Norwegian Cruise Line | NCLH | On the path to profitability?Norwegian Cruise Line NYSE:NCLH , as well as many of the other cruise line stocks, never fully recovered from the 2020 market crash. From a technical analysis standpoint, this stock may be poised for a nice upward trend soon since it's been consolidating in my selected primary simple average. It is in a personal buy zone at $18.00.
Target #1 - $22.00
Target #2 - $25.00
Target #3 - $55.00 (very long-term)
NCLH
RCL may set up a fall from a rising wedge SHORTRCL took a bit of time to recover from COVID but has now done well. The dialy chart reflects
this. Last year price rose in the winder and spring then fell when the summer ended and
reversed upside in November. Ir is now in a rising wedge and price is at the upper trendline.
It is confluent with the second upper VWAP band line suggesting not much room upside as
that line is providing dynamic resistance. The predictive algorithm from Lux Algo designed
to forward forecast from a lookback of the regression line to the left predicts a fall from
the ascending resistance trendline and the underside of that VWAP line. I will short
RCL here and entertain a hedged options trade to insure the short trade. I have shown a
peer stock NCLH from the cruise industry. It has not done as well as RCL. If RCL starts
falling significantly some traders may move their capital to NCLH and help it rise. I will put
NCLH on my watch list along with UAL, AAL, LUV, DAL and LUV as the summer travel
season will be underway in another sixty days and trader interest may rise with accumulation
and price action to follow.
NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 16.50usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-3-28,
for a premium of approximately $1.00.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Norwegian Cruise Line Reports First Profitable Year Since 2019Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings ( NYSE:NCLH ) has emerged from the stormy seas of pandemic-induced losses, reporting its first profitable year since 2019. The cruise giant's fourth-quarter earnings report, released on Tuesday, showcased a remarkable turnaround as losses narrowed significantly, sparking a 17% surge in its stock price and igniting optimism across the industry.
Fourth Quarter Resurgence
NYSE:NCLH 's fourth-quarter results exceeded expectations, with a loss per share of 18 cents compared to the anticipated 14 cents. Revenue also outpaced estimates, hitting $1.99 billion versus the projected $1.97 billion, underscoring the company's robust performance amid ongoing challenges.
Notably, the company's net loss for the quarter plummeted to $106.5 million, marking a substantial improvement from the $482.5 million loss reported in the same period the previous year. This remarkable reduction in losses reflects NYSE:NCLH 's adept navigation through turbulent waters, propelled by a strategic focus on cost management and revenue optimization.
Milestone Achievement
For the full year 2023, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings ( NYSE:NCLH ) achieved a significant milestone, generating total revenue of $8.55 billion, a remarkable 32% increase from 2019 levels. With a net income of $166.2 million, the company marked its first profitable year since the onset of the pandemic, signaling a profound resurgence in consumer confidence and demand for cruising experiences.
CEO Harry Sommer hailed 2023 as a "momentous year of growth and achievement," highlighting the successful delivery of three new ships, a testament to the company's commitment to innovation and exceptional guest experiences. The surge in total revenue per passenger per day, up 17% from pre-pandemic levels, underscores the enduring allure of cruising and the company's unwavering dedication to customer satisfaction.
Promising Outlook
Buoyed by the strong performance and robust demand witnessed throughout 2023, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings ( NYSE:NCLH ) unveiled an optimistic outlook for 2024. The company anticipates an adjusted profit of approximately $635 million, or $1.23 per share, along with an impressive occupancy rate of around 105%. These projections exceed analyst expectations, reflecting NCLH's bullish confidence in its ability to sustain momentum and capitalize on pent-up demand for travel experiences.
Despite challenges such as cancellations in the Middle East due to regional conflicts, which marginally impacted fourth-quarter occupancy rates, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings remains steadfast in its commitment to delivering exceptional vacations and enriching guest experiences.
Industrywide Surge
The positive momentum extended beyond Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, with shares of industry peers Royal Caribbean Cruises and Carnival Corp also experiencing a notable uptick in response to the encouraging earnings report. This collective surge underscores renewed investor optimism and signals a broader recovery within the cruise sector.
As global travel restrictions continue to ease and consumer confidence rebounds, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings ( NYSE:NCLH ) stands poised to chart a course toward sustained growth and profitability, reaffirming its position as a leader in the maritime tourism industry.
In conclusion, NYSE:NCLH 's triumphant return to profitability marks a pivotal moment in its journey toward recovery, symbolizing resilience, adaptability, and unwavering commitment to excellence amidst adversity. As the company sets sail into 2024 with a clear vision and buoyant optimism, the horizon brims with promise, offering a beacon of hope for the revival of the cruise industry and the revival of global tourism.
NCLH - Rising Trend Channel [MID TERM]🔹NCLH is in a rising trend channel in the medium long term.
🔹Rectangle formation between support at 12.56 and resistance at 17.87.
🔹Break upwards through 18.00 dollar will be a positive signal.
🔹Short term momentum is strongly positive with RSI above 70.
🔹Overall assessed as technically slightly positive for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
Norwegian Cruise to get back above water?When's the last time anyone has looked at cruise lines?
