NETFLIX The 3rd Major Bull Wave has begun.Netflix (NFLX) is about to complete its 3rd straight green 1W candle since the April 07 2025 Low. That was not just any Low but a technical Higher Low at the bottom of the 3-year Channel Up.
At the same time, it almost touched the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which was lasted tested (and held) on October 16 2023. The bottom was also formed on a 1D RSI Bullish Divergence similar to the April 2022 major market bottom.
Those two Lows macro bottoms initiated similar rallies of +196% and +210% respectively. As a result, we expect Netflix to reach at least $2200 around this time next year.
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Netflix
NETFLIX: Good results and BULLISH technical outlook!!If there is any NASDAQ company that is weathering the strong downturn, one of them is NETFLIX. Last Thursday, it presented BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED results for both Q1 2025 and the guidance for the next quarter.
As anticipated by the Company, this quarter is the first in which it does not publish subscriber data. It only states that growth has been "slightly" higher than estimated. This leads to focusing attention on revenue and margin growth, which show a truly positive evolution.
The EBIT margin is expanding (to 31.7% vs. 28.1% in Q1 2024) thanks to price increases in various geographies and the good performance of advertising plans. All of this, in turn, favors the acceleration of free cash flow generation (+26% y/y, up to $2,789M).
For the full year, it reaffirms guidance and maintains its estimate of reaching revenues of $43.5B/$44.5B (+12%/+14% y/y) with an EBIT margin of 29% (vs. 28% previously). In short, good figures that lead us to reiterate our positive view on the stock.
--> And its technical aspect?
If we observe the chart, its trend is clearly BULLISH, and after a price pullback, finding support on its dynamic support and RESPECTING IT!!, it has regained BULLISH STRENGTH, which, supported by the presented results, EVERYTHING POINTS TO NEW HIGHS.
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Strategy to follow:
ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions when the price exceeds 1000.
POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 1060 zone (+5%)
--> Stop Loss at 947 (-5%).
POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position.
--> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-5%) (coinciding with the 947 of position 1).
--> We modify the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (1060).
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CLARIFICATIONS OF THE SET UP
*** How to know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each.
*** What is Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue to gain value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss.
--> Example: If the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price makes a downward movement of -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% on the gains, therefore, the risk becomes lower and lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very solid and stable trends in the price can be exploited, maximizing profits.
Netflix Pops as Earnings Top Estimates. Are Tariffs a Threat?Netflix NASDAQ:NFLX dropped its first-quarter earnings Thursday after market close and the headlines practically wrote themselves: a record net income, an earnings beat, and a 3% implied jump for the stock at the opening bell. All in a market where the Nasdaq is crying in the corner.
But as always in markets, the big question isn’t “What happened?”—it’s “What could mess this up?”
Ready, set, action: steep tariffs, Donald Trump, and the looming threat of a recession-fueled advertising freeze.
Let’s break down the earnings binge before we channel surf over to the risk segment. Spoiler: Netflix is on a roll—but geopolitical static might still mess with the signal.
🎬 Netflix Hits Record Numbers
The earnings season is picking up the pace. Netflix’s Q1 revenue hit $10.5 billion, up 13% from last year, with net income jumping to a record $2.9 billion. That’s a cool $600 million more than the same quarter last year—and a massive flex with earnings per share at $6.61. Wall Street was only expecting $5.71 a pop.
More importantly, the company raised its full-year revenue forecast to the range of $43.5 billion and $44.5 billion.
💿 How Many New Subs?
In case you're hunting for sub numbers moving forward—don’t bother. Netflix said last quarter they’re done reporting them quarterly. They’d rather focus on what “really matters”: revenue, operating margin, and ad growth.
In Q4 2024, the final quarter with a subscriber growth update, the company pulled off its biggest user-count gain ever: 19 million new accounts , bringing the global total to over 300 million. Not a bad way to drop the mic and ghost the group chat.
🍿 The Ads Are Working. So Are the Price Hikes.
In a move that would usually send churn metrics on a downhill slope, Netflix in January bumped its top-tier plan to $24.99/month in the US. Either that speaks volumes about content quality, or we’ve all collectively accepted that we’ll pay any price to avoid commercials.
