BTC road to 28KHello everyone !
Now that Christmas is over we can start to go back to business, are you buying BTC? Are you afraid of loosing your opportunity?
Fear no more! Your favorite Youtube and Twitter influencers are out there to push you to buy BTC for 50K because it is cheap and bullish!
Ok, that was enough, do not buy anything green or far from support please.
Entry point for BTC could be 42K, or 28K.
BTC neckline will most likely not hold and this will bring us to the next major level of support which is 28K (Golden entry).
Have a nice trading week.
Neckline
AMB - Trend-Following Buy Setup!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
AMB is overall bullish and now approaching the lower brown trendline acting as non-horizontal support, so we will be looking for buy setups.
on H4: AMB is forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern , but it is still an idea.
Trigger => Waiting for the right shoulder to form then buy after a momentum candle close above the gray neckline.
Meanwhile, until the buy is activated, AMB would be overall bearish can still trade lower.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
DJI - Will support hold?DJ has been forming a roundish "top" / widening wedge. A sign of sluggish momentum for the past 6 months. It retested the "neckline" at around 3400 last week but once again it began to bounce off this neckline with a bullish divergence.
Despite the strong sell off in S&P and NQ last Friday, DJ was pretty much unfazed. I will not get overly concerned about US market weakness yet unless I start to see DJ breaking (with a decisive close below) this neckline.
Historically, the raising of interest rate is not necessarily bearish for the market (at least not at the first rate hike), although it would certainly create a short term knee jerk each time a rate hike is announced. It is only when the rates are raised beyond a certain % that markets may start to seriously loose momentum. Meaning we may have some months to go before we have to seriously concern with the possibility of a bear knocking at the door.
That said, I will still be erring on the side of bearishness if the neckline is breached in the near term.
Disclaimer: TA is about improving our odds of a successful trade (not a guarantee). This is just my own analysis and opinion for discussion and is not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Thank you. Do give me a thumbs up if you agree. Feel free to let me know what you think! :)
XNGUSD Technical analysis 4/12/2021This video consist the technical analysis of XNGUSD for the upoming week ( 6-10 December 2021) based on the price action. The market is now in down trend because it has broken and closed below both the neckline of head &shoulder pattern and the deep pullback support of the up trend.
The price is now at the broken resistance which could turn into support.
Bias
If the price consolidate at this area, it will be an indication that there sellers willing to continue pushing the price down or that there are no buyers to push the price up. In either case, we will trade breakout.
If the price forms a false breakout by forming a bullish candle which closes above the support, this will indicate the buyer's interest to push the market up. we will look for buying opportunities until we get a signal that the pullback is over and then we'll look for selling opportunities.
I hope you enjoyed this technical analysis and if you have a market which you want us to analyze with, just write it in the comment section or email us at info@ultimatetraders.rw.
May the market be with you!
Ciao.
Double Bottom on AUD/CAD @ W1This double bottom pattern has formed on the weekly chart of the AUD/CAD currency pair, signaling a potential reversal from the preceding downtrend. The two bottoms are marked with the yellow arcs; the neckline is marked with the yellow horizontal line. My potential entry level is at the cyan line. My potential take-profit level is at the green line. A stop-loss (not shown on the chart) can be set to the low of the breakout candle or to the low of the preceding candle if the breakout candle trades mostly outside of the pattern's borders.
SILVER REVERSED HEAD AND SHOULDERS FORMATIONSilver has formed huge reversed Head and Shoulders and we can see clear in the chart that XAGUSD made "Flat Top/Bottom" pattern also "Support and Resistace" has confirmed.
Metal as well is completing its pullback to the neckline, the target on the upwards side is 26$=27$.
The price broke yet another horizontal structure
Which indicates the inexhaustible strength of the bulls.
We can see breakout of the 25$ resistance and strong movement to 26.50$-28$
Same as GOLD , the metals are in Bullish mood.
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CHFJPY | Perspective for the new weekThe Swiss have been Bullish in the last 8 weeks and I suspect a temporary correction is evolving with anticipation of a rally continuation in the coming week(s). Therefore, we shall be looking for the completion of the reversal pattern sighted on the Daily chart to take advantage of a counter-trend opportunity this new week.
Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish)
Structure: Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (Head & Shoulder)
Observation: i. After hitting a peak @ JY125.500 at the beginning of this month, I observed that buyers lost momentum as this is evident in price action afterwards and this is assumed to be "quick sells" from participants who took advantage of the last Bullish run.
ii. Since the beginning of the month of November 2021, price continued to find lower highs which evolved into a Head and Shoulder look-a-like structure.
iii. Technically, the appearance of a head and shoulders pattern describes a specific chart formation that predicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal.
iv. Noticing a baseline with three peaks at this juncture in the market, where the outside two are close in height and the middle is highest requires a little more patient before a decision is made.
v. Below key level @ JY123.500 remains my yardstick for the bearish expectations; In this regard, we shall be awaiting confirmations for entry if the price falls below the support level @ JY123.500 (Key level) to signal Bearish tendency in the coming week(s).
vi. However, it is worthy to state here that the early hours/days of the new week might see price climb to test the Supply level I have identified around @ JY123.500/124.500 to incite further decline.
NB: Considering the fact that it is a Bullish trend from a long-term perspective it is appropriate that we remain conscious with locking profits at appropriate zones to avoid unexpected spikes that could incite rally continuation ... Trade consciously!😊
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 200 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:4
Potential Duration: 7 to 15days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
EURO/USD Technical AnalysisEuro still very weak against the USD, price tired to push a little bit to the upside but couldn't even reach the 0.5 fibo retracement (1.1715) level, I believe the selling pressure will continue to push the prices down. Recently price has created a double top at 1.19 and broke the neckline and the range of this double top pattern has a similar target with the fibo extension level -0.27 which is 1.1420 area which might act as support for a period of time before price sells off more.
