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NASDAQ 100 CFD

NDX - Rising Trend Channel [MID -TERM]🔹Index shows NEGATIVE signal from double top formation, broke support at 15426. 🔹Signals further decline to 15057 or lower. 🔹Supports 13600 and resistance at 15800 🔹Technically NEUTRAL for medium long-term. Chart Pattern; 🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴 🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢 🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴 🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵 🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢 Verify it first and believe later. WavePoint ❤️
NASDAQ:NDX
by wavepoint99
NASDAQ near the MA200 (4h). Still a buy.Nasdaq is approaching the MA200 (4h) which is untouched since May 4th. This is the natural technical Support that rests now exactly at the bottom of not only the recent Rising Support but also the 5 month Channel Up. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 16500 (Fibonacci 2.0 extension, same as July rally's target). Tips: 1. The (4h) MACD is repeating almost an exact sequence as June 16th-July 10th. This is how the Fibonacci 2.0 target is derived. You can confirm your buy entry with the next Bullish Cross. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingBrokersView
6
Is the Market Deluding Itself with a Soft Landing Fantasy?As markets surge against expectations, many are starting to believe that the impossible might unfold. The unusually low fund allocation to equities reflects a market sentiment plagued by fear, yet mega caps are continuing to rise against expectations, making some investors feel left behind. With GDP figures beating expectations and headline inflation plummeting, markets are now starting to believe the soft landing narrative. Can the Federal Reserve, after decades of economic engineering, finally dodge a recession? The bond market remains skeptical. When the yield curve inverted, everyone thought a recession was imminent. However, many overlook the lag between the onset of the inversion and an actual recession. Depending on historical context, a recession can either hit while the yield curve remains inverted or much later, once it has normalised. Thus, relying solely on the yield curve as a recession indicator can be misleading. Nevertheless, history has consistently shown that a recession follows the inversion at some point. However, the human psyche is notoriously impatient. If a predicted event doesn't manifest promptly, the market tends to discount its possibility. Remember, most people buy at tops and sell at bottoms. So, the real question isn't whether a recession will happen, but rather when. Why and When Could a Recession Happen? The Federal Reserve holds significant influence over this timeline. As long as interest rates hover around 5.5%, the recession clock ticks faster. With headline inflation plummeting (orange line) and inflation expectations paralleling this descent (blue line), we must understand what caused inflation initially to gauge where it's headed. The inflationary surge was mostly driven by the excessive expansion of the money supply. Examining the first derivative of the US money supply (M2) shows a rapid expansion followed by a subsequent decline. Comparing the growth rate of the money supply (yellow line) with the CPI year-over-year (orange line) reveals a 16-month lag. If this lag remains consistent, there's significant potential downside to inflation. Yet, the Fed continues to hike rates, despite projections of disinflation and deflation. This is because the Fed's job isn't to predict the future, but to respond to current data. Indicators showing a robust labor market and elevated Core PCE caution against prematurely reducing rates. It would be wise for the Fed to await signs of weakening in these indicators before contemplating rate cuts. This could potentially take a while to materialise, especially since unemployment doesn't seem poised to weaken in the immediate future. Unlike previous business cycles, the current situation stands out due to the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) data. There remains a significant number of job openings for every unemployed individual. This bolsters the resilience of the labor market, making rate cuts less probable. Furthermore, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) - a lagging indicator - remains historically high and resilient. Powell has emphasised the Fed's intent to avoid repeating the same mistakes made in the '70s, suggesting we should expect higher rates for longer in order to permanently get Core PCE to 2%. He's also highlighted the relative ease of stimulating the economy out of a recession compared to raising rates, implying it might be more straightforward for the Fed to rein in Core PCE by inducing a recession. Similarly, the government can't afford the risk of the Fed raising rates later on. Considering the government's dependency on low-cost borrowing to manage interest payments on existing debts, higher future rates could pose a big challenge. Fortunately, the Fed uses the Reverse Repo (blue line) as a strategic tool to bypass any potential liquidity crisis until they are able to finance the government's balance sheet (orange line) with cheap debt once again. Given that interest expenses are nearing 1 trillion USD, the Fed will inevitably have to cut rates to zero and initiate Quantitative Easing (QE) in the future. Remember, the sole limitation to Keynesian economics is inflation. Hence, it's logical for the Fed to avoid risking a resurgence of inflation. In essence, a recession might be essential for the Fed's future assistance to the government. Deciphering the Stock Market's Puzzle Despite Powell's frequent emphasis on a 'higher for longer' stance, the market remains skeptical. This is alarming, especially as the full implications of a 5.5% rate haven't been fully experienced by the economy. Once they manifest, job openings will plummet, unemployment figures will surge, and the 'soft landing' illusion might crumble. Historically, such scenarios are common when real rates reach unsustainable levels. Fortunately for investors, there seems to be room for the AI bubble to continue. Markets typically peak about a month before a sustained increase in unemployment. Hence, forward-looking unemployment indicators like job openings, initial claims (blue line), and continued claims (orange line) are crucial for those wishing to divest before a potential market downturn. In the current scenario, it might be wise for investors to stay away from higher-risk assets like small caps and cryptocurrencies. Historically, these haven't performed as well as mega caps during liquidity crunches. Investors might want to reconsider taking on additional risks unless there's a sustained surge in global liquidity (yellow line). Conclusion: A Time for Caution and Opportunity In conclusion, even though a recession seems inevitable, mega caps may continue their upward trend until the labor market reveals signs of distress. Therefore, it's crucial for investors to closely watch leading unemployment indicators and central bank balance sheets to ensure they're well-positioned for both the upcoming market downturn and the subsequent recovery. Disclaimer: This article is intended for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be investment advice. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and you should conduct your own research when making a decision. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
NASDAQ:NDX
by ingeforberg
$DJI $NDX $SPX $RUT closesHow #indices closed last week. TVC:DJI After a BEARISH ENGULFING it then closed Friday with a doji = battle for the bulls and bears which is unresolved NASDAQ:NDX Fighting back but it is still showing Negative RSI Divergence. SP:SPX Suffering from Negative Divergence. We''ll how #SPX trades over the next few days, weeks. AMEX:RSP (Equal weight) was weaker. This means that the usual big boys pulled more weight. TVC:RUT needs big move soon, lower highs. Lots of earnings this week! Have a great trading week!
