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NASDAQ 100 CFD

BTC compared to the worldDo people still want to hedge using BTC rather than XAU? This post is not intended to diss anyone, but I really need your thoughts. Couple stats below for 26/9: Dollar index: 114 Euro Index: 100 Bitcoin: 19,200 Gold: 1,620 EURUSD: 0.96 Nasdaq: 11,200 Today: Dollar index: 104 Euro Index: 103 Bitcoin: 16,800 Gold: 1,780 EURUSD: 1.0630 Nasdaq: 10,980 Disregarding the big bull runs that in my opinion are heavily influenced by unlimited printing of money in the past years, when reality kicks in, BTC is starting to settle to what it's supposed to look like, which acts as a leveraged product where I expect it to drop and settle even more, and will be problematic if DXY rises again. It is my opinion that DXY dropped $10, but BTC failed to see a rise, unlike XAU or other currencies compared to USD. This means to me that the price of BTC has still not settled to where it's supposed to be and is headed for a drop (without getting technical about it). What do you all think? Would love to hear from others.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by siacovides
1
Beginning of the Xmas rally for real now??Even with good data, market stayed solid today and proved that it's got what it takes to go back into the previous highs and continue with the xmas rally. It has been in the same points range for a long time now and we are looking for a change very soon. Personally I do not think that the low level of 9k is coming anytime soon and anyone will let that happen after months of losing. Let's see what the next week is bringing us and hopefully we see the uptrend again after a long time. As always keep following me and I will update daily. Market can change anytime but we shall see!!!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by IsuruDilshan
3
NQ short term bounce wolfe wave setup identifiedThere is a wolfe wave setup on the 78 min time frame. The projected target is calculated by extending a linear line between pivot 1 and 4 and projecting the line. This is represented as the green perforated line, as shown in the chart. The projected target is 11500 which coincides with the 6 day ma. The ETA is defined by identifying the apex of the wolfe wave and projecting a vertical line toward the green perforated projection line which is the line that extends from left to right.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by TOSOPTION
NASDAQ rejected on the 1 year Resistance! How bearish is that?The Nasdaq index (NDX) rose yesterday aggressively after the lower than expected U.S. CPI but got rejected exactly on the 1 year Lower Highs trend-line (started on January 05), just below the 0.618 Fibonacci, as we showed on our analysis 2 weeks ago: As you see, this is the exact cluster level (Lower Highs on 0.618 Fib) that the Highs of March 29 and August 16 were rejected. As a result, this doesn't alter our long-term perspective which continues to be based on break-outs. The 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) has been intact since April 05 and if the price breaks above it, we will turn bullish again, targeting the 1W MA100 (red trend-line), which rejected the August 16 High. As long as the price is below the Lower Highs trend-line, we will be targeting the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) where a candle close below will bring more selling pressure towards the Nov - Oct Lows. It is worth mentioning though that the 4H RSI pattern that has been consistent in the previous Lower Lows - Lower Highs sequence these past 12 months, turned upwards (blue circle) instead of downwards. This may be an early signal that there is a long-term trend shift from bearish to bullish. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by TradingShot
7
NDX / QQQ: Broader Picture for Nasdaq 100 in Six ChartsPrimary Chart: Potential for Symmetrical Pattern in Two Major Segments of Decline Shown by Roughly Parallel Price Paths in Orange Many recent posts have contained a great deal of written analysis and explanation. This post is intended to be a chart-heavy weekend update on the NDX as reflected by its well-known ETF ( NASDAQ:QQQ ). This post will be far more concise and contain mostly charts and brief descriptions. Supplementary Chart A. The two month downward trendline from the mid-August 2022 peaks has been broken, a shift in shorter-term trend degree. Bears don't need to be told that something has shifted in the short-term. Like other squeezes this year, this one probably hurts. But note the yellow Anchored VWAP from 2018 lows, currently at $282.45—price looks like it will confront this level this week. Price will also confront a longer-term Fibonacci