USDHUF - Wait For The Trigger!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
USDHUF is sitting around a daily resistance in blue so we will be looking for sell setups.
on H4: USDHUF formed a head and shoulders pattern but it is not ready to go yet. Before we sell, we want the bears to prove control again.
Trigger => Waiting for a momentum candle close below the gray neckline to sell.
Until the sell is activated, USDHUF would be overall bullish and can still trade higher.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
GBP/USD Technical AnalysisStrong USD has also pushed the pound in a downtrend after 1.4250 double top and 1.3650 neckline has broke. I believe 1.3850 is the new swing high before the price creates another low below 1.34. On the long run I believe Pound will continue to be in a downtrend until it hits price 1.31 at a minimum and maybe continue from there.
A scale in opportunity & an entry if you missed the 1st impulseHello there traders
1-We can see a strong uptrend of the price since the beginning of 2021
2-A double top
3-Strong bearish impulsive moves from the price breaking the neckline & the uptrend
4-Sells were taken at the retest of the neckline & 0.5 Fibonacci
5-First TP achieved
6-Waiting for a scale in opportunity if the price retraces back to the area of interest ( Previous S turned R - 0.382 Fibo - 3rd touch on the descending trendline ) and shows rejection
***
Although I expect the pair to go beyond the target to reach the Violet colored Long-term ascending channel ,I'd rather take profits at the area around 1.92 and if bearish signs persist I may extend the last TP to around 1.9 with the position running risk-free
Thanks for your reading and trade safe everybody
USDCNH | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsWe witnessed a 1,000pips run in our direction since my last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purpose) and the confirmation of reversal set-up at the Breakout of Neckline (CNY 6.39500) during last week trading session is the final straw that broke the camel's back for me.
Higher US bond yields and hawkish Fed expectations shine the light of hope on the Greenback and we could witness a continued bullish momentum as investors brace for the Fed's meeting next week.
Tendency: Uptrend (Bullish)
Structure: Breakout | Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (Double Bottom)
Observation: i. It has been a mix of Bearish momentum for the USD since the beginning of this year.
ii. Finding a bottom twice at CNY6.36800 within the month of October 2021 - this level in recent time sharing memory for Demand (May 2021) could be an opportunity to take advantage of a short term rally.
iii. Double Bottom: The appearance of an extremely bullish technical reversal pattern describing a change in trend and a momentum reversal from prior leading price action may not be a coincidence.
iv. And since testing the demand zone the second time, the price continued to find higher highs that culminated in a Breakout of Neckline @ CNY6.39500 on Friday to signify the potential direction majority might be heading in the coming week.
v. With this development in place, it will be appropriate that we take advantage of this potential rally at the retest of Neckline.
vi. The early hours/days of the new week might witness a further plunge in price to test the Neckline @ CNY6.39500 or below to incite Trend continuation.
vii. Hence, above the Neckline remains a comfortable level to take a long position on this pair.
NB: Please note that the narrative so far supports a temporary bullish momentum and this is so after putting into consideration the long term downtrend perspective... Trade consciously!😊
Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 300 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:4
Potential Duration: 2 to 7days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
BTCUSDT Daily head & Shoulders and huge dump if neckline breakAs we can see price is forming a strong reversal pattern and if this pattern gets completed we can expect a huge dump for Bitcoin.
Only after breaking the neckline that is 60K support price can fall hard else if these local supports here remains valid we can expect blue range zone and some more range here.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision ))
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H&S break of neckline and retestA very promising shorting opportunity at EUR JPY after a recent H&S pattern formation. Targets above the right shoulder and targets around the 130.91 level as this is a level where the price consolidated in the past. We also have the 50% retracement confluence after taking into consideration the most recent swing high to swing low. If we pay attention to the RSI we can also notice the price has recently went into the oversold territory which relates to a push to the upside and a retest of the neckline is likely - this will offer a better opportunity for entry.
USDCHF | Perspective for the new weekThe probability of the Greenback to do a substantial drop in the coming week(s) seems to be high following the appearance of a reversal pattern in the structure of a Head and Shoulder on the Daily chart.
Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish)
Structure: Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (Head & Shoulder)
Observation: i. As far back as 2010, It is interesting to observe how the Fr0.92400 zone has been a major determinant of the direction of price action as soon as it is broken or tested (See your weekly chart for reference purposes).
ii. Since the price broke above the Key level @ Fr0.92400, it has been difficult for buyers to continue with the same momentum as the Fr0.93700 level was met with sharp rejections that led to lower highs.
iii. Head & Shoulder: a baseline with three peaks, where the outside two are close in height and the middle is highest.
iv. The appearance of a Head & Shoulder at this juncture in the market describes a specific chart formation that predicts that a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal is imminent.
v. In this regard, I shall be looking forward to a Breakdown/Retest of Neckline which is also a significant Key level in the coming week for confirmations.
vi. This being said, the early hours/days of the new week might see a rise into the New Supply level indicated on the chart before the decline begins. However, it is most comfortable to have a position below the Neckline to join the potential decline... Trade consciously!😊
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:3
Potential Duration: 4 to 10days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
BLZ seems to be short-term bearishThis is clearly a head and shoulders pattern forming up on the BLZ price chart. I will be expecting this to dump till reaching its golden ratio which is 0.176 range if it breaks the neckline and retests. Also depends on where BTC moves. Cuz in this situation, alts follow where BTC heading to.
Happy Trading!