DJ:DJI
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
Indices roundup from post a lil over week agoiBarely more than a week we stated that RISK in #equities was INCREASING. We also gave our thoughts on some #indices . Let's see what has happened since that post: NASDAQ:NDX has cooled off - check TVC:DJI pumped since then - check Likely topping out short term here though. TVC:VIX has been trading sideways - check Does seem like it's beginning to gain momentum. TVC:RUT & AMEX:RSP (Equal weight #SPX) are both higher - check Shows that the big boys aren't the only ones running. #stocks
DJ:DJI
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
NASDAQ: Entering a consolidation zone.Nasdaq got rejected again on the 4H MA50 and as the 4H timeframe turned neutral (RSI = 49.851, MACD = -15.090, ADX = 34.425), it is highly likely to see the index entering a consolidation/ accumulation phase similar to April's and June's. Depending on its length, it may even create a new, less aggressive Channel Up. The key for the uptrend to be maintained is to hold first the 4H MA200 and second the 1D MA50. We will buy once the price hits the bottom of the Channel Up and target its top (TP = 16,400). Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100
by InvestingScope
6
NASDAQ Is starting the final bullish wave to the All Time High.Nasdaq / US100 continues to trade inside the Channel Up pattern of the last 6 months. The price is staging a rebound just over the 15280 former Resistance and if it holds, that will be the final phase of the bullish leg that aims at a new Higher High of the Channel Up and will inevitably challenge the All Time High at 16790. The last two rallies achieved runs of 13.40%-13.80%. As long as the 1day MA50 supports, which is now exactly at the bottom of the Channel Up, keep buying and target 16700. Another strong buy indication is the 1day RSI hitting (and holding) the Rising Support. Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TheCryptagon
6
25072023 - #NDXNDX nicely hit our sell limit and sold off to support level for a good 120 points before the rebound. Overall NDX continued to be weak but DJIA is holding up SPX. Which direction next? Yesterday's candle point to a POSSIBLE short term low. If so, then we should see further upside. But IMO if that is so, DJIA will be a better long. Also, still need confirmation if price is to break higher so for now, NDX is still a possible sell with confirmation Looking at a sell coming from 15529/75.
OANDA:NAS100USD
by FadeMeIfYouCan
Wheat predictions: How winding up grain deal blows up the price The world is "not optimistic" that the grain-export corridor that has allowed it to ship more than 30 million tons of crops amid the Russia - Ukraine tensions will be extended beyond July, the country’s infrastructure minister said Wednesday. The efficiency of the Black Sea corridor is faltering and crop volumes are declining. Even if prolonged, it won’t be as helpful in offloading the nearing 2023 harvests in its current state. "We are doing our best in order to maintain this initiative", - Mr. Kubrakov (who signed the deal) said. The deal — which was brokered by the United Nations and Turkey — has helped lower world food prices and maintain a sector that is vital for Ukraine’s economy. It is next up for renewal on July 17, nearby July, 2023 CBOT:ZWN2023 Wheat Futures contract expiration. Russian President Vladimir Putin already signaled that his nation may quit the pact, though the UN has urged all parties to press on. There are no prerequisites for extending the grain deal, Mr. Peskov, press secretary of the Russian President said on June 21. The deal has recently been plagued by a persistent slowdown in ship inspections, and Russia’s refusal to approve vessels headed to one of the three ports it covers. Some 1.3 million tons of crops were shipped via the corridor in May, less than a third of the peak in October, UN figures show. The technical picture indicates, Wheat Futures contracts are heading up for the 5th consecutive weeks in a row, second time since Q1 2022, last time due to widely known tensions between Russia and Ukraine. With almost 30 percent gain from 2023 low near 575 cents per bushel, the price breaking up 1/2-year simple moving average, with further upside opportunities, up to 800 cents per bushel.
