USDJPY - Neutral Pre US Inflation DataUSDJPY has dropped since it's recent highs above 116 on the back of a weaker than anticipated payroll Friday with 199K jobs added in December vs 400K expected. The FED had indicated at last Wednesday's meeting that it would reduce the balance sheet sooner causing yields to rise strengthening the US dollar. This is largely due to the FED's fears of rising inflation therefore we will await inflation data for December on Wednesday. We hold a neutral view whilst the currency pair is below resistance at around 116 as we await further developments including news from the Bank of Japan which indicated it is likely to start tapering it's corporate debt purchases.
Neutral
Bullish Case, Bearish CaseI'm currently Neutral on BNB as there is no obvious entry here for the way I trade. However, I can see reasons to be both bullish and bearish.
Bullish Case:
BNB may be completing the Handle of a C&H pattern. The Cup isn't exactly pristine, but that might just be a casualty of charting against a volatile asset (BTC). Consider a high-risk/high-reward smaller long position here.
Bearish Case:
BNB is ranging and it's recently bounced off the top of the range. Sell pressure *could* push BNB back down to the bottom of the range.
Either way, I'm on the sidelines here until I see a more interesting entry.
Good luck and Happy New Year! :)
Sunday Analysis: Neutral on AUDUSDLast mark up didn't go as planned, but lets see how this goes.
Daily - Price has been making higher highs and higher lows as well as trading within a POSSIBLE channel.
4HR - The channel is still holding up that I drew from last week. We can see a closer look of price breaking and retesting the daily S/R zone. Wouldn't be surprised if it keeps pushing up some (since it's still trading over our 200MA and 50SMA with also signs of a cross from the two), BUT I want to watch and see the next couple candles I get before jumping in for a buy.
1HR - Not seeing much of a pattern I like.
Overall: NEUTRAL
BTC has stayed in expected value area range due to low volumesBTC has stayed in expected value area range due to low volumes on holidays. We will decide our trade based on which side we get breakout, if it is with good volume we will ride with the dominant trend direction.
Note, publishing my first video as bit of a test as well, if this turns out doable I'll start publishing regularly.
Regards.
EURUSD - Neutral Post US Inflation DataEURUSD found support at 1.12 and rebounded from it's strong downtrend since the end of May. However, the 20 day MA at 1.13 is still below the 50 day MA at 1.14 and 100 day MA at 1.15. Additionally, US data released today indicated that inflation is still rising with the Core PCE Price Index YoY at 4.7% vs 4.5% forecast. Rising inflation increases the likelihood of the FED raising rates in 2022 as indicated in the most recent FED meeting, whist the ECB has only indicated it will reduce stimulus in 2022. Therefore, we hold a neutral view as we expect the downtrend will continue but we would first want the currency pair to breach support at 1.12.
Warm your brains and observe dataHello everyone
In this scenario price at NZDUSD currency pair haven't confirm any fact, but it's good to have NZDUSD in our minds. This pair might be good for trading later, we just need more data, more facts, before we hit a button for buy/sell. At the moment NZDUSD currency pair is in bearish trending and bearish territory.
One interesting thing at this pair is that bulls confirm lower low level at the last swing 0.67409 where they got stable and probably they're are not letting bears to get away so easily. This explanation is mean for 4H timeframe.
If we are following price from very start where last territory started, we can see strong bearish movement where red zone is marked. Things got complicated ones bulls snap back from confirmed lower low area at 0.67409. Price eventually reach up to 0.68190 new resistance level (buyers H1 higher high level). And here we go, we have one bearish movement on H4 timeframe and bullish movement on H1 timeframe. Bullish movement is now also observed for H4 timeframe, because price broke 0.67878 resistance level which was important for H4 bears.
To sum this up, I want to tell you price is headed downside with possible sideway trading or price is going to reach buyers H1 higher high second time. at 0.68190 level. This will cause rangging on h4 timeframe. If bulls can hold that position, we have to count in our analysis daily timeframe to.
Anyway, if price can broke 0.67409 support level, bearish side will continue trending.
Do not miss GBPCHF analysis.
BTC bearish till ChristmasAfter today's dip, BTC hit as low as 41.6K. The shock perfectly matched with the time for cash-out before year's biggest holiday. The market is now even more unexpectable after what happened today and would take at least few more days to have an overall picture of the trend and do a proper technical analysis. However, as I thought, BTC might still has a way to go down to at least around 40K. My advice is to anticipate the market movement for few more days before actually start trading, but if you had already opened one, panic selling is not the way and buying the dip is always an option.
$RY with a Neutral outlook following its earnings #Stocks The PEAD projected a Neutral outlook for $RY after a Positive over reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift B with an expected accuracy of 62.5%.
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USDPLN EMA 200 USDPLN, encountering the EMA200 line, what could that mean?
It will probably have a certain stay at this level for a couple of days, if the ipk is one day with a big green Japanese candle, there will probably be a change in the trend and a transition to growth.
My personal opinion to begin with will stay here. and will have several tests.
$DIS with a Neutral outlook following its earnings #Stocks The PEAD projected a Neutral outlook for $DIS after a Negative Under reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift D.
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$AZN with a Neutral outlook following its earnings #Stocks The PEAD projected a Neutral outlook for $AZN after a Negative over reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift C with an expected accuracy of 80%.
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XAUUSD SIDELINESAs gold went in to a deep discount last week, we stay on the sidelines and see if it wants to retrace higher as its in a large consolidation on a higher time frame. if gold wants to go lower we look at the black line where liquidity resides and go short to the level. But for now we wait for confirmation of direction.
Update BTC/USDTSee the chart for an explanation of possible scenarios. I'm still neutral when it comes to bullish or bearish. For this, we need a lot more data. (see chart).
In volatile times like now, I try to ignore as many opinions of others (noise) as possible. In this chart, I show purely potential options on a technical basis.
-Always do your own research
- Not financial advice
$NVDA with a Neutral outlook following its earnings #Stocks The PEAD projected a Neutral outlook for $NVDA after a Positive over reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift B with an expected accuracy of 50%.
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$AMAT with a Neutral outlook following its earnings #Stocks The PEAD projected a Neutral outlook for $AMAT after a Negative Under reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift D with an expected accuracy of 75%.
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AMC - price is correctingThe price is in a corrective area right now. It can retrace a bit more as marked on the chart.
2 Possibilities :
1. The correction can either be a triangle (in this case, we can see an upside soon).
2. The correction will unfold into a zig zag and we can see more downside, before the price will start to go up again.
In this chart, the second possibility is presented.
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Have a beautiful day! :)
BTC Dominance Over TimeThis chart is just a simple analysis of Bitcoin dominance over time. Throughout cryptos entirety we have experienced periods of money heavily flowing into alts and this is what creates an "alt season" (BTC Dominance Drops). Then we see periods where money flows back into Bitcoin and we experience bearishness in alts. Currently we are in the middle of another bullish season for alts. However the question lies if it will continue or not. Enjoy.