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Necklinetrader

EURUSD | Perspective for the new week In the wake of a stronger than expected US labour market report for October 2021, the Euro appear to be taking a bounce from fresh annual lows under $1.1520. Despite citing a Double Top pattern with a successful Breakdown of Neckline confirming a reversal pattern, I am looking forward to taking a "quick" countertrend in the coming week with my eyes still on the long-term expectation of a Bearish momentum evolving. Tendency: Uptrend (Bullish) Structure: Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (Double Bottom) Observation: i. Since the beginning of September 2021, the Euro recorded a 3.39% drop against the Dollar and this is represented by the prior leading price action (Bearish Impulse leg). ii. And since hitting bottom around $1.15200, the Bearish momentum appears to fizzle out as Buyers find what looks like a Demand level at this zone in the last 6 weeks to incite a Correction phase. iii. It is also appropriate to note here that finding a bottom in a zone ($1.15200 area) that has a memory as far back as 2017 for the demand for Euro might not be a coincidence and seems to be a very good opportunity to take a "quick" countertrend😊. iv. With recent structure and considering the Double Top pattern identified on the Weekly chart, I suspect that this potential correction phase will stall at the Neckline zone to incite a risk of further decline for the Euro. v. Double Bottom: We do have a highly bullish technical reversal pattern forming at this juncture in the market with structure revealing a change in trend and a momentum reversal from the prior leading price action (major downtrend). vi. Even as we await a confirmation which will happen if the price breaks out of resistance level @ $1.16750 (Neckline of potential Double Bottom) which equals the high between the two prior lows; I am willing to take a long position at a break and stay above of $1.16100 with an opportunity to add to the existing position at a Breakout/Retest of Neckline in the coming week(s)... Trade consciously!😊 Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:4 Potential Duration: 5 to 12days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
8
NZDUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsWe experienced close to 100pips move in our direction following my last speculation on this pair (see link below for reference purposes) and a Breakdown of Demand structure (a level that held price "supported" throughout last month) early in the month of November 2021 insinuates that the Kiwi might witness a risk of further decline in the coming week(s). From a fundamental perspective; a stronger than expected U.S. jobs report might bring the Fed closer to a rate hike which could put further pressure on the NZD/USD in the coming week(s), Let's see! Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish) Structure: Breakdown | Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (Double Top look-a-like) Observation: i. After breaking out of Double Bottom Neckline on the 14th of October 2021 (see daily chart ), the Kiwi recorded a 3.42% growth over the Dollar to set the tone for a Bullish momentum in the long term. ii. However, after testing a temporary peak @ $0.72190, the price took a gradual nose dive, leading to a significant Breakdown of Key level during last week trading session. iii. As expected, I stated in my last speculation on this pair (see link below) that we should be getting ready for a possible correction phase of the Impulse leg which might retest the Neckline of the Double Bottom that instigated the previous rally (see daily chart) to confirm a trend continuation setup. iv. The appearance of a highly bearish technical reversal pattern on the chart which looks like a Double Top at $0.72190 & $0.72180 followed by a couple of Breakdowns of $0.71300 in the last week could be a sign that emphasizes the selling pressure accumulating under the Key level. iv. In this regard, I shall be looking out for selling opportunities below Key level with an opportunity to add to my existing position should price Breakdown/retest of $0.70850... Trade consciously!😊 NB: It is very possible that the early hours/days of the new week might see a price climb into the Supply zone cited within $0.71850/0.71550 to incite further decline. Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 120 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:4 Potential Duration: 3 to 7days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
USDCNH | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsWe witnessed a 1,000pips run in our direction since my last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purpose) and the confirmation of reversal set-up at the Breakout of Neckline (CNY 6.39500) during last week trading session is the final straw that broke the camel's back for me. Higher US bond yields and hawkish Fed expectations shine the light of hope on the Greenback and we could witness a continued bullish momentum as investors brace for the Fed's meeting next week. Tendency: Uptrend (Bullish) Structure: Breakout | Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (Double Bottom) Observation: i. It has been a mix of Bearish momentum for the USD since the beginning of this year. ii. Finding a bottom twice at CNY6.36800 within the month of October 2021 - this level in recent time sharing memory for Demand (May 2021) could be an opportunity to take advantage of a short term rally. iii. Double Bottom: The appearance of an extremely bullish technical reversal pattern describing a change in trend and a momentum reversal from prior leading price action may not be a coincidence. iv. And since testing the demand zone the second time, the price continued to find higher highs that culminated in a Breakout of Neckline @ CNY6.39500 on Friday to signify the potential direction majority might be heading in the coming week. v. With this development in place, it will be appropriate that we take advantage of this potential rally at the retest of Neckline. vi. The early hours/days of the new week might witness a further plunge in price to test the Neckline @ CNY6.39500 or below to incite Trend continuation. vii. Hence, above the Neckline remains a comfortable level to take a long position on this pair. NB: Please note that the narrative so far supports a temporary bullish momentum and this is so after putting into consideration the long term downtrend perspective... Trade consciously!