CBOT:ZWN2023
by Pandorra
1
24072023 - #DNXNDX continued to be weak while DJIA is what is holding SPX up. Friday's move was much motivated by OPEX. Despite Thursday's strong down, we did not really get the bearish continuation which I was looking for, as market chose to rally first, but that was a low risk short for a move down. For today, just to keep it simple, looking for a possible up move, rejection for a move lower. As mentioned in my DAX post, note the level to watch for DAX, as confluence for rejection for the move lower.
OANDA:NAS100USD
by FadeMeIfYouCan
NASDAQ Buy after a confirmed MACD Bullish CrossNasdaq crossed under the MA50 (4h) for the first time in 10 days and looks to complete a technical correction inside the long term Channel Up. There is a Rising Support, marginally over the MA200 (4h) and near the bottom of the Channel Up to consider as buy entry. However the recent price action has shown that the lower risk buy entries have been after the MACD (4h) made a Bullish Cross. Trading Plan: 1. Buy when the MACD (4h) forms a Bullish Cross. Targets: 1. 15935 (recent High). Tips: 1. The index is overbought on the (1w) timeframe so a stronger correction (e.g. MA50 1d) is plausible. Apply tight risk management to your buys. Please like, follow and comment!!
CAPITALCOM:US100
by TradingBrokersView
8
NDX (Nasdaq 100) Index Analysis 05/01/2021Fundamental Analysis: As we can see the Index has shown a very strong come back after the Covid-19 pandemic of March 2021 which caused the market to fall and create a panic to the world. Since then there are lots of changes to the world and the way companies are operating, such as releasing of their premises and offices as they should have discharge lots of their employees and the work from home schemes was the main reason to cut the expenditure of these companies drastically down. From the other hand, the market administration and governments including Banks has injected lots of funds and so called Rescue Packages and the market stimulant's packages to protect the Market from its Hard and Drastically fall to the lower levels and prevent a gigantic Global Markets Crises. These funding and injection of the cash to these companies along side of cost and expenditure reduction due to their risk measurement policies, forced these companies to invest the receiving funds in to the companies assets to protect themselves from the Pandemic Crises and hedged their exposed risks instead of investing these funds to the new Projects or renovations which could Couse their Share prices to appreciate intrinsically but instead these investments in the assets made an inflation to the prices of the assets and created a bobble in their share value and Prices without having any inheritance or intrinsic values. so we can easily have a decision derived from the current situation that there has to be an other market fall and crises soon so the Price and its relevant intrinsic values get converged and market comes to its correct values. we can observe the same situation in many different centralized markets such as US500 and even other Stock Exchanges around the world like London and rest European market places to be in the same inflated status. there exist a huge chance of an other Global Market Crises coming soon which has the domino effect and Couse the entire markets to fall for some times . This fall of the market shall remove off the liquidity from the equity and debt market and streamflow them to some green heaven Asset classes including Gold and silver or even newly invented Technologies such as decentralized markets and Cryptocurrencies and DeFi. if we have a look at the Current crypto's Total Crypto Market Capitalization we can see it has a very good chances of Rally Continuation to some very high levels such as 5 to 6 Trillion dollars or even much higher. Total Market Cap of All Cryptocurrencies: Gold even can see higher Prices such as 2500 USD per ounce which is currently ranging at 1800 USD. we even can some how speculate a 3 world War to be the initiator of this Market fall which is even not so far from the reality as the situation in middle east is not very stable due to the Iran and Israel disputes and new anti-covid's restriction social movements in Europe and America continent. we can see the same situation in US500: DJI: we shall analyze few other markets and indices and ultimately Propose some Assets which are at their low Points Currently and can be counted as under values at present times. Technical Analysis: we have used the Fibonacci trend base extension from the low to the Highest point even before the Covid pandemic to have a better vision of the Higher expansion levels for the post retracement's rallies and identify the Potential Price levels and resistance zones. where the market can show some stagnation and starts its retracement and price correction to the lower levels. the Fibonacci trend base extension clearly shows that the price has touched the 261.8% which is a very critical point for the price to find its intrinsic values and correct its self by retracing to the lower levels which can be the parallels leg areas of the same Fibonacci extension levels, before its rally to the higher targets. There exist a Bearish Divergence of Price and MACD where Price has made higher high levels but MACD made lower Highs which is the most significant and strong Bullish Trend Reversal and start of Market fall and Price retracement and Value corrections. there are total of 2 Targets defined which have a very strong Support tendencies which can be interpreted as the maximum retracements points. there are few support level are also defined to have a better vision of the bullish trend reversal to bearish retracements which eventually can be counted as the bearish Trend reversal points and new cycle initialization.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by BitonGroup
4