The brink of a breakout, Up or Down?We find ourselves within an ascending triangle,
Ascending triangles are a bullish formation that anticipates an upside breakout. meaning we have a higher bias to break out towards the upside,
In this situation the measured move, if the breakout is confirmed with volume, would be around the $40,300 zone.
This scenario would be incredibly bullish, as that would also push us out and above our previous symmetrical triangle, For which the target is in the region of $50,000!
However, this pattern also has a chance (although low 30%) to break towards the downside
If this is the case, we would retrace to our first zone at $34,000... which if this is the case, would push us down and below our symmetrical triangle, to which the lower target is $27,000.... I prefer the former (bullish bias).
Please be cautious, and don't jump into any trades unless they have been confirmed by volume, and a retest of the breakout line!
Neutral
$DAl with a neutral outlool after earning releaseThe PEAD projected a neutral outlook for $DAL after a positive over reaction following its earning placing the stock in Drift B
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$FRC with a neutral outlook following its earning releaseThe PEAD projected a neutral outlook for $FRC following a positive over reaction after is earning release placing the stock in Drift B
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GOLD TWO options for price movementDuring the last week, the price has been moving within a small zone along the level of 1847.33, showing neither a strong rise or fall. Uncertainty in the movement of gold prices gives us two options for the development of events.
First option.
The price starts to rise and breaks through the strong resistance line at 1871.46. After that, it is fixed on it and continues to grow to the resistance zone 1953.66.
Second option.
The price also starts to grow, but cannot break through the resistance line and the level, it will bounce off them in the area of 1877.27 and fall to the support level of 1794.17. And only after that it will show a new growth and come to the resistance line 1888.87.
To summarize, the most important indicator of price movement will be a breakout of a strong resistance line. It has existed since May 2019. Important! First, we need to wait for a specific price movement, understand which of the options it will move, and then we can enter into a buy trade.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Gold - Neutral We still hold a neutral view on Gold despite the precious metal falling due to rising treasury yields and a stronger US dollar. This is because it appears prices have consolidated above support at $1830 and we will therefore await further price action before forming a directional view.
$INFY with a neutral projection following its earning release$INFY posted its earning release with a negative under reaction following it. The PEAD projected a neutral outlook for the stock placing it in Drift D
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$Dell trading within the upper boundary of projected PEAD cone$DELL traded within the upper boundary of the projected PEAD cone after a negative under reaction following its earning release.
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USDJPY - NeutralUSDJPY has moved higher and appears to have broken it's downtrend since last year's March highs as it has consolidated above support at 103.7. This has been due to an increase in Treasury yields and we have therefore changed our long term view from short to neutral as we await US inflation data tomorrow for further price action.
$MU with a neutral outlook after earning releaseThe PEAD projected a neutral outlook for $MU after a positive over reaction following its earning release placing the stock in Drift B
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$BABA trail still leading down some more.$BABA still in a range were short sellers can squeeze more out of it. They like to trap traders were their expectations are met. Head and Shoulder pattern still in play on the " X " move down. Catalyst in mind, Chinese New Years for the pivot pattern to the up side.
Support Area I'm looking for: 196- 190
Short Term Target Area: 250
Short Term Target Area: 280
ADBE - 2 way this could play outWe have 2 possiblities here.
Either we are in a complex WXY correction which would then take price towards 415 i n a corrective fashion similar to the dotted line drawing.
or
we are finishing a Flat corrective wave 2 pattern in which case price should remain above the invalidation level at 439 .
The usual termination point for wave (C) of a Flat pattern is the 100% and 127.2% projection of wave (A) from (B) but the 127.2% level would be below the invalidation level, therefore we can discard it for this setup.
100% level comes at 451, which is also the 78.6% retracement level of wave 1, known also as the last line of defense for bulls.
So, price needs to ideally remain above that level if we are to see higher prices.
Note also that any move above 505 even before touching the 451 level should be considered as a big bullish indication!
Dax - NeutralThe Dax has dropped significantly in today's trading session after reaching all time highs last week on the back of the Brexit deal and US stimulus. The strong of possibility of Germany and other European countries imposing stricter lockdowns and the subsequent impact on their economies could lead to the index dropping further and challenging support at 13,000.
Silver - Neutral Silver has continued it's upward momentum predominantly due to US stimulus, a weaker dollar and fears surrounding the worsening of the coronavirus situation. Therefore prices could challenge resistance at 26.775,but could also pullback sharply given the precious metals volatile nature. Additionally, the rally over the past couple of days has been over relatively thin holiday season trading volumes.
$KMX with a neutral outlook after earnings releaseThe PEAD projected a neutral outlook for $KMX after a negative under reaction following its earning release placing the stock in Drift D
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$PAYX with a neutral outlook following its earning releaseThe PEAD projected a neutral outlook for $PAYX after a positive over reaction following its earning releasing placing the stock in Drift B
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