😊 Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 300 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:4 Potential Duration: 2 to 7days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
NZDUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsMy last speculation on this pair earned us over 200pips before the Bullish momentum began (see link below for reference purposes); Despite a long term Bullish perspective, I am beginning to see a short term opportunity to do a temporary sell on the Kiwi in the coming week as the Bears gear to step into the game. Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish) Structure: Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (Double Top) Observation: i. After breaking out of Double Bottom Neckline on the 14th of October 2021 (see daily chart), the Kiwi recorded a 3.42% growth over the Dollar to set the tone for a Bullish momentum in the long term. ii. As it is now, it appears we are about to witness a correction phase into the Double Bottom Neckline (see daily chart) to incite a bullish trend continuation. iii. Double Top: An extremely bearish technical reversal pattern forming after price tested a peak two consecutive times with a moderate decline between the two highs ($0.72100/0.71900) is an emphatic signal that awaits confirmation in the mode of a fall below the support level which is also equal to the low between the two prior highs (Neckline @ $0.71500). iv. At this juncture, the Breakdown/Retest of the identified Neckline shall welcome an opportunity to open a position in the coming week. v. In the midst of a potential Breakout/Retest of Neckline, there is a possibility that the price might do a climb to test the identified "New Supply level" within $0.71800/0.71500 in the early hours/days of the new week to incite further decline in price... Trade consciously!😊 Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:5 Potential Duration: 4 to 10days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
EURJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsWith over 400pips in the kitty from our last speculation on this pair (see link below for reference purposes); It appears that the correction of the Impulse leg has begun following the Breakdown of JY132.800 and JY132.300 level respectively. As the Euro runs out of steam against a potentially strong Yen from a short term perspective, the current position in the market is laced with some warning signals that proposes a near-term short position in the coming week(s). Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish) Structure: Supply & Demand | Trendline | Reversal pattern (Head & Shoulder) Observation: i. Since mid-September 2021, the Euro recorded a 4.34% growth over the Yen to set the tone for a Bullish momentum in the long term. ii. And since hitting a peak @ JY133.500 during last week trading session, we witnessed a downward spiral that evolved into a Head & Shoulder look-a-like with an emphatic signal for a reversal. iii. Head & Shoulder: The appearance of a baseline with three peaks, where the outside two are close in height and the middle is highest reveal the possibility of the risk of a further decline in price in the coming week which could also be a correction of the Bullish momentum that began in September 2021. iv. With the recent Breakdown of the JY132.200 (a level that held price "supported" in the last 7 days) on Friday sets the pace for the Bears as confirmation of the Head & Shoulder pattern appears to be sealed! v. The early hours/days of the new week might see a price climb to test the Neckline of Reversal pattern @ JY132.300 or climb as far as JY132.800 which is within the New Supply niche identified on the chart to incite further decline. vi. Coupled with the Key level, the Bearish Trendline should serve as a yardstick to mitigate against taking an unnecessary short position in the coming week(s). vi. Please note that the Bearish narrative is believed to be a short term perspective aiming at a rejection of Neckline of the Double Bottom sighted on the Daily/Weekly time frame (see link below for previous publication in the link below for reference purposes) for a Bullish continuation hence it is appropriate that we stay on alert for unsuspecting Bullish incitation considering the facts that this is a long-term Bullish expectation ... Trade consciously!😊 Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 180 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:5 Potential Duration: 2 to 5days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new weekDespite long-term Bullish expectations on this pair, the Pound appears to be on the verge of a slide amidst Brexit trade deal worries. The identification of reversal candles in the last days of last week trading session is a reflection of the news informing the possibility that the European Union could terminate the post-Brexit trade deal if the U.K.'s disagreement on the Northern Ireland border deepens. With price action contained within a Descending channel in the last four months, I look forward to the breakdown of the confluence - Key level @ $1.37500 and Bullish Trendline to short the Pound in the coming week(s). Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish) Structure: Supply & Demand | Descending Channel | Trendline | Reversal pattern (Double Top) Observation: i. Since the beginning of the month of October 2021, the Pound rode on a Bullish Trendline to test the $1.38350 zone during last week trading session. ii. The visual representation of a support line drawn under pivot lows revealed the prevailing direction and momentum of price action in the last three weeks. iii. However the appearance of a reversal set-up on the lower time frame immediately price hit the $1.385000 zone could be a clue that we might be on the verge of a risk of further decline in price. iv. Double Top: As stated above, the extremely bearish technical reversal pattern in play after the price reached a peak two consecutive times ($1.38350 & $1.38320 respectively) with a moderate decline between the two highs is awaiting further confirmation in the form of a breakdown of Neckline @ $1.37500 which is also a Key level. v. In the coming week, it is appropriate that we look out for further confirmation which will happen if the price falls below the confluence of a Key level and bullish trendline @ $1.37500 (Neckline of Double Top) - a level which also equals the low between the two prior highs. vi. It is also worthy to state here the significance of the overall Bearish set-up after the price broke below the $1.9500 zone in mid-June 2021. This level later witnessed multiple rejections that sent price spiralling downwards within a descending channel. vii. Connecting the lower highs and lower lows of price action with parallel trendlines since the beginning of June 2021 is a consolidation phase that reveals an underlying downward trend masked within a Descending channel. vi. In this regard, I shall be looking forward to taking a short position below the key level @ $1.37500 in the coming week to be on the safe side with an opportunity to add to the existing position at a Breakdown/Retest of $1.36000. NB: All this been said, it is pertinent to state that if price breaks out of Channel to the upside the narrative so far shall remain invalid as a correction of the Breakout shall signal an opportunity to join a potential rally... Trade consciously!😊 Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 250 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:4 Potential Duration: 4 to 10days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
6
H&S break of neckline and retestA very promising shorting opportunity at EUR JPY after a recent H&S pattern formation. Targets above the right shoulder and targets around the 130.91 level as this is a level where the price consolidated in the past. We also have the 50% retracement confluence after taking into consideration the most recent swing high to swing low. If we pay attention to the RSI we can also notice the price has recently went into the oversold territory which relates to a push to the upside and a retest of the neckline is likely - this will offer a better opportunity for entry.
Short
by Rafal001
USDCHF | Perspective for the new weekThe probability of the Greenback to do a substantial drop in the coming week(s) seems to be high following the appearance of a reversal pattern in the structure of a Head and Shoulder on the Daily chart. Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish) Structure: Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (Head & Shoulder) Observation: i. As far back as 2010, It is interesting to observe how the Fr0.92400 zone has been a major determinant of the direction of price action as soon as it is broken or tested (See your weekly chart for reference purposes). ii. Since the price broke above the Key level @ Fr0.92400, it has been difficult for buyers to continue with the same momentum as the Fr0.93700 level was met with sharp rejections that led to lower highs. iii. Head & Shoulder: a baseline with three peaks, where the outside two are close in height and the middle is highest. iv. The appearance of a Head & Shoulder at this juncture in the market describes a specific chart formation that predicts that a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal is imminent. v. In this regard, I shall be looking forward to a Breakdown/Retest of Neckline which is also a significant Key level in the coming week for confirmations. vi. This being said, the early hours/days of the new week might see a rise into the New Supply level indicated on the chart before the decline begins. However, it is most comfortable to have a position below the Neckline to join the potential decline... Trade consciously!😊 Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:3 Potential Duration: 4 to 10days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
1
AUDUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsSince my last publication on this pair, the price moved 150pipos in our direction before the reversal began (see link below for reference purposes). The Greenback 5-months winning streak appears to have come to end. The appearance of a Double Bottom pattern coupled with the relaxation of COVID-19 restrictions in Sydney, Australia’s most populated city after a four-month lockdown appears to bring hopes for the Aussie in the coming week(s). Tendency: Uptrend (Bullish) Structure: Supply & Demand | Trendline | Reversal pattern (Double Bottom) Observation: i. The visual representation of a line drawn over pivot highs revealed the momentum and prevailing direction of price action in the last 5 months. ii. Since the beginning of the year 2021 (February to be precise), we witnessed a downward spiral in price action until the price hit a bottom around $0.71 - a level that appears to be difficult for sellers to break down. iii. Following the test of $0.71 on the 20th of August 2021; the price found a higher low to signal the possibility of a reversal, the beginning of a potential uptrend and at the same time raise the expectation of a Double Bottom structure. iv. The appearance of a Double Bottom pattern is an extremely strong reversal pattern that describes a change in trend and a momentum reversal from prior leading major or minor downtrend. v. The Breakout of Bearish Trendline on the 11th of October 2021, gives more credibility to the Bullish bias as we anticipate a Breakout of Neckline @$0.74000 in the coming week(s) for confirmation details. vi. In case a correction happens in the early hours/days of the new week, I have identified a window on the chart for buying opportunities between $0.73000 7 $0.74000 with an opportunity to add to our existing position at Breakout/Retest of Neckline... Trade consciously!