That said, ads are quietly becoming Netflix’s next big profit lever. After a rocky launch in late 2022, the ad-supported tier is now gaining serious traction. According to estimates, 43% of new US sign-ups in February 2025 opted for the ad-tier plan, up from 40% in January. Netflix expects to nearly double ad revenue this year.
📺 Is Netflix Recession-Proof?
With interest rates high relative to four years ago, consumer wallets stretched, and geopolitical tension ratcheting up, Netflix Co-CEO Greg Peters had to address the elephant in the earnings room: what happens if people stop spending?
Streaming should survive the storm. As he put it, “Entertainment has historically been pretty resilient in tougher economic times.”
Executives also noted that during downturns, people tend to seek value. Netflix, with its endless scroll, becomes the budget-friendly indulgence of choice. It’s hard to argue with that when you’re five episodes deep into a true-crime docuseries at 3 a.m.
👀 But Then There’s That Nagging Tariff Thing...
While Netflix has so far been insulated from the direct hit of Trump’s revived trade war—most of its costs are content, not commodities—it’s not immune to broader market impact. Tariffs could rattle advertisers, especially if they trigger inflation spikes, slowdowns, or investor anxiety.
Ad budgets are notoriously skittish in volatile times, and if there’s one thing advertisers hate more than bad CPMs, it’s uncertainty. Already, there's chatter that major brands are planning to trim digital spending heading into the second half of the year.
Translation: if tariffs lead to an economic wobble, Netflix’s ad revenue (and by extension, its bullish earnings story) could face a tougher climb.
📢 Leadership Shuffle: No Drama, Just Strategy
In other corporate news, Reed Hastings, the co-founder who brought us DVD mailers, quietly transitioned from executive chair to non-executive chair. It’s more ceremonial than sensational, but it marks a passing of the torch to the current co-CEOs, who clearly have things under control—if this earnings report is any indication.
❤️ Wall Street Loves It—for Now
Netflix NASDAQ:NFLX shares are up 10% year to date, which looks especially shiny next to the Nasdaq’s NASDAQ:IXIC 16% drop. While tech has wobbled under tariff pressure and chip-stock drama ,
Netflix is moving in the opposite direction—proof that profitability, pricing power, and content diversity are still pulling in fresh capital inflows.
But don’t get too comfortable. If tariff fears escalate or ad momentum stalls, Netflix may need to prove all over again that it’s more than just a pandemic darling turned pricing juggernaut.
🎥 Final Frame: Chill Now, but Keep One Eye on Macro
Netflix’s Q1 numbers were promising — but that was just before Trump’s sweeping tariffs rattled global markets.
Added levies, recession risk, and shifting ad budgets could all become plot twists in Netflix’s otherwise upbeat storyline. For now, though, it’s lights, camera, rally.
Your turn: Are you still bullish on Netflix, or are Trump’s tariffs and economic drama changing your channel? Let us know what’s on your watchlist.
Netflix (NFLX) – A Safe Haven Amid Tariff UncertaintyKey Supporting Arguments
Amidst the unpredictability of Donald Trump's tariff policies, Netflix might serve as a defensive play.
Positive consumer sentiment, a surge in subscriber growth, and strategic hikes in subscription prices are poised to power robust results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025.
Investment Thesis
Netflix (NFLX) is a global leader in video streaming, offering a vast library of original and licensed content to subscribers worldwide. With over 95% of its revenue stream coming from subscriptions, the company secures a solid foundation against the whims of market volatility. NFLX’s nascent foray into advertising contributes a mere 3% to its revenue, ensuring that any tremors in the macroeconomic climate have a minimal ripple effect.
