Newlow
GOLD BEARISH, SELL MOMENTUM. ( BEAR GOLDEN MOMENTUM)Hi Everyone,
gold just fail to stay at the support level for bullish pattern,
this time is the right time to trade for sell. we aim for 3 targets:
1st target 1622
2nd target 1618
3rd target 1594
they will aim for lower and the BEAR trend Will continue,
probably they will make new range for this month 1500-1600 range.
why?
FED will announce 75bps hike interest rates. it almost (95%) probability gold will suffer deep and deeper.
this chance is golden chance you can take. we can win this trade.
to see the news:
www.youtube.com
(please dont risk more than 2% in trade)
watch your risk management. Good Luck.
i try to always we will keep you all updated . Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, i really appreciate you support !
Goodluck
i'll help you to have a great trade.
Please using good money management.
dont take any emotional trade.
Note:
Dont risk more than 0.2% on trending market
Dont risk more than 1% on ranging market
Wish good luck for all people.
Please help support me by Clicking like button, and if you like my ideas please follow me and support me. i Relly Appreciate it!
i'll make more and more great analysis if this chanel grows.
on Gold , Oil , Nasdaq, SP500 , and some American, China, Japan, Indonesia stocks.
Best luck for you.
Cheers mate!
Thankyou.
EURCHF: Don't Miss this BUY 🚀This pair swept the monthly low and engaged the interest of buyers with the strong bullish candle close.
If you look at the daily time frame you will notice we also had a shift in market structure to once again lure in buyers.
Buyers now have two strong confirmations that price could reverse BUT they will take no notice of the vast liquidity that is building up below the demand and the low.
We will wait for buyers to be stopped out before we join buys with the market makers.
if we time this trade correctly, we could be holding onto a long-term swing with HUGE upside potential
The Resemblance is Far Too UncannyThis chart is rather simply mocked up. However the resemblance of how the last 7 years before the 2001 stock market crash and the last 7 years leading up to the 2021 stock market crash were rather uncanny to say the least.
Even more so, almost to the day/week how the patterns have resembled the exact formation of the 2001 cycle almost to the exact percentages.
Anyone who believes that history repeats it self, or more or less has a similar Rhythm to the past, or is just curious to see if the next 440 play out in a similar pattern to what I believe will be a new low. Please save this post and give it a boost so that others get a chance to benefit from it in the same way you did.
Thanks
GBPCHF: Support Approaching ⚠️We swept the lowest point EVER on this pair and now price is returning to the support created shortly after this sweep.
Will price hold the support or break slightly beneath it to stop hunt before buying again?
I think the new low will hold and not be broken but time will tell!
I have illustrated what I would like to see on this pair over the coming weeks.
Let me know what you think in the comments 💬
The market PINEAPPLE Analogy for better tradingMany traders think that buying a stock is like buying a shirt in the store, IT IS NOT!
Buying a stock is like buying a PINEAPPLE, if you understand PINEAPPLES, you understand stocks.
1 - first you have the first sprouts of the pineapple, that came from a seed, this price is extremely cheap.
2 - then the plant grows, and you have a full plant with leaves. Price is increasing with value.
3 - then the plant produces an un-ripe fruit (Green pineapple). Price is increasing with value. The farmer sells to the distributor of pineapples the un-ripe pineapple at a higher price.
4 - then the fruit becomes ripe and is ready for eating. The grocery store sells the pineapple to a restaurant at a higher price.
5- you can get the ripe pineapple and cut it open, and serve it at a higher price to a standby customer. He will gladly pay.
6 - if you cut the pineapple open or just bought it, and you didn't realize it on time (sell it to someone else), the fruit is starting to spoil, so you will lower the price just to get rid of it.
7 - once a lot of time has passed, the fruit is spoiled and no one wants to buy spoiled fruit, so the price decrease and the pineapple/stock go to the garbage.
8 - until the cycle repeats itself...
Key takeaways:
- Expensive can be much more expensive -> don't be afraid to buy a new high.
- Stock is not like a shirt, if the price is down, it means something is wrong with it -->> the stock starting to spoil.
- Cheap can get a lot cheaper.
- When you buy a stock you need to look at it from the perspective of the seller/producer and not through the eyes of the customer...
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EURUSD: Buy and Sell Trading PlanEvery new low comes with a rebound over 200 pips.
That's the repetition I see and the same thing seems to be happening again.
The only question is: Will the price continues to go up right away OR will it retest the bottom?
It's simple! Don't trade in the middle. Sell if it reaches the top and buy if it retests the bottom.
But if I were to make a guess, I think it will retest the bottom.
USDCAD Looking to FallUSDCAD just broke its uptrend making new lows. Currently about to make a new low and ultimately aim for 1.3021. We have lots of strong support areas before we get there so it might take some time. Maybe a few pullbacks or maybe a straight drop through. USDJPY and USDCHF just made some significant drops last week after breaking trend so hopefully the USDCAD will follow in its place.
