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Netflix

Netflix - a Value Trap or Value Buy - You Decide!Oh. My. Goodness. Today's post is about Netflix. It's down 25% as I type. Yeeeeeesh! So what happened? Well, bad earnings. Again. But here's the thing - this story gets more interesting. I don't own any Netflix, but I am watching it since the well known investor Bill Ackman plowed $1 billion into it last quarter. Oh, and by the way, OUCHY... He's now lost $250 million on that investment. Kids, don't forget, it's not a loss until you sell 😜 60%... That's how much Netflix is down since its all-time highs a few months ago. Anyone who bought at those highs has been cut in half and then some. Investing and trading is not easy, and over the years, this always happens. Drawdowns, crashes, and bull markets and bear markets all come and go. The Netflix story fits all of that. Maybe that's why I felt like writing about it. I should also be totally clear: it's on my watchlist for a trade. Let's dive in a little more, though, before deciding if we even should trade it. I was pretty surprised to learn that Netflix's PE ratio is the lowest it's been in over 10 years. Netflix has a PE ratio in the 20s. If you look forward a year or so, its PE ratio is more like 18. At this point, you have to wonder, is Netflix a value investment? Wait, it's no longer a growth stock? Talk about the end of an era. I never thought I would see Netflix trading at a PE ratio like IBM. The thing is, if Netflix can actually start churning out free cash flow at these levels, it really might be an epic value investment. It would also mean buyback time for them. Netflix has about $7 billion in cash. Surely they want to use some of this for their reinvestments, but also, at multi-year lows, a $2 billion buyback here is almost 2% of the company. Reed Hastings is a smart dude. He knows. Let's keep going. Netflix's market cap is approaching $100B again. This is its lowest valuation since 2019 and 2018. In Both instances, Netflix bounced and bounced rather quickly. Hold up, Stef. Hold up. Are your really writing about potentially buying the dip in Netflix? No. Not at all. I am only thinking out loud. There is a bearish cash. As most of us know, Netflix now has more competition than ever. There are more and more streaming platforms. In addition, is their content even that great? How does it compare to other companies? This is a determining factor as well. And, if it is the case, Netlfix is value trap. It will compete and compete, but no longer be a shiny growth stock. Anyways, those are my thoughts. Streamlined and free to all of you. No subscription required. I'll share an update if I actually trade this. In the meantime, my feet are up and I am watching in awe. The best entertainment is markets.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by scheplick
16
NETFLIX Earning Preview Traders Thoughts The selloff in netflix has seen nearly all the "stay at home" pandemic gains erased. But we are back at more familiar levels and much better value. Once the market finds downside support then the relief rally should be quite large. At these levels the risks are skewed to topside with market mood towards netflix already negative anything that surprises positive will have a bigger effect. On more negative news it would have to be devastating for dip buyers not to be interested at 2020 lows. Analyst Thoughts Netflix is releasing its Q1 earnings report on 04/19/2022 after market close. The report will be for the fiscal quarter ending March 2022. According to Investing.com, the consensus EPS forecast for the quarter is $2.95, down 21.33% from the reported EPS for the same quarter last year. The consensus revenue forecast for the quarter is $7.94 billion, up 10.89% from the reported revenue for the same quarter last year. Another major piece of data investors will want to pay close attention to is subscriber growth. In the fourth quarter of 2021, Netflix added 8.28 million subscribers, beating analysts’ expectations of 8.19 million. However, this was 220,000 fewer subscribers than Netflix added in the fourth quarter of 2020. In its Q4 2021 report, Netflix also lowered its guidance for the first quarter of 2022, estimating that it will only add 2.5 million subscribers to its platform, significantly below analysts’ previous expectations of 6.93 million. Investors’ growing concerns surrounding subscriber growth combined with external market pressures, such as high inflation and rising bond yields, resulted in Netflix’s share price plummeting 21.87% after its Q4 earnings release. If subscriber growth is worse-than-expected in its upcoming quarterly earnings report on Tuesday, we could potentially see the share price test its 2020 pandemic low of $290.25. easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. “Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party."
