NASDAQ 100 CFD
NQ1! NAS100 NASDAQ 2023 APR 03 WEEK
NQ1! NAS100 NASDAQ 2023 APR 03 WEEK
Both Scenario1 short from 12950 and Scenario2 retracement
long both worked well. Market likely to test 13740.
Possible scenarios:
1) Market test 13740 = long on retracement //
support at 12950
Volume Analysis:
Weekly = Ave vol up bar closed toward high = non-trend
changing demand
Daily: Ave vol up bar close toward high = non-trend changing
demand
Price reaction levels:
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
14361 13740 12950-12678
10710 - 11068
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Have a profitable trading week ahead.
Nasdaq to see a higher correction?NASDAQ - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 12677 (stop at 12577)
Traded to the highest level in 30 weeks.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
An overnight negative theme in Equities has led to a lower open this morning.
Bespoke support is located at 12677.
12682 has been pivotal.
Our profit targets will be 12927 and 12977
Resistance: 13025 / 13200 / 13350
Support: 12677 / 12655 / 12513
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Is another bad earnings season upon us? In early February 2023, we outlined how earnings recession was becoming more apparent in the tech sector, with a myriad of companies reporting massive declines in net profit on a yearly basis for 2022. Now, with the upcoming earnings season for the first quarter of 2023, we do not expect the corporate figures to get any better. In fact, we anticipate further declines in corporate profits, more outlook downgrades, and higher operating costs for many tech companies. As a result, we think this season will bring more uncertainty into the market and fortify the notion of unraveling recession in the U.S. economy.
As for the short-term, we are unsure how much higher QQQ can go. Therefore we will pay close attention to the price action and volume. At the same time, we will observe QQQ’s ability to hold above the immediate support at $313.68. It will be bullish if it manages to stay above this level. However, a breakdown below it may indicate a reversal on the horizon; in such case, we will observe Support 1 at $310.08 and its ability to stop a price decline. Regarding the upside, we will watch Resistance 1 and Resistance 2 at $321.51 and $334.42.
Beyond these short-term and medium-term fluctuations, our outlook remains unchanged. With worsening data in the U.S. economy, we expect something to snap down the road, causing QQQ to revisit its 2022 lows. Our assessment comes from the fact that the market is currently pricing in multiple rate cuts by the end of 2023. However, we do not think the FED will be able to deliver them with persistently high inflation; as a matter of fact, even Jerome Powell dismissed any plans for rate cuts in 2023 during his last FOMC press conference. Moreover, as if it was not enough, the median forecast for the FED funds rate is still above the current rate, suggesting that interest rates should be higher than they are right now. Similarly worrying is FED’s unemployment forecast, which implies a recession since, historically, each 1% increase in unemployment was accompanied by one.
Illustration 1.01
The picture above shows the daily chart of QQQ. Red and green arrows depict the relationship between the price and volume. While the recent drop in volume might suggest a decline in selling pressure (after the selloff between February and March 2023), it can also indicate the evaporation of buyers near the current price levels. In general, declining volume and the rising price is questionable development. Therefore, we will keep an eye on this in the following days to get more clues about the whole picture.
Technical analysis gauge
Daily time frame = Bullish
Weekly time frame = Slightly bullish (weak trend)
*The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Nasdaq Breakdown analysis 28/03/2023Dear traders nasdaq respected last setup as I said just follow the instructions in my chart and wait for price to react so today as you can see Nasdaq was Bearish and he was respected previous daily candle so I see if price reject zone 12664 it will be high probability to sell target will be 12435 and if he breaks above 12736 it will be chance to look for buy trade safe and good luck
NASDAQ broke below the 4H MA50. Pull-back possible.Nasdaq (NDX) broke and closed a 4H candle below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 2 weeks. With the 4H RSI not having touched its Higher Lows trend-line yet, this is an indication that the index might pull-back some more towards the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) - 1D MA50 (red trend-line) Support Cluster (even as low as the Symmetrical Support), before finding the new demand zone for buyers. We are buying this pull-back and target the bottom of Resistance Zone 1 at 12895. The Higher High extension though can be much greater, even as high as 13,200 on the long-term.
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Nasdaq breakdown Analysis 28/03/2023Dear traders Nasdaq respected previous setup and I suggest you to be patient this week we have some news that may ruin the market ..well as you can see in my chart nasdaq was bearish today the new weekly candle start bearish it may consolidate this week so above 12735 you’re good to look for buy and if price close below 12677 if till be change to sell good luck and trade safe
NASDAQ rally to stall at current highs?NASDAQ - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 12920 (stop at 13090)
Posted Mixed Daily results for the last 4 days.
The 161.8% Fibonacci extension is located at 12304 from 12972 to 12559.
Bespoke support is located at 12277.
Selling spikes offers good risk/reward.
The bias remains mildly bearish but there is scope for a move in either direction at the open.
Our profit targets will be 12510 and 12440
Resistance: 12920 / 12972 / 13360
Support: 12559 / 12305 / 12280
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Nasdaq breakdown analysis 27/03/2023Dear traders Nasdaq reached previous monthly candle is seems he may test previous wick so as I said in my chart I’d price came and retest 12776 and close above so it will be change to look for buys at this zone and if price came and breaks below 12776 it will be high chance to keep correcting this move so follow my instructions and wish you the best of luck
NQ1! NAS100 NASDAQ 2023 Mar 27 WEEK
NQ1! NAS100 NASDAQ 2023 Mar 27 WEEK
Nothing eventful last week at price was testing 12950.
No trades for indices last week as opportunity didn't happen
during my waking hours. Also the messiness on M30 &
lower TF.
Concern: Despite greater effort, progress from
H to H1 was only marginally higher, and price closed below
12950.