😊 Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 250 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:4 Potential Duration: 5 to 10days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
USDCAD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsAs price moved in our direction since my last publication on this pair, we scooped over 350pips (see link below for reference purposes) before the reversal setup began. As at the moment, it appears that we are on the verge of a risk of further decline in the coming week(s) as the Dollar lost all it gained during the month of September 2021 and with the appearance of Head & Shoulder look alike, the possibility of a reversal increases. The Greenback may continue to decline in the coming week as the U.S. yields dropped despite stronger than expected inflation and consumer spending. Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish) Structure: Supply & Demand | Trendline | Reversal pattern (Head and Shoulder) Observation: i. The Loonie has been on a downward spiral since mid last year and the appearance of a reversal pattern at exactly 38.2% retracement of the Bearish Impulse leg cited on the weekly chart might be a signal confirming a risk of further decline in the coming week(s). ii. The visual representation of a line drawn under pivot lows reveals the bullish momentum of price action since the month of June 2021 but a drop in momentum can be seen in the recent pivot point as the price did not launch as high as the previous before the second breakdown of Trendline. iii. A baseline noted on the chart with three peaks, where the outside two are close in height and the middle is highest describes a specific formation that predicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal. iv. Completion of the reversal pattern can be confirmed at Breakdown/Retest of Neckline in the coming week as below C$1.26300 remains a comfortable level to sell the Dollar. v. It is worthy to note that C$1.263000 has a memory for selling opportunities in recent times (April 2021). vi. A Breakdown of the Neckline and Key level is a confluence for selling opportunities in the coming week with an option to add to our existing position at Breakdown/Retest of C$1.25000 level. NB: It is very possible that the projected decline in price might be a short term trend... Trade consciously!😊 Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 300 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:4 Potential Duration: 3 to 10days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
GBPCHF | Perspective for the new weekThe British Pound appears to be staging a recovery since finding a bottom at Fr1.25000. The appearance of a Double Bottom within a strong Demand zone (Fr1.25000) which have a holding memory since July 2021 signals a rally should price Breakout/retest our Neckline (Key level @ Fr1.26000) in the coming week(s). Tendency: Uptrend (Bullish) Structure: Supply & Demand | Trendline | Reversal pattern (Double Bottom) Observation: i. It has been a Bearish run for the Pound since mid-September 2021. ii. The trend can easily be recognized after connecting a series of pivot highs together since the 20th of September 2021. iii. Trendline: The visual representation of a line drawn over pivot highs reveals the prevailing direction and speed of price action in the last couple of weeks. However, the price inability to break below Fr1.25000 during last week trading sessions says a lot about the preference of the majority in the market as indecision increases regarding selling the Pound for the Swissy. iii. Double Bottom: The appearance of an extremely bullish technical reversal pattern within a zone that has continue to be a critical spot for the high demand of the Pound (since July 2021) gives more credibility to my Bullish bias. iv. Completion of the reversal pattern is confirmed at Breakout/Retest of Neckline, a zone that also serves as a Key level. v. The early hours/days of the new week might see a plunge into the Fr1.25600 zone (represented on the chart in blue) before the rally continues. vi. This been said and as I continue to look forward to a successful breakout of Bearish trendline, above Key level @ Fr1.26000 remains a window to take advantage of the potential rally in the coming week(s)... Trade consciously!😊 Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 200 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:4 Potential Duration: 7 to 14days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
EURJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsIt's been 3 weeks since my last publication on this pair and my bias remains bullish (see link below for reference purposes). Rejection of Y130.500 a couple of times at the beginning of the month (September 2021) resulted in a further decline which tested the Y128.000 zone to form a double bottom structure with hopes of Neckline Breakout in the coming week(s). Even though the currency pair was under the control of the sellers in the past two weeks, the rejection of Y128.000 for the second time in the space of 30days is a reflection that the Demand is strong at this juncture in the market. Tendency: Uptrend (Bullish) Structure: Breakout | Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (Double Bottom & Trendline retest) Observation: i. Bearish Trendline: A visual representation of a line drawn over pivot highs revealed the prevailing direction and speed of price in the last two months. ii. With selling pressure respecting the Bearish Trendline since June 2021, the sudden Breakout of Trendline on Thursday (25th of August 2021) appears to have incited the idea that sellers are gradually losing their momentum hereby giving room for buyers to take their stance. iii. Following the rejection of Y130.500; we witness a confluence at Y128.000 (a psychological level) which is characterized by the retest of Bearish Trendline and Demand zone to evolve into a Double Bottom pattern. iv. The appearance of a Double Bottom (an extremely bullish technical reversal pattern) at this juncture in the market is a positive sign to go LONG should continue to remain above the Demand zone (Y128.000). v. Double Bottom: is a technical charting pattern that emphasizes s a change in trend and a momentum reversal from prior leading price action. vi. Y128.000 level can be identified on the chart as a significant level that has held price strongly "supported" ( Demand zone ) since March 2021 hereby giving me a conviction that another bullish momentum is right at the corner with confirmation at Breakout/Retest of Neckline @ Y130.500. vii. In this regard, I have identified a Key level @ Y129.000 to be a yardstick for opportunities in the coming week(s) as anywhere below this level negates the narratives. viii. For those with an extremely cautious approach to trading, a Breakout/Retest of Neckline @ Y130.500 should be the most appropriate confirmation to join the potential rally... Trade consciously!😊 Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 350 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:5 Potential Duration: 12 to 20 days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
GBPAUD | Perspective for the new weekThe continuation of bearish pressures appears to be emphasized at the AU$1.89150/1.89550 area. Since late August 2021, it can be observed that price continue to reject this area as buyers find it difficult to push prices further. Following a continued rejection of AU$1.8950 which also makes a confluence at exactly 61.8% retracement of prior bearish momentum and the disappointing UK Retail Sales report failing to boost the British pound across major pairs, I see an opportunity to t ake a bearish bias on this pair in the coming week(s). Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish) Structure: Breakdown | Supply & Demand | Trendline | Reversal pattern (61.8% retracement) Observation: i. The line drawn under pivot lows is a visual representation of the support level which reveals the prevailing direction of price action since the beginning of September 2021. ii. As far back as April 2019, the AU$1.89150/1.89550 is a zone that has a memory for bearish momentum. iii. The Bullish Trendline guided price back to AU$1.89350 during last week trading session to form a Double Top look-a-like. iv. Double Top: Having an extremely bearish technical reversal pattern right inside a Supply zone appears to be a signal that a risk of a further decline in price is imminent as long as the price breaks below AU$1.88400 (Neckline) in the coming week(s). v. Below Key level @ AU$1.88950 remains a comfortable zone to sell the Pound for the Aussie in the coming week(s). vi. A further breakdown/retest of AU$1.88400 welcomes an opportunity to add to our existing position... Trade consciously!😊 Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 250 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:5 Potential Duration: 2 to 7days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
2
BTCUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsIt took a whole 3 months for the price to move over 17,000 pips in our direction since my last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purposes); that is approximately 83.7% growth in 3months! And following the sudden loss of $10,000 during last week trading session (7th of Sept 2021 to be precise), the price has remained untypically stable with high hopes of breaking the $46,000 landmark (Key level) in the coming week(s) and this feat (Breakout) could possibly incite a significant rally. Tendency: Uptrend (Bullish) Structure: Breakout | Supply & Demand | Trendline | Reversal pattern (Double Bottom) Observation: i. Since price broke above and retest our Neckline @ $40,000 in August 2021, we have witnessed a 41.65% growth to hit a peak @ $53,000. ii. The line drawn under pivot lows is a visual representation of increasing demand for BTC and this also reveals the prevailing direction of price action in the last two and a half months. iii. At the time of writing this report, the price is presently at $45,900 and the current price sharing a confluence with the pre-existing Trendline could be another clue for a rally continuation if the Trendline is not broken to the downside. iv. At this juncture in the market, we can not ignore the possibility that the Trendline can be broken to the downside and if this happens, I have identified a range around $38,000/42,000 for the opportunity to take advantage of the trend continuation hence patience is key. v. This been said and considering volatility expectations, breakout/retest of the Key level at $46,000 remains comfortable for me to take a long position on this pair in the coming week... Trade consciously!😊 Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 18,000 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:6 Potential Duration: 12 to 25days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by darcsherry