level at $286. These levels could be a spot where price could stall and consolidate a bit, perhaps into the FOMC presser on November 2, 2022. Supplementary Chart B.The weekly chart of the Nasdaq 100 shows the downward trendline very much intact throughout this entire bear market. Note the long-term VWAPs have now begun to slope downward. The long-term VWAPs are anchored to the Covid 2020 low and the December 2018 low. Price will confront the 2018 VWAP again in the coming days. The first test of that VWAP was repelled this past week after FAANG earnings largely missed (except for AAPL). The Covid 2020 VWAP approximately coincides with the down trendline from the all-time high. Supplementary Chart C. The next chart zooms in a bit on the December 2018 VWAP. This VWAP aligns quite well with the .382 retracement of the major decline from August 16 to October 13, 2022. This area of confluence is $282.32, and price may consolidate or whipsaw around this level before continuing in whatever direction it chooses after FOMC, though the rally appears as if it may have a bit more steam. Unless the Fed presser completely squishes the rally (a distinct possibility), a reasonable target is the .50 retracement at $291.60, but only if this .382 level and 2018 VWAP at $282 can be relcaimed. Supplementary Chart D. A derivative of the Bollinger Bands, the %B indicator distinctly shows a W-bottom pattern. As price made lower lows in October 2022, the relative lows were higher than September 2022 lows (relative means in terms of standard deviation from a mean). Supplementary Chart E. Weekly RSI shows a major positive divergence (also known as a bullish divergence). This has not yet been conrfirmed. Sometimes, weekly divergences can take quite a will to take effect—notice that the weekly negative divergences—starting with the RSI peak in late 2019) took about 2 years to result in a major bear market. In other words, even though there were negative divergences on weekly RSI, higher highs continued in the index until late 2021 where the final negative divergence was formed. This means don't front run a weekly RSI negative divergence, but keep it in mind, especially when they begin to add up. Analysis and Discussion. Short-term trends have clearly shifted, but longer-term downtrends remain intact with the bearish structure unaffected by the short-term noise. But as stated in my recent SPY analysis, don't fight the rally. Rallies are an inevitable part of downtrends, which by definition include lower *highs* and lower lows. There are reasons for a multi-week rally, though it won't be in a straight line. Plenty of resistance lies overhead, however. And the longer-term downtrend remains intact on logarithmic and linear charts. Maybe the Nasdaq 100 makes new lows next year in the first half of 2023. One possibility, however, is that the two major segments of this decline are roughly parallel. See the orange price paths on the Primary Chart, the first one of which follows price, and the second one of which follows price and then projects the hypothetical path that would be parallel to the first path. ________________________________________ Author's Comment: Thank you for reviewing this post and considering its charts and analysis. The author welcomes comments, discussion and debate (respectfully presented) in the comment section. Shared charts are especially helpful to support any opposing or alternative view. This article is intended to present an unbiased, technical view of the security or tradable risk asset discussed. Please note further that this technical-analysis viewpoint is short-term in nature. This is not a trade recommendation but a technical-analysis overview and commentary with levels to watch for the near term. This technical-analysis viewpoint could change at a moment's notice should price move beyond a level of invalidation. Further, proper risk-management techniques are vital to trading success. And countertrend or mean-reversion trading, e.g., trading a rally in a bear market, is lower probability and is tricky and challenging even for the most experienced traders. DISCLAIMER: This post contains commentary published solely for educational and informational purposes. This post's content (and any content available through links in this post) and its views do not constitute financial advice or an investment or trading recommendation, and they do not account for readers' personal financial circumstances, or their investing or trading objectives, time frame, and risk tolerance. Readers should perform their own due diligence, and consult a qualified financial adviser or other investment / financial professional before entering any trade, investment or other transaction.
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:QQQ
by SquishTrade
31
Microsoft Corp. Goes Bullish? ... The New World Order!You know how you get to see all the headlines when browsing through TradingView's homepage, impossible to avoid. We love it because it gives me so many ideas... "Microsoft Better Than Hot Bread". "Microsoft Develops New Air Conditioner That Will Override The Fed". "Microsoft Comes Up With Better Than Bacon". Etc. It is very misleading, that's our point. Whenever the market is about to crash, all the news website start publishing bullish headlines. Whenever the market is about to rise, all the news website start publishing bearish headlines. Today we have so many bullish headlines for the stock market, the SPX, etc. See what happens in a few days. Microsoft Crop. (MSFT) uptrend is ending after 13 years. This can turn into a simple, normal, classic correction or maybe it can get really bad. We are looking at the monthly timeframe and MSFT is still trading below EMA10. Bearish. Clear downtrend since November 2021. Bearish. Decreasing volume. Bearish. What an incredible ride... Can't wait to see how it will all develop... Sam-FTX just got arrested in Bahamas... Out of crisis comes opportunity. Once we hit rock bottom, the only place left to go is up. It is the end of an era. The birth of a new order. Order out of chaos. A New World Order? Namaste.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by AlanSantana
6
NAS100 NQ1! NASDAQ 2022 Dec 12 NAS100 NQ1! NASDAQ 2022 Dec 12 NQ was resisted at 12140, so scenario2 short worked well. I will be off trading to enjoy the holiday season, hope you get some rest and refreshing for this season as well. Repeating again that volume is expected to remain thin, it will be cheaper to whipsaw the market. Speaking plainly, its means it will be a lot easier for the Smart Money to hunt your stops. Possible scenarios: 1) Preferred scenario: Take a well-deserved break, review your trading, and come back with much clarity, purpose and wisdom for the year 2023. 2) Rotation zone 12140 - 10710: Trades can be executed at boundary of range. Although not expected to happen, still keeping the breakdown / breakout scenario for future reference: 3) Breakdown scenario if redistribution schematic is fulfilled = Short on test of breakdown of 10890 / 10485 4) Breakout of rotation = possible long if price continues to trade at upper boundary of rotation zone. Daily = UT observed for possible short opportunity H4 = UT supply> demand = possible short opportunity Price reaction levels: Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept 12987 12140 11455 10710 10485 10000 9748 Remember to Like and Follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable trading week ahead.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by paradox677
NASDAQ Almost 1 month trapped within the 1D MA50 - MA100Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading sideways since November 10, with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support and the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) as Resistance. On a wide scale, this technically looks like the previous two market tops on the January 05 Lower Highs trend-line, and the 1D RSI illustrates that clearly. However, the Jul 19 - 28 consolidation within the 1D MA50/100 zone, did make a higher extension, so it is best to stay on the sidelines until we have a clear, confirmed break-out signal. As long as the price remains within the 1D MA50 and 1D MA100, short-term traders can scalp the range. Since the January 05 Lower Highs trend-line is getting closer and closer to the 1D MA100, there is high risk in taking a buy break-out trade there. As the 1D MA200 is unbroken since April 05, it is best to take the break-out buy if a 1D candle closes above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which would be also a break above the 0.618 Fibonacci level and target the 1W MA100 (red trend-line), which would be also a test of the 13,760 August 16 High. On the other hand, a 1D candle close below the 1D MA50, would be bearish targeting 10850 and quite possibly aiming at a new (Lower) Low. Notice that the 0.618 Fibonacci level is a critical Resistance level as it is where Nasdaq topped both on the March 29 and August 16 Lower Highs. Also notice that the 1W MA100 is where the August 16 High was rejected. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by TradingShot
Nasdaq Weekly Volatility Analysis 5-9 Dec 2022 Nasdaq Weekly Volatility Analysis 5-9 Dec 2022 We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is around 3.72%, down from 3.95% last week according to VXN data With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 74th percentile, while according to VXN, we are on 41th percentile. Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between: Bullish: 3.4% movement Bearish: 3.5% movement At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset, meaning that there is a 23.6% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel: TOP: 12475 BOT: 11525 Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is : 78% probability we are going to touch previous high of 12145 26% probability we are going to touch previous low of 11480 Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from Weekly timeframe indicates 13% BEARISH trend Daily timeframe indicates 40% bullish trend 4H timeframe indicates 93.3% bullish trend
