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Natural gas 2023 outlook: Approaching a key confluence zone The recent price action in the daily natural gas price chart updated to December 5, 2022, saw prices falling rapidly and breaking below the supports of two moving averages (50dma and 200dma) and some key Fibonacci retracement levels, such as the 50% retracement of the post-Ukraine war rally to August highs. The two moving averages earlier created a death-cross pattern on November 10, which proved bearish after a brief rally to $8.04/MMBtu. In the summer, natural gas completed a head-and-shoulders pattern, falling below the $5.30 price support. That technical pattern was preceded by negative RSI divergence between April and June 2022, which also led in severe bearish price action to the $5.30 support level. The double bottom in October and July, as well as the significant technical resistance between November 2021 and March 2022, signal a very critical confluence zone for natural gas. The $5.30 critical support line is an important test for natural gas prices, which would have dropped by a recession-like 47% from their peak in August. If the war in Ukraine persists, it is quite improbable that prices will return to the $4.3 level, where they were trading on February 24, 2022, when Russia invaded Ukraine. Bulls may therefore reappear if the $5.3 support line and $5 psychological level are tested. On the upside, it is unlikely that the skyrocketing price levels observed in the summer of $9.5 or more will be retested anytime soon, as they coincide to an unprecedented supply issue in Europe that triggered an increase in US domestic prices due to increased LNG exports. In the first quarter of 2023, a sideways market trend with prices ranging from $5 to $8 appears to be the most likely scenario for US natural gas. The colder the winter. The more severe the winter in the Northern Hemisphere, the greater the possibility that prices will trade between $6.5-8 range. Rising recession risks and warmer-than-average temperatures, on the other hand, could prevent a depletion in gas reserves, keeping prices under pressure.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by Capitalcom
NatGas: Athletic 👟💪🎾NatGas has been indulging in athletic activities – quite in accordance with its temperament. Since the end of wave ii in pink, NatGas has been exercising on the stairwalker, has been playing squash in the green trend channel and has been doing some aerobic. Next, it should proceed with trampolining on the blue zone between $5.554 and $4.684 to finish wave iii and iv in pink and then drop onto the pink mattress between $5.156 and $4.455 to complete wave v in pink, which also includes concluding the overarching downwards movement in the course of wave 2 in green. There is a 28% chance, though, that NastGas could skip the blue as well as the pink zone and lift itself directly above the resistance at $8.123.
NYMEX:NG1!
by MarketIntel
6
Natural gas: head and shoulders top pattern; $5 in sight?US natural gas prices have formed a head and shoulders top pattern, which may signal a weakening of the current major bullish trend and a subsequent reversal into a bearish one. The left shoulder coincided with the relative highs at the end of July at $9.30/MMbtu, a level that was then followed by a pullback to $7.53 (August 8) prior to the beginning of a new rally toward the head at nearly $10. The right shoulder was formed by the decline from $9.97 to $7.80, followed by a brief rebound at $9.22 and another decline to the current $7.86. Although a brief breakdown was seen in the September 19 session, natural gas is now testing the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern. If confirmed, we could see a return to the level of $5.30, which were hit in early July 2022. Additional bearish technical signals for the price of US natural gas include the MACD oscillator dipping below the zero line and the RSI slightly pointing south. Idea written by Piero Cingari, forex and commodity analyst at Capital.com
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by Capitalcom
1
NatGas: Chin the Bar! 💪NatGas is showing its sporty side and is chinning the bar at the resistance at $8.403. Soon, it should be warmed up enough to vault into the turquoise zone between $8.544 and $9.307, where it should then finish wave (iv) in turquoise. Afterwards, NatGas should jump below the support at $7.532 to complete wave (v) in turquoise as well as wave (2) in white before moving southwards again. Alternatively, there is a 28% chance that NatGas could do a somersault directly above the resistance at $10.028.
