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NASDAQ 100 CFD

🏘 Housing Bubble v 2.0: What Does It Mean for US Stock MarketMuch to the chagrin of would-be homebuyers, property prices just keep rising. It seems nothing - not even the highest mortgage rates in nearly 23 years — can stop the continued climb of home prices. Prices increased once again in July, according to the latest S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller home price index , with 19 out of 20 markets measured showing month-over-month gains. In another reflection of ongoing increases, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) says more than half of U.S. metro areas registered home price gains in the second quarter of 2023. So much for the idea that a "housing recession" would reverse some of the outsized price gains in homes. The U.S. housing market had finally started slowing in late 2022, and home prices seemed poised for a correction. But a strange thing happened on the way to the housing crash: Home values started rising again. NAR reports that median sale prices of existing homes are near record highs. Home prices in August 2023 rose 3.9 percent year-0ver-year to reach $407,100 — near the all-time-high of $413,800, and only the fifth time any monthly median has eclipsed the $400,000 mark since NAR began keeping records. The housing recession is essentially over, or has just began!? Home values have held steady even as mortgage rates have soared past 7 percent, reaching their highest level in more than 20 years in August. The culprit is a lack of housing supply. Inventories remain frustratingly tight, with NAR’s August data showing only a 3.3-month supply. 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Interest Rates Turn Higher, as 200-Month SMA Key Resistance was broken earlier in 2022. Average Annual Mortgage Interest. 30 000 U.S. Dollars Rubicon is at the hands. After the Federal Reserve’s meeting in June, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell told reporters he was keeping a close eye on the housing market. "Housing is very interest-sensitive, and it’s one of the first places that’s either helped by low rates or held back by higher rates," - Powell said in the press conference. "We’re watching that situation carefully." Housing economists and analysts agree, regardless, that any market correction is likely to be a modest one. No one expects price drops on the scale of the declines experienced during the Great Recession. Is the housing and stock markets are going to crash? The last time the U.S. housing market looked so frothy was back in 2000s. Back then, home values crashed with disastrous consequences. When the real estate bubble burst, the global economy plunged into the deepest downturn since the Great Depression. Now that the housing boom is threatened by skyrocketing mortgage rates and a potential recession so buyers and homeowners are asking a familiar question: Is the housing market about to crash? 5 reasons ("cast in bronze") there will be no housing market crash 1. Inventories are still very low. 2. Builders didn’t build quickly enough to meet demand. 3. Demographic trends are creating new buyers. 4. Lending standards remain strict and impose tough standards on borrowers. 5. Foreclosure activity is muted: In the years after the housing crash, millions of foreclosures flooded the housing market, depressing prices, and it’s nothing like it was two decades ago. Funny, but all of that adds up to the one only consensus: Yes, home prices are still pushing the bounds of affordability. But "Ooh not", this boom shouldn’t end in bust. 😏 History does not repeat itself. But often rhymes. Technical graph for ECONOMICS:USSFHP - U.S. Single Family Home Prices illustrates there has been a while, without new all time highs in Top Four U.S. Stock market indices while Housing Bubble was exist in 2000s. So lets see, will be the same in 2020s or not, while 2023 is a second straight year without new all time peaks in S&P500 SP:SPX , in Nasdaq-100 NASDAQ:NDX , in Dow Jones Index AMEX:DJIA as well as in Russell 2000 Index TVC:RUT
ECONOMICS:USSFHP
by Pandorra
$NDX Quarter 3 (Q3) AnalysisThe NASDAQ has been performing extremely well for the year, and a special rebalance was put into effect in July to slow down the NASDAQ’s growth. Currently the NASDAQ has support in the EMA ribbon, which also intersects with the white support zone and yellow support line. This yellow support line has been acting as a support level since January 2023. I think the NASDAQ will have a bullish Q4 and will trend towards a new all-time high (green circle). However, I think this new all-time high could get delayed until Q1 and Q2 of next year, but I do expect a strong performance for the NASDAQ in Q4.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by realchartchamp
