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Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 21, 2025 🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇯🇵📉 Japan's Inflation Data Release 📉: Japan will release its inflation figures for February on March 21. Analysts expect a slight decrease in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) from January's 4.0% to approximately 3.5%. This data could influence global markets, including the U.S., as it may impact the Bank of Japan's monetary policy decisions. ​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Friday, March 21: 🛢️ Baker Hughes Rig Count (1:00 PM ET) 🛢️: Previous: 592 rigs​ This weekly report provides the number of active drilling rigs in the U.S., offering insights into the health of the oil and gas industry. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
1
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 20, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇨🇳🏦 People's Bank of China (PBOC) Interest Rate Decision 🏦: On March 20, the PBOC will announce its latest interest rate decision. While specific expectations are not detailed, any adjustments could influence global markets, particularly in the Asia-Pacific region. ​ 🇬🇧🏦 Bank of England Interest Rate Decision 🏦: The Bank of England is scheduled to announce its interest rate decision on March 20. Analysts anticipate that the central bank will maintain the current rate at 4.5%, following a recent reduction. This decision will be closely watched for its implications on the UK economy and global financial markets. ​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Thursday, March 20: 📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) 📉:This weekly report indicates the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time, providing insight into the labor market's health. Forecast: 225,000​ Previous: 220,000​ 🏭 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (8:30 AM ET) 🏭:This index measures manufacturing activity in the Philadelphia Federal Reserve district, with positive numbers indicating expansion. Forecast: 10.0​ Previous: 18.1​ 🏠 Existing Home Sales (10:00 AM ET) 🏠:This data reflects the annualized number of previously constructed homes sold during the prior month, offering insights into the housing market's strength. Forecast: 3.95 million annualized units​ Previous: 4.08 million annualized units ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
$4 to $16 with power hour making +60% run $10 to $16It was consolidating for 4 hours after morning news that investor or group purchased at least 5% stake in the company and filled with SEC. This made the stock pop to +150% on the day as traders speculated it could be a big reputable firm or individual so they want to be in as well. After strong support it moved further to +300% area total on the day and I warned everyone on time to get ready for $10 and $11 buys for the vertical new highs. Last hour brought easy money NASDAQ:RGC
NASDAQ:RGC
by ProfitTradeRoom
EuroDollar : When Does the Dust Settle? Tariffs 25'Rather quiet to begin the week as the EuroDollar remains unchanged during the Initial 3 sessions of the week. A "Doji" Daily Candle printed, informing us those of us more technically minded to write off the day's price behavior and look to preceding candles for indication of future direction. It is important to note the longer top wick of 38.5 pips versus the 23.5 pips bottom wick. We can observe yet another daily candle wicking into the Weekly level 1.087. This Price remains very important in the short term because it may facilitate a pullback on EurUsd to the downside. This follows a historic Week of volatility for the EuroDollar as Trumps Tariffs shook the markets to say the least. If we are considering Bullish targets for the week, Daily Level 1.093 , or even Daily Level 1.098 which would be the most generous for buyers. When fundamentals are this strong, it's more difficult to discount those larger, irrational moves that you see in the markets sometimes. So although one could argue how over-extended the EuroDollar is, we must remember the game we are playing. In Considering Bearish targets, a retest of Daily Support level 1.0786 seems reasonable. A Deeper retracement could see price around 1.0694 , the beginning of Last Tuesdays very clean bullish NY session. A pullback seems technically sound, considering the outlier and extent of last weeks upside move. Job Openings on Tuesday is the appetizer to the Inflation CPI data on Wednesday which will surely see some volatility rock these already rattled markets. CPI/Inflation is forecasted to Cool for the Dollar which technically supports more strength for the Euro and a further upside push for this pair. Please Leave a rocket or comment if you enjoyed this Analysis. Have a good trading week !
