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NASDAQ 100 CFD

QQQ The AI-Powered Future: A Bullish Case for Long-Term Options If you haven`t bought the Santa Rally: or my 2023 forecast: Then investing in long-term options on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) with a strike price of $420 and an expiration date of 2024-6-21 presents a compelling opportunity for bullish investors. The convergence of artificial intelligence (AI) and the ever-growing technology sector is set to ignite the next revolution, propelling QQQ to outperform the S&P 500 and deliver substantial returns, in my opinion. Now let's explore the factors that make this investment thesis a promising one. AI-Driven Technological Advancements: AI is undoubtedly the most transformative technology of our era. It has already revolutionized various industries and continues to penetrate new sectors, creating endless opportunities for innovation and growth. Companies listed on the Nasdaq 100 are at the forefront of AI adoption, leveraging its capabilities to enhance their products, services, and operations. As AI-driven technologies continue to disrupt traditional models and unlock new revenue streams, QQQ's constituent companies are poised to benefit significantly. Tech Sector Dominance in the Nasdaq 100: The Nasdaq 100 predominantly comprises technology-focused companies that have demonstrated remarkable growth potential and resilience. With the ongoing global digitization and the increasing demand for technology-based solutions, the Nasdaq 100 is well-positioned to outperform the broader market. As the technology sector continues to flourish, investors can expect these companies to deliver above-average returns over the long term. I believe QQQ will reach $450 by the end of 2024. Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by TopgOptions
NASDAQ: Approaching Target 1. Pullback and buy for the 2nd.Nasdaq maintains the four month Channel Up and despite the technically overbought 1D timeframe (RSI = 72.574, MACD = 282.680, ADX = 39.484) it shows no signs of pulling back. We will make the most out of this very aggressive trend. Our target from the previous analysis remains near the R2 (TP1 = 16,000) and after a pullback as on May 24th, we will buy again and target the R3 (TP2 = 16,690). We will stop buying the pullbacks after both of the following conditions are met: the price crosses under the 4H MA50 and the 1D RSI under its HL trendline. Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestingScope
3
TSLA's bull-flag breakout meets the VWAP anchored to its ATHPrimary Chart: Daily chart of NASDAQ:TSLA with anchored-VWAP from Nov. 2021 all-time high Different stocks tend to have unique price characteristics. Some move timidly, others move boldly. Some are volatile, some are tame. Some some make predictable moves in incremental steps, and others whipsaw around before crashing higher or lower. NASDAQ:TSLA is anything but timid. It's price action tends to be the bold and volatile. And it has no problem faking out directionally bullish or bearish traders—and it may often even take a few non-directional premium sellers down with it as well. Just look at the chart from its pandemic 2020 lows, Supplementary Chart A. Rallies are spectacular, eye-popping, and unbelievable. Declines are precipitous and devastating. Dabbling in TSLA stock, with or without leverage, or its options is not for the faint hearted, requiring traders to be both nimble and expert risk managers. Supplementary Chart A Just a few days ago on May 30, 2023, TSLA broke out of an apparent bull-flag pattern. A bull-flag pattern is a consolidative pattern that interrupts a rally. Conversely, a bear-flag pattern—not the case here—is also a consolidative pattern that interrupts a decline. Bull flags take the shape of a narrow range where trading peaks and valleys form a parallel channel with the downtrend line at the upper bound and the return line at the lower bound. When confirmed, flags tend to be a continuation pattern and involve a breakout in the direction of the (short-term or long-term) trend that led to the flag. The length of the trend leading to the flag gives a hint at its significance. This flag breakout gave traders little time to catch it. Even the retest didn't even fall all the way back to touch the bull-flag channel, making only a perfunctory attempt, a feint perhaps, at touching the flag channels upper trendline. See Supplementary Chart B.1 below. The breakout made some technical sense given that TSLA's price had found support or recovered its VWAPs anchored to recent swing highs and lows from January 2023 and March 2023 as shown in Supplementary Chart B.2. Supplementary Chart B.1 Supplementary Chart B.2 But now, TSLA has run straight into its anchored VWAP from its all-time high in November 2021. See Supplementary Chart C.1. This is a critical level to watch. The Primary Chart also shows this VWAP going back to the all-time high, and it reveals how this anchored VWAP has been resistance. Because NASDAQ:TSLA is prone to false breaks and whipsaws—see the April 2022 highs and the August 2022 highs as examples—it is not surprising that TSLA has tended to break above this critical VWAP several times toward the end of its bear rallies only to fail after trapping a bunch of bulls. At the August 2022 highs for TSLA, it broke above and below this VWAP repeatedly, trapping bears and bulls several times. So it may be reasonable to