NASDAQ Trade Signal Timeframe: 1H NASDAQ Trade Signal Timeframe: 1H #Forex #NDX100 #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoSignal #TradingOpportunity #Divergence #TradingSignal #NASDAQtradingsignal #NASDAQ #USTECH Hey traders! 👋 Let's dive into a potential trading opportunity on the NDX100 pair using technical analysis. 📊 📉 Previously Bullish Trend: Firstly, on the 1H- timeframe, we've been witnessing a Bullish trend in the NDX100 pair. 🐻 📊 Trade Opportunity: Currently, we are looking at a potential trade opportunity with a Bearish bias. 📈 Buy Level \ Entry Price: 14675 🎯 Stop Loss Level: 14720 🚀TP1: 14622 💰 Investment Advice: Please remember that trading carries risks, and it's essential to have a well-defined trading plan, proper risk management, and stop-loss orders in place. This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Make sure to do your research and consider your risk tolerance before entering any trade. Happy trading, and may the pips be in your favour! 🚀📈💰 #HappyTrading #ProfitOpportunity #TradeSmart #CryptoSignal #StockSignal #TradingwithBelieve
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by TradingwithBelieve
NASDAQ Trade Signal NASDAQ Trade Signal Timeframe: 15-Min #Forex #NDX100 #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoSignal #TradingOpportunity #Divergence #TradingSignal #NASDAQtradingsignal #NASDAQ #USTECH Hey traders! 👋 Let's dive into a potential trading opportunity on the NDX100 pair using technical analysis. 📊 📉 Previously Bullish Trend: Firstly, on the 15- timeframe, we've been witnessing a Bullish trend in the NDX100 pair. 🐻 🔄 Divergence on HH (Higher High): However, it's crucial to note that recently, we have started to observe a divergence pattern on the HH (Higher High’s). This is an important signal that the Bullish momentum might be weakening. 📉🔄 📊 Trade Opportunity: Currently, we are looking at a potential trade opportunity with a Bullish bias. 📈 Buy Level \ Entry Price: 14807.50 🎯 Stop Loss Level: 14860.4 🚀TP1: 14755.7 🚀TP2: 14702.9 💰 Investment Advice: Please remember that trading carries risks, and it's essential to have a well-defined trading plan, proper risk management, and stop-loss orders in place. This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Make sure to do your research and consider your risk tolerance before entering any trade. Happy trading, and may the pips be in your favor! 🚀📈💰 #HappyTrading #ProfitOpportunity #TradeSmart #CryptoSignal #StockSignal
UShort
by TradingwithBelieve
Call your Mom; Stocks BLOODBATH LoadingHi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈📉 Is the mother of all shorts loading for the stock market? Seems likely! A lower-high topout confirms that selling pressure dominates as we observe the perfect Wyckoff Method failed breakout (which happens before the bearish cycle). This means the stock market as a whole will likely experience liquidations soon, driving the price of most stocks into a bearish cycle. If we pull up a macro Fibonacci Extension, we'll see a perfect top-out at the 4.618 extension, which is always an important one to watch. NOTE that I am not advocating to SHORT your stocks here. Instead, think of it as a potential opportunity to buy additional at lower prices in the NEAR TERM. _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 💎Hit like & Follow 👍 We thank you for your support ! CryptoCheck
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by CryptoCheck-
27
NASDAQ US100 SUPER BEARISH !! H&S FORMED hello guys , as i previously analyzed last weekend on the weekly tf nasdaq or us100 is very bearish in my eyes. as i predicted perfectly the price closed below a bullish trendline and it failed the create a higher high also forming a double top. i highly highly request from you that you take a good look at my last week analysis today on the daily tf it looks like a head and shouldrs was formed waiting for the break out of the neckline for the full confirmation. it looks very very bearish to me , i am open to hear you ideas and insights
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by xAB777
