NATGAS Could Hit $2.15 as Bears Tighten GripFxNews —The primary trend for NATGAS should be considered bearish, as the price is in a bearish flag pattern. The downtrend is likely to resume if NATGAS bears close and stabilize the price below the 23.6% Fibonacci level, supported by the middle line of the Bollinger Band. In this scenario, the next bearish target could be $2.24, followed by $2.15.
Please note that the bearish outlook would be invalidated if NATGAS exceeds the 38.2% Fibonacci level at $2.38.
Naturalgassignals
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NATGAS Faces Major Resistance with Middle East CalmFxNews —U.S. Natural Gas is testing the 38.2% critical resistance level at $2.38. Meanwhile, the Stochastic Oscillator warns traders that N ATGAS is overpriced in the short term.
From a technical perspective, a new bearish wave could be on the horizon if $2.38 holds. In this scenario, the bears' initial target could be $2.28, the 23.6% Fibonacci support level.
NATURAL GAS has bottomed. Excellent buy opportunity.Natural Gas (NG1!) has been trading within a Triangle pattern since the January 09 2024 High, so practically throughout the whole year and this week rebounded exactly on its Higher Lows trend-line, forming a technical bottom.
The buy signal gets even stronger as not only has the 1D RSI been on a Bullish Divergence this time (Higher Lows against the price's Lower Lows) but also the 1D MACD formed a new Bullish Cross. Both indicators are posting similar sequences to the Triangle's previous bottom in Feb-March.
As a result, being still below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), this is still an excellent early buy opportunity. The previous Bullish Leg peaked marginally above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, so our Target is 2.900 (exactly on the new 0.786 Fib).
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NATURAL GAS Expecting a dead-cat-bounce. Get ready to sell it.Natural Gas (NG1!) has been trading within a long-term Falling Wedge pattern since the April 2023 Low, with its latest Lower High coming right at the top of June 11 2024.
With a short-term bullish divergence on the 1D RSI, we expect to see a 'dead-cat-bounce' in August, which even though it might get as high as the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level to price yet another Lower High, an acceptable level to get a sell entry again, would be the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
Our Target is 1.400, which would be the -0.5 Fibonacci extension (where the February 20 2024 Lower Low was priced), even though the Wedge's technical Lower Low extends as low as 1.200.
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NATURAL GAS Rejection at the top of the Falling WedgeNatural Gas (NG!) hit last week the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the long-term Falling Wedge pattern that started on the April 10 2023 Low and was immediately rejected back to the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
As long as it holds, this rejection indicates that technically, the new Bearish Leg should start. Our Target is 1.550 (just above Support 1). If however the trend reverses and gives a candle closing above the Lower Highs, we will take the sell's loss and buy instead, targeting 3.300 (projected 1W MA100 extension).
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Natural Gas Money Heist Plan on Bearish SideMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist Natural Gas based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level MA act as a Dynamic Support & Order Block, So the Market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
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Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money Use Trailing Stop To Protect Looted Money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order Block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target it will update after the Breakouts.
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NATURAL GAS Can turn bullish on the short-term.Natural Gas (NG1!) has been posting Higher Lows, three so far since the February 20 Low, despite the fact that it remains within a Channel Down since the October 27 2023 High. This might be a short-term trend change similar to the Channel Up that started on the April 14 2023 Low following a sharp and long-term selling sequence. Notice also the Higher Lows Bullish Divergence on the 1D RSI patterns.
As long as the bottom of the (dotted) Channel Up holds, we will be bullish short-term, targeting the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) at 2.050. If the bottom of the Channel Down breaks, we will turn bearish, targeting the Lower Lows trend-line at 1.400. The risk is low on both sides.
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NATURAL GAS Last pump to the 1D MA50 before selling.Natural Gas (NG1!) gave us an excellent sell signal on our last 1D analysis (January 11 2024, see chart below) and easily hit our 2.135 Target:
That Channel Down broke and the new that has emerged is more aggressive, headed into a 1D MACD Bearish Cross. If that happens, we will sell on the spot, if not we will wait until a 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) test, ideally even marginally higher (+46% from the bottom). Our Target is 1.400 (-38.50% from the top, similar to the December 13 2023 Lower Low).
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NATURAL GAS Ultimate Cycles cheat sheet shows sell isn't over.Those who follow us for long know that when trading Natural Gas (NG1!) we use a very distinct long-term pattern that has been in effect for more than ten years and last time (January 22 2023, see chart below) has helped us take a new short at 3.174, running so far +100% in profit:
As you see on this 1W chart, the price is now below the High Volatility Zone, but the bottom isn't in yet as there is still room before touching the 15 year Lower Lows trend-line nor has the Sine Wave reached its bottom. At the same time the 1M RSI is breaking below its own Higher Lows trend-line, which is a bearish signal. We estimate a Target Zone within 1.300 - 1.250. Note that a 1W Death Cross was formed in August 2023 and since the March 2009 formation, NG prices a bottom significantly (at least 9 months) later.