expect trappy price moves around this multi-year VWAP again this time before a reliable direction becomes more apparent. This will be important to monitor. Many traders and investors have developed a narrative that has convinced them one way or the other. And at the end of the day, many may lose, although this author wishes only the best of luck to every reader who trades TSLA (shorts and longs). Even the ones who are correct as to the ultimate direction months from now may get stopped as price traps around this level. Supplementary Chart C.1 If TSLA can break and hold above its ATH anchored VWAP, then perhaps it can reach its 50% retracement at $258, shown in green on Supplementary Chart D below. Note that Supplementary Chart D contains the Fibonacci levels covering TSLA's entire bear decline from its November 2021 all-time high. This coincides with a gap that may draw price to $262, which is just above that retracement level. And a key resistance area from September 2022 lows lies at $265. Decisive closes above this VWAP may bode well for short-term traders to target this $258-$265 zone. Supplementary Chart D For those who find themselves very attached to a security or crypto (including TSLA)—meaning essentially unable to part with it to the point of ignoring risk management—please consider that the yield curves remain deeply inverted. Since this yield-curve post was published back in late November 2022, the 10y/3m yield curve has inverted even more deeply into negative territory. TradingView's yield charts don't go back far enough, but for all the data shown by TV, the inversion is a record. Liz Ann Sonders of Schwab posted a chart in January 2023 showing that it was the deepest inversion since 1981, which in January meant that this segment of the curve had reached a 42 year record inversion! Other widely followed yield-curve inversions have fallen into record inversion territory as well. But this may not preclude TSLA from rallying hard similar to the way AAPL and NVDA have done. On the other hand, TSLA may be late to the party if the party decides to end soon. No one knows, but traders can watch how price interacts with key levels, which provides more information than the best macro analyst on the planet. ________________________________________ Author's Comment: Thank you for reviewing this post and considering its charts and analysis. The author welcomes comments, discussion and debate (respectfully presented) in the comment section. Shared charts are especially helpful to support any opposing or alternative view. This article is intended to present an unbiased, technical view of the security or tradable risk asset discussed. Please note further that this technical-analysis viewpoint is short-term in nature. This is not a trade recommendation but a technical-analysis overview and commentary with levels to watch for the near term. This technical-analysis viewpoint could change at a moment's notice should price move beyond a level of invalidation. Further, proper risk-management techniques are vital to trading success. And countertrend or mean-reversion trading, e.g., trading a rally in a bear market, is lower probability and is tricky and challenging even for the most experienced traders. DISCLAIMER: This post contains commentary published solely for educational and informational purposes. This post's content (and any content available through links in this post) and its views do not constitute financial advice or an investment or trading recommendation, and they do not account for readers' personal financial circumstances, or their investing or trading objectives, time frame, and risk tolerance. Readers should perform their own due diligence, and consult a qualified financial adviser or other investment / financial professional before entering any trade, investment or other transaction.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by SquishTrade
13
Nasdaq -> New All Time Highs Before 2024Hello Traders and Investors , my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Nas100 💪 After the Nasdaq perfectly retested the monthly 0.618 fibonacci retracement, previous monthly support and also broke above a clear bearish trendline, we had a solid rally of roughly 20%. With the Nasdaq now retesting the next weekly resistance at the $15570 level I do expect a short term rejection again away from the resistance and considering the overextended weekly timeframe, this scenario becomes even more likely. The daily timeframe however is still super bullish - the Nasdaq just broke out of an ascending triangle formation so I will definitely need some shift back to a bearish market before I then do expect a short term daily drop. Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint 📈 Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! My previous analysis of this asset:
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by basictradingtv
33
NASDAQ The All Time High is the only target left now.Nasdaq / US100 continues to trade inside a Channel Up pattern in the last 6 months. The price is now comfortably above Resistance A and the only Resistance level that's left to challenge the trend is the All Time High at 16790. The last two rallies achieved runs of 13.40%-13.80%. As long as the 1day MA50 supports, keep buying, since also the 1day RSI is supported by a Rising trendline. Target 16700. Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TheCryptagon
9