NYMEX:NG1!
by MarketIntel
Natural Gas - Weekly Trading Idea Hello guys, keep your eyes on Natural Gas; Technically by looking at the charts the market is overbought and soon the Sellers will take control and as Fundamentals are concern the sanctions on Iran will be soon lifted and if it will happen then Iran has biggest reserves of OIL & GAS this news will make Panic SELL you should keep your eyes open for the great opportunity. *** This is not any FINANCIAL Advice *** only my Trading Plan / Analysis
NShort
by MHasnain
NatGas: Energizer Bunny 🐰🔋🔋A certain fondness for pink is not the only thing, NatGas and the marketing mascot have in common. Both, NatGas and the mechanical toy rabbit, are also full of energy. NatGas has steadily been climbing upwards from the pink zone between $7.435 and $8.320 and has already finished wave (i) as well as wave (ii) in turquoise. Now, we expect it to rise above the resistance at $9.600, heading for the turquoise zone between $10.796 and $11.327 to complete wave (iii) in turquoise. There remains a 35% chance, though, that NatGas could lose steam and could decide to make a detour below the support at $6.898 first before resuming the ascent.
NYMEX:NG1!
by MarketIntel
NatGas: Pretty in PinkNatGas would look really pretty in pink, wouldn’t it? Therefore, it should proceed to move downwards to complete wave ii in pink in the upper pink zone between $6.055 and $5.325. Afterwards, it should turn around and climb upwards, crossing the resistance at $6.786 and heading for the next one at $8.118. There is a 33% chance, though, that NatGas could acquire taste for more pink, drop below the support at $5.325 and into the lower pink zone between $4.835 and $4.205.
NYMEX:NG1!
by MarketIntel
NatGas: GeyserLike a geyser, NatGas is spouting upwards from the white zone between $6.255 and $6.684. We expect it to have enough drive to reach the resistance at $8.065 soon. There, it should gain some more momentum to make it into the orange zone between $8.559 and $9.241, where wave (5) in white as well as wave iii in orange should end. However, there is a 42% chance that NatGas could rebound off the line at $8.065 and subsequently drop below $6.466. In that case, it should fall into the green zone between $5.687 and $4.939 first before rising back above $6.466 and further toward $8.065.
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by MarketIntel
1
NATURAL GAS FUTURES (NG1!) MonthlyDates in the future with the greatest probability for a price high or price low. The Djinn Predictive Indicators are simple mathematical equations. Once an equation is given to Siri the algorithm provides the future price swing date. Djinn Indicators work on all charts, for any asset category and in all time frames. Occasionally a Djinn Predictive Indicator will miss its prediction date by one candlestick. If multiple Djinn prediction dates are missed and are plowed through by same color Henikin Ashi candles the asset is being "reset". The "reset" is complete when Henikin Ashi candles are back in sync with Djinn price high or low prediction dates. One way the Djinn Indicator is used to enter and exit trades: For best results trade in the direction of the trend. The Linear Regression channel is used to determine trend direction. The Linear Regression is set at 2 -2 30. When a green Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression upper deviation line (green line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a sell is triggered. When a red Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression lower deviation line (red line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a buy is triggered. This trading strategy works on daily, weekly and Monthly Djinn Predictive charts. This is not trading advice. Trade at your own risk.
NYMEX:NG1!
by Dinjin
Natural Gas: Fundamental and Technical Weekly Outlook.This is a break down weekly analysis of Natural Gas. Fundamental Analysis: - Natural gas futures started the week lower, a new multi year low. - Last week's much larger than expected government storage report is a very bearish indicator for the price. - The latest weather models show almost zero chance of a cold pattern, which is also bearish for the price. - Uncertainties in relation to Chinese demand on LNG continues to grow and remain bearish for the price. Technical Analysis: - The pattern is still a Channel Down since the November 05 high. - The Resistance level is at 2.160. - The MACD has turned bullish on the 1D chart. - The MA50 is acting as a Resistance and since 2019 as long as it had, the trend was bearish. The two times it broke by a wide margin it completed a rise of around +22%. At the moment the MA50 is exactly on the Resistance level. The above mix of indicators suggests that Natural Gas remains bearish long term. Technically as long as the price trades below the MA50 on the 1D chart, then selling on every rise is suggested. If the MA50 breaks (hence the Resistance level) we may get a +22% rise. If you like this idea give us a like, follow and share your thoughts in the comments section below. Remember to stay tuned for future technical analysis , news, updates, and more from PrimeXBT!
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by UnknownUnicorn3931771
1