VXN NOT CONFIRMING RISE IN NASDAQ SINCE MID-DECComparison of INVERTED VXN to NASDAQ 100 Futures (NAS100USD).
As can see since mid-Dec NASDAQ 100 has been making higher highs WHILE VXN HAS BEEN MAKING HIGHER LOWS (INVERTED VXN ABOVE MAKING LOWER HIGHS).
This is a MASSIVE BEARISH Divergence for the NASDAQ that is not confirming the rise in the NASDAQ100 rallies and a huge red flag that the NASDAQ is due for a massive drop.
This is in line with my calls for drop in the S&P and an explosive rise in US Dollar Index (DXY) as well as coming explosion higher in VIX (see next coming post) as well as explosion higher in VXN coming.
See links below to S&P and Dollar Index Elliotwave counts.
VIX Elliot wave count and projections coming next.
RISK OFF is coming to the markets in a major way soon.
Stay tuned for the VIX count.
Cheers!
Cyrus
Ndxshort
NASDAQ at the end of its bull run ? WATCH OUT FOR 9.730$Here is my thought, we might be seeing a trend reversal on the nasdaq, to be confirmed on monday by :
- An opening much lower than friday's close creating a weekly gap,
- The definite crossing of the MA20 (which has been struck on friday),
- Crossing of 1H MA200 and 4H MA50,
- Crossing of daily RSI 50 value,
- Breaking the dotted pink support line.
Next supports are
- 9500$ (Fib .236 + daily MA50)
- 8900$ (Fib .382)
- 8500$ (Fib .5 + daily MA200).
8.500$ is my objective for now.
Stop loss : 10.150$
Short NasdaqThis market is manipulated to the point of being ludicrous.
When individual stocks are still being bought at P/Es well over 20 and RSIs approaching 80, it is no longer a market in which participants can believe.
Let's see...
Ongoing pandemic that is crippling both supply and demand globally? ✅
Nearly 50 million unemployed over the past 10 weeks? ✅
The worst, most widespread and prolonged civil unrest since the 1960s? ✅
Increasing tensions between the US and China? ✅
Stocks reaching unprecedented valuations? ✅
The contrast between the economy and the stock market has never been this stark before. Despite the worst economy in 100 years, stocks have soared over the past 2.5 months. Tesla is up 400% over the past year and has more than doubled in value YTD. Amazon has a P/E over 100. The Nasdaq is on the cusp on reaching new ATHs.
The Fed was desperate to prevent the coronavirus from popping the everything bubble, and their overreaction has now reinflated that bubble to new heights. This is NOT going to end well.
NDX / BTCJust noticing how the 2 have similar structures.
BTC is currently in a falling bull horn which implies $4500 incoming.
But NDX has a smaller correction coming to the 618.
But when the NDX began its rising wedge B4 the crash BTC formed this bull horn, but looks like both have a dump coming B4 another move up.
SOLD at Resistance 9300$ ( BIG CORRECTION COMING DAYS)Stock Pullback completed and coming weeks we will see a new round of sell-off.
All explanation on the chart please have a look entry
🛑SUPPORT/RESISTANCE
✅S1= 9000
✅S2=8400
✴️R1=9300
✴️R2=9700
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Nasdaq 100 CFD (4H) / Bullish Elliott Wave CountThe bullish count could be slammed if the S&P follows its red path. The relationship between NDX and SPX has been a bit strange since the bottom with NDX seemingly leading the SPX. In case of a systemic risk or market event, everything follows the VIX and SPX so beware.
Monthly Base Downside Crush 500+ points ( HARD SELL)Stock Pullback completed and coming weeks we will see new round of sell-off.
All explanation on the chart please have a look entry
🛑SUPPORT/RESISTANCE
✅S1= 9000
✅S2=8400
✴️R1=9300
✴️R2=9700
Please like, share, comments and follow me to get daily base analysis
Thank you for your support, I appreciate it.
Bitcoin to predict NDX down ?Could Bitcoin predict NDX?
In the past 6 months, it happens Bitcoin successfully predicts two pivot points of NDX.
It only takes 1 or 2 working days.
Now 5/7 Bitcoin turns again from $10,000 to $8,000~9,000.
Path 1: Bitcoin predicts NDX turn again (5/11) - 70% chance
Path 2: Bitcoin back to $10,000 up - 10% chance
Path 3: Bitcoin hooks off from NDX - 20% chance
How do you think?
We're going down short-term whether you're a bull or bear.We need a correction in the short term, whether we're going on to make new highs or lows. So the orange line is currently in play.
IF we are indeed in a new uptrend and going to make higher highs, we should see major support around 7,500 (which still implies -10% over the next couple weeks). And a 3-wave move on the downside
IF we are continuing the downtrend, we should see more bad days than good coming up for the markets.
Personally I plan to short this market until we get to major fib supports.
Then maybe take some profits and wait to see if we get a good positive reaction off those levels.
The counter trend up-rally over the last month has been solely based on central bank liquidity injections. Amazon just reported that they might report a loss for Q2 and Apple says they can't give direction.
Which = Uncertainty = negative for markets