US100 Long U.S. Debt Deal Optimism Boosts SentimentI have marked the Bullish Bearish scenarios of the next 2 weeks(Possible Potential Long) Green Bullish Golden Cross High Bullish Volume Technically: HH HL Donchian Long June S&P 500 futures ESM2023 are trending up +0.18% this morning as market participants weighed the latest updates on negotiations in Washington to reach a debt-ceiling deal while awaiting a key speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. In Thursday’s trading session, the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 notched a 1-year high, boosted by gains in chip stocks and a more than +9% jump in Netflix Inc NFLX after the streaming giant said its recently launched ad-supported tier reached about 5 million active users per month. Also, the benchmark S&P 500 rose to a 9-month high, helped in part by an over +11% surge in Take-Two Interactive Software Inc TTWO after the company reported above-consensus Q4 net bookings. In addition, Walmart Inc WMT rose more than +1% after the retail giant reported upbeat Q1 results and raised its full-year guidance, helping keep the blue-chip Dow in positive territory.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by DaveBrascoFX
1
NASDAQ Resistance break-out, buy signal targeting 15900.On our last Nasdaq (NDX) call (see chart below), we took a short-term buy after a bullish break-out above a key Fibonacci level: The index made an even more critical break-out yesterday, as it broke above Resistance 1 (15285) which had in the last 30 days two clear rejections (June 16, July 05). This is a technical bullish break-out signal, on a 1D RSI above its MA and the price on a rise after getting close to the Channel Up pattern from the start of the year. The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) has been supporting the majority of this strong uptrend in the past 4 months. The upside potential extends as high as Resistance 2 (January 04 2022 High) at 16570 but we will pursue a more modest target. The minimum on the previous bottom rebound was the Fibonacci 2.0 extension. As a result, we are buying this break-out and target 15900. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
5
$DJI $NDX $SPX $RUT all pumping but giving back, what now?DJ:DJI is having hard time here, again. The RSI is much lower, negative divergence, steam running out? NASDAQ:NDX is higher but also losing steam, RSI lower. SP:SPX AMEX:RSP & AMEX:IWM all put higher highs but they're also giving back. All the #indices have low volume. Kind of normal for this time of year. TVC:VIX is lower....... Sell on news? Lots of GAINS over past few months. Hmmm, let's see what transpires by end of day. #stocks
DJ:DJI
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
NASDAQ Short term sell on the MA50 (4h).Nasdaq is testing the MA50 (4h) as the short term Resistance. Ahead of Wednesday's U.S. CPI any short term estimate can be invalidated by the usual high volatility but technically, as long as that level holds, it justifies the completion of a Channel Down same as June 15th-26th. The long term pattern remains a Channel Up, so any pull back is a long term buy opportunity as long as the MA50 (1d) holds. Trading Plan: 1. Sell on the current market price. 2. Buy at the bottom of the Channel Up. 3. Sell if Support (1) breaks. Targets: 1. 14850 (expected contact with the MA200 4h). 2. 15450 (+4% rise as previous rebound). 3. 14550 (expected contact with the MA50 1d). Tips: 1. The RSI (4h) has offered the ideal sell on its 70.00 overbought level and the ideal buy near its 30.00 oversold level. Use it as an additional indicator. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:US100
by TradingBrokersView
8
UPDATE Nasdaq is on track to new All Time HighsCup and Handle formed on Nasdaq and since then the price has rocketed up. We still have bullish confirmation of further upside. 7>21>200 RSI>50 (Higher lows) Target remains at 16,073 One could even lock in half profits here and raise stop to above breakeven. Fundamentals: With the Big 7 outperforming this year, we are seeing the innovation of AI, Metaverse and machine learning attract new investors into the market. This will help push up the price bring on higher earnings and help the economy - which diminishes the likelihood of a recession. The Big 7 are the major tech companies: Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Nvidia, Tesla, and Meta. And as they adapt, innovate and integrate AI into their business models, products and services, this will continue to bring investors into the market and drive their prices up. And this means the Nasdaq will continue to rally. SMC Sell Side Liquidity (Order Block) Smart Money buys into positions (and sweeps liquidity) from traders who are long (get stopped) and for short traders who enter into their trades.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by Timonrosso
NASDAQ: Last drop before the rally.Nasdaq is on the 4th red 1D candle in a row with 4H technicals turning bearish (RSI = 42.946, MACD = -13.870, ADX = 40.063) while the 1D RSI is testing the HL trendline for the 4th time since December 28th 2022. If it crosses it, we will have a first bearish warning that the 4H MA50 may break for the first time since April 25th, where we will sell and target the 1D MA50 (TP = 14,500). For as long as the 4H MA50 holds though, we will buy and target the R1 firstly (TP = 15,250) and the R2 (TP = 16,000) secondly. Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100
