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NEM

XAG/XAU: Long silver and short gold long termWe can take this trade Tim West pinpointed today, since gold retrace slightly and silver hasn't yet, this is an ideal entry for both trades. You should size them using 3 times the daily ATR, to risk a full position on each side. This keeps positions volatility adjusted on each leg of the pair. Hold it, long term, possibly past December 2016. Gold looks like an intermediate term top here, so it's a fairly safe trade. A good alternative is short NEM/long SLV, which looks to be more overextended even, but the main indicator is this chart right here. Don't set any stops in this trade, just calculate your position size for each leg, based on ATR. Tim West suggested this trade today in the KHL chatroom, and now seems like the perfect time to take it. If interested in my trading signals, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year. Cheers, Link to Tim West's chatroom: www.tradingview.com We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
FX:XAGUSDLong
by IvanLabrie
14
Gold Miners Could Pullback Before Resumption of Trend.Gold prices have been volatile, flucuating between $1,275 and $1,220 as markets remain indecisive on what stance to take: is the Federal Reserve going to continue hiking assuming the economy will "gradually improve," or with traders continue to look for safer locations to place there cash? According to recent capital flow data, the GLD has seen redemption as market participants choose to overlook the weakening global economy and its implications. Nevertheless, with inflows into risk ETFs like SPY and HYG, gold miners could see their shares pull back from this historic gold run. Technically, after GDX broke out of a longer-term downtrend, price action began to oscillate within a narrow ascending channel. Prices are likely to pullback to channel and price action support of $19.80, while a confirmed break (or daily close below support), miners could fall to $18.85 and, potentially, $17.85 - also nearing the 50-day EMA. However, if the popular mining ETFs can remain above support, price action could challenge $21.88 and $23.03. Overall price action and trend momentum still remain rather supportive to the upside. Please feel free to comment and share charts! And follow me @Lemieux_26 Check my posts out at: bullion.directory www.investing.com www.teachingcurrencytrading.com oilpro.com
AMEX:GDX
by CommoditiesTrader
Gold to $8,000?Despite what so-called gold bugs have been trying to predict for years, it still remains seen how valuable the most "hated" asset on Wall Street can be. Calls of $10- or $50,000 gold have made headlines and often laughs, but when investors take into account the supporting fundamentals, gold can be extremely beneficial during these centrally-planned economies. Recently, Pierre Lassonde said that gold could have the potential to reach $8,000 per ounce when looking at the gold-to-Dow ratio. He mentions how tangible assets tend to regain parity after previous bull-markets, and the potential for his forecast is supported if the gold-to-Dow ratio his .5 while expressing that the quick and expansive adaptation of NIRP will fuel the fire. As central banks continue to ease ($12.3 trillion in quantitative easing and 650 rate cuts since the financial crisis), there is a potential for a prolonged bull market in gold. As I noted in "Demand for Gold Rockets Higher ," if the renewed momentum were to match nominal gains investors seen between 2009-2011, spot prices would near $2,230 - which is not $8,000 but very respectable. The 1.61 Fib. extension from the current multi-year low and the 2011 high is $2,460. In " Gold Looks Promising Long Term ," I posted last February that the longer-term outlook for the yellow metal remains in tact. Price action continued to trend in the descending channel until it bottomed in December. What strengthens the cased for renewed optimism is that price action convincingly broke out of the descending channel and back above the 2003 trend line. In " Gold to Retest $1,130 as Dollar Strengthens ," I pointed out last March that the dollar strengthening is trouble and the velocity of such would be meaningful. As we've seen throughout last year, U.S. multinationals have been crushed due to the strength in the DXY, I also pointed out the descending wedge on the daily chart, which is a bullish reversal pattern. After finding support where I thought the last line of defense was before $1,000 oz., gold rallied hard and broke out. However, even through wedges are strong indicators of price reversals, the real test is that price tends to quickly retest the broken resistance. If that hold, it could be off to the races. Please feel free to comment and share charts! And follow me @Lemieux_26 Check my posts out at: bullion.directory www.investing.com www.teachingcurrencytrading.com oilpro.com
COMEX:GC1!