Netflix's business model, anchored in subscription revenue and expansive geographic diversification, shields the company from the whims of unpredictable tariff policies. Amidst the relentless cycle of tariffs being slapped on and lifted from a variety of products and the growing tide of protectionism, streaming platforms such as Netflix, which thrive on subscription-based models, emerge as devensive assets. This is largely because they steer clear of the tumultuous world of physical goods production, importation, and exportation. The sustainability of the company’s streaming empire is anchored in its formidable user engagement—clocking in at around 2 hours per household daily—paired with historically low subscriber churn and entertainment value that punches well above its price tag. These elements collectively mitigate NFLX’s risk profile in the face of a potential recession. While advertising revenue may take a hit if trade tensions intensify and trigger an economic downturn, it is worth noting that ads only contribute to about 3% of Netflix's total revenue. Despite its worldwide footprint, the company still rakes in a hefty slice of its revenue—around 40-45%—from the U.S. market, offering a protective buffer against possible international sanctions or restrictions. Meanwhile, its strategic geographic diversification across Europe, Latin America, Asia, and the Middle East not only mitigates risks but also fortifies the sustainability of its business model.
Netflix is poised to potentially exceed expectations in its Q1 2025 earnings report. In Q4 2024, the company shattered expectations by pulling in a recordbreaking 19 million new users, a surge we anticipate will roll into 2025, powered by its rich and diverse content lineup. By the year's end, Netflix strategically hiked prices in the U.S. and UK, a move poised to bolster its Q1 2025 revenue. With a bold target of 29% growth for 2025, the company is banking on buoyant consumer spending and these subscription price upticks to hit the mark. Netflix projects a free cash flow of no less than $8 billion, creating a strategic opportunity for potential share buybacks.
Our target price for NFLX over the next two months is pegged at $1,080, paired with a "Buy" recommendation. We suggest setting a stop-loss at $880.
Netflix (NFLX) Share Price Jumps Nearly 5%Netflix (NFLX) Share Price Jumps Nearly 5%
According to the charts, Netflix (NFLX) shares rose to their highest level since early April, while the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) declined by approximately 0.2% yesterday.
Since the beginning of 2025, NFLX’s share price has increased by more than 8%, showing resilience in a volatile stock market that remains sensitive to the escalation of the global trade war.
Why Is Netflix (NFLX) Gaining in Value?
The strong performance may be attributed to three key factors:
Jason Helfstein, an analyst at financial holding company Oppenheimer, believes the company likely faces “limited” risks. Netflix does not sell tradeable goods subject to tariffs and could even benefit from a potential economic downturn if consumers opt to stay home more often.
According to The Wall Street Journal, Netflix has set a target of reaching a market capitalisation of $1 trillion and doubling its revenue to $39 billion by 2030.
Positive sentiment ahead of the earnings report – yes, Netflix is one of the first to release its quarterly results.
Technical Analysis of NFLX Share Chart
The share price is moving within an upward channel (shown in blue), with strong support in 2025 provided by both the lower boundary of the channel and the $840 level – a level originating from the powerful rally at the end of 2024.
On the other hand, the price has now approached the psychological $1000 level. It is possible that, in light of the upcoming earnings release (scheduled for tomorrow, 17 April), the bulls may attempt a breakout and aim to secure a foothold in the upper half of the channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Netflix Earnings Growth Expected As It Prepares For Q125 ResultsNetflix (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NFLX ) is set to report its earnings for the quarter ending March 2025 on April 17. Analysts expect year-over-year growth in both revenue and earnings. However, consensus earnings per share (EPS) estimates have been revised down slightly by 0.07% over the past 30 days. This suggests a cautious outlook among analysts.
At the close on April 11, Netflix stock traded at $918.29, down by 0.31%. In after-hours trading, the price edged slightly higher to $919.80. The stock traded with a volume of 4.07 million shares. RSI stands at 47.76, reflecting neutral momentum.
The final result could trigger a sharp price move. A positive earnings surprise might push the stock higher. On the other hand, a miss could lead to a decline. The outcome will also depend on management’s commentary during the earnings call.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, Netflix recently bounced off a key demand zone near the $820–$830 range. This zone had previously served as a strong support area. After touching this level, the price formed a reversal candle, signaling potential buying interest.
The stock is now hovering around $918.29, near the 50-day and 100-day moving averages at $961.61 and $931.24, respectively. If the price clears these levels, it may aim for the recent high of $1,064.50. A short-term retracement could occur before a possible continuation higher.
Volume analysis shows a spike during the bounce from support, indicating accumulation. The price pattern suggests a bullish structure is forming. Overall, eyes remain on the April 17 earnings report for the next major move, which might see Netflix surge to a new all-time high.
