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NASDAQ 100 CFD

My Forecast for 2022 Maret!First I want to express my gratitude to the +9000 Tradingview users who started following me in 2021 and supporting me with their likes and comments. I wish you all a year full of successful trades. I also appreciate the @TradingView team's efforts to make the platform stronger in the past decade, it gives me more energy to write more detailed analysis, Nice job..! Let's Go: In these charts, you see S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Dow Jones, and Russell 200 monthly charts and their rate of change(12). As you can see the highest 12 monthly rates of change were recorded at the end of February 2021, for all major indexes, and then markets slows down! 2021 ends with an overall performance of : SPX:+26.89% NDX:+26.63% DJI:+18.73% RUT: +13.7% * Better to adjust these gains for Inflation which is at the highest level in the past 4 decades (+6.8% YOY). As it is obvious it was a bad year for small caps which leads the market by +90% return by February 2021 and they end the year at the lowest rank of performance by +13.7. Their performance loomed in the past 10 months, and more than 77% of that glorious gains melted in front of the eyes of novice investors who were looking for their tickets to the Moon or Mars or other planets..! Now, let's review the previous analysis: A review on my analysis 3 weeks ago..! On December 16th, 2021, I published one analysis: In that analysis, I mentioned that higher than normal volatility is expected and Money shifts to Banks, Energy, and Telecoms. Complex correction is the most probable scenario! Higher volatility (increased ATR): looking at the performance of indexes in the past 3 weeks shows: Dow Jones: +6.42% S&P 500: +5.64% Russell 2000: 5.07% Nasdaq 100: 3.75% Now let's review the performance of the sectors and industries I mentioned in the previous analysis: Energy: +9.74% in the past 3 weeks(Equally weight-adjusted) OXY:+14.47% VLO: +12.62% PSX: +12.24% MPC: +9.96% XOM: +8.28% COP: +8.24% CVX: +6.14% BP: +6.09% Banks: +6.64% in the past 3 weeks(Equally weight-adjusted) WFC: +10.47% BAC: +9.39% GS: +6.47% MS: +6.16% JPM: +6.03% C:+1.32% Telecom: +2.83% in the past 3 weeks(Equally weight-adjusted) T:+9.29% (max:+10.66%) VZ: +3.99%(max:+4.4%) TUMS: +1.14%(max:8.68%) CMCSA: -3.07%(max2.55%) Overall performance of the 18 stocks: +7.18% in the past 3 weeks(Equally weight-adjusted) which is: 12% better than DJI(+6.42), 27% better than SPX(+5.64%), 41% better than RUT (+5.07%) and 91.4% better than Nadaq100(+3.75%) ..! 17 out of 18 stocks had positive returns. 14 out of 18 stocks beat the Nasdaq performance in the same timeframe! 10 out of 18 stocks beat the performance of all 4 major indexes mentioned above! Conclusion: 1-The Energy and Banks sector could continue their rally in January 2022..! 2-Tech stocks especially those which still burn cash, will experience a hard time in 2022, and any positive must be considered as transitory! 3-Small caps may experience lower prices and even Negative returns in 2022. 4-SPX, NDX, and DJI could have 10-15% returns in 2022. 5-Keep in mind that 12 monthly rates of change decreased by half in the past 10 months for SPX, NDX, and DJI which means expected market ROI should be lower in 2022 in comparison to 2021 and 2020! 6-For small caps this phenomenon is even worse, they lost 85% of their gains, and continuation of this phenomenon could lead to a negative return in 2022. ( Fundamentals also support depreciation of unprofitable business in high inflation era) 7- 2022 will be the year for those who know how to handle high volatility! A year for aggressive portfolio management strategies! I will provide updates for this analysis as needed. Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by Moshkelgosha
7
NASDAQ RSI hit the long-term Buy ZoneNasdaq is giving a double long-term buy signal as besides the RSI on the 1D time-frame entering the Buy Zone that has been in effect since the March 2020 market crash, the price itself hit the Higher Lows trend-line that has been holding since the November 2020 U.S. elections bottom. The 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) is right below as it was on all 3 major bottoms of 2021 (March 05, May 13, October 04). We expect the Channel Up top again around 18000 (1.786 Fibonacci extension) by the end of March. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ULong
by TradingShot
8
Nasdaq Index - Bull or bear market more likely?I got a bit of criticism over not being clear enough in my previous chart. So i have created specifically a Nasdaq index chart which will show my thinking more clearly. The Nasdaq index back at the start of 2000 was the bull market to end bull markets. The innovation of using the internet was a technological revolution and no one saw an end to the bull market...until it ended. The end coincided with a break of medium term trendline as the internet startups folded one by one. From that point onwards the Nasdaq entered a brear market and didn't recover the old highs for another 15 years. We're in a similiar position today, with the fed about to raise rates to control inflation, no one appears to think the impossible is possible. It is. If we break this medium term trendline, which appears to be very close to breaking (2 weekly closes below the line would confirm a break), we would expect a bear market to follow. This could take decades to recover from. What goes up, must also come down (at least a bit). The fact that the nasdaq market cap is more than half comprised of only 6 companies, suggests that it is just as sensitive to a large correction today. Albeit the reasons for a bear market will be very different. Easy money has distorted the markets and funds like Arkk that think 40% annualised returns are possible with these stocks may be signs that we are at frenzy level of bullishness (just like in 2000). I do not expect the bear market to be as bad as the beginning of the millenium, however i do think it will be signficiant and it could be coming sooner than expected, with fed tightening expected to quicken.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by WinstonWolfe