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
1
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – Key Technical Levels & Market OutlookU.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Monthly Chart Analysis 📊💵 The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is currently navigating a critical price structure, with key supply and demand zones influencing market direction. Here’s a professional breakdown of the chart’s technical outlook: 📍 Key Technical Insights ✅ Supply & Demand Zones Supply Zone (Resistance): 109 - 114 📈 – A key area where selling pressure has historically emerged. A decisive breakout above this level could signal further upside potential. Demand Zone (Support): 100 - 103 📉 – A strong accumulation zone where buyers have stepped in previously. A breakdown below could indicate a shift in market sentiment. ✅ Market Structure & Momentum A Break of Structure (BOSS) has been identified, signaling a shift in trend dynamics. The market is currently ranging between major resistance (~109) and support (~100). ✅ 200-Month Moving Average 📊 The long-term moving average (red line) is acting as dynamic support, reinforcing the bullish bias unless decisively breached. 📊 Potential Scenarios 🔹 Bullish Outlook: If DXY maintains support above 100-103 and breaks past 109, the index could aim for 114+ in the coming months. 🚀 🔹 Bearish Risk: A sustained drop below 100 may open the door for further downside towards 95-89, signaling a broader correction. ⚠️ 📌 Conclusion The DXY remains in a consolidation phase, with key inflection points around 103 (support) and 109 (resistance). A breakout or breakdown from this range will determine the next major trend. Traders should monitor these levels closely for potential trading opportunities.
TVC:DXYLong
by MrStellanSight
TradeCityPro | XRP: Key Levels After Major Market News👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! In this analysis, I want to review XRP, one of the most significant coins in the market. Yesterday, a major news update was released about XRP, and with a market cap of $156 billion, it currently ranks 3rd on CoinMarketCap. 📰 Important News Update Before starting the analysis, let’s go over the major news regarding this project. Yesterday, former U.S. President Donald Trump tweeted that he plans to add a crypto reserve to the U.S. Treasury, stating that major cryptocurrencies like BTC, ETH, SOL, ADA, and XRP would be purchased by the U.S. Treasury. ✅ This is extremely bullish news for the market. As we saw yesterday, Bitcoin made a strong, sharp move, and the altcoins listed in the announcement also experienced massive price surges. For example, XRP surged by 30% following the news. 💥 I will discuss Bitcoin and other coins in future analyses, so make sure to check out today’s Bitcoin analysis, where I’ll also cover long-term scenarios. 📅 Weekly Timeframe On the weekly timeframe, as seen on the chart, after bouncing along the ascending trendline, XRP confirmed its breakout above $0.73056, which initiated the main bullish leg, pushing the price up to $3.06717. 🧩 $3.06717 is the all-time high (ATH) and a major supply zone.If XRP can hold above this level, the next bullish leg could begin. ✨ In the event of a correction, the only key support visible on the weekly timeframe is $1.67220. For further support levels, we need to analyze lower timeframes. 🔍 The RSI oscillator has exited the overbought zone and returned to normal levels.If RSI re-enters overbought conditions, the bullish scenario becomes more likely. 📅 Daily Timeframe On the daily timeframe, the first key observation is a strong bearish divergence on the RSI, which formed as price moved sideways inside the range between $2.02967 and $3.30467. ⚡️ The trigger for this divergence is a break below $2.02967, which has not yet happened. Looking at market volume, after the $0.72448 breakout, volume significantly increased. However, volume has been gradually decreasing since the formation of the range. 📊 A drop in volume before a breakout often signals that a breakout is approaching.If volume continues to decline, be prepared for a potential breakout and enter positions accordingly once triggers are confirmed. 📉 If the range breaks downward, and the PRZ at $2.02967 is lost, XRP could enter a deeper correction toward key Fibonacci levels such as 0.382, 0.5, and 0.618. 💫 These three Fibonacci levels are strong support zones, which could prevent a further sell-off. 📈 On the bullish side, if the range breaks to the upside, a new bullish leg will begin, pushing XRP toward higher targets.If this bullish breakout happens, I will update the analysis with potential new targets. ⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe Let’s now analyze the 4-hour timeframe and identify futures trading triggers. 🔍 After the drop from the $3.36021 peak, the price reached the bottom of the range, and market volume significantly decreased.This signaled that a major move was approaching. 🔑 As seen on the chart, the release of the U.S. Treasury Crypto Reserve news triggered an explosive move, pushing XRP up to $2.95244. 🔽 For futures trading, the closest short trigger is a break below $2.30010.For earlier short entries, we need to wait for a new structure to form. 🛒 For long positions, if $2.95244 is broken, a long entry can be considered.The main resistance for spot buying and the key long position trigger is at $3.36021. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the com