TSLA NEW LOW or NEWHI or bankrupt?TARGET 1 = 255
Buy = 210
Stop = 200
PROFIT = 255
R=(255-210)/(210-200)=45/10 R=4.5
TARGET 2 = 140
Short position around = 255
Stop = 280
PROFIT = 140
R=(255-140)/(280-255)=115/25 R=4.6
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
technically, you can buy, sell, trade and trade tesla.
Tesla made good levels .. When we break through the global level 200 and confirm this level. Definitely need to short.
As you can see, the Moving Average 200 does not overlap 50, which means that HEDGE Funds and Large Buyers are not yet ready to sell Tesla ..
Any transaction must enter from STOP.
FOUNDATION:
Tesla - bankrupt?
The company Ilona Mask, which produces Tesla electric cars, is approaching bankruptcy if it does not pay nearly a billion dollars in bonds or does not raise stock quotes on the exchange by at least a quarter.
In general, Tesla placed five debt issues: in November 2018, it had already been repaid at $ 230 million, March 1, 2019 (volume at $ 800 million face value), March 1, 2021, March 15, 2022 and August 15, 2025 year (1.8 billion dollars). At the same time, rating agencies assigned to the “junk” ratings from the very beginning due to problems with the Tesla Model 3 model from the very beginning. At the same time, Moody's experts specifically clarified that the company in 2017 had already borrowed more than 700 million dollars, and warned lenders about the high risk of losing their money.
In general, the company's debt load reached $ 10.3 billion by the end of 2018, with a ratio to equity of 243%. That is, at $ 1 of own funds the company owes almost $ 3.5. Of this number, bonds account for about $ 7.5 billion, and the reserve on the balance of money and equivalent funds (for example, shares) is only $ 3.4 billion.
Perfect Rejection Played Out ? What will happen now ?Hello Hoomans.
I'm making a part 2 of my TA because my previous call was perfectly on point, so i'm here to catch up with you guys.
As you can see on the daily charts both of the sticks got closed below the line showing a great resistance in the weekly and daily chart, and that was exactly wat i called on my previous TA (test of the 100MA weekly & 350 daily)
At this point i'm very confident it is topping out but i'm not leaving out any retests at this point, if bitcoin holds support at the 5350-5400 there is a big chance that may happen.
Please like & subscribe so i can keep making TA's & Positions
MY PREVIOUS CALL:
Careful with LTCWatch for a test of the trend line drawn on the chart. As price recently made a new high it made it on a divergence against the RSI. This is a bearish signal that should continue to drop the price this week. Also, trend momentum has been losing strength based on a falling ADX.
If momentum for the bears builds strength as the trend line is tested, be careful of a re-test of the previous low, or even a new low could be imminent (arrows on chart).
Questions let me know.
ETHUSD: Ugly Markets Very Attractive For Buyers?ETHUSD update: New low made at 448 as price pushes into the next reversal zone and hesitates. New lows are a bearish sign, especially when they are occurring below the major support zone. Is this a signal to get short? To exit altogether? No, as ugly as these markets get, it is important to recognize that they are still in an expanding ecosystem.
Remember I am only interested in these markets from a bigger picture perspective. I believe in the technology that is behind these tokens, especially the main ones like BTC, this market and LTC. These are not markets I am interested in shorting, even if I could. If I want to short something, there are other markets that are much more liquid and much easier to access than these markets (Like FX or mini S&P futures). On top of that, if I had easy access and liquidity in these markets, (meaning I do not have to worry about the broker telling me they can't let me cover when I am trying to get out) I would on participate on a day trading time frame because I do not want to stay short a market that is on its lows (especially when its pushing extreme reversal zones).
With that being said, there is a reversal zone boundary at 424 which is relative to the 452 low. This means IF price is going to reverse, it needs to do it within this area. IF instead it closes lower with conviction, then I would simply steer clear of any new positions until stability reappears in these markets.
What does stability look like? For one, the two bearish trend lines that are in play need to be compromised. Then price action would then have to build a more bullish structure such as a broad higher low or double bottom which would express more of a longer term sign of strength returning. Until those scenarios happen, I would suggest staying out completely, accumulating small size on the lows, or if you are managing a long position, just ride it out.
In summary, the current situation reminds me of the way this market was at the highs. The world was euphoric and expecting price to go up forever, now we are in the opposite situation. These markets are full of fear, and it is no surprise that is happening after more institutional players got involved back in December. As long as there is a growing ecosystem and these tokens maintain their usability and relevance, new low situations like this only present very attractive prices to build inventory. I do not care what the news is saying, or the hype, because that information is only being generated to capitalize on the fear. I also want to capitalize on the fear and the way to do it is to buy small and build your inventory while the herd either exits, shorts it or loses interest altogether.
Questions and comments welcome.
ETHUSD: Extreme Lows. Chance Of Reversal High?ETHUSD update: New lows made at 452 as this market gets punished by the possibilities of securities regulation by the SEC. There is only one level left where there is a chance of a bullish reversal, but until some significant bullish structure materializes, I would stay away from this market as far as initiating new positions both long or short.
The SEC interference creates a ton of uncertainty, and markets do not like uncertainty at all which can lead to extreme fear. That is what we are seeing at the moment. The fact that price did not reverse within the 713 to 520 support zone is not a good sign, but does not mean this market is going to zero.
469 is the reversal zone boundary relevant to the 565 low. The current candle is touching that level as I write this. The fact that price is in this location makes it high risk in both directions. Buying right now is extremely aggressive because there are no signs of buyers, and shorting here is extremely risky because chances of reversal are high. Situations like this are the reason why I do not get too big too fast when it comes to building inventory for a broader market move. Only fractional sizing and the willingness to lose will prevent you from being shaken out. When I say the willingness to lose, it means you are sized to the point where if this market really falls apart, it will not wipe you out. That is the risk you take when position trading.
As far as shorts go, IF you had the ability and courage to short this market, and managed to hold it, now would be a good time to consider taking profits or at least tightening protective stops. Again I do not short these markets because I do not trade them on margin, but if I was short, that is what I would be thinking at the moment.
In summary, as long as momentum is bearish, I would avoid any new longs. If you are feeling aggressive, you can wait for some sign of reversal off of this particular area and initiate a small position, but do not expect stability or follow through until there is an appearance of a clear reversal structure (higher low) and/or break of the bearish trend line. The best thing you can do during a situation like this is plan ahead, and NOT react to what is happening now. Reacting is what leads to selling bottoms and buying tops. This situation is no different than buying at 1350. If the whole regulatory situation turns out to be less threatening than expected, this market is going to squeeze hard, and you do not want to be caught on the wrong side of that. Can this market go lower? Sure, anything can happen, but remember when a market looks its worst, often that is a better time to consider buying.
Comments and questions welcome.
BTCUSD: New Lows? Welcome To The Fake Out Zone.BTCUSD update: Price has made a dramatic lower low at 7665 and is now right in the middle of the 8171 to 7239 minor support zone. Even though the short term momentum is now clearly bearish, it is very important to not lose sight of the location of this price action.
In my previous BTC reports, I wrote about quiet markets being a sign of possible strength, and about how it is better to wait for the market to show its hand and being prepared for the possible outcomes both bullish and bearish. Well the market has spoken. First by taking out the 8822 inside bar low, then closing below the 8659 reversal zone boundary and now testing the broad support zones that we have not seen for a while. At first glance, it looks pretty negative but when you consider some of the factors driving this sell off like Goldman Sachs and Google recent news, it is not hard to see that this is nothing more than overreaction. Bigger picture fundamentals have not changed.
For short term traders who are day trading or even swing trading, this is certainly a welcome move, if you have the ability and courage to short this market. As for position traders who are long, such as myself, I see no reason to sell. In fact in light of the recent spike in short interest, this market is in an ideal position for a dramatic fake out and squeeze. Short positions are piling on as price pushes into a major support zone? On top of that, the 7776 level is the reversal zone boundary relative to the 8342 swing low. Proportionally the current price location is the most likely place for a short squeeze to begin. In other words this is where the herd sells the bottom.
Now keep in mind, a fake out or reversal is not in play until reversal candles form, close and get their highs taken out. Just because we are in a high probability location does not guarantee that it will happen. Waiting for price to prove itself is what prevents premature trading which leads to trouble, especially on the smaller time frames. Right now momentum is bearish and it must be expected to continue this way until a change materializes and proves itself.
How you manage your decision making in this situation strongly depends on your outlook and time horizon. I am not day trading these markets, and secondly I am managing a long term position. I can't just throw out my long term outlook and change my entire plan because of a market over reaction. Like I wrote about in my previous report, I have accepted the risk inherent in this market which means I am not afraid to lose. This is what prevents me from getting shaken out during times like this while adhering to my bigger picture plan, especially since this market has not yet pushed below 6K.
In summary, look at this move for what it is and do not get sucked into the massive hype that looks to capitalize on it. As long as price stays above 6K, it is more likely to be range bound on the broader time horizons which is what carries more weight. Sure, short term traders who had the courage to get short 1k points ago look like a hero, but if you are not one of those traders, then NOW is NOT the time to start shorting. I have been writing for weeks about the possibilities of the market choosing a short term bearish scenario only to set up for a fake out, particularly at these levels. And when I see the right patterns, I will add to my long, because this is where bigger picture risk is relatively low. If price continues lower which is also possible, I will just hold on to what I have and wait. As long as nothing changes in terms of the broad fundamentals of these markets, this is nothing more than a buying opportunity engineered by the big money.
Questions and comments welcome.