Bearish Setup on NFLX: Correction Wave (C) UnfoldingTF: 4h
NFLX appears bearish at the moment. The corrective structure on the 4-hour timeframe suggests a potential decline. The current formation indicates that wave B likely completed at 998.61 , and the stock has now begun its descent into wave (C) of the correction.
The correction may extend to the 100% projection of wave A at 788.67 , or potentially deepen to 659.06 , aligning with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension of wave A. After the completion of wave (C), traders can buy for the target up to wave B at 998.61 .
I will continue to update the situation as it evolves.
3-MONTH THE SQUID GAME II 'JUBILEE'. WHAT IS NOW & WHAT IS NEXTIt's gone three months or so... (Duh..? WTF.. 3 months, really? 😸😸😸) since "The Squid Game" Season II has been released on December 26, 2024.
Nearly month later comrade Trump entered The White House (again).
Still, everyone was on a rush, chatting endless "Blah-Blah-Blah", "I-crypto-czar", "crypto-capital-of-the-world", "we-robot", "mambo-jumbo", "super-duper", AI, VR and so on hyped bullsh#t.
Here's a short educational breakdown, what we think about all of that, at our beloved @PandorraResearch Team.
Trading can easily resemble gambling when approached without discipline, strategy, or proper risk management. Here are key reasons to avoid gambling-like trading behaviors, supported by real-world examples:
1. Lack of Strategy and Emotional Decision-Making
Trading becomes gambling when decisions are based on emotions, intuition, or market hype rather than thorough analysis. For instance, Geraldine lost £15,000 on a spread-betting platform after attending a workshop that taught ineffective strategies. She believed the platform profited from her losses, highlighting how impulsive, uneducated decisions can lead to significant financial harm. Similarly, traders who overtrade or ignore risk management often experience devastating losses, as they rely on luck rather than a structured plan.
2. Overleveraging and One-Sided Bets
Overleveraging—opening excessively large positions—is a common gambling behavior in trading. This approach increases stress and the likelihood of substantial losses. A trader who lost $400,000 on a single Robinhood bet exemplifies this. He overinvested in a call option, hoping for a quick profit, but the trade turned against him, wiping out nearly all his capital. Opening one-sided bets or adding to losing positions further compounds risks, as traders attempt to recover losses through increasingly risky moves.
3. Ignoring Stop Losses and Risk Management
Failing to set stop losses or refusing to exit losing trades is another form of gambling. Traders who cling to their biases and avoid cutting losses often face irreversible damage to their portfolios. For example, many traders refuse to take stop losses, leading to catastrophic losses that erode their confidence and capital. This behavior mirrors the destructive cycle of gambling addiction, where individuals chase losses in hopes of a turnaround.
4. Psychological and Financial Consequences
Gambling-like trading can lead to severe psychological and financial consequences. Harry, a trader with a gambling addiction, repeatedly lost money despite asking his trading platform to restrict his account. His inability to control his trading behavior highlights the addictive nature of high-risk trading and its potential to ruin lives. Similarly, excessive gambling has been linked to increased debt, bankruptcy, and mental health issues, such as anxiety and depression.
5. Long-Term Sustainability
Smart trading focuses on steady gains and minimal losses, whereas gambling relies on luck and high-risk bets. Traders who chase big wins often lose their profits in subsequent trades, perpetuating a cycle of losses. Studies show that frequent trading, driven by overconfidence or problem gambling, reduces investment returns and increases financial instability.
In conclusion, avoiding gambling-like trading requires discipline, education, and a well-defined strategy. Real-world examples demonstrate the dangers of emotional decision-making, overleveraging, and ignoring risk management. By adopting a structured approach and prioritizing long-term sustainability, traders can mitigate risks and avoid the pitfalls of gambling.
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Best 'squid' wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team
U.S. Big Tech 10 (NYSE FANG+) Index. Another Day. Another DollarThe remarkable performance of U.S. large cap equities in the past two years was closely tied to the dominance of tech-related sectors, exemplified by companies akin to those in the high-performing NYSE FANG+ Index ICEUS:NYFANG .