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by tradecitypro
32
USDJPY - Longterm viewHere is our in-depth view and update on USDJPY . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels . Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at USDJPY from a bigger perspective. For this we will be looking at the H4 time-frame . USDJPY is currently trading at around 149.000s . We are still extremely bearish on FX:USDJPY since our last longterm analysis was completed: Scenario 1: SELLS from 148.200 -We broke below the downtrend channel. With the break of the downtrend channel we can expect more sells to come and we should continue the bearish trend on USDJPY slowly digging into lower levels potentially reaching our target of 145.000. Scenario 2: SELLS from 151.250 -We above the downtrend channel - 149.900. If we above our downtrend channel we can expect some short-term buys up to our main Key Level or PBA (Pullback Area) from where we can look to enter into the long-term sells. IMPORTANT KEY LEVELS: - 151.250; possible pullback area - 148.200; breaks below confirming lower levels - 145.000; longterm target (prices from Aug-Sep 2024) Personal opinion: We are currently trading in a downtrend channel and we are expecting more sells to come throughout the next weeks. We do have to be careful as TVC:DXY and TVC:JXY might experience some volatility tomorrow due to the following news: JXY: Tokyo Core CPI y/y DXY: Core PCE Price Index m/m KEY NOTES - USDJPY breaking above 149.900 would result in higher pullbacks. - USDJPY breaking below 148.200 (below the downtrend channel) would confirm sells. - USDJPY is overall extremely bearish. Happy trading! FxPocket
Short
by FxPocket
1
Weekly Market Outlook: February 24 – 28, 2025 🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸📈 U.S. Tariffs Implementation 📈: President Donald Trump has announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on imported automobiles, pharmaceuticals, and lumber products, set to take effect on April 2, 2025. This move aims to protect domestic industries but has raised concerns about potential impacts on global trade relations. 🇺🇦🇷🇺 Diplomatic Efforts 🇺🇦🇷🇺: This week marks the third anniversary of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Key events include French President Emmanuel Macron visiting President Trump in Washington and a virtual G7 meeting to discuss potential resolutions to the ongoing conflict. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Tuesday, Feb 25: 🏠 S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index (9:00 AM ET) 🏠: Provides data on home prices across 20 major U.S. cities. 📈 Consumer Confidence Index (10:00 AM ET) 📈: Measures consumer sentiment regarding economic conditions. Analysts forecast a slight dip in February to 102.6 from January's 104.1. 📅 Wednesday, Feb 26: 🏠 New Home Sales (10:00 AM ET) 🏠: Reports the number of newly constructed homes sold in the previous month. Economists predict a modest decline to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 680,000 homes from December's 698,000. 📅 Thursday, Feb 27: 📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) 📉: Weekly report on the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits. 📊 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Second Estimate (8:30 AM ET) 📊: Revised estimate of the nation's economic growth for Q4 2024. The initial reading showed a 2.3% annual growth rate, slightly below expectations. 🛠️ Durable Goods Orders (8:30 AM ET) 🛠️: Indicates new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting goods. 📅 Friday, Feb 28: 💰 Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index (8:30 AM ET) 💰: The Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation. 💳 Personal Income and Outlays (8:30 AM ET) 💳: Reports changes in personal income and spending. 🏠 Pending Home Sales (10:00 AM ET) 🏠: Measures housing contract activity for existing single-family homes. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