by CommoditiesTrader
Gold Intraday TechnicalsGold has pulled back slightly, but still up almost 15 percent since 2016. Traders don't believe the current rally as they look hopeful of more central bank quantitative easing, which is exactly why gold has had its run this year; and it is why I have been saying fundamentals have been strengthening for gold for roughly 16 months. After gold volatility hit multi-year highs, it is beginning to moderate a bit. I expect it to remain elevated: Technically, gold downside may remain limited with minor trend and price support at $1,205 and dynamic support at the 72-4H EMA nearing $1,198. Deeper support levels are seen at $1,190 and $1,177. Volume has tapered off since the Feb. 11 high, but positive bars still remain on top. Near-term resistance can be seen at $1,214, while stronger resistance is $1,220. If gold can retake these levels, price action would challenge the recent downtrend from the recent high. At that point, bulls can look toward $1,240. What has been beneficial is that gold has been able to work off its highly overbought level while still remaining about key support. This Friday, traders are anticipating the US preliminary GDP print. Consensus is at a nauseating .4 percent, following Q4 .7 percent that is likely to be revised lower. Even if the prelim data meets consensus, it would be over two percent lower than the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model. Not only is it ironic that the Federal Reserve's first rate high in seven years was in a corporate profits recession and sub-one percent growth, but it also could have been done going into a recession. Way to go, Janet! Please feel free to comment and share charts! And follow me @Lemieux_26 Check my posts out at: bullion.directory www.investing.com www.teachingcurrencytrading.com oilpro.com
FX:XAUUSD
by CommoditiesTrader
NEWMONT MINING: LONGNEM is a stock I bought recently that has seen some nice gains. For fundamental reasons this stock has looked very attractive for a long time. I recent bought as technicals finally confirmed what my fundamental analysis was telling me. You can see price broke out from channel, but found a bottom around 16.00. From there we broke short term down trend line, and broke back into the voided channel. Price came through 100 period moving average, and is coming towards 20.00 area resistance. This level also intersects with 200 period moving average. After a break of $20 looking for price to head to $27. Plan to be in this trade for a long haul, with a long term target well above current price.
NYSE:NEMLong
by Kevin_Lomax
Gold Miners Run Up to Key ResistanceGold mining stocks have been trending higher, along with the overall U.S. equity market, of late. The recent support in gold prices allowed the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) a strong close last week, pushing 15 percent off the November 18 low. Gold mining stocks really get a pass from traders, and it is still early to determine whether the move will last or not. And, this could depend largely on whether or not the Federal Reserve tightens monetary policy for the first time since 2006. If the Fed does hike rates, gold prices could suffer. Currently, GDX has been able to close around the 50 percent Fib. retracement on the October 15 high. The daily candle closed near the top of its range on strong volume. The ADX is ticking upwards with a concurrent upward movement in + DMI, and this can garner stronger upside potential. Conversely, the GDX could see resistance at the 50 percent Fib. level, which also coincides with trend resistance (broken support). A reversal at current levels could send the mining ETF $14.20/00, while deeper price support lies at $13.38. Further upside momentum would cause the GDX to test the larger, downside trend line between $15.50 and $15.75. If the Fed fails to hike rates in a mere week, the GDX will retest the 200-daily EMA. Stock pickers could find undervalued gems in the mining space. Meera Shawn, Market Realist, points out that some miners have down quite well this year: Agnico-Eagle Mines (AEM), up 11.2 percent; Centerra Gold (CG), up 31.2 percent and Alacer Gold (ASR), up 8.4 percent versus a 23 percent decline in GDX as a whole. It is important when choosing commodity producers to look for strong balance sheets and low operation costs. This helps producers whether pricing declines Please follow me @Lemieux_26 Check my posts out at: bullion.directory www.investing.com
AMEX:GDX
by CommoditiesTrader
1