NASDAQ Bottom of the 2023 Channel but watch out if it breaks.The Nasdaq Index (NDX) has been basically trading sideways and around the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since September 07. This led the price to the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the long-term Channel Up pattern that has been in effect since the December 29 2022 market bottom. The key Support trend-line has been the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) which has been holding since January 20. As a result, this is the most optimal level to enter a buy (bottom of the Channel Up) and target Resistance 2 at 16570 (January 04 2022 High). If however the price breaks below the 1D MA100, we will take the loss and instead open a sell, targeting the 1.5 Fibonacci extension at 13900, on a potential contact with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
2
NASDAQ A WARNING OF A POSSIBLE CRASHhello traders i hope you had a profitable week , today we are taking a look at US100. since the beginning of 2023 Nasdaq Started a Bullish Move from 10690s to 1590s. Analysing the WEEKLY tf we can see that the buyers dominated the market which caused the price to form higher and higher highs and forming a BULLISH TREND LINE . But it this summer it seems like the buyers are weakening since the price recently failed to form a higher high instead it broke market structure and formed a lower high. The RSI indicator can confirm this statement as it indicates a Bearish divergence since the beginning of june (price forming higher highs on chart but lower highs in rsi). indicating the strenght of the buyers is declining. we can also spot A reversal pattern the DOUBLE TOP which also indicates this possible bearish reversal. Here are our Bearish Clues : - Break in Market structure - DOUBLE TOP formed - Bearish RSI signal Confirmation : Break of the Bullish Trendline Extra Confirmation : Break of the double top neckline. i believe the market my start a strong bearish move that will push the price down atleast to the 14000s. i post SETUPS and analysis for free on my trading view for FREE be sure to follow me to not miss out. this is not financial advice just my humble opinion trade safe !
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by xAB777
Nasdaq Long As I said 1 month ago NQ100 Will Go to 22000Trend Bullish P above vwap yearly Maket profile shiftig higher POC shifting higher: Now the 15 most institutions and institutional traders, that control more than 75% of the makets( Market makers show their cards:Thier footprint is POC, a phenomenon they cannot hide, but shows exactly what they are thinking, where they buy or sell, and a forecast where they will go to).... And it is cystal clear:They wanna higher prices.... FED is losing power, and enarly noone but noone does care what FED or Powell and his freinds are telling ya. The truth is that that the so called infation(yes so called inflation as it was made by FED itself) is cooling down, DXY is depreciating, and retail traders are becoming smarter. The bear market of 2022 was a good teacher, and those among us started to learn, learn and understand the markets, some better than the most professional investors,traders and institutionals... This lesson was hard but it was worth it: The smart trader of today has clearly underszoad that no one ,but no one can stop the trend. And he has also understoad it takes more than watching the news ,following blindly the FED or the so called ,, EXPERTS,,---Those who were made and nouuned as Experts by the media....that is gaining its profits out of the losses of the retail traders, some professionals and most amateurs. The reality is: The true fundamentals facts we are reading and watching every day are not true at all: 99% fake, false,manipulated. What can we do? How can we know if the news we get are fake or real? Well: My answer is we can´t! And if some news are real, they wont help us. Why? Because they are old. Done,Gone. The news are made by humans, and the persons are making news they have intentions:Money,Power,....Many insiders, many intrigues... Well this is trading. It seems to be a chaotic jungle:If we ignore the rules. This is trading. What to do: I found my own answer, that helps me to stay focused,awake and profitanle.I m not saying that I make all the time profits. But I use to say over the long run I have beat and will beat the markets,many times,again and again. Drawdowns are part of the game, and every trade we take, might it be on lower or bigger TF displays drawdowns,because the markets are volatile:Some more and some less.But