News TradingLet’s talk about news trading in Forex . While news trading is extremely lucrative it’s one of the most risky things a trader can do and experience. News and data cause extreme volatility in the market and as we always say “volatility can be your friend or your enemy” . Let’s take a deeper dive into news trading, which news and data affect the TVC:DXY precious metals such as OANDA:XAUUSD and other dollar related currency pairs. We will also cover having the right mindset for trading the news. 1. Understanding News Trading in Forex News trading is based on the idea that significant economic data releases and geopolitical events can cause sharp price fluctuations in forex markets. We as traders, aim to profit from these sudden price movements by positioning ourselves before or immediately after the news hits the market. However, due to market unpredictability, it requires a strategic plan, risk management, and quick decision making. 2. What to Do in News Trading 1. Know the Key Economic Events – Monitor economic calendars to stay updated on high-impact news releases. The most influential events include: Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) – A report on U.S. job growth that heavily influences the U.S. dollar. Consumer Price Index (CPI) – Measures inflation, impacting interest rate decisions and currency valuation. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meetings – Determines U.S. monetary policy and interest rates, affecting global markets. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) – A key indicator of economic growth, influencing currency strength. Central Bank Statements – Speeches by Fed Chair or ECB President can create large market moves. 2. Use an Economic Calendar – Websites like Forex Factory, Investing.com, or DailyFX provide real-time updates on economic events. 3. Understand Market Expectations vs. Reality – Markets often price in expectations before the news is released. If actual data deviates significantly from forecasts, a strong price movement may occur. 4. Trade with a Plan – Whether you are trading pre-news or post-news, have clear entry and exit strategies, stop-loss levels, and a defined risk-to-reward ratio. 5. Monitor Market Sentiment – Pay attention to how traders are reacting. Sentiment can drive price action more than the actual data. 6. Focus on Major Currency Pairs – News trading is most effective with liquid pairs like FX:EURUSD , FX:GBPUSD , FX:USDJPY , and OANDA:USDCAD because they have tighter spreads and high volatility. 3. What NOT to Do in News Trading 1. Don’t Trade Without a Stop-Loss – Extreme volatility can cause sudden reversals. A stop-loss helps prevent catastrophic losses. 2. Avoid Overleveraging – Leverage magnifies profits but also increases risk. Many traders blow accounts due to excessive leverage. 3. Don’t Chase the Market – Prices may spike and reverse within seconds. Jumping in late can lead to losses. 4. Avoid Trading Without Understanding News Impact – Not all economic releases cause the same level of volatility. Study past reactions before trading. 5. Don’t Rely Solely on News Trading – Long-term success requires a balanced strategy incorporating technical analysis and risk management. 4. The Unpredictability of News Trading News trading is highly unpredictable. Even when a report meets expectations, market reactions can be erratic due to: Market Sentiment Shifts – Traders might focus on different aspects of a report than expected. Pre-Pricing Effects – If a news event was anticipated, the market might have already moved, causing a ‘buy the rumor, sell the news’ reaction. Liquidity Issues – Spreads widen during major news events, increasing trading costs and slippage. Unexpected Statements or Revisions – Central banks or government agencies can make last-minute statements that shake the market. 5. How News Affects Forex, Gold, and the U.S. Dollar 1. U.S. Dollar (USD) – The USD reacts strongly to NFP, CPI, FOMC statements, and GDP reports. Strong economic data strengthens the dollar, while weak data weakens it. 2. Gold (XAU/USD) – Gold is an inflation hedge and a safe-haven asset. It often moves inversely to the USD and rises during economic uncertainty. 3. Stock Market & Risk Sentiment – Positive economic news can boost stocks, while negative reports may trigger risk aversion, benefiting safe-haven currencies like JPY and CHF. 6. The Right Mindset for News Trading 1. Accept That Volatility is a Double-Edged Sword – Big moves can mean big profits, but also big losses. 2. Control Emotions – Fear and greed can lead to impulsive decisions. Stick to your strategy. 3. Risk Management is Key – Never risk more than a small percentage of your capital on a single trade. 4. Adaptability – Be prepared to change your approach if market conditions shift unexpectedly. 5. Patience and Experience Matter – The best traders wait for the right setups rather than forcing trades. Thank you for your support! FxPocket
