NASDAQ can explode to 25000 if the 1D MA50 keeps supporting.Nasdaq (NDX) appears to be coming off yet another short-term consolidation (ellipse pattern), the kind of accumulation it is accustomed to while trading within its 2-year Channel Up.
As we have established in previous analyses, the index is on its 3rd Bullish Leg of this pattern following the August 05 bottom (Higher Low) on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). When the same consolidation took place in the previous two Bullish Legs, the index remained supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and went off to complete a rise of +49.50% and +47.80% respectively. The 1D RSI fractals of all those sequences, also display amazing symmetry.
If the rallies are on a decelerating rate, we can expect the next one to hit at least 25000 (+45.50% from the Aug bottom). As you can see, the Higher Highs of the Channel Up tend to form after the Sine Wave tops, while the bottoms are exactly on point.
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NASDAQ 100 CFD
Replace a 100 000 USD salary with income from trading🔸 Develop a Strong Foundation in Forex Trading
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Can NVDA hit 200 USD in Q1 2025?🔸Time to update the NVDA trade setup, previously was expecting
a correction in this market, based on fundamentals we are definitely
overextended, however NVDA so far is trading purely based on momentum
ignoring the fundumentals. It's the star stock of the 2024 stock market.
🔸Previous strong uptrend, we broke above key psychological S/R at 100 usd. Right now we got a compression setup, expecting limited upside / pullback heading into US elections, having said that probably any downside beyond 115/120 usd is very limited. current floor set at 100/110 USD.
🔸Compressing into wedge formation, most likely we will break out
to the upside following a shallow pullback in November 2024.
Also November/December is a very strong seasonal period for US stock
market, so it's really hard to recommend short selling NVDA.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: expecting pullback near 114/118 USD
in November going into elections, limited downside beyond 110 USD.
BUY/HOLD near 114/118 TP bulls is 200 USD, which is almost 75% upside.
Most likely we will reach target somewhere in Q1 2025, probably January.
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Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
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Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
UPSTART HOLDINGS Short Trade in Motion! Awaiting Profit TargetsTechnical Analysis: Upstart Holdings – 15-Minute Timeframe (Short Trade)
A clear short trade entry was identified at 51.67 for Upstart Holdings. The price is currently moving in the anticipated direction, and we are waiting for the profit targets to be hit.
Key Levels
Entry: 51.67 – The short position was initiated after identifying strong bearish momentum.
Stop-Loss (SL): 54.54 – Positioned above resistance to manage risk and protect against potential reversals.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 48.13 – The first target we are eyeing as the bearish trend unfolds.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 42.41 – A further downside target as selling pressure increases.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 36.68 – If the bearish momentum remains strong, this is a possible next target.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 33.14 – The ultimate target, signaling a significant downward move.
Trend Analysis
The price is trading below the Risological Dotted trendline, confirming a solid downtrend. With the entry in place, we are now waiting for the price to reach TP1 at 48.13 and beyond, depending on further momentum.
The short trade on Upstart Holdings has a promising setup with a clear entry at 51.67. We are now monitoring the trade as it approaches the first target, expecting further downside momentum.
Affirm Holdings Falls! TP1 Hit in Short Trade, Bearish MomentumTechnical Analysis: Affirm Holdings – 15-Minute Timeframe (Short Trade)
Affirm Holdings showed a bearish signal, prompting a short trade entry at 46.84. The price has already reached Take Profit 1 (TP1) at 44.84, confirming the strength of the bearish move.
Key Levels
Entry: 46.84 – The short trade was initiated after identifying bearish momentum.
Stop-Loss (SL): 48.47 – Positioned above resistance to manage risk and protect against upside reversals.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 44.84 – Already achieved, confirming the effectiveness of the trade setup.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 41.59 – The next target if the bearish trend continues.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 38.34 – A further downside target should selling pressure remain strong.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 36.33 – The ultimate target, marking a significant bearish move.
Trend Analysis
The price is trading below the Risological Dotted trendline, which confirms a solid downtrend. With TP1 already met, the continued bearish momentum suggests further downside potential.
The short trade on Affirm Holdings has started well, with TP1 already hit at 44.84. The next targets are within reach if the selling pressure continues, making this trade setup promising for further gains.
NASDAQ: Buy the next pullback and aim at 20,800Nasdaq is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.111, MACD = 227.000, ADX = 44.293) and maintains a short-term Channel Up since September 12th. The price is currently under the Channel's median, which suggests it's a buy opportunity. We expect the next bullish wave to form a HH at the top of the Channel Up. Based on the previous bullish wave, we're targeting the 1.786 Fibonacci (TP = 20,800).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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NDX100/US100/US-tech Market Money Heist Plan on Bullish Side.Bonjour! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist NDX100/US100/US tech Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2H timeframe
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Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
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WOLFSPEED Rallies! Long Trade Hits All Targets, Bulls DominateTechnical Analysis: Wolfspeed – 15-Minute Timeframe (Long Trade)
Wolfspeed demonstrated strong bullish momentum, with a long trade entry at 10.23 and successfully reaching all profit targets.