Possible scenarios:
1) Market test 13740 = long on retracement //
acceptance at 12950
2) False break of 12950 = short on rejection of 12950
Volume Analysis:
Weekly = Narrowing spread Ave vol up bar close off high
= non-trend changing minor
weakness
Daily: No Demand up bar = non-trend changing weakness
Price reaction levels:
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
14361 13740 12950-12678
11921 11068-10710
Remember to Like and Follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week ahead.
US deposits safe? Don’t bank on it Nasdaq bullsSentiment on Wall Street took a turn for the worse by yesterday's close. Janet Yellen conceded that she has not considered a "blanket insurance" for US banking deposits, and Jerome Powell pushed back on any hopes of rate cuts from the Fed this year.
The Nasdaq 100 came close to reaching out 13k target before momentum reversed sharply lower, closing the day with a bearish outside / engulfing candle. It also saw a false break of the prior cycle high and clos back beneath the upper bollinger band, with a bearish divergence on the RSI (2).
- The bias is for prices to mean revert towards 12,230 / 20-day MA, with 12k and the March lows also contenders for bearish targets.
- The bias remains bearish below 13k, but yesterday's high can also be used is a tighter approach to risk management is required.
BREAKDOWN ANALYSIS NASDAQ 21/03/2023dear traders Nasdaq today was failed to create new high or new low it was in trading range so as you re see in chart above 12594.7 you’re good to buy and if he rejected below 12565 it may be a chance to sell
trade safe
NQ1! NAS100 NASDAQ 2023 Mar 20 WEEK
NQ1! NAS100 NASDAQ 2023 Mar 20 WEEK
The daily Ultra Lo Volume down bar and support at 11930
provided good meat for week of 13 March.
Market finally broke through 12418 and is near supply zone
12810-12950. Let's see how price reacts to this level.
Possible scenarios:
1) Possible formation of rotation 12950-11930 =
trade at boundary of zone
2) Long on retracement
3) False break of 12950 for short
Volume Analysis:
Weekly = High vol up bar close off high = minor weakness
Daily: Ave volume S>D bar into an area of previous resistance
Price reaction levels:
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
14361 13587 12950
12950 11930
Remember to Like and Follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week ahead.
NDX100 :TRADING ON SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE LEVELWe are doing analaysis at support and resistance level and put pending orders of sell stop and buy stop in both levels further details mention below about how to execute orders in MT4
Buy Stop Order
Entry Price:12891
Stop Loss:12698
Tp1:13084
Tp2:13227
Risk Reward 1:1
Overall Risk 2%
Sell Stop Order
Entry Price :11818
Stop Loss:12026
Tp1:11611
Tp2:11403
Risk Reward 1:1
Overall Risk 2%
NASDAQ BREAKDOWN ANALYSISdear traders i see nasdaqwith this level key high opportunity to catch the perfect move
you have to respect levels and let the market play arround dont jump in it without knowledg
trade safe
QQQ Nasdaq 100 ETF 2023 Forecast. CPI Report PredictionAfter the last price target was reached:
My timeline for QQQ Nasdaq 100 ETF after the CPI report on Feb 14 is this:
1. CPI data will come better than expected. The medium forecast in 6.2, I expect 6 - 6.1.
- The market will be exuberant afterwards and QQQ will reach $317 by March 1st, thinking that the FED won the fight against inflation .
2. While inflation continues to be sticky in March, the FED will continue increasing interest rates and won`t stop until something cracks in the economy. Another 25bps increase.
- The market is expected to react and the QQQ will reach $288.
3. The year will end in a positive note, the was in Ukraine will end and the supply chain disruption that was one of the factors of high inflation , will be restored. Inflation down to 3%.
My prediction for QQQ by the end of the year is $332, a 25% increase YOY.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
Nasdaq -> Ready For The BullrunHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
On the weekly timeframe you can see that Nas100 is currently retesting a quite obvious weekly support/resistance area which is turned very strong support once again.
You can also see that we recently broke above a down-trendline, created a double bottom and had a bullish ema-crossover, which are all very bullish signs, so from a weekly perspective I just do expect the continuation towards the upside.
On the daily timeframe however you can see that we are currently creating bearish market structure, so I am now just waiting for a bullish break and retest of the next resistance zone, before then also the daily timeframe looks quite promising for the next rally towards the upside.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ IN 1Hdear traders as we see nasdaq was closing bearish last friday
we have opportunity to buy above 11897.00 target will be 12.000
and if he break bellow 11784 high opportunity to sell targer will be at 11500
good luck
NQ1! NAS100 NASDAQ 2023 Mar 13 WEEK
NQ1! NAS100 NASDAQ 2023 Mar 13 WEEK
Week of 06 March, market gave 300pts from 2 trades.
Market is trapped between 12418 - 11930.
Although daily bar showed little supply for
short term long opportunity, the low volume
means it is cheaper to whipsaw the market.
Trade with caution.
Possible scenarios:
1) Market continues to be range bound between 11930-12418
2) 11930 support long (test of breakout area)
3) 12418 // 11930 continuation short to reach
bottom range of larger rotation zone 10710- 11135
Volume Analysis:
Weekly = Ave supply down bar (non-trend changing)
Daily: No supply ULTRA low vol down
H4 = Supply showed effort no result + Low vol No Supply
down bars
Price reaction levels:
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
13587 12950
12418-11930 11135 - 10710
Remember to Like and Follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week ahead.
NASDAQ to Gold - this development is possibleNASDAQ to Gold - this scenario is possible, just like any other, but based on the pattern, long term trend and previous progression, it seems likely.
The price action will never be a straight line, in most cases there will be a retracement to to 50% of the previous peak or trough before it decides on a direction up or down and you will be able to discern it later, with delay.
Take care & stay cool