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by exlux
NASDAQ 20 days trapped within the 1D MA50 - MA100Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading sideways since November 10, with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support and the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) as Resistance. On a wide scale, this technically looks like the previous two market tops on the January 05 Lower Highs trend-line, and the 1D RSI illustrates that clearly. However, the Jul 19 - 28 consolidation within the 1D MA50/100 zone, did make a higher extension, so it is best to approach this with our usual break-out strategy. A 1D candle closing below the 1D MA50, would be bearish targeting 10850 and quite possibly aiming at a new (Lower) Low. On the other hand, a closing above the 1D MA100, will be treated as a short-term bullish extension signal to the 0.618 Fibonacci level and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which is where Nasdaq topped both on March 29 and August 16. A closing above the 1D MA200 would translate into a break above the January 05 Lower Highs trend-line, in which case, we will target the 1W MA100 (red trend-line), which rejected the uptrend last time on the August 16 High. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by TradingShot
2
Nasdaq Weekly Forecast Analysis 28 Nov-2 Dec 2022 Nasdaq Weekly Forecast Analysis 28 Nov-2 Dec 2022 We can see that this week, the current implied volatility is around 4.06% , down from 4.19% of last week. According to ATR calculations, we are currently on the 78th percentile, while with VXN we are on 39th percentile. Based on this data, we can expect on average, the movement from open to close of the weekly candle to be : In case of bullish - 3.43% In case of bearish - 3.48% With the current IV calculation, we have currently 23.6% that the close of the weekly candle is going to finish either above or below the next channel: TOP: 12223 BOT: 11239 At the same time, taking into consideration the high/low touch calculation from the previous values, we can expect for this week: 25% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of the weekly candle of 11531 77% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of the weekly candle of 11931 Lastly from a technical analysis point of view, currently 40% of the moving averages rating, are insinuating we are in a BEARISH trend.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by exlux
NAS100 NQ1! NASDAQ 2022 NOV 28 Nov NAS100 NQ1! NASDAQ 2022 NOV 28 Nov Apart from the rotation long from week of 7 Nov, nothing eventful happened the last 2 weeks as NQ traded in narrow range. Holiday season has kicked in, volume expected to remain thin. Price may just slowly float upward due to lack of selling. Possible scenarios: 1) Rotation zone 11730 - 10710: Trades can be executed at boundary of range. 2) Short on rejection of 12140 / 11730, target 50% of range // extended target to rotational support. 2) Breakdown scenario if redistribution schematic is fulfilled = Short on test of breakdown of 10890 / 10485 3) Breakout of rotation = possible long if price continues to trade at upper boundary of rotation zone. Weekly = Unconfirmed UT + ND up bar, possible weakness Daily = UT observed, possible short opportunity. H4 = Indecision. Supply and Demand need to resolve, probably after thanksgiving weekend there'll be an outcome Price reaction levels: Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept 12987 12140 11730 10710 10485 10000 9748 Remember to Like and Follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable trading week ahead.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by paradox677
NASDAQ setting course for 12500Nasdaq (NDX) completed its short-term technical pull-back, as it held the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) after it was rejected on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). This doesn't change our outlook presented two weeks ago: This profit-taking retracement was part of the greater plan, as the index remains within the tolerance levels of the previous counter-trend rebounds of the 2022 Bear Cycle, all of whom hit the Lower Highs trend-line that started on January 05. As you see denoted by the green circle, every break above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) made a pull-back to test it as a Support shortly after. In terms of RSI , it appears that relative to the rallies of mid-March and July-August, we are just past the Red Flag. Now the minimum target on this bullish sequence is the Jan Lower Highs trend-line, that most likely will make a match on the 0.618 Fibonacci (as both previous rallies) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) around the 12500 mark. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by TradingShot
1