Nasdaq Weekly Analysis Sure, here's the corrected text:
We see the price bouncing from Mon 10 OCT '22 after a year and a half of bearish market and going directly to retest the all-time high on Mon 22 Nov '21 again by MON 22 JAN '24. However, it starts to move towards a new all-time high, but with limited liquidity hindering further price increase. We've already witnessed a significant bullish move, and it's time for the market to correct itself. We've observed a weekly candle breaking the market structure forcefully towards the order block from Tue 02 Jan '24 and breaking the 50% retracement level from Mon 23 Oct '23 low to the all-time high. We anticipate the price to continue being bearish to shake out buyers and accumulate new liquidity if we aim to reach a new all-time high.
Our focal point in the NASDAQ for the 2Q is the breaker from Mon 24 Jul above the 50% Fibonacci level of the bullish leg and between 0.6/0.7 of the Fibonacci level to turn bullish. Breaking Mon 23 Oct '23 liquidity support would put us in a significantly bearish condition.
NASDAQ 100 CFD
$NDX in oversold territory, support levels & major moving avgThe NASDAQ:NDX , Nasdaq 100, is at a support level on the daily chart, left.
The 4Hr chart shows it is almost at the 320Moving avg, left.
Being that there's support & the intraday is at a Major Moving Avg, we'll likely get some sort of bounce around here.
The index is also oversold daily & intraday.
NASDAQ:QQQ NASDAQ:TQQQ NASDAQ:SQQQ
U.S. Stock Indices, signs of Relief? 🏛️hello traders.. the U.S. stock indices have been getting pounded by bearish sentiment related to new war conflicts. Also, they were due for a pullback as things have been quite bullish the last few months. Price currently is testing a Daily support level on Nasdaq at 17,500. The NYSE 1hr candle just closed strong bearish below our Daily support level and we are currently retesting structure to continue bearish. A 4hr zone at 17,410 may be the last hope for bears before another selloff takes place to retrace another 2 percent to 17,164 Daily support level. We currently have bearish momentum in the Risk-On stock markets. We had retail sales come out much better than expected earlier this week but this didnt do much at all for price. Strong jobs data and increasing inflation in recent months have increased price a decent amount and this looks like a healthy pullback for profit taking and liquidations.
NASDAQ: This is a short term correction leading to 21,500.Nasdaq is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 37.414, MACD = -64.490, ADX = 50.187) but the 1W RSI is still bullish (RSI = 56.510). You can see the reason on this chart. The long term pattern is a Channel Up that is supported by the 1W MA50 for the past 13 months. The current pullback can be seen as a phase similar to the consolidation of August-November 2020 that resumed the uptrend afterwards almost as high as the 4.0 Fibonacci extension level. The RSIs are very much alike as well, under LH trendlines. Consequently our long term target is slightly under the 4.0 Fib (TP = 21,500).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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NASDAQ Emphatically below its 1D MA50 after +5 months!Nasdaq (NDX) is on the pull-back process, a correction that we called on our March 12 idea (see chart below) when the index reached the top of its 1 year Channel Up:
Even as recently as last week (see chart below) we called for the ideal sell entry and set a 17500 Target:
As you can see, the index emphatically broke and closed below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) yesterday for the first time in more than 5 months (April 04 also closed below it but only marginally). That is technically as strong bearish break-out signal.
The idea now is that we want the index to hit the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which has been intact since November 06 2023, see how the market reacts and then determine if that is a low or not. Technically if it replicates the August 18 2023 Low, we should be expecting a Low on the 0.3 Fibonacci retracement level at 17,150 at least, which also happens to be just above Support 1.
The decline on the Aug 18 2023 Low was of the -8.52% magnitude, so that gives us a 16900 downside limit. We don't expect the pull-back to go that low though this time. A fair bottom signal can be when the 1D RSI hits 35.00 or the bottom of its Channel Down, similar to what took place on August 18 2023.
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Weekly Plan NQ Futures 4/14/2024Weekly plan: NQH2024
SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ FUTURES 4/07/2024
18406 >> 18566 >>> 18718
Weekly pivot: 18284, Now 18172, Weekly Open TBD
18063 >> 17934>>> 17734
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Based on the provided levels for the NQH2024 futures contract, here's a weekly trade plan focusing on trading from the pivot to the upside or downside targets:
Weekly Pivot: 18284
Current Price: 18172
Upside Targets:
First Target: 18406
Second Target: 18566
Third Target: 18718
Downside Targets:
First Target: 18063
Second Target: 17934
Third Target: 17734
Trade Plan:
Long Trades: Look for buying opportunities if the price remains above the weekly pivot (18284).
Entry: Consider entering long positions on pullbacks towards the pivot (18284) or if the price breaks above the current price (18172).
Targets: Target the upside levels of 18406, 18566, and potentially 18718.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the pivot or below significant support levels identified during the week.
Short Trades: Consider shorting the market if the price breaks below the weekly pivot (18284) or the current price (18172).
Entry: Enter short positions on breakdowns below the pivot (18284) or the current price (18172).
Targets: Aim for downside targets of 18063, 17934, and potentially 17734.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the pivot or above significant resistance levels identified during the week.
Risk Management:
Ensure proper risk management by sizing positions appropriately based on the distance to target and stop loss levels.
Consider using trailing stops to lock in profits as the price moves in your favor.
Monitor the market closely for any changes in price action or news events that could affect the trade.
Note: Always adapt your trading plan based on real-time market conditions and adjust your approach as necessary to manage risk effectively.
NASDAQ Will the 1D MA50 hold or break and start a correction?Nasdaq (NDX) marginally broke and closed a 1D candle below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) last week but quickly recovered on Friday and this week has established its price action above it. Still it is under Lower Highs following the March 21 Double Top.
It is a fact that the 1D MA50 hasn't been broken in 5 months (since November 03 2023) so last week is the first bearish sign after much time, but the quick recovery leaves a neutral, to say the least, tone. However, the (dashed) Channel Up is already broken downwards, so we will wait for a final bearish confirmation, with the condition being another 1D candle closing below the 1D MA50.
If that happens, we expect a Channel Down to emerge similar to July - October 2023. In that case, we will be looking on the short-term for a 1D MA100 (green trend-line) test, with a minimum Target at 17500.
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NASDAQ Below the MA50 (1d) for the first time since November.Nasdaq crossed yesterday under the MA50 (1d) for the first time since November 3rd 2023, as well as the 5 month Channel Up.
This is a major sell signal as last time it did that coming on a Channel Up (August 9th 2023), it initially dipped to the 0.236 Fibonacci level.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 17450 (Fibonacci 0.236 as well as a little over Support (1)).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) has been on a Channel Down / Bearish Divergence since January 24th. Additional strong bearish signal at least for the short term.
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US100/NASDAQ/USTECH/NDX100 Bullish Robbery planHello My dear Indices Traders,
This is our Day Trade master plan to Heist Bullish side of US100 Market. my dear Looterss U can enter at the any point above my entered area, Our target is Red Zone that is Hgh risk Reversal area, If There is any Bad news it make our heist very sad and if the news is favorable for us then we can continue our looting from there with help of trailing stop.
My dear Robbers please book some partial money it will manage our risk. Be safe and be careful.
NASDAQ: Pullback to 17,400 to test the 1D MA100.Nasdaq has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.257, MACD = 119.240, ADX = 31.710) for the first time in 3 weeks, after a rejected on the R1 level (18445), which formed a Double Top. If it crosses under the 1D MA50 (which has been in support for 5 straight months), we will have a breakout sell signal and we will target the top of the S1 Zone (TP = 17,400). The 1D MA100 is expected to be there by the next 2 weeks. The 1W RSI is also giving a bearish signal as it was rejected on its Resistance Zone and is already downtrending under the MA.
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NASDAQ Short-term Support is failing.Nasdaq has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since late January and as you can see on the chart, every time the Bullish Leg held the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) halfway (blue ellipse), the price continued the uptrend for a +5% Higher High.
This time, the index closed a 4H candle below the 4H MA50, for the first time before a Higher Highs was priced. It is now probable to see a 1D MA50 (red trend-line) test for the first time since November 03 2023. If not and the index closes today's 1D candle above the 4H MA50, then we will consider it an invalidation and bullish continuation signal and we will buy targeting 18700 (+5.38% rise from the last Higher Low).
If it fails to recover the 4H MA50, you may sell intra day towards the 1D MA50 but a more stable signal is to sell the break-out below the Channel Up, either on the spot or after the price rebounds to test the 1D MA50 as Resistance. In either case, our bearish Target will be 17410 (0.382 Fibonacci retracement level).
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End-of-Quarter sell-off effectAccording to ChatGPT:
Yes, end-of-quarter sell-offs are a phenomenon observed in the stock market where investors may sell off their holdings toward the end of a financial quarter. There are several reasons why such sell-offs occur:
Portfolio Rebalancing: Institutional investors, such as mutual funds and pension funds, often rebalance their portfolios at the end of each quarter to maintain their desired asset allocation. If certain stocks have performed well and become overweighted in the portfolio, they may sell some of those stocks to bring the allocation back in line with their strategy.
Window Dressing: Fund managers may engage in window dressing at the end of each quarter. This involves buying or selling securities to improve the appearance of their portfolio holdings in reports to clients or shareholders.
Quarterly Earnings Reports: Companies typically release their quarterly earnings reports shortly after the end of each quarter. If these reports are disappointing or if there are concerns about future earnings growth, investors may sell off their holdings in those companies.
Tax Considerations: Individual investors may engage in tax-loss harvesting toward the end of the quarter to realize losses for tax purposes. This could lead to increased selling pressure on certain stocks.
These are just a few reasons why end-of-quarter sell-offs may occur in the stock market. However, it's important to note that not every quarter sees significant sell-offs, and market behavior can vary depending on a wide range of factors including economic conditions, geopolitical events, and investor sentiment.
Nasdaq US100 Definitly Bullish will Go to 23000-25000,because...
I have many open and long positions in Nasdaq: See Chart I have marked my current positions and also future Entries....
Use lower TF only for long setups. Stop to listen to chats and Social Media to other so called Experts:If THEY really tade, whyy are they 99% of time wrong?
And someone who is for hours in the chats and yt ans social media, will never focus closely and seriously on trades. So stop listening to the scams,
Ok here we go. Watch the chart above. We are on Long bullish trend eekly minthly daily.:
Nowon lowertf you wanna take only Bullish trends.ONLY!
Stop going shorts:WHY? Cuz Beartrap. The speculators wanna take your money, so they gonna make you think its falling, crashing.
A correction is not a crash. Understand this. If you dont understand, then you are not a trader. Look for another busness oppurtunity.Trading ill be wring for ya.
So the market came down last week because of Gap filling.
You should understand the philosophy of the Gap filling.
Again stop listening to the scam out there, Do your home works. Analyse your mistakes of the last week.An breath.Relax.
Ok we have cup and handle. The current trend is bullish, the current pullback is natural and healthy, as I mentioned on my previouse NAsdaq analysis and trading ideas. Go there, read the updates and comments I put everyday below the charts,and studey them. My updates brings you money. Be thankful that I am commenting my ideas, you can only take benfit of it.
My Tading plans are based on logic,facts, charts, and objective. NO EGO NO EMOTIONS NO FEELINGS: Fundamentaly are bullish, summer volatility is down ,ut now rising, and the chart is bullish, it means now big traders coming back from holdiay and they will buy Nasdaq massively.Also during the summer pause the volume was extremely high. I have learned my trading by legends like Anton Kreil. If you dont kno who he is, search.... good.
Lower tF only to time for bullish setups.
Ignore bears, news. They all are old.Made by Market manipulators. Instead wake up and use Brain and logic.