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by FxPocket
4
Weekly Economic Events & Data Releases: Feb 10 – 14, 2025🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News: Monday, Feb 10: 🇨🇳📈 China's Retaliatory Tariffs – In response to the U.S. imposing a 10% tariff on Chinese imports effective Feb 4, China has enacted tariffs of 15% on U.S. coal and liquefied natural gas, and 10% on crude oil and agricultural machinery, effective today. Tuesday, Feb 11 & Wednesday, Feb 12: 🇺🇸🏛️ Fed Chair Powell Testifies – Insights into economic outlook and monetary policy. 📊 Key Data Releases: Wednesday, Feb 12: 🏢 Consumer Price Index (CPI): Forecast: +0.3% MoM; Previous: +0.2% MoM. 💵 Real Earnings: Forecast: -0.1% MoM; Previous: -0.1% MoM. Thursday, Feb 13: 🏭 Producer Price Index (PPI): Forecast: +0.3% MoM; Previous: +0.2% MoM. 📉 Initial Jobless Claims: Forecast: 219K; Previous: 219K. Friday, Feb 14: 🛍️ Retail Sales: Forecast: -0.1% MoM; Previous: +0.4% MoM. 🌐 Import Price Index: Forecast: +0.5% MoM; Previous: +0.1% MoM. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SP:SPXLong
by TrendTao
Hold!Bulls! My fellow warriors of the market! I see fear in your eyes... I See hesitation... But I also see fire! The Bears think they own this battlefield! They think they can drive us back, force us to surrender, and take what is ours! But I ask you - will you run? Will you let them push us down, and break our support and trample our dreams?! HELL NO! Then stand up! Hold the damn line! Push through that resistance! The Bears are clawing, but they are weak! You are stronger! Your are relentless! You are BULLS! So I ask you one last time - WHAT ARE YOU DOING LYING THERE? GET UP! PUSH FORWARD BREAK THEIR SPIRIT! TAKE BACK THIS MARKET! DO YOU WANT TO LIVE FOREVER!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by inspectorcrusoe
1
AUD/JPY At a Breaking Point – Big Move Loading!AUD/JPY is sitting at a crucial level right now. We're seeing a descending triangle pattern forming, with price getting squeezed between lower highs and key support around the 200 EMA (94.64). A breakdown below this level could trigger a sharp drop, with targets around 90 and possibly 85-87 in the coming weeks. The bearish momentum is building, and today's red candle isn't looking too promising for bulls. On the flip side, if buyers step in and push it back above 97.50, we might see a recovery towards the 100 level. But for now, the bias leans bearish unless we get a strong reversal signal. Keep an eye on that 94 level – a breakdown could mean more downside ahead. 🔻
by MrStellanSight
BULLISH ON $LINK as potential front runner for Alt of 2025?I know that’s a BIG STATEMENT but I do see merit here. ChainLink is a very powerful network with its capability’s. Anyway the idea is simple the first circle's purple green yellow all smaller to larger are same as the right side but the last yellow circle you see only 1/6th so if the rim. All this is hard to make out when zoomed in on a long frame chart so it was easiest way and I added pitch fork to give the over-all tend-line with the fork set to the last trend change. For a more realistic outlook which is still FUCKING INSANE! “”IF IT CAME OR COMES TRUE!”” I will see when I look at this accounts ideas ain 1-10 years and to holy shit I actually owned that..!?? Haha Alright THIS IS WHY I AM SO BULLISH ON BITCOIN I MEAN LINK! lol CRYPTOCAP:BTC WILL PULL CRYPTOCAP:LINK ID OWN BOTH JUST A IMO. ALSO MOT FINACIAL ADVICE I AM NOT FINANCIAL ADVISOR OR STUDY FINANCE SO I ONLY TRADE WHAT I KNOW WHORKS AND SHARE WITH SOME PEOPLE BUT THIS WONT BE THE SAME ON ANOTHER TRADE AS IT ALWAYS CHANGES SO TRADE YOUR OWN STRATEGIES! Below is the reason I own and will continue to HODL CRYPTOCAP:LINK #ChainLink Chainlink ( CRYPTOCAP:LINK ) has as a decentralised oracle network that connects smart contracts with real-world data, APIs, and traditional banking systems. It’s absolutely next level and NEW businesses or entrepreneurs will want to build on or use the chain link blockchain to do business maybe just pay people or for BONUS salary or even a “second option” to “Superannuation” or CRYPTOCAP:BTC will do so for first time under Trump administration or a the least I have heard this from a random but human source. Anyway so since blockchains cannot access external data on its own, Chainlink acts as a bridge, enabling smart contracts to execute based on real-world events, such as price feeds, weather data, or even sports scores. For users being solo or business, Chainlink enhances most (if not all) blockchain applications by providing reliable and tamper-proof data, ensuring decentralised finance (DeFi) platforms, NFT projects, and other Smart