by InvestingScope
1
$DJI $NDX $SPX $RUT Long & Short term viewsBringing indices up again, Let's look at the SHORT TERM first. (Unfortunately can only show 1 chart, see profile for more info) DJ:DJI longer term still showing an ascending triangle, current pattern is sideways channel, there's some negative divergence. NASDAQ:NDX maintains the uptrend, HOWEVER - we're seeing SEVERE negative divergence. SP:SPX also in current sideways channel, and also showing SEVERE negative divergence. TVC:RUT completes the bunch with a sideways channel and some neg divergence. ---------------------------------------------------- Longer term #indices are interesting. Using weekly. DJ:DJI showing slight negative divergence, needs to break out FAST NASDAQ:NDX Extremely overbought, last 3 times; 2 corrections, 1 major drop. SP:SPX Nothing out of the ordinary, lil overbought, see #NDX notes. TVC:RUT Severe underperformer and it looks like it wants to catch up to the others. #stocks
DJ:DJI
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
Key Drivers of the Market - A Deep DiveHello everyone! Today we will talk about five different important concepts. Many things are happening in markets, so I will create similar reports to help people understand why things are how they are. This will be my first report, so it might be a bit harder to go through, especially because on Tradingview, I can't easily share economic data or random non-Tradingview charts, so I will try to make each concept as simple as possible. Positioning 1) Positioning in markets appears to be quite extreme. Looking at the CoT long/short data for hedge fund positioning, we can get a pretty good sense of whether speculators are long or short. Overall, the market remains short on stocks and bonds. Regarding bond data, it is possible that the positioning is like this for other reasons, which doesn't mean they are bullish. As contrarians, we usually want to go against most speculators, but sometimes the speculators take one position for reasons other than making a directional bet (maybe they are hedged). Another significant market to look at is the energy market, and more specifically, oil, which in my opinion, is very close to transitioning back into a bull market. I am expecting one more shakeout here, with a dip toward 55-60$. I think one more shakeout for oil to take out all the lows (hunt stop loss), and speculators will fully turn short. Speculators have been cutting their longs for a year and are almost about to turn short for the first time in many years. Inflation 2) Expected inflation in the next CPI print is around 3% YoY and 0.3% MoM, potentially influenced by recent commodity spikes. These short-lived spikes could affect June's print, as some food-related commodities had a little rally. I believe inflation could come back with a vengeance, as there are too many potential issues with producing several materials and products. These issues could be exacerbated due to deglobalization and climate change (not the climate getting hotter, but colder). Truflation shows 2.3% YoY inflation, inflation expectations are at 2.3%, and interest rates are between 3.7% and 5.25% across the yield curve. My main view is that inflation will trend lower for a little longer, and its downtrend could end with a deflationary spike, as current real rates are substantially positive. It's even possible that we will get negative CPI MoM prints in Q3-Q4, but inflationary pressures will probably resume once we are done with that. Many argue that core inflation is sticky and too high, and I believe it might stay elevated for a while, but eventually, I think it will start falling. My view on inflation mainly has to do with outright shortages and not with money printing. The current disinflationary trend seen across most countries will probably continue for a little longer as we haven't seen substantial money printing for a while, while interest rate hikes are starting to affect consumers negatively. The biggest issue I see is that commodity producers are struggling and face severe problems due to green policies, deglobalization, and climate change. Another important point is that OPEC+ is about to cut 1-2m barrels/day of production, which means oil could spike as demand remains relatively strong. One of the reasons I think the biggest inflationary threat comes from the supply side (goods/services) is that Japan has had lower inflation than the US, despite keeping rates at 0. China didn't raise rates either and has been pumping liquidity into the system, as well as cutting rates, and yet inflation there is almost 0%. It shows that inflation has come down independently, with markets slowly shorting through various imbalances, not because interest rates increased. At this stage, higher rates might actually have the opposite effect than the one intended. Why? Because of the massive debts at the government level, which are being inflated even further as governments borrow at higher rates. Housing 3) The housing market remains strong, and a deficit exists. More supply will be coming online over time, but there are no signs of weakness or that the supply won't be able to be absorbed by the market. Many people are still waiting for rates and prices to drop in order to buy a house, while those with a mortgage are not selling their houses because they don't want to get a more expensive loan. Therefore we essentially have a balance in the market, with new houses and