The NYSE FANG+ Index (“Index”), also known as the NYSE U.S. Big Tech 10 Index, is a rules-based, equal-weighted equity benchmark designed to track the performance of 10 highly-traded growth stocks of technology and tech-enabled companies in the technology, media & communications and consumer discretionary sectors.
The Index undergoes a reconstitution quarterly after the close of the third Friday in March, June, September and December (the “Effective Date”).
The NYSE FANG+ Index provides exposure to 10 of today’s highly-traded tech giants
Access the index through a futures and options contract designed to help you increase or reduce exposure to this key group of growth stocks in a capital-efficient manner.
Ten constituents of The U.S. Big Tech 10 (NYSE FANG+) Index as of Friday, December 9,
2022 (10% equal weighting):
Meta NASDAQ:META
Apple NASDAQ:AAPL
Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN
Netflix NASDAQ:NFLX
Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT
Google NASDAQ:GOOGL
Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA
NVIDIA NASDAQ:NVDA
Snowflake NYSE:SNOW
Advanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD
The main technical weekly graph indicates The U.S. Big Tech 10 (NYSE FANG+) Index remains aboму 200-day SMA (so far), following the upside path that has been taken in early 2023 after 50 percent decline in 2022.
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Best wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team
NETFLIX: Strong buy opportunity with this 1D MA100 bounce.Netflix is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.399, MACD = -10.400, ADX = 30.636) and is rebounding on the 1D MA100. This is another HL on the 20 month Channel Up, which should be enough to give the stock a push to a new HH. The Channel Up is on its 3rd main bullish wave and both prior saw a +121.52% price increase. We expect the 3rd one to be completed by July. The trade is long, TP = 1,200.
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Netflix: New All-time High!As expected, Netflix reached a new all-time high at $1,067, completing the magenta wave . Since then, the stock has already pulled back by nearly 20%. The ongoing magenta wave should extend further into our new magenta Target Zone, which spans $789.04 to $704.43. Since we anticipate a sustainable rebound from this range, it presents an opportunity to initiate or expand long positions. Such long entries could be hedged with a stop 1% below the Zone’s lower boundary, as there is a 30% chance that Netflix will drop below the Zone to complete the green wave alt. .
Netflix (NFLX) Shares Among the Biggest Losers in the US MarketNetflix (NFLX) Shares Among the Biggest Losers in the US Stock Market
According to market charts:
→ Netflix (NFLX) shares fell by approximately 8.5% during yesterday’s trading session, indicating that bulls failed to sustain the price above the psychological $1,000 per share level.
→ The S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) hit a new low for 2025, closing down around 1.3%.
These declines reflect bearish sentiment in the US stock market, which may be driven by:
→ Uncertainty over Trump’s trade tariff policies. Yesterday, the White House postponed the introduction of tariffs on trade with Canada and Mexico for a second time, now pushing the deadline to early April.
→ Anxiety ahead of the Non-Farm Employment Change report release (scheduled for today at 16:30 GMT+3), as recession fears continue to mount.
Selling pressure was particularly strong in Netflix (NFLX) shares, as analysts (according to media reports) issued a cautious outlook on subscriber growth for the streaming giant. This may stem from concerns that the company's low-cost, ad-supported subscription model is losing its initial positive impact.
Technical Analysis of Netflix (NFLX) Stock Chart
Price movements in 2025 have formed an upward channel (marked in blue), which remains intact for now.
The $955 level, which previously acted as support, may now serve as resistance. If bearish sentiment persists, the price could continue its downward trajectory. However, bulls may find hope in key support areas, including:
→ The lower boundary of the current price channel.
→ The $870 level, which marks the lower limit of a broad bullish gap formed after a strong quarterly earnings report (as we noted on 23 January). This level has also acted as a key reversal point multiple times.
Analysts’ Forecasts for Netflix (NFLX) Stock
Overall, analysts remain optimistic. According to TipRanks:
→ The average 12-month price target for NFLX is $1,100.
→ 29 out of 37 analysts recommend buying NFLX shares.
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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NETFLIX: First warning of the END of the retracement!