1
NZDUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsIt's over 300pips move in our direction since my last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purposes) and the appearance of a Double Top pattern is leaving me with no choice but to look out for Bearish momentum in the coming week(s). There is high hope for the Greenback in the nearest future as the focus remains on the Fed tapering timeline Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish) Structure: Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (Double Top) Observation: i. The Kiwi enjoyed a tremendous 5.33% gain over the Dollar in the last 3 weeks but appears to have found Resistance @ $0.71700 which gave rise to a Double Top structure. ii. Double Top: An extremely bearish technical reversal pattern forms after price tested the peak ($0.717000/0.71600) two consecutive times with a moderate decline between the two highs with confirmation awaiting us if the price falls below the Demand level which is equal to the low between the two prior highs. iii. The appearance of a couple of shooting star candlesticks on the last trading days of last week further emphasizes the expectation of a plunge in the coming week(s). iv. Shooting star: the price tried to rise significantly during the last two days (9th/10th Sept 2021), but then the sellers took over and pushed the price back down. iii. Even as we remain patient for confirmation in the Breakdown of Neckline, I am comfortable being in this trade anywhere below Key level @ $0.71200... Trade consciously!😊 Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:5 Potential Duration: 5 to 10days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
2
GBPNZD | Perspective for the new weekThe price dipped over 200pips in our direction since the last speculation before the rally began (see link below for reference purposes) and following an emphatic downward spiral that lasted 3 weeks, it appears we are at a juncture in the market that suggests that price is on the verge to reverse. Tendency: Uptrend (Bullish) Structure: Breakout | Supply & Demand | Trendline | Reversal pattern (Triple Bottom) Observation: i. It has been a Bearish run for the Pound since mid-August, 2021 before it found a bottom at @ NZ$1.93300. ii. The line drawn over pivot highs is a visual representation revealing the prevailing direction of price action in the last couple of weeks. iii. Since finding the bottom, the price has gone through a consolidation phase that culminated into what appears to be a successful breakout of Key level @ NZ$1.94250 (Neckline) during last week trading session. iv. A successful Breakout of the dominant Bearish Trend is a clue that Buyers are beginning to gain momentum. iv. There is a retest of NZ$1.93900 following the Breakout on the 9th of Sept. 2021. v. Depending on how the event unfolds when the market resumes next week, the rejection of NZ$1.93900 could be a signal for a rally continuation. vi. The early hours/days of the new week might see a price plunge into NZ$1.93800 - a level that has been tested more than a couple of times since the beginning of the month (Sept 2021) before the rally begins. vii. This been said, above Key level @ NZ$1.94250 remains a comfortable area for me to go long in the coming week(s) with an opportunity to add to my existing position at Breakout/Retest of NZ$1.94750... Trade consciously!😊 Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 300 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:5 Potential Duration: 5 to 10days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
USDCNH | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsEven though we held on to a 400pips move in our direction since my last publication on this pair; a sudden breakdown of Channel and Trendline coupled with the appearance of a Head & Shoulder pattern (see previous publication in the link below for reference purposes) insinuates a bearish momentum is imminent. Further consolidation amidst a mixed outlook remains the perspective of the market in the last couple of months and the momentum garnered by the buyers (correction phase) appears to be thinning out as the successful breakdown of Bullish Trendline insinuates a risk of further decline for the Greenback in the coming week(s). Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish) Structure: Breakdown | Trendline | Reversal pattern (Head & Shoulder/61.8% retracement) Observation: i. The Bearish Impulse which started in April 2021 went through a correction phase in the last 3 months to culminate @ CNY6.5300 area - an area that coincides with a 61.8% retracement of AB Leg. ii. The appearance of a baseline with three peaks, where the outside two are close in height and the middle is highest reveals a Head & Shoulders pattern describing a formation that predicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal. iii. During the course of last week trading session, we witnessed a significant rejection of CNY6.51000 level (2nd Head) which led to a confluence characterized by a breakdown of both Trendline and Key level @ CNY6.48500 hereby inciting a Bearish potential for me. iv. In as much as I am comfortable taking a sell position anywhere below my Key level, the degree of accuracy to this bias is expected to be confirmed once the price breaks down the Neckline @ CNY6.45000. v. A further breakdown of the Neckline might transpose into a Harmonic pattern (AB = CD) with extensions of CD leg aiming at CNY6.28000 area (127.2%) and a window to add to our existing position at Breakdown/Retest of CNY6.42000... Trade consciously!😊 Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 750 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:6 Potential Duration: 7 to 14days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry