Necklinebreak
DHLF: waiting for bullish breakout of Inverse Head & Shoulder DHLF was in range bound or in consolidation from the NOV. 2017 to till date, in that process a DHLF has formed a classic bullish pattern called as Inverse Head and Shoulder Pattern. now price are almost trading on supply side and waiting for breakout out from the neck line of Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern, if breakout occur with follow through , we can see min. target of Rs around 820 to 850 in short time frame of three to four month
Trade Setup
time frame : Daily
Go long above 680 to 690
initial Stop loss Below 640
initial target : 820 to 850
Learn To Identify & Trade The Head & Shoulders Pattern Properly.Head & Shoulders Pattern
1. Introduction
2. Definition
3. Qualities
4. Example
5. Conclusion
1. Introduction
I realize the Head & Shoulders pattern is a common pattern most traders know. However, I feel that too many traders don't identify them properly nor realize the actual makeup of a H & S.
There are two types of Head & Shoulders: Inverse, and regular.
According to samuraitradingacademy.com accuracy for the Head & Shoulders Pattern is 83.04% & Inverted Head & Shoulders Pattern is 83.44% . In crypto though it may be lower due to volume volatility. For this educational idea I am using an old example of a H & S and will be only providing examples for a bearish H & S. The same rules apply for a inverse. I am quoting sites here that I will link.
2. Definition
A Head and Shoulders reversal pattern forms after an uptrend, and its completion marks a trend reversal. The pattern contains three successive peaks with the middle peak (head) being the highest and the two outside peaks (shoulders) being low and roughly equal. The reaction lows of each peak can be connected to form support, or a neckline.
As its name implies, the Head and Shoulders reversal pattern is made up of a left shoulder, a head, a right shoulder, and a neckline. Other parts playing a role in the pattern are volume, the breakout, price target and support turned resistance. We will look at each part individually, and then put them together with a example.
3. Qualities
Prior Trend : It is important to establish the existence of a prior uptrend for this to be a reversal pattern. Without a prior uptrend to reverse, there cannot be a Head and Shoulders reversal pattern (or any reversal pattern for that matter).
Left Shoulder : While in an uptrend, the left shoulder forms a peak that marks the high point of the current trend. After making this peak, a decline ensues to complete the formation of the shoulder (1). The low of the decline usually remains above the trend line, keeping the uptrend intact.
Head : From the low of the left shoulder, an advance begins that exceeds the previous high and marks the top of the head. After peaking, the low of the subsequent decline marks the second point of the neckline (2). The low of the decline usually breaks the uptrend line, putting the uptrend in jeopardy.
Right Shoulder : The advance from the low of the head forms the right shoulder. This peak is lower than the head (a lower high) and usually in line with the high of the left shoulder. While symmetry is preferred, sometimes the shoulders can be out of whack. The decline from the peak of the right shoulder should break the neckline.
Neckline : The neckline forms by connecting low points 1 and 2. Low point 1 marks the end of the left shoulder and the beginning of the head. Low point 2 marks the end of the head and the beginning of the right shoulder. Depending on the relationship between the two low points, the neckline can slope up, slope down or be horizontal. The slope of the neckline will affect the pattern's degree of bearishness—a downward slope is more bearish than an upward slope. Sometimes more than one low point can be used to form the neckline.
Volume : As the Head and Shoulders pattern unfolds, volume plays an important role in confirmation. Volume can be measured as an indicator (OBV, Chaikin Money Flow) or simply by analyzing volume levels. Ideally, but not always, volume during the advance of the left shoulder should be higher than during the advance of the head. This decrease in volume and the new high of the head, together, serve as a warning sign. The next warning sign comes when volume increases on the decline from the peak of the head, then decreases during the advance of the right shoulder. Final confirmation comes when volume further increases during the decline of the right shoulder.
Euro drop - ICH is behind usThe Euro has topped its pullback from recent lows at 1.21400 and is now free to continue to drop. Of course, its the USD strengthening ahead of Tuesday's FOMC. Is it possible the long term monthly bull rise has completed and we saw of ICH? If yes, this drop can be significant. On the hourly the sideways slide has been broken to the downside with the neckline broken then backtested. Terrific risk reward on a short entry.
Short Entry: 1.21375
Target 1: 1.20700 (most recent low)
Target 2: 1.19500