On January 22, Netflix presented results that widely beat market estimates:
--> Sales 10,247 million dollars (+16% YoY) vs. 10,106 million dollars estimated by the consensus and 10,128 million dollars estimated by the company.
--> EBIT 2,243 million dollars (+52%) vs. 2,200 million dollars consensus and 2,190 million dollars estimated by the company.
--> BNA 1,869 million dollars (+99%) vs. 1,830 million dollars consensus and 1,847 million dollars estimated by the company.
--> EPS 4.27 dollars (+102%) vs. 4.18 dollars consensus and 4.23 dollars estimated by the company.
New subscriptions reach +18.9M, +44% YoY, vs. +9.2M expected. As anticipated by the Company, this is the last quarter in which it will publish this data. Total subscriptions exceed 301M (+15.9% YoY).
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The share price reached its historical maximum on February 18th at 1,064 and has not stopped falling since then, due to the fact that the Nasdaq index began a correction caused mainly by the volatility generated by trade tariffs.
--> What is the technical situation?
The technical aspect is CLEARLY BULLISH and any setback in the price will be a good opportunity to enter the stock.
It has reached a 50% Fibonacci retracement (945), an area that it has respected, and that therefore, can be taken as the LOWER to start a NEW BULLISH IMPULSE.
--> What risks does it have?
Trump's TARIFFS, since they can cause falls in the NASDAQ INDEX that drag down the entire market. But the Nasdaq index is in a VERY PROBABLE LOWER area, so the ENTIRE market could rise strongly in the next few days.
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Strategy to follow:
ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the H4 candle closes above 992
POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the maximum area (1,061) (+7%)
--> Stop Loss at 940 (-5%).
POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position.
--> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-5%) (coinciding with the 940 of position 1).
--> We modify the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (1,061).
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SET UP EXPLANATIONS
*** How do we know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each.
*** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss.
-->Example: If the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% in the rises, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very solid and stable price trends can be taken advantage of, maximizing profits.
NFLX - NetFlix is overhyped an TA says tooBesides what I think about NFLX (bad for you, poor quality & service, lairs etc.), there is something that can be used to rate and judge a Stocks pricing - The Technical Analysis.
The white Fork projects the most probable path of price. The U-MLH is the upper stretch, the L-MLH the lower and the CL is the Center, where price is in equilibrium.
Where is price now?
It mooned to the upper Warning-Line!
Such moves are insane, crazy, not healthy and produce by manipulation and/or greed that eats Brains.
However - As I follow the rules of the Medianlines (Forks), I know that price is hyper extended up there. So, it can't go further? Of course it could. But Chances are poor that it will.
Instead, Chances are high that price falls down to the U-MLH. At least.
Why?
Besides price is stretched, it failed to move up to the next Warning Line (WL2).
So, there you have it.
I'm shorting NFLX and my target is at least the U-MLH, with further downside potential with PTG2 at the Centerline.
Bonus Analysis: 80 Stocks Reviewed, 15 Stand Out!Hello readers!
First things first – if you find value in these analyses, don’t hesitate to hit the Boost/Like button! 🚀 Your support helps keep these ideas coming and is greatly appreciated. Thanks a lot!
As an extra bonus for everyone who participated in the survey, I decided to go through all the mentioned stocks—a total of 80 different names—and pick out the ones that stood out to me from a technical perspective. Made just a brief overview.
Previously, I covered the top 15 most mentioned stocks, but now it's time to highlight 15 additional setups that caught my eye with very short descriptions. These are purely technical insights—no fundamental analysis here.
To be said, many of the stocks mentioned were at all-time lows, which means technical analysis isn’t much help. If a stock is sitting at the bottom with no structure, you’re relying purely on fundamentals to make a decision.
With that said, let’s take a look at the charts that stood out.
1. Oklo (OKLO) – Nuclear Energy
Strong momentum, but for me, the most important area is $20 to $30.
2. Tecnoglass (TGLS) – Glass and Window Manufacturing
Steady higher highs - The strongest zone sits between $50 to $60.
3. MicroStrategy (MSTR) – Software and Bitcoin Holdings
Extremely volatile but key interest zones for me are $170 to $240, with $200 as a strong mid-point.
