NETFLIX: Strong buy opportunity with this 1D MA100 bounce.Netflix is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.399, MACD = -10.400, ADX = 30.636) and is rebounding on the 1D MA100. This is another HL on the 20 month Channel Up, which should be enough to give the stock a push to a new HH. The Channel Up is on its 3rd main bullish wave and both prior saw a +121.52% price increase. We expect the 3rd one to be completed by July. The trade is long, TP = 1,200.
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Netflixtrading
Netflix: New All-time High!As expected, Netflix reached a new all-time high at $1,067, completing the magenta wave . Since then, the stock has already pulled back by nearly 20%. The ongoing magenta wave should extend further into our new magenta Target Zone, which spans $789.04 to $704.43. Since we anticipate a sustainable rebound from this range, it presents an opportunity to initiate or expand long positions. Such long entries could be hedged with a stop 1% below the Zone’s lower boundary, as there is a 30% chance that Netflix will drop below the Zone to complete the green wave alt. .
NETFLIX: testing the 1D MA50. Buy?Netflix is marginally bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 43.757, MACD = 4.950, ADX = 42.375) as the December correction is testing now the 1D MA50. Technically this has been the trend's support since mid August 2024. The 2 year Channel Up offers useful conclusions here. Each of its past January months (2023 and 2024) saw a surge of +38% from their closest low. If this is repeated again, then the price will test the Channel's top. Aim for that +38% rise (TP = 1,200).
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NETFLIX: This rebound isn't a buy opportunity.NFLX is staging a rebound on the 1D MA50 on a marginally bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.295, MACD = 4.710, ADX = 36.125). We don't consider this a buy opportunity as even if a slightly HH is made, the 1D RSI is showing a Bearish Divergence on a Channel Down, the same kind of bearish pattern that started the bearish waves in the two HH prior. Consequeantly we expect a pullback to at least the bottom of the Channel Up (dashed) or the HL trendline (which will be -25.25% from the top) depending on when the 1D RSI crosses under the 30.000 level (oversold), which was the buy trigger on the last two bottom opportunities. We have a long term TP = 550.00.
See how our prior idea has worked:
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NETFLIX: Buy opportunity on a 4 month stretch.NFLX is trying to find support on the 1D MA200, which is at the bottom of a (longer than a year) Bullish Megaphone pattern. The 1D technical outlook is red (RSI = 36.027, MACD = -9.900, ADX = 36.923) signifying considerable upside potential and the rebound on the 30.00 oversold RSI level indicates the reversing momentum. We expect an immediate rally as part of the new bullish leg that will target the 0.786 Fibonacci (TP = 585.00).
Prior idea:
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NETFLIX: Sell conditions emerge. Bearish rest of Summer.Netflix is trading inside a Megaphone pattern since the May 2022 bottom and is approaching the formation's top. The 1D time frame is on green technicals (RSI = 68.406, MACD = 15.870, ADX = 40.286) but just 2-3 weeks ago it was massively overbought, showing that the massive bullish leg is getting exhausted.
Be ready to sell and buy back on the 0.382 Fibonacci (TP = 370.00). That will make a technical Megaphone bottom on the HL trendline while approaching or touching the 1D MA200. This is where we will buy again and target the 0.786 Fibonacci (TP = 585.00).
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