Key Levels
Entry: 10.23 – The long position was initiated at this level, marking the start of a strong upward movement.
Stop-Loss (SL): 9.75 – Positioned below recent support to manage risk and protect against potential downside.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 10.83 – The first target was achieved, confirming the strength of the bullish trend.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 11.80 – Continued momentum pushed the price to this level.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 12.77 – The bullish rally extended further, reaching this target.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 13.37 – The final target, signaling a complete and highly successful upward move.
Trend Analysis
The price has consistently remained above the Risological Dotted trendline, affirming the strength of the uptrend. The bullish surge indicates strong market interest, supporting further upward moves, though all profit targets have been met.
The long trade on Wolfspeed performed exceptionally well, hitting all designated targets. The final TP4 at 13.37 reflects a robust upward trend, well-supported by the Risological Dotted trendline. The sustained buying pressure indicates that the bulls have maintained control throughout the move.
Follow-up Update on NASDAQ - Down-move has started?This is in continuation from my weekend update on NASDAQ:NDX where I mentioned that we should likely be headed down from the upper channel line of rising wedge. Yesterday we got a negative daily close and in hourly timeframe, we can see clean 5 waves down. More in the video.
NASDAQ 100 Drops! Short Trade Confirmed, Eyeing First TargetThe NASDAQ 100 has confirmed a short trade with a strong bearish move below the entry at 20263.46. The price is progressing towards the first profit target (TP1), though it has not yet been reached.
Key Levels
Entry: 20263.46 – The short position was confirmed as the price broke below this level, signaling bearish momentum.
Stop-Loss (SL): 20378.68 – Placed above the recent resistance to protect against potential upside reversals.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 20121.04 – The first target, not yet reached, but in close proximity as the downward trend continues.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 19890.59 – The next target in case of continued bearish pressure.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 19660.15 – A further downside target, aligning with the next support zone.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 19517.73 – The ultimate profit target, marking a significant decline.
Trend Analysis
The price has broken below the Risological Dotted trendline, confirming strong bearish sentiment. The market is likely to move toward TP1 if the selling pressure continues. The downward momentum suggests further potential to reach deeper profit targets.
The NASDAQ 100 short trade is progressing well after confirmation, with TP1 at 20121.04 in sight. If the bearish trend holds, further downside targets are expected to be reached.
NASDAQ Channel Up with more room to rise.Nasdaq (NDX) eventually held the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and no significant correction took place, a development that should extend the uptrend within the 2-month Channel Up. Technically we are still on its Bullish Leg.
We have had two rallies so far within this structure the most recent +11.00% and the one before +15.50%. Assuming there is a declining rate on those by -4.50%, we can assume that the current one will peak at +6.50% from the October 01 Low, which is ideal as it gives a 20900 short-term Target exactly at the top of the Channel Up.
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xauusd h1 short from resistance tp 2635 usd🔸Hello traders, today let's review 1hour price chart for gold. Strong
V-shape recovery in progress off the recent lows, however heavy
overhead resistance will trigger a pullback from S/R levels overhead.
🔸Strong resistances at 2665 and 2675. key S/R bulls at 2635 usd.
currently getting overextended so it's recommended to focus on
short selling rips/rallies from overhead resistance.
🔸Recommended strategy bears: short sell from overhead resistances near 2665/75 SL 2680 USD TP 2635 usd. usd fixed stop loss for this entry at 2680 usd, swing trade setup may take more time to hit target. good luck traders!
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Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
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Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Dotcom Burst vs Tech Burst- i wanted to make this chart for long but i had to wait some confirmations, because i took an higher TF.
- Right now is really interesting to compare the dot-com bubble burst in 2000 versus the actual situation.
- like always i won't talk too much about FA because everything can happen in our world :
- Aliens destroy us.
- Putin push the red button.
- Meteorite hits earth.
- Jerome H. Powell printers no more electricity.
- let's back to the chart and i will try to make it simple :
- This chart is based on a 3 Months Timeframe, so 1 columns = 3 months.
- This graph is based purely on MACD and his Death Cross ( i will call it "DC" to short it)
The Dotcom Burst :
1/ in 2000, Nasdaq took a violent dip before MACD DC. ( 12 Months before ) ( Red Vertical Line )
2/ after that MACD DC, Nasdaq continued his downtrend but the dip started to be lighter for 15 Months. (Orange Vertical Line)
3/ The Storm was over in 2002 and Nasdaq started a consolidation to prepare his next parabolic move. ( Green Vertical Line )
The Tech Burst :
1/ The real dip happened already 12 months from now (Before MACD DC). ( Red Vertical Line )
2/ The MACD DC happened already 3+ months ago from now. ( Orange Vertical Line )
3 / We are still in a downtrend and not yet entered a recovery phase.