4. Everest Group (EG) – Reinsurance and Risk Management
$250 to $280 was a strong resistance, now acting as support. Trendline retest and third-touch scenario align well with the $230 to $280 range.
5. H. Lundbeck (HLUN_B) – Pharmaceuticals
Resistance turned support has already played out but still, there might be some volatility, and $35 to $40 DKK remains the strongest zone.
6. Alpha Group International (ALPH) – Financial Services
Breakout and retest already worked well, so waiting for slightly better prices might be the best move but it is valid.
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I’ve picked out the first six stocks from the survey and shared my technical insights here on TradingView but this is just the beginning.
9 stocks in Substack with some bigger names like Alibaba (BABA), Starbucks (SBUX), Snowflake (SNOW), Uber (UNER), and Netflix (NFLX) have also caught my eye, and I’ll be covering them on my Substack along with more technical breakdowns.
Substack-ENG link is in my BIO (clicking the website icon), or you can find it by scrolling up - just below the main image.
See you there,
Vaido
Netflix - We Know What Will Happen Next!Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) will retest the trendline next:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
About six years ago, Netflix started the creating of a reverse triangle pattern, perfectly trading between the two trendlines. We already witnessed such a behaviour back in 2012 and following this previous bullish cycle, it is super likely that Netflix will head even higher.
Levels to watch: $1.200
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
NFLX Netflix Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven’t entered NFLX in the buy zone:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NFLX Netflix prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 850usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-24,
for a premium of approximately $41.75.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Sell, Hold, or Hope? Netflix Approaches $1000Hi,
Looking at Netflix's historical price behavior around psychological round numbers ($100, $500), we see a pattern that indicates it might be a good idea to lock in some profits at these levels.
Why?
- Round numbers often act as psychological barriers where prices tend to consolidate or range for a while, limiting further growth.
- There's a significant chance of a correction, especially after a strong rally like the one we've seen recently.
Both of these scenarios suggest it's worth considering taking some money off the table. One thing is for sure: please avoid letting FOMO influence your decisions at these prices - don't buy it at the moment. There will be better changes, just be patient enough!
Historical Examples of Psychological Round Numbers
$100 Level (2015-2016)
In July 2015, Netflix approached the $100 level. While it did show some upward movement, the price largely ranged around this area until late 2016. It was stuck for months, offering limited returns for those who didn't react.
$500 Level (2021-2022)
Around $500, Netflix once again demonstrated the same behavior. For about a year, the stock did little more than range around this level. This shows how powerful round numbers can be as areas of stagnation.
Current Major Level: $1000
While Netflix has surpassed previous round numbers, $1000 is shaping up to be the most significant psychological level yet. The rise to this point has been enormous, and history suggests that sooner or later, a correction is likely.
If you're not prepared to hold through a potential correction or consolidation, the current price levels might be an ideal time to lock in profits. Long-term holders who stick to their thesis might choose to ride this out, the choice is yours. However, for mid-term investors, locking in some gains here could be a wise move!
"Sell, Hold, or Hope?"
Let's say in that way - I hope that some holders will sell around current prices! ;)
All the best,
Vaido
Netflix Crushes It Again as Shares Near $1,000. Where Rivals At?The smash-hit nail-biting Korean drama Squid Game, French mystery thriller Lupin or VR-infused 3 Body Problem. These are all Netflix Original titles that take us out of the ordinary and into a whirlwind of sensations and visual and emotional excess.
Only that we can have those sensations IRL thanks to the hype train called Netflix stock NFLX — the streaming pioneer schleps us on wild gyrations across the chart — sometimes super scary but sometimes unbelievably good. This time it was the latter.
“I can’t hear you over the sounds of ♫ RING-A-RING-A-RING ♫ blasting out of the speakers of more than 68 million viewers” — Netflix to its competition, probably, as it reported a bombastic quarter with a record number of subscribers.
The very-fabulous, bumper three months to December picked up 19 million paid users (how many of these were day trading while binging?) as Squid Gain Game dialed up more than 68 million views in its first week. The other big hit, Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson boxing live, whipped up 65 million streams.