EASYMARKETS:NFXUSDLong
by easyMarkets
Breaking down AT&T’s stock after WarnerMedia spin-offNearly four years after fighting a hard battle to acquire WarnerMedia and accelerating its foray into the media business, AT&T (NYSE:T) has gone back to its roots to focus on being a telecommunications company. On April 8, AT&T completed the spin-off of 100% of its interest in WarnerMedia, which owns subscription service HBO Max and film production company Warner Bros., and merged it with Discovery Inc. (NASDAQ:DISCA) to form a mega-streaming platform to better take on giants like Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX), Apple’s (NASDAQ:AAPL) Apple TV, and Disney+ and Hulu by Walt Disney (NYSE:DIS). Foray into media services AT&T completed its $85.4 billion acquisition of WarnerMedia, formerly Time Warner, in 2018 about two years after first disclosing the move. The company had hoped to provide seamless media content through its direct-to-customer distribution. It subsequently rebranded Time Warner into what is now known as WarnerMedia. WarnerMedia owns Netflix rival HBO Max, an over-the-top subscription service launched in 2020 with a ton of exclusive and original contents, as well as HBO classics. However, in the years that AT&T acquired WarnerMedia, HBO Max still lagged Netflix, which continues to dominate the global streaming platform. According to tech news platform CNET, Netflix remains the biggest streaming service provider in 2022, with Disney+, Hulu, Amazon.com’s (NASDAQ:AMZN) Prime Video, and HBO Max trailing behind. The merger of WarnerMedia with Discovery to form Warner Bros. Discovery (NASDAQ:WBD) is expected to up both platforms' game against Netflix, Amazon, and Disney. Since announcing the closing of the merger, AT&T’s stock has jumped 7% as of Thursday, April 14, but down nearly 14% on a year-on-year basis. Its rival, Verizon (NYSE:VZ) is also trading almost 8% down from a year ago. Bullish on AT&T? Although AT&T’s stock remains below year-ago levels, many analysts remain bullish on the telco’s stock, citing its renewed focus on its core telco operations. Bank of America analyst David Barden recently reaffirmed his buy rating on AT&T with a $25 price target, saying its shares are undervalued. Barden also noted that the spin-off of WarnerMedia will help ease the complexity of AT&T’s operations. "With the deal now closed, the dividend reset, and the investor base stabilizing, we believe the stage is set for investors to begin focusing on AT&T’s improving fundamentals," Barden reportedly wrote in a note to clients. JP Morgan analyst Philip Cusick also issued an upbeat outlook on AT&T’s stock, setting a price target of $22, urging investors to capture the discount on the company’s share price. Focus on core telco business Analysts now expect AT&T to double down on its wireless business and expand its fiber optic reach amid intense competition against rivals like Verizon in the broadband space. In the fourth quarter of 2021, AT&T’s revenue fell to $41 billion from $45.7 billion a year earlier on the back of lower business wireline revenue, which was slightly offset by higher mobility and consumer wireline turnover, and strong revenue from WarnerMedia. The absence of WarnerMedia’s results will likely weigh on AT&T’s financials in the near term, but its renewed focus on being a telecom pure-play company will make it more competitive against Verizon T-Mobile US (NASDAQ:TMUS) and other smaller players as it expands and improves its 5G wireless networks. "Going forward, we aim to be America's best broadband provider powered by 5G and fiber, and defined by greater ubiquity, reliability, capacity, and speed,” AT&T CFO John Stankey said in a recent earnings call. Stankey added that the company will focus on growing its subscribers and accelerating the pace of its 5G deployment.
NYSE:T
by BlackBull_Markets
NETFLIX Earnings and Potential Trade OportunitiesShares in Netflix, which is due to release first-quarter earnings on Tuesday, have dropped 43 % so far this year as global subscriber numbers have disappointed. According to the FT.com: "British households have canceled video subscriptions in record numbers as they curb non-essential spending to cope with the cost of living squeeze, reinforcing concerns that a pandemic-fuelled boom in streaming is over. Consumers walked away from about 1.5mn video-on-demand accounts such as Disney Plus, Apple TV Plus, and Now during the first three months of the year, according to figures from analytics group Kantar. Consumers are re-evaluating subscriptions in response to higher charges. Several providers have raised prices in markets including the UK, in part to compensate for rising costs of labor and facilities that have made TV and film production more expensive." Technically: Daily Cycle Sniper pointing bearish continuation. H4 Cycle Sniper entering over-sold zone Closing below 328 USD would take the shares down to 311 - 290 USD. We will look for a buying opportunity by Cycle Sniper H4 / H1 Better than expected financials will cause a stronger and faster recovery.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by chartreader_pro
$NFLX Inverse Head & ShouldersOn the daily chart it looks like Netflix ($NFLX) is forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern with upside potential as marked on the chart. Analysts are not expecting earnings to be great, might get squeezed. Disclaimer: Stratford Research newsletters reflect the research and opinions of only the authors who are associated persons of Stratford Consulting Ltd. The newsletters are for informational purposes only and are not a recommendation of an investment strategy or recommendation to buy or sell any security or digital asset (cryptocurrency, etc.) in any account. The information provided within the newsletters is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. Any third-party information provided therein does not reflect the views of Stratford Consulting Ltd. or any of its subsidiaries or affiliates. All investments involve risk including the loss of principal and past performance does not guarantee future results.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by atrusik
NFLX Potential for Bearish Reversal | 8th April 2022We see the potential for a bearish reversal from our sell entry level at 368.56 in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci projection towards our take profit level at 353.88 in line with 161.8% Fibonacci extension . Our bearish bias is supported by price trading below ichimoku cloud indicator. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by FXCM