Are ETF Inflows Suggesting Gold Has Room to Move?The GLD has seen inflows increase since the SNB debacle, up 1.57 percent today. If anything was learned last week when the Swiss National Bank (SNB) unequivocally shocked the markets is, gold is the ultimate central bank hedge. Gold has always been a go to during times of uncertainty, but it is the simplest way to hedge away currency and counter-party risk; and some still believe the the SNB did not live up to their verbal agreement to markets to keep the euro-franc peg alive. There has been a rapid move into gold-backed ETFs on the back of the SNB move. A total of 843,000 ounces of gold were added to these funds, as inflows increased 1.68 percent on Thursday and Friday of last week. This was the largest inflow since 2011, following the SNB’s decision to peg the franc to the euro (see the original ZeroHedge article here). The largest gold-backed ETF, iShares Gold Trust (GLD), is up over 1.5 percent today. This could be an important factor in the long-term outlook for gold. Gold-backed ETFs are largely, if not almost exclusively, held by hedge funds and large speculators (whereas silver ETFs are popular with retail investors). The “smart” money could help the yellow metal push higher in order to hedge volatility and risk. The GLD is getting extended on the daily merely on the price activity. However, like spot gold, it is far from overbought on longer-term charts. Look for traders to digest the move before continuing higher. The ADX momentum indicator is signalling a strong price trend. Look for GLD to target $126.50 before budding up against a near-term downtrend line. The GLD was down 37 percent from its 2012 high of $172, but is up almost 15 percent since hitting the low of $114. This could be an import inflection point for GLD. bullion.directory
AMEX:GLD
by CommoditiesTrader
Gold Nearing $1,300 – What’s Next?Gold is up 9 percent YTD. Gold is on a tear since I warned that negative price action was waning on January 6 (here). Gold has been able to overtake the $1,240 per toz. hump and chug along on global growth concerns. The IMF, just among the bunch, lowered the outlook for growth prospects; and the second largest economy – China – is pulling back, down to the slowest pace of growth since 1990. Gold remains a safe haven. Traders are shocked the yellow metal has been able to rally like it has. They often point to technicals or the US dollar, but there is one thing that trumps all of that – trader pyschology. There is a psychological connection to gold. It’s what the financial savvy want during times of uncertainty and what traders want to hedge their risk exposure. Gold is “overbought” on the daily chart, but the weekly chart still offers room to move with the weekly RSI only at 60. The daily chart is, too, supporting further moves following a slight pullback. Price action since the beginning of the year has been able to break each key resistance level. Once it has closed above resistance, traders have testing the former resistance, now support, and gold has been able to bounce higher. $1,273 had been tested several times yesterday before moving through $1,290. I expect a test of minor support at $1,280, while $1,295 will be the next resistance hurdle. If gold can close above $1,295 and handles the $1,300 psychological resistance, look for the “premier currency” to trade to $1,315 per toz. However, gold will likely see $1,280 (potentially revisit $1,273) on profit taking. Gold is likely front running the potential for quantitative easing from the European Central Bank (ECB), but analysts are suspect when it comes to the size and structure of stimulus. The decision will be announced in two days by the ECB. My call on Newmont Mining (NEM) has also produced gains of 13 percent (currently). bullion.directory
COMEX:GC1!Long
by CommoditiesTrader
15
Mining A Profitable Trade, Newmont Mining Corp (NYSE:NEM)Yesterday, Newmont Mining Corp (NYSE:NEM) filled an important gap on the charts, and came into an important trend line of support. As of late gold prices have been falling dramatically, dragging miners down with it. However, the metal as well as many of the leading miners, including Newmont Mining Corp (NYSE:NEM) are starting to set up for possible short term bottoms. Traders and investors looking to mine profits in Newmont Mining Corp (NYSE:NEM) can go long (buy for a move higher) this equity here, while using confirmation below the rising trend line as a stop loss level. Should Newmont Mining Corp (NYSE:NEM) move up as the charts indicate, profits should be taken around the following levels; the first level of resistance at $25.00 is where you can take profits of half of your positions, and second and major level to take all profits off the table will be $25.89. The best strategy is to place a break-even stop on the trade once you reach the first target and allow the second half to run to your second target. Doing so will allow you to stay in the trade with ease, as you wait for the second target to be achieved, and it won't turn into a losing trade. If you only read one email again, make sure it comes from the Elite Round Table. Our FREE market emails contain information that can actually make you money. Ask yourself, what email have you read that can do that? Answer = none. Join our list here. Kiliam Lopez Elite Round Table Follow me on twitter @kiliamlopez
NYSE:NEMLong
by KiliamL
5