6
NAS100 USD NQ1! NASDAQ 2022 JAN 10 NAS100 USD NQ1! NASDAQ 2022 JAN 10 Last week's short preference worked well, and rotation low target reached. Weekly: Uptrend channel, near demand line. High volume down bar close near low = weakness still present Daily = Uptrend channel, price is near demand line. High volume down bar closing off low = some demand. H4:High volume down bar closing off low. Short preferred on retracement for intrady. 17441 17070 16767 16660 16481 16135 15905 15538 15250 15000 14892 Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept Remember to Like and Follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable trading week ahead.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by paradox677
3
Nasdaq 100: Reversal at lower Bouhmidi Band Bouhmidi - Long Reversal in play - This looks like a chartbook reversal forming also a double bottom in area of lower BB. Half hour to go it seem that we close in the Bandwidth. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Do you want to know more about the BB and apply them on your TV-Charts? Check my script here:
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by SalahBouhmidi
Ndx: Are The Bulls Coming Back?After yesterday's success, I'm really happy with the year already. Anyway, the market has finally gotten to the bullish key level giving it---it's third touch. I guess the main question is, "are we getting a new higher low?" Watch the whole clip to get my reaction! Listen, trading is risky and not easy. Be sure to not trust anyone---even me! Please leave a comment, like and follow-up if you enjoy my feeds or not. Haha! still follow me either way.
OANDA:NAS100USD
by lazyluchi
9
NASDAQ testing the 1D MA50. Buy opportunity.I haven't updated my NDX outlook since December 17 but so far it appears to be trading according to plan after accurately catching that bottom: Today the index made contact with the 1D MA50 again (blue trend-line) and that's a pattern we've seen before twice within this multi-month Channel Up on the chart. As you see, every time Nasdaq approaches the previous High (Fib 1.0) following a Channel Up bottom, the price pulls back to the 1D MA50 (orange circle) and then the rise continues all the way to the 1.786 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we treat this pull-back as a mid-term buy opportunity, especially for those who missed the December bottom. Our target is 17600. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ULong
by TradingShot
6
Ndx: Watch Hour Opening Firstly, I just want to congratulate everyone who made it to this year. I pray for success and positivity for y'all. Nasdaq100 has been on a roll for a while now... The indecision between the bulls and bears have made me to just wait at the sidelines. My edge hasn't fully played out so---I'm not about to force things. In this video, I explain all that should be done. Be sure to watch the whole clip, like, comment and follow me. I appreciate all your contributions to my work. Happy a great week! Lazyluchi.
OANDA:NAS100USD
by lazyluchi
2
Nasdaq Analysis 03.01.2022Hello Traders, welcome to this free and educational analysis. I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities. If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below. I will personally reply to every single comment! If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
NASDAQ:QQQ
by basictradingtv
8
US100 update guys as you can see here im seeing that nasdaq didnt yet tought the bottom of the channel, and also looking at the COT data the big biys are putting on great selling preasure and also if u go on the weekly timeframe u gon see that the last candlestick is giving us that unique candle that closed in a beautiful manner and also when u look at this line chart resistance was broken but now prices came back and closed within the consolidation range , always remember that the close of a candlestic is more importandt then the movement , but nobody is perfact, its just an idea n i hope it helps u out ,, thank you,
UShort
by cozzydaniel
NAS100 USD NQ1! NASDAQ 2022 JAN 03NAS100 USD NQ1! NASDAQ 2022 JAN 03 Happy New Year and have a prosperous 2022! Trade levels 15540 / 15650 given on 2021 Dec 20 with market targeting 16460 was achieved. Rotation range remains: 16767 - 15540. Weekly/Daily = Price did not reach supply line of trend channel, possible pullback to demand line. Intraday short will be preferred as long as price within brown downward channel. Weekly: Uptrend channel. Low volume upthrust bar (2nd UT) near reference high 16767.50 = Weakness. Daily = Uptrend channel. Ave volume UT bar followed by weakness (2nd UT after reference high) H4:High volume down bar closing off low. Short preferred on retracement for intrady. 17441 17070 16767 16660 16458 16336 16140 15925 15538 15492 15000 14892 Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept Remember to Like and Follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable trading week ahead.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by paradox677
5