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Natural Gas(NG1!) Has Started to Bounce Now Technical Analysis:
- NG is doing a bounce in wave ((1)) in black. We expect that this bounce will continue
- H1 right side is turning down
- H4 right side is turning up
Technical Information:
- If you didn't buy yet, you must wait for the wave((2)) in black to be completed in order to buy
- And if you want to buy now, you need to put stop-loss around 2.43 but it's a risk trading now to buy
NATURAL GAS Long-term High has been made. SELL.Natural Gas (NG1!) is having a strong bearish reversal since the January 09 High, which on this 1D time-frame can be identified as a Lower High on a 3-month Channel Down pattern. On top of that, the 1D RSI got overbought above 70.00 and is correcting.
This appears to be the new Bearish Leg of the Channel Down and we expect it to last around 1 month. Our Target is a new Lower Low on Support 2 at 2.135.
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NATURAL GAS Strong sell on the 1D MA50.Natural Gas has been so far following the sell strategy we shared with you a month ago (December 04, see chart below), having already hit one Target (2.425):
Yesterday the price hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and managed to close the 1D candle below it, which stands out as the most efficient sell opportunity since the October 27 2023 High. Technically we can see a new Channel Down emerging with two Lower Lows and two Lower Highs already. Our long-term 2.135 Target on Support 2 remains, but technically the downside can be considerably bigger (-38.67% was the previous Bearish Leg).
If the price breaks above Resistance 1 (2.990), we will take an additional short-term buy, targeting 3.275 (Resistance 2).
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Naturalgas - Elliott Wave CountNaturalgas - Elliott Wave Count
Naturalgas - the market looks like in Triangle B and after the correction up to 2.34 or below level we can see a good pullback towards 2.78 range.
Please note that this information is solely for educational purposes, and it is essential to exercise caution when trading
MOEX:NG1! MCX:NATURALGAS1! CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS FOREXCOM:NATURALGASCFD FOREXCOM:NATURALGASCFD CITYINDEX:NATURALGASCFD
NATURAL GAS Ready to buy at the bottom of the Channel Up?Natural Gas (NG1!) is trading within a logarithmic Channel Up pattern since the April 14 Low. The current bearish leg is one step before testing the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but the bottom is located just below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). That trend-line has priced the last three Higher Lows (September 26, September 06, August 24), so we are ready to buy there and target the 0.786 Fibonacci at 3.250, which has been a standard rebound target since July. The most optimal buy signal though since April 13 is when the 1D RSI enters its Support Zone.
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Is Natural Gas(NG) Preparing for a Big Bounce???Technical Analysis:
- Natural Gas is in a weekly edging buy area and any moment it can bounce once wave (5) in blue will be done
- Anyway, the big probability with actual data is that a small extend could happen in the wave (5)
- H1 right side is turning down
- H4 right side is down
Technical Information:
- If you're a position trader or long term investor, you may buy in the actual level
- And if you're a swing trader, wait for possible extend in wave (5)
NATURAL GAS Short-term buy but expect long-term reversal soon.Natural Gas (NG!) is struggling to get past the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is the short-term Resistance and at the same time is supported by the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). The long-term pattern is a Bullish Megaphone and besides the 1D MA100, the price action is supported by the pattern's bottom (Higher Lows trend-line).
Recently however the pattern that has emerged is a Head and Shoulders (H&S) and it remains to be seen if it establishes itself on the immediate price action, which technically means a sharp decline, as in theory it is a bearish pattern.
On the short-term, you can buy up to the Lower Highs trend-line and target 2.750. On the long-term we believe the upside is limited by the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which is now on Resistance 2 (3.025) and most likely will reject any spike on Resistance 1 (2.865).
So on the long-term, if the price breaks and closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA100 and Higher Lows trend-line, we will open a long-term sell and target 1.950 (Support 3).
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NATGAS Analysis 30July2023This analysis is still with the old analysis. Still in a positive condition bullish. After the price forms a choch structure and corrected, the price is stuck in the Fibo Retracement area 0.382 and is likely to continue bullish up to the right level of Fibo 1,618 in contact with the highest price in March.
NATURAL GAS Buy lower, sell the break-outLast time we looked into Natural Gas (NG) we called for a buy entry (see chart below) right after the contact at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Bullish Megaphone:
The 2.550 target has been hit but the rise didn't stop there, breaking even above the former 2.690 Resistance and making a Higher High in the process. The price is right now above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but in terms of Risk/ Reward neither a favorable buy or a sell. We are willing to buy at 2.400 with a tight stop just below the Megaphone's Higher Lows trend-line and target 2.800 (below Resistance 1). If a 1D candle closes below the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the pattern, we will sell and target the 1.950 Support.
The 1D RSI is trading inside a Channel Up pattern. If broken, it will be a first confirmation of a bearish break-out signal.
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