defaults being absorbed by those with cash and those willing to get an expensive mortgage. Rents have not gone up YoY but seem to be about to trend higher again. As there is still a lot of cash in the market and the US government keeps spending, it's reasonable to expect rents to stay flat or slowly tick higher, even if interest rate hikes are starting to affect the economy. Some countries are really suffering from higher interest rates, as most people have variable-rate mortgages; however, the US is in a better situation as most had their mortgages fixed at low rates. So far, it looks like banks and central banks are taking a loss on all the mortgages issued or refinanced during 2020 and 2021, and this effect won't be reverted any time soon. GDP 4) Q1 GDP growth was revised higher at 2% (from 1.4%), showing resilience in the US economy amidst recession fears. Despite growth in the US markets, concerns over a recession remain. As the US government keeps spending at a high pace, a recession will probably be delayed; without that meaning, it will never arrive. Interest rates have been rising, and the Fed wants to hike rates once or twice again. The Fed will likely intervene to support the economy in 1-2 years. As the deficit grows and rates increase, within the next few years, the government will have absorbed all excess liquidity trapped in the RRP or banks. That means that the Fed will then be forced to start buying bonds. The Fed is currently losing over 50B annually because it has to pay high rates to those that deposit at the Fed, which is effectively direct money printing. With so much government debt, the Fed can't raise rates much higher without adding this inflationary component. Although unemployment and bankruptcies are trending higher, the market is showing resilience. As stated above, the US economy is the most resilient, while many other countries are suffering heavily. What has been very helpful is that so far, we had strong oil production despite the war in Ukraine, while the US was releasing a lot of barrels from SPR. This strengthened consumption and boosted the economy. One important data point that proves that the US hasn't been in a recession is that the Travel Numbers of people flying in the US are at ATHs. How could someone call for a recession with these numbers? It's possible that interest rate hikes and all the printing in the US, along with a strong dollar, helped the US consumer to stay in relatively good shape. How bad do bankruptcies and unemployment get, and when? I don't know. I believe that the yield curve will eventually be right, and we will get a recession, but it's hard to call for one. Although lots of data points to the US being in a recession or close to getting into one, we haven't had proper confirmation for a downturn. Maybe we have been in a mild recession, and that's why the market is rallying so much, as people feared something awful, and this hasn't played out. Stocks 5) Stocks seem to remain in a bull market. After hitting the targets that I mentioned in some of my previous ideas, they had a mini-correction. I never turned fully bearish, but I thought at once, the SPX got at 4450 and the NDX at 15200, the market might have topped. This hasn't played out, and I must admit that the market looks bullish here. I can't say anything with certainty yet, but I'd avoid shorting or being all out. There are still many signals that point to higher stock prices. Apple just had a massive breakout and looks strong. Now at a 3T valuation, which seems too much, but when someone thinks that Apple is one of those companies that are essentially powering a 500T financial system, along with its growth potential with AI, then 3T doesn't seem that much. Although stocks seem expensive relative to the current GDP, let's not forget that AI will boost global GDP massively over the next few years. That means that tech companies like Microsoft and Google will keep expanding. Also, let's not forget that unprofitable tech deflated last year and hasn't recovered yet, so a lot of garbage got washed out and isn't a drag on the market. Finally, many people are missing something important: leverage didn't fuel this rally. The market deleveraged massively in 2022 and is now free from excess leverage. If this rally was driven by leverage, it would be fragile, and a reversal could occur at any moment. Summary To sum things up and add a few final touches... The main things leading the market are: NDX is a monopoly, AI, stock buybacks, passive investing, and government spending. It's improbable that these factors will cease to exist, and things will turn ugly immediately after the best first half the Nasdaq 100 has ever had. Sentiment might be changing and leaning toward bullish, but I am not seeing anything that's seriously worth paying attention to. Sure, maybe we get another little correction, but nothing more than that. The market looks very strong. Some leading indicators even show that liquidity and financial conditions will improve from here. I believe that too many people are stuck looking at interest rates but forget how bad the government deficits are and that the only way to keep moving forward is to print more money and accelerate growth and consumption. The NDX (Nasdaq 100) has broken above its double top in Q1 2022 and could easily sweep its Q4 2021 double top next. The index is just 11% away from new ATHs, which it could achieve in 2023.
FX:NAS100Long
by BitcoinMacro