- What we can conclude is simple :
- When MACD Death Cross. The big dip is already behind us.
- Right now nothing is really different from 2000 in matter of TA, only the big numbers are different.
- " Mastering trading is anticipating movements, following the flow in real time means you are already late ".
Happy Tr4Ding !
PS : There's also something different in matter of time if u compare those charts. if you find it.. i will congratulate you !
NASDAQ Don't expect any major correction for a while.Nasdaq has been trading over its MA50 (1d) for almost 1 month, establishing it as the new support level.
The long term pattern is a Channel Up and every time the price stayed that long above the MA50 (1d), is has already starting the new bullish wave and spend at least 3 months above it.
The previous two buy waves grew by +48% and +49.90% respectively.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 25500 (+48% from the Channel Up bottom).
Tips:
1. The MACD (1d) is symmetrically on the exact same level where the previous bullish waves have established their price actions above the MA50 (1d). This fully supports a long term rally from here.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
75% gains BUY/HOLD IWM/RUS2K C*H trade setup🔸Hello traders, today let's review 2daily chart for IWM . Entering re-accumulation stage now, expecting range bound trading during next fer months. We've hit heavy overhead resistace / limited upside currently.
🔸The speculative chart pattern is bullish C*H in progress, expect more range locked price action for a few months as we re-accumulate and get ready to clear the ATH. Measured move price projectiong for the C*H structure is 350 USD, 75% upside from the recommended BUY ZONE.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: wait for IWM to re-accumulate in the sliding
bull flag formation and get ready to BUY/HOLD low near 200 USD, target
based on measured move projection is 350 USD. good luck traders!
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Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Can the MAGNIFICENT 7 outperform once more?We have seen the Magnificent 7 (Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Nvdia, Meta, Tesla) underperform historically but since the start of the year this hasn't been as strong as previously (roughly +35% for M7 against + 25% for Nasdaq). The former can be seen on the left chart while the latter on the right. This goes so far against the aggressive nature of the Magnificent 7 (M7), which have outperformed Nasdaq on all previous rallied by around +50%.
In fact the M7's first major rally (2016 - 2018) rose by +140% while NDX's by +97%. The second major rally (2019 - 2021) registered +315% for MA7 and 'just' +185% for NDX. If there is any progression between them, we can argue that the current rallies will be even stronger. Of course the sample isn't big enough for solid conclusions and multi-year rallies can't keep getting stronger on each Cycle for ever.
What is reasonable to count on however, is that as the Fed stepped in recently and gave the market the first Rate Cut in years, a new Cycle of cheap money to invest with has started and we can expect rallies of equal strength with the previous ones. For M7 (+315%) that's $440, so around +60% from the current levels, while for Nasdaq (+185%) that's 30000, so around +47% from the current levels. Not an incredible difference considering the risk that highly volatile stocks like the M7 bear. This could be a sign that the market is shifting to other stocks during this Cycle and the M7 potential may be fading.
In any event, do you think the Magnificent 7 will start to outperform Nasdaq again and if so is this worth the risk than investing your capital on the 100 companies of the index?
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NASDAQ Fully bullish on a Channel Up.Nasdaq / US100 is making a rebound inside the Channel Up initiated on Sep 6th.
The pattern is similar to the Channel Up of the April 19th low, which stayed above the 1day MA50 and targeted the 2.618 Fibonacci level.
The 1day RSI indicates that we are on a similar level as May 31st.
Buy and target 22400 (Fib 2.618).
Previous chart:
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NASDAQ: Bullish breakout is taking placeNasdaq is marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 57.848, MACD = 196.930, ADX = 44.220) and that shows the strong upside that the 1H momentum has today. Technically it is on a similar situation like Sep 19th when it crossed over a Channel Up and made a +3.00% rise on the 2.0 Fib. A 1H Golden Cross is about to take place, so we think that is a strong buy entry to target a +3.00 rise (TP = 20,300).
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NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Bullish Move From Support
US100 has a nice potential to go up from a key daily horizontal support.
As a confirmation, I see a double bottom pattern on a 4H time frame
and a confirmed breakout of its horizontal neckline.
Goal: 20000
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NASDAQ critical crossroads for the short-term.Nasdaq (NDX) recovered its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) on Friday, which is something that puts the short-term pull-back since September 26 on hold. In fact, as long as the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) holds, the index is more likely to resume the long-term Channel Up pattern and post a similar +11.00% rebound. So for now, we remain bullish, targeting 21600 (+11.00% from the last week's low).
If on the other hand the 4H MA200 breaks, we will most likely extend the short-term correction all the way to the dotted Higher Lows trend-line. Of course in that case, the (blue) Channel Up will be invalidated, and we will take the loss on the long and sell instead, targeting 19000.
The 4H RSI is posting a Bear Flag similar to August 29 - September 02, which favors the bearish scenario.
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NASDAQ - Short active !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NASDAQ.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I expect bearish price action after price filled the imbalance and rejected from OB + trendline.
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