I remember back in 2020 cruise lines were the "value trade". It worked for a while after the pandemic drop... the price of these stocks recovered. NYSE:NCLH did a recovery back to the 50% Retracement Resistance of the drop itself... but could not quite get its head back above water. Yet another in a long list of examples of why 50% Retracements are so powerful.
The price action over the last year has setup higher lows and higher highs. This gives some confidence to a true recovery.
This morning I was alerted to the stock by an opening 30 minute price spike and false breakout of the last week's range. This sets up a good reward/risk trade with an entry at 12.51.
NCLH the pure bet on low-brow baby boomers with pensionsCruises. They attract certain people. Cruise lines were hit hard from the pandemic and recovering. I'm long NCLH, I think the recovery in cruises continues over the year and has tailwinds of more and more boomers retiring on pensions every year.
RCL Royal Cruises LongRCL had a triple top this past winder then downtrend to the Fib 0.5 level.
On the chart, the tripe top is also resistance with sell orders blocks by the indicator.
The fib 0.5 level $ 61.27 is the support. A stop loss could be placed immediately
below that. The zero-lag MACD shows nearish divergence while the price rose into
the triple. That divergence has not yet recurred. I see this as a swing long while
RCL seeks to recover its customer base and rebuild its revenue stream.
$NCLH CruisinShort NCLH here via some puts and planning on swinging them a bit. While I don't think the whole market is going to tank if I had to choose one stock to be short of for downside and market weakness this is it. Daily close under trendline for bear flag giving me confirmation. Closed under a heavy volume at price area. Plus no volume the past 5 days granted Thanksgiving week is low volume.
Norwegian Cruise Line Possible 60% DropIf earnings are perceived as relatively good to the shareholders then the share price will most likely catapult through the almost-year-old resistance trend line. If earnings are perceived as bad to the shareholders then earnings will most likely move towards the bottom resistance line (Most likely to happen). Before making a position I would wait until after earnings to capitalize, as the earnings will most likely be terrible just based on the past four earnings reports, but there is more money to be made if you are able to fundamentally analyze the stock prior to the earnings release and determine the stock's earnings report possible results based on cash flow or what ever fundamental analysts do.
Norwegian Cruise Line (NYSE: $NCLH) Ready To Go Full Steam! 🚢Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a cruise company in North America, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. The company operates the Norwegian Cruise Line, Oceania Cruises, and Regent Seven Seas Cruises brands. It offers itineraries ranging from three days to a 180-days calling on various locations, including destinations in Scandinavia, Russia, the Mediterranean, the Greek Isles, Alaska, Canada and New England, Hawaii, Asia, Tahiti and the South Pacific, Australia and New Zealand, Africa, India, South America, the Panama Canal, and the Caribbean. As of December 31, 2021, the company had 28 ships with approximately 59,150 berths. It distributes its products through retail/travel advisor and onboard cruise sales channels, as well as meetings, incentives, and charters. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. was founded in 1966 and is based in Miami, Florida.
Norwegian Cruise Holdings. NCLH We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe!
$NCLH will be a beneficiary of a post-Covid economyThe cruise line with the best balance sheet has an interesting chart. As inflationary pressures affect the market we expect this sector to outperform the overall market for the next few months. If you are looking for some exposure, we strongly recommend $NCLH as it has the strongest fundamental basis. It trades chaotically so buying call options a few months out might be the best solution
Tough week ahead for cruise ships!Notice: these charts belong to 3 different companies..!
Another example to challenge The Random Walk Theory..!
I am curious to know what would Malkiel do if he had access to Tadingview in 1973 ???
More than two dozen cases of Covid-19 have been detected among crew and passengers aboard a Carnival cruise ship, according to the Belize Tourism Board.
One passenger and 26 crew members tested positive prior to calling on the port in Belize City, a news release from the tourism board said. All 27 infected individuals are vaccinated and most are asymptomatic, according to the release.
Reference:
www.cnn.com
NCLH EASY SWING!! EASY MONEY BABY -Friday closed with a high buying pressure candle
-Catalyst are in favor of cruise lines rn
-We had just broke above the 9-day ema and we are looking to break even higher above the 26-day and then the cloud.
-contract supercheap
-analyze price action when we open on monday and that should dictate your entry
🟢 Added to $NCLH Target 30.38 for 16.04% (Risk Level - Med)🟢 Added to $NCLH Target 30.38 for 16.04% (Risk Level - Med)
Or double position at - I’m actually waiting to double because there is a gap to fill and I might just add at 21.60
And then see how things go… Possibly double at the bottom of that gap?
Double at 17.05
If you don’t have a position yet then wait until the knife stops falling and if you do then average down strategically
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On the far right of the chart is my Average (Grey) Current Target (Green), and Next Level to add (Red) Percentage to target is from my average.
Numbers with an A are places that are a good idea to add if you can.
Numbers with a D are places where you should double your position.
I start every position with .5 - 1% of my account and build from there as needed and as possible.
I am not your financial advisor. Watch my setups first before you jump in… My trade set ups work very well and they are for my personal reference and if you decide to trade them you do so at your own risk. I will gladly answer questions to the best of my knowledge but ultimately the risk is on you. I will update targets as needed.
GL and happy trading.