NatGas: Itsy Bitsy Spider 🕷The itsy bitsy spider climbed up the waterspout.
Down came the rain
And washed the spider out.
Out came the sun
And dried up all the rain
And the itsy bitsy spider climbed up the spout again.
Everybody knows this nursery rhyme, but for us, the lyrics go like this:
Itsy bitsy NatGas climbed up to the green span
Down came the rain
And with it NatGas ran.
Out came the sun
And dried up all the rain
And itsy bitsy NatGas started to climb again.
Or in other words: NatGas has risen up to the bottom of the green zone between $5.579 and $5.811 to finish wave 5 in green and wave i in orange. From there, it fell down dramatically until the bottom of the orange zone between $4.464 and $3.982, where it completed wave ii in orange. However, NatGas has already started to climb up again and has made it above the orange zone so far. We expect it to continue its ascent until the resistance line at $6.466 and to soar higher still. To implement our primary scenario though, NatGas must not fall below $3.536, otherwise it would drop further. We have estimated a 40% chance that this could happen.
Naturalgasforcast
NATURAL GAS IN A CORRECTIONNatural gas is in correcting as a ZIGZAG for the 2nd wave and it can bounce from 61.8% of fib level.
DISCLOSURE - Please be informed that the information I provide is not a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of my work is for educational purposes only. All labeling and wave count have been done by me manually and I will keep changing according to the LIVE MARKET PRICE ACTION. So don't bias, hope on my trade plans. Try to learn Elliott Wave or other strategies and make your own strategy. Following is not that much easy. I am not responsible for any losses if u took the trade according to my trade plans.
#NATURAL_GAS #NG
Short on breakShort on break - 1H close below trendline
Price Targets
3.980 - previous gap fill zone
3.536 - to reach this point is very optimistic lol
Alternatively, we can look for a bounce from trendline, same as what was posted in the IDEAS section
Prices and trendline drawn based on Natural Gas Continuous Futures listed on NYMEX, prices may differ from your broker
NATURAL GAS NEAR FUTURE ANALYSISTechnical Analysis Summary
Natural Gas
TREND ANALYSIS
We have 3 Downtrend in red color
We have 1 Uptrend in green color (Long Uptrend)
Be careful trends need to be modified when broken to the new peaks(Downtrend) and lows (Uptrend).
FUTURE PREDICTIONS
We have many resistance and support levels that I have mentioned above.
I use thickness as an indicator of strength of levels (ONLY FOR VISUALS).
The Yellow SUPPORT and RESISTANCE Levels are levels already tested and are not an entry level I added it only for explanation purposes to show my strategy.
Sorry I did not post lately since I had covid
Good luck everyone, stay safe!
If you need help don't hesitate to send me a message or comment
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Trading Involves High Risk
Not Financial Advice
Exercise Proper Risk Management
NATURAL GAS GOING FOR FINAL RALLY OF 5th WaveNatural gas is going to make a new high for the 5th wave. We can buy it when it will come down for the correction.
#ElliottWave #NaturalGas
NATURAL GAS - Buy Entry - H4 Chart ??NATURAL GAS - Buy Entry - H4 Chart
One to Watch 👍 Will need a confirmation candle off the Yearly Pivot Point
Recommended Risk - Stop Loss @ 0.5% to 1% of your Account Balance
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🔺 The content of this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice.
🔺 It is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
🔺 You must do your own research to create your own trading plan for the market.
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Natural Gas Price ForecastNatural gas markets have turned around after initially falling during the trading session on Tuesday to reach down towards the $2600 level. Ultimately, the 50 day EMA above will be tested as resistance, but I suspect that the real target will be closer to the $3000 level.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
NATGAS Update and New Trading SuggestionMidterm forecast:
2.200 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 2.200 is broken.
Technical analysis:
The RSI downtrend #1 is broken, so the probability of continuation of uptrend is increased.
While the RSI uptrend #2 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 1.640 on 07/20/2020, so more gains to resistance(s) 2.500, 2.700, 2.950 and more heights is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 74.
Trade Setup:
We opened 10 BUY trade(s) @ 1.94 based on 'previous Forecast' at 2020.07.29 :
Total Profit: 313 point
Closed trade(s): 109 point Profit
Open trade(s): 204 point Profit
Closed Profit:
TP2 @ 2.00 touched at 2020.08.03 with 6 point Profit.
TP3 @ 2.10 touched at 2020.08.03 with 16 point Profit.
TP4 @ 2.25 touched at 2020.08.04 with 31 point Profit.
TP5 @ 2.50 touched at 2020.08.04 with 56 point Profit.
6 + 16 + 31 + 56 = 109 point
Open Profit:
Profit for one trade is 2.45(current price) - 1.94 (open price) = 51 point
4 trade(s) still open, therefore total profit for open trade(s) is 51 x 4 = 204 point
New Trading suggestion:
. There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested support line (2.330) again. if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Take Profits:
TP5= 2.500
TP6= 2.700
TP7= 2.950
TP8= 3.350
TP9= 3.700
TP10= Free
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Natural Gas - Winter ContractsWinter contracts for Natural Gas are already trading near the pivotal $3.00 level.
If Winter this year turns out to be average prices will likely sell off towards $2.50 (the 200 Day EMA).
However, if production continues to fall and Winter is cold enough, prices can break above $3.00 and complete the parabolic move that is forming.
If the latter happens, I see prices for December(Z) contracts topping out around $3.10 - $3.30
February(F) I see topping out around $3.40 - $3.60
I'm looking for a buying opportunity on the December contract and praying for a cold November to sell it in.
Natural Gas - Winter 2020-21 UpdateOn June 3rd I posted my strategy for trading Natural Gas this coming Winter (linked below). As prices slowly drift lower, it looks like traders are beginning to accumulate long positions.
I've opened a long position on the December(Z) E-mini contract and might add 1 or 2 more over the next couple months with the sell target up around $3.30ish. Will see how it plays out.
I chose the December contract because the volume on the E-mini is extremely thin on the January and February contracts.
+1 @ $2.76
Natural Gas - Bought the DipNatural Gas prices got hammered this past week. There's too much supply and not enough demand however, prices are near the bottom of the trading range and Summer heat should give prices a boost soon.
It's also worth mentioning that the Dollar DXY is trending lower and which is bullish for all commodities.
Prices are breaking out of a downtrend so I've opened a long position on the September(U) contract.
It's nearing the end of the month and the August(Q) contract will expire soon.
+1 @ $1.725 ($QGU20)