they all are volatile. It also depnds on your protfolio,if you trade 1 asset, or more assets, and the time horizons... Statistically, and you can check it up day trading will end in losers, as there is a 50 50 chance to win or lose in day trading. On longer TF and time horizons that statistics change thier edge into higher win chances... Therefor I trade only big TF, and only the trend. The intradays ,i use to buy or sell in trend directions..Only. Back to Nasdaq: Inflation cools down Oil down DXY down Higher Highs Higher Lows Higher POC Volatility of VIX down(Risk down) RSI long term above 50 Stochastic bullish The market makes higher highs, and Higher lows, but RSI makes Higher highs and lower Lows!This is a clear indication that the trend will continue and the new part of the trend will be mch more stronger than the previouse one. Why 22000 and higher: The companies will and must make more profits than expeted to compensate thier past losses of the last 3 years, and evetuelly get prepared for future crashes...So they will increase the production, that increases more job demands, that leads to more hiring people, that will boost household incomes, that will boost more spending because ppl earn more income, that will rise the production cycle of the economy as the production rises, that will prevent RECESSION! Yes ! Recession: FEDs propaganda is recession, that wont come! Why? Well then read the logical aruments above! And i gotta tell ya something: The aruments above are for real and they are real facts of the last 80 years wrld economy. China, Japan, Europe! Even during the worse crashes China and Japan have been the first countries tehy recovered fast. Japan is refusing to increase the interest rates, and Just see how the economy machine is rolling on...The americans have understoad that logics, and it seems that FED and its friends have not understoad it, or they are unable to understand it. What is the Makrets answer? They BULL Nasdaq,Dow Jones, S&P and all other indices. That is they answer,and that makes FED much more powerless. Power to Traders. Good Trades and Good profits. Dave
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by DaveBrascoFX
21
NASDAQ One last Falling Resistance to break.Nasdaq / US100 continues to trade inside the Channel Up from the start of the year. It has one last Resistance to cross and that is the Falling Resistance of the July 19th High. As mentioned previously, this continues to be an identical price action to February / March. You may take a confirmed sell, once the Falling Resistance breaks and target 16250 (Fibonacci 1.236). Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TheCryptagon
1
Russel 2000 vs Nasdaq, important momentThis is essentially a momentum play where we're seeking a breakout in the Russell 2000 (RUT) compared to the Nasdaq, signifying relative overperformance and potentially paving the way for new highs on the S&P 500 (SPX). It's important to note that a rejection at this juncture would indicate a bearish signal. However, from a pattern probability perspective, the outlook appears bullish. Even though we're currently at all-time high (ATH) levels, this aligns with historical trends from the year 2000, and the prevailing inflationary period suggests the possibility of reaching even higher highs in the future, unless we breakout on the yield curve inversion and have the bear steepener event (see my other charts) that could very well align with the resistance we have here and failing a monthly breakout we can experience a bull trap. Only a monthly close above is a strong buy signal.
TVC:NDQ
by EdwinPus
2
NQ1! NASDAQ 2023 SEP 02 Potential WeaknessNQ1! NAS100USD NASDAQ 2023 SEP 02 Neither scenario manifested for last week, didn't manage to trade. Daily vol analysis still shows that Demand < Supply, while weekly analysis may be pointing to potential buying climax, which further weaknesses must be manifested in order to substantiate this story. Possible scenarios: 1) After weakness on the last 2 bars, short if channel or 15547 is resisted 2) Or short from 16030-15900 zone 3) Long on retracement if channel support is obeyed Price Reaction Levels Short on Test and reject | Long on Test and Accept 16030 15547 15049 14635 13960 *Longer term: 13350 support must hold for long trend to be intact. Price/Volume/Trend Analysis: Weekly: Ave vol up bar close of high = NTC minor weakness Daily: No supply up bar followed by S>D bar = PTC weakness *NTC = Non-Trend Changing | PTC: Potential Trend Changing Like and follow if you find this useful | *For education purpose only. Have a profitable trading week. CME_MINI:NQ1!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by paradox677
