial to note that prices remain above this threshold. Should prices decline below the pivotal level of $2.250 per contract, a bearish stance is advisable, with potential targets set at the monthly L4 of $1.840 and the quarterly L5 of $1.820.
This analysis underscores the importance of vigilant monitoring of key resistance and support levels in the Natural Gas market to capitalize on potential trading opportunities.
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KOLD Natural Gas Pivots Again LONGKOLD on the 15 minute chart has reversed and swung upside. The the anchored VWAP price
dropped through the mean VWAP and is now in the deep undervalued territory of the second
lower VWAP band line. This is an oversold zone for buying. On the chart, a green arrow is a buy
while a red arrow is a sell. New share buys are funded with profits from BOIL positions
now closed. Relative volatility and volume indicators support the analysis.
I will add further to the position whenever there is an entry provided by a correction found
on a lower time frame of 3-10 minutes.
Elliott Waves: Natural Gas case study
Overview:
Since the significant bottom in June 2020, Natural Gas embarked on a compelling journey, forming a fresh impulse that concluded around the highs of August 2022 as Wave I in the Cycle Degree. The subsequent phase witnessed a corrective move, labeled as Wave II on the weekly timeframe, comprising three subdivisions: ((A)), ((B)), and ((C)). The current focus is on the ongoing Wave ((C)) on the Daily timeframe, expected to unfold in five subdivisions: (1), (2), (3), (4), and (5). Within this framework, Wave (1) to (4) are complete, and attention now turns to the unfolding of Wave (5) on the Four-Hourly timeframe.
Current Structure:
On the Four-Hourly timeframe, Natural Gas is in the process of forming Wave (5), consisting of Wave 1, 2, and the ongoing development of Wave 3. The details of Wave 3 are further observed on the Hourly timeframe as finished wave ((i)) & ((ii)) and now possibly we are unfolding Wave ((iii)) of 3 of (5) of ((C)) of II.
Elliott Wave Principles:
Corrective Structure:
Wave II is corrective, manifesting as a complex correction with three subdivisions, labeled ((A)), ((B)), and ((C)).
Impulse Formation:
The primary upward movement from June 2020 to August 2022 represents an impulse, characterized by a sequence of five waves.
Subdivision Details:
Each wave and subdivision unfolds according to Elliott Wave principles, maintaining the structural integrity of the overall pattern.
Learning Points:
Analyzing Market Cycles:
Elliott Wave Analysis serves as a valuable tool for understanding the cyclical nature of markets, providing insights into the psychology of both buyers and sellers.
Trend Anticipation:
Corrective waves within the Elliott Wave framework offer a strategic opportunity to foresee potential trends—whether they signify a resumption or reversal of the existing trend.
Elliott Wave Analysis is a tool to decipher market cycles, offering insights into the psychological dynamics of buyers and sellers.
Corrective waves provide an opportunity to anticipate trend resumption or reversal.
The principle of non-overlapping waves helps identify the structure of the market move.
Validation and Risk Management:
The integrity of this Elliott Wave structure is contingent on Wave II not surpassing the low of Wave I, identified at $1.440. A breach of this level would invalidate the current wave count.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Natural Gas(NG1!) Has Started to Bounce Now Technical Analysis:
- NG is doing a bounce in wave ((1)) in black. We expect that this bounce will continue
- H1 right side is turning down
- H4 right side is turning up
Technical Information:
- If you didn't buy yet, you must wait for the wave((2)) in black to be completed in order to buy
- And if you want to buy now, you need to put stop-loss around 2.43 but it's a risk trading now to buy
Naturalgas - Elliott Wave CountNaturalgas - Elliott Wave Count
Naturalgas - the market looks like in Triangle B and after the correction up to 2.34 or below level we can see a good pullback towards 2.78 range.
Please note that this information is solely for educational purposes, and it is essential to exercise caution when trading
MOEX:NG1! MCX:NATURALGAS1! CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS FOREXCOM:NATURALGASCFD FOREXCOM:NATURALGASCFD CITYINDEX:NATURALGASCFD
Managing Positions with Parallel ChannelVideo tutorial:
• How to identify downtrend and uptrend line
• How to draw parallel channel correctly
• Confirming a change in trend (using trendline itself)
• Managing positions with parallel lines
- Profits
- Risks
- Knowing its volatility
Micro Natural Gas Futures & Its Minimum Fluctuation
0.001 per MMBtu = $1.00
Code: MNG
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Natural Gas - Elliott Wave CountNatural Gas - Elliott Wave Count
this is an update to the previous view.
Yesterday, the market completed the 4th wave of its price movement cycle and has since entered the 5th wave. This represents a continuation of the current trend, and we can anticipate a positive recovery in the upward direction once the 5th wave is completed. This signals a potential opportunity for investors to consider taking advantage of the market's recovery trend.
In light of this, we recommend refraining from taking short positions in a bull market. Instead, it would be prudent to wait for a reversal and take a long position.
Please note that this information is solely for educational purposes, and it is essential to exercise caution when trading.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS FOREXCOM:NATURALGASCFD MCX:NATURALGAS1! CITYINDEX:NATURALGASCFD PEPPERSTONE:NATGAS SKILLING:NATGAS
Natural Gas - Elliott Wave CountNatural Gas - Elliott Wave Count
On the Daily charts, NG displays a clear Triangle Wave formation, indicating that the market is likely to undergo a significant correction toward the 162 range. It is advisable to exercise caution when considering long positions. However, if the market breaks above 272, this view would be deemed invalid.
Please note that this information is for educational purposes only, and it is crucial to trade with caution.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS MCX:NATURALGAS1! FOREXCOM:NATURALGASCFD NYMEX:NG1! MOEX:NG1! PEPPERSTONE:NATGAS
Is Natural Gas(NG) Preparing for a Big Bounce???Technical Analysis:
- Natural Gas is in a weekly edging buy area and any moment it can bounce once wave (5) in blue will be done
- Anyway, the big probability with actual data is that a small extend could happen in the wave (5)
- H1 right side is turning down
- H4 right side is down
Technical Information:
- If you're a position trader or long term investor, you may buy in the actual level
- And if you're a swing trader, wait for possible extend in wave (5)