Bullish Facts and Fundamentals:
Michigan Consumer Confidence Falls In August, But Beats Expectations: Declining Inflation, Resilient Job Market Key Factors
US Inflation Metrics Diverge, Complicating Outlook for Cooldown
Strong services costs lift US producer prices; inflation expectations dip
US stocks finished mixed on Friday, as investors were digesting fresh inflation data and assessing the future path of the Federal Reserves. The Dow Jones closed 105 points higher, supported by gains from Chevron (+2%) and Merck & Co (+1.8%). Meanwhile, the S&P 500 edged lower by 0.1% and the Nasdaq lost nearly 0.7% pulled down by a sell-off in shares of AMD (-2.4%), Nvidia (-3.6%) and Micron (-1.6%). Producer prices, which tracks the price wholesalers pay for raw goods, rose 0.3% on the month, raising bets the Fed will need to keep rates higher for longer. Yesterday, both headline and core consumer inflation came below forecasts, but remained well above the Fed's 2% target. At the same time, San Francisco President Mary Daly noted that the Fed has more work to do to bring inflation down. On the week, the Dow dipped 0.1%, while the S&P 500 lost 0.7% and the Nasdaq sank 1.8%, a second consecutive week of losses.
The Dow Jones attempted gains while the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq fell by 0.3% and 1%, respectively, after higher-than-expected producer inflation prints increased bets the Fed will need to keep rates higher for longer. Producer prices rose 0.3% on the month, led by a rebound in services cost. Yesterday, both headline and core consumer inflation came below forecasts, but remained well above the Fed's 2% target. At the same time, San Francisco President Mary Daly noted that the Fed has more work to do to bring inflation down. Traders now see a nearly 87% chance the central bank will leave interest rates steady next month, below 90% before the PPI release, and the odds for a 25bps hike in November have been rising this week and currently stand at about 29%. The tech and communication services sectors were the worst performers. On the week, the Dow is up 0.5% so far, while the S&P 500 lost 0.4% and the Nasdaq sank 2%, a second consecutive week of losses.
Bitcoin | A New OutfitCrypto analysis is almost entirely based on models.
Models that work, until they don't.
1st Law of Trading: Models and "laws" like the power law, stop working when everybody agrees on them.
2nd Law of Trading: The 1st Law is a paradox.
3rd Law of Trading: There are no laws.
4th Law of Trading: This statement is false.
Aaaaand I broke AI.
(Portal 2 would suggest that, who knows if we could break ChatGPT with a simple paradox)
Shiny smartphones and large mirrors can make you look like a completely different person.
It is magic really... Computational Photography on your favorite pose/profile can make you a supermodel. And so, I decided to change up the mirror of Bitcoin to make better sense of it. It is like removing the beautification filter.
A simple analysis many could agree with.
Crypto is a child of Big Tech, much like "AI" is.
Crypto may be facing a grim future.
But AI has just began it's ventures.
We should however think twice.
And perhaps think thrice, just to make sure...
Is NVDA ridiculously overextended, or is it just starting killing Bitcoin?
Has NVDA found the secret sauce to take advantage of crypto dynamics?
I don't know the answer to the questions above.
(I have) no one to follow and nothing to teach.
Tread lightly for this is hallowed ground.
-Father Grigori
QQQ bearish Head-and-Shoulders pattern confirmedNASDAQ:QQQ has shaped Head-and-Shoulders formation on the daily chart. Daily downtrend confirmed, weekly consolidation has started.
Please note that broad SP500 market is still technically in an uptrend, meaning that buyers are still strong. So if you plan entering SHORT on QQQ I would wait for a pullback to increase risk-reward. An example of possible trade is shown on the chart. Of course, it is important to monitor how things develop and make corrections if needed.
Disclaimer
I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
QQQ Nasdaq 100 ETF Options ahead of the FOMC decisionAfter the 2023 Price target was reached for QQQ:
Now Powell's likely to take a hawkish stance tomorrow, given the CPI, PPI, and GDP data.
Interest rate cuts probably won't happen before June, in my opinion, potentially causing both indices and the crypto market to decline.
I would consider purchasing the 416usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-4-19,
for a premium of approximately $2.55.
My end of the year Price Target for QQQ, the Nasdaq 100 ETF, is $470.