NFLX Potential for Bearish Reversal | 8th April 2022We see the potential for a bearish reversal from our sell entry level at 368.56 in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci projection towards our take profit level at 353.88 in line with 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Our bearish bias is supported by price trading below ichimoku cloud indicator. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by Rockqet
Netflix resistance and channelsI'm seeing a few things on Netflix here: 1) there is a long-term support trend currently sitting in the 330's going back to 2019 and 2020 lows 2) some resistance in the ~385 range and again at ~425 from 2019 highs. Now this is coinciding with the 50 day MA which is currently at 382. Closing above the 50 day on some strong volume would be a good sign for me. 3) the current uptrend is pretty steep, probably not sustainable unless we get a gap up on some news 4) I'd like to see it retake the upper channel in the 520 range 5) There will be a reckoning with 100 and 200 day MA on the way I'm long term bullish on the company but this chart isn't pretty right now. Watching to see if it breaks above 400 or retraces down to <340 again. I'm averaged in at 352. I'm not a professional trader, this is not investment advice, do your own due diligence.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by The_Last_Gentleman
2
NFLX Potential Bullish Bounce | 1st April 2022Price is near buy entry level of 365.55 in line with 50% fibonacci retracement. Price can potentially bounce up to take profit level of 397.42 in line with 78.6% fibonacci projection. Our bullish bias is supported by price trading above the ichimoku cloud indicator. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by Rockqet
5 Stocks Walk into a Bar....A mega cap, a large cap, a medium cap, a small cap, and a micro cap stock walk into a bar. The bartender looks at them and says, "What do you want?" They all reply, "A Shot!" Well lets give these stocks "A Shot!" by taking a look at their price performance over the past 52 weeks and evaluating whether they are a "good buy." Mega Cap: Facebook or Meta (FB) has fallen roughly 21% in the past 52 weeks despite having a market cap of $603B. Large Cap: Netflix (NFLX) has fallen roughly 26% in the past 52 weeks despite having a market cap of $165B. Medium Cap: Zoom (ZM) has fallen roughly 64% in the past 52 weeks despite having a market cap of $34B. Small Cap: SoFi (SOFI) has fallen roughly 47% in the past 52 weeks despite having a market cap of $7.47B. Micro Cap Loan Depot (LDI) has fallen roughly 78% in the past 52 weeks despite having a market cap of $1.3B. All of these companies that I have mentioned above are oversold in my opinion, despite being one of the largest market cap in each of their respective segments and most are overall profitable. They all offer an important service that I have personally used in the past or currently use on an almost daily basis. Almost everyone is aware of Facebook now Meta, develops products that enable people to connect and share with friends and family through mobile devices, personal computers, virtual reality headsets, wearables, and in-home devices worldwide. Between the Facebook app and Instagram, they are currently the largest social media platform to date. The same goes with Netflix. Who do you know that hasn't used or watched a show or movie on Netflix before? Within the US, its almost unheard of. Now, you can get Netflix stock at a 26% discount and its not going away any time soon as the company begins to enter new markets within developing countries. Zoom is a software that played an integral part during the pandemic, where the world resorted to working from home to combat the pandemic's spread. Thus lead to the mass adoption of Zoom's software into many companies around the world who wanted to continue to collaborate in real time. Since the pandemic and the huge gains Zoom saw, it has since erased these gains and sit at what appears to be a bottom, with massive upside potential of well over 100%+ as companies continue to work remotely despite the waning of the pandemic. SoFi provides digital financial services and is taking on the traditional legacy banks. SoFi offers loans, investing accounts, crypto accounts, credit cards, banking, insurance, insight tracking such as spending habits or credit score monitoring and much more. I believe SoFi will give large banks a run for their money, which will ultimately lead to a potential buy-out by one of the legacy banks looking for an edge. As of today, SoFi is down roughly 62% despite being profitable in the past 2 quarters with a 13% QoQ gain in the 3rd quarter of 2021. LoanDepot sells mortgage and non-mortgage lending products and in 2015 was named the second largest non-bank provider of direct-to-consumer loans within the US. With an easy to use platform, and one of the best rate offerings and customer experiences, LoanDepot is poised to grow significantly in the coming years with increased revenues from raising interest rates. Overall, I believe in these companies on a personal level. I encourage all of you to take a look at these companies yourselves and make your own conclusions. I would also implore you to follow the advice of Peter Lynch and always understand what you are investing in, because when the market corrects, which it always will. If you do not understand the company you invest in then you will not have conviction in the company, which you would be much more inclined to sell during a 10%, 25%, or even 50% drop, when in reality you should be adding to your positions during opportunities such as this. As Baron Rothschild always said, "the time to buy is when there's blood in the streets." Even if this is your own blood. What do you think about my analysis? Make sure to leave your thoughts in the comments below. If you enjoyed this content then please leave a like! It takes time to make these things you know. #thedailyinvestor
NASDAQ:METALong
by thedailyinvestor
2
NFLX Potential For Bullish Pressure | 28th March 2022Price is near to Buy Entry level at 370.78 in line with 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. It can potentially rise up to Take Profit level at 386.16 in line with 161.8% Fibonacci extension, along with graphical swing high resistance. Our bullish bias is further supported by Stochastic indicator where price is trading above the Ichimoku cloud indicator. Alternatively, price might dip to Stop Loss level at 360.91 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement and 76.8% Fibonacci projection. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by Rockqet