It was also the perfect quarter to end the practice of reporting subscriber growth. Starting with the current three months to March, the streaming platform won’t be announcing how many new users are onboarded as it shifts the focus to traditional financial metrics like revenue growth and profits.
The shares soared as much as 15% in after-hours activity following the earnings report. They opened for regular trading on Wednesday and hit an all-time session high of $999 a piece. On the way, Netflix crossed a $400 billion valuation.
Here’s a quick rundown of the numbers for the fourth quarter:
Earnings per share: $4.27 vs. $4.20 expected
Revenue: $10.25 billion vs. $10.11 billion expected
Total paid memberships: 301.63 million vs. 290.9 million expected
It was the tech titan’s seventh consecutive quarter of rising profits, up 27% from the year-ago period. Looking ahead, Netflix plans to spend $18 billion on new content in 2025 while revenue is expected to be between $43.5 billion and $44.5 billion, up 14% from last year. Operating margin is projected to hit 29%.
Besides ads, one other thing is supposed to help Netflix get to its lofty guidance — price hikes. The streaming platform will be asking for more cash in the US, Canada, Portugal and Argentina. Here’s what’s changing in the US:
Ad-tier $6.99 > $7.99/mo.
Standard $15.49 > $17.99/mo.
Premium $22.99 > $24.99/mo.
“We’re fortunate that we don’t have distractions like managing declining linear networks and, with our focus and continued investment, we have good and improving product/market fit around the world,” the company said in its earnings report Tuesday.
“We enter 2025 with strong momentum, coming off a year with record net (subscriber) additions and having re-accelerated growth,” it added.
Where’s the competition at? Let’s look at Disney DIS , the closest rival. Disney expects to spend about $24 billion on new content in 2025, up from $23.4 billion. Yet it has about half the subscribers of Netflix — around 154 million.
Other prominent contenders in the streaming war are not even close — Apple AAPL and Amazon AMZN . Apple doesn’t disclose Apple TV+ subscribers and Amazon doesn’t disclose Prime subscribers.
Third-party estimates point to about 50 million to 75 million Apple TV+ users. Amazon Prime, which is tied to the ecommerce platform’s delivery service, has about 200 million customers.
But let’s give it to them — Apple and Amazon have got a bunch of diversified revenue streams, while Netflix has stuck to its OG mission of being a streaming platform.
In any case, this streaming war is not over, so it's worth keeping an eye on company updates and reports in the earnings calendar . (Hint: Disney earnings arrive February 5.)
Where do you think the streaming wars are headed in 2025? Share your thoughts on Netflix, Disney, and the rest in the comments!
Netflix (NFLX) Shares Surge After Earnings ReportNetflix (NFLX) Shares Surge After Earnings Report
After the close of the main trading session on the stock market on Tuesday, Netflix released its Q4 2024 results. The report was exceptionally strong:
→ Analysts expected the company to add 9.18 million paid subscribers during the quarter, but the actual figure reached 18.91 million, which is 15.9% more than in the same quarter last year.
→ Total subscribers reached 300 million.
→ Earnings per share amounted to $4.27 (expected: $4.20).
→ Gross revenue: actual = $10.25 billion, expected = $10.11 billion.
The company’s success was supported by products such as Squid Game, Bridgerton, and Nobody Wants This. During the quarter, 55% of customers chose ad-supported plans, and subscriptions to this plan grew by 30%. Netflix executive Gregory Peters believes that advertising revenue could double between 2024 and 2025.
As shown by the Netflix (NFLX) stock chart, the market has experienced increased volatility following the release of the report. On 22 January:
→ Trading opened with a wide bullish gap – approximately 14% higher than the closing price on 21 January.
→ However, during yesterday’s trading session, shares fell by approximately 4%, indicating that the initial reaction to the positive news might have been overly optimistic.
According to technical analysis of the NFLX chart, it is reasonable to assume that after a rise towards the psychological level of $1,000, the market is vulnerable to a correction. After touching the upper boundary of the ascending channel, the price could retreat to its median around the $910 level, which also corresponds to a 50% retracement of the A→B impulse.
According to TipRanks:
→ The average price target for NFLX shares in 12 months is $986.
→ 20 out of 29 analysts recommend buying NFLX shares.
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