NASDAQ Forming Head and Shoulders ReversalNASDAQ Daily *Note: This is an update to our previous analysis that will be linked below Price Chart The NDX is currently trading within an upward channel (Yellow Solids), and has recently tested the bottom trend line a fourth time; the more price retests it the weaker it becomes. This has also formed what could be the neckline (Teal / Red Solid) to a head and shoulders setup and has pushed the price past the mid-point (Teal Dotted) of the double top; which would also be the head. EMA's on the other hand have failed to cross lower with the 12-day and 26-day recrossing higher. Also notable is the spike in selling pressure on July 21; which is the same area the NDX is currently trading. Relative Strength Indicator There is a divergence (Teal Solid) from the price which lead to the trend line (Yellow Solid) breaking and the RSI dipping below the 50 level. The RSI has since recovered, however it's re approaching the trend line for a retest. On Balance Volume Similarly to the RSI, the OBV has also shown a divergence from the price and moved lower past the mid-point (Teal Dotted) in the double top. After a bounce at the support (Red Solid) the indicator is moving higher to retest the mid-point. TLDR; The market is showing strength, but a head and shoulders pattern is possibly forming as outlined above. RSI and OBV are both signaling higher, however, the indicators are nearing a trend line retest and level of resistance respectively. If price action moves past the head then we have an invalidation, but look for lower buying volume in the beginning of September to signal the formation of the shoulder. What Seems Legit? Um, not our portfolio if Mr. Market keeps running away from our targets; the market has been on a tear since the reversal in Dec / Jan. I mean, how many times have you heard those Bloomberg boys on the radio be like "omg markut go zhoom moar! wuuuuut?!", then the analyst comes on and is like "OH YEA NO U GOTTA DEPLOY CASH HERE I MEAN U CANT SIT ON THE SIDELINES LIKE WE CALLED THE BOTTOM AND NAO U GOTTA BAI". Layin' it on a little thick, text book transfer of wealth. Let's see if we get that head and shoulders. Follow us on Twitter for memes, market moves, and not so headline news. Chart Key Yellow Solid = Major Trend Line / Channel Red Solid = Support / Resistance Teal / Red Solid = H&S Neck Line Aqua Solid = Divergences Teal Dotted = Midpoint Resistance White Dotted = Invalidation of H&S Green Boxes = Supports / Target Areas
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by Seems_Legit_Research
NQ1! NAS100USD NASDAQ 2023 AUG 28 NQ1! NAS100USD NASDAQ 2023 AUG 28 Hope you had taken Scenario 2 test of breakdown area 15138-15511 short. Possible scenario: 1) Continued short per possible bear flag 2) If market hits longer term support channel (black dash), >> support = long >> breakdown + test and reject = short Price Reaction Levels Short on Test and reject | Long on Test and Accept 16042 15511 14635 13960 *Longer term: 13350 support must hold for long trend to be intact. Price/Volume/Trend Analysis: Weekly: Higher ave vol up bar close at lower half of bar (S>D) Daily: Ave vol up bar close toward high (D>S) *NTC = Non-Trend Changing | PTC: Potential Trend Changing Like and follow if you find this useful | *For education purpose only. Have a profitable trading week.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by paradox677
NQ1! NAS100USD NASDAQ 2023 AUG 20NQ1! NAS100USD NASDAQ 2023 AUG 20 Scenario 2 short yielded handsome profit if you had followed 07 Aug's analysis. 18 Aug's bar showed some demand. CME_MINI:NQ1! Possible scenario: 1) Continued short opportunity if market test downward trendline and is rejected 2) Market tests breakdown area 15138-15511 (yellow box), and is rejected = short Price Reaction Levels Short on Test and reject | Long on Test and Accept 16029 15524 15138 14638 *Longer term: 13350 needs to be supported for long trend to be intact. Price/Volume/Trend Analysis: Weekly: NTC Ave vol down bar, close off low (some demand) Daily: Ave vol down bar | ENR | SOT | DOWNTREND *NTC = Non-Trend Changing | PTC: Potential Trend Changing Like and follow if you find this useful | *For education purpose only. Have a profitable trading week.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by paradox677