Contract-Based services function accurately and securely. This reduces reliance with any centralised data providers, increasing transparency and trust amongst the entire user base and anyone who chooses to look on the chainlink block explorer. For big company’s Chainlink offers a secure way to integrate blockchain technology without overhauling existing digital infrastructure. Businesses can leverage its oracles to automate processes, improve efficiency, and access new blockchain-based financial products. It enables smart contracts to be used in insurance, gaming, supply chain management, and more. The benefits of Chainlink include its decentralized nature, security, and widespread adoption across major blockchain projects. However, drawbacks include potential scalability concerns, reliance on node operators for data accuracy, and competition from other oracle solutions. Despite these challenges, Chainlink remains the dominant oracle provider in the crypto space, powering many DeFi applications. Now that there wasn’t me that’s a disc rip took of Link. This is why I BELIEVE it’s a contender FOR 2025 Altcoin of the year or at minimum top 5…! Heck it is just following CRYPTOCAP:BTC little bit of CRYPTOCAP:ETH moves it. Depends.. I just think the MARKET NOW is about to go KAPUT AND BE TRIAL FOR THSOE WHO ARE HOLDERS AND WHO ARENT. This is one of my final warnings. It will happen the market is way over priced. It may SEEM not but it is and mathematically as well. So we need to be careful with “MEMES” always another threat which is so stupid people still fall for the Twitter or telegram or Instagram image of some random LOGO animal and name with a $ ticker so it seem “Legit” cut so many new people don’t know it’s easy to make a meme coin and has been for years now. It’s that no one knew or no one wanted to know and didn’t learn it and it wasn’t idealised by the ”masses” to look at. I mean even the church or the royal family’s ITS NEW for them and this is the whole thing with cryptocurrency even JUST CRYPTOCAP:BTC AND that’s why we say “JUST Bitcoin” because anything else HAS YET TO BE ADVERTISED largely on a world wide scale like bitcoin on the Bitcoin network. Notice the lower b and upper B single word bitcoin is reference to the coin I or you own. Or can mine then the Bitcoin network or even Bitcoin references the Bitcoin network. Just for any future reference if it’s a book or something you will get it ;)
Long
by CryptoFerk
2
XAUUSD Analysis: Potential Bearish Pullback Towards Key Support📉 XAUUSD Daily Analysis 🔍 🚨 Potential for a Bearish Pullback 🚨 Gold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of a potential downward move after rejecting a key resistance level. If this momentum continues, we could see the price heading towards the support zone at 2680/2670. 💡 Key Insights: 📌 Market rejection at resistance = possible bearish momentum. 📌 Target support area: 2680/2670. 📌 Risk Management: Stick to 1-2% risk on trades. ⚠️ Historical Note: When the market last hit an all-time high, it saw a sharp one-day drop. Stay cautious! 💬 Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk effectively.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrStellanSight
11
Ethereum 1 hr analysis 🚨 Ethereum 1 Hour Analysis 🚨 Here’s what we’re watching: 📈 Upside Targets: • TP1:3500 • TP2: 3800 📉 Downside Targets: • TP1: 3050 • TP2: 2850 So we have to watch out for $3350-$3390 level. If ETH stays below then you can target downside targets and if above then you can target above levels mentioned as TP(take profit) Keep an eye on key levels and trade smart! 💹 What’s your take? Drop a comment below and share this with your trading crew! 🚀
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by ProfitMatrix
EUR/GBP: PAT + VPA 11/2/2024Good morning, I will be closely observing the EUR/GBP currency pair on a daily basis, as I expect a bullish pullback or reversal to materialize in the forthcoming weeks. - 1W / Weekly Analysis: The market has recently dipped to a low of 0.839, with current support established at 0.832. The price has tested the 0.832 level multiple times without breaching it, suggesting a diminished appetite for selling at this juncture. Additionally, the presence of significant wicks accompanied by relatively smaller bodies may indicate a potential selling climax. - 1D / Daily Analysis: The daily time frame reveals the formation of a double bottom pattern at the weekly support level of 0.0832. Presently, the price is retesting the recent swing high of 0.84, which represents the latest peak. The price has demonstrated its capacity to remain above the 0.84 threshold, and I anticipate a continued upward movement towards 0.846 in the upcoming weeks. OANDA:EURGBP XETR:DAX TVC:BXY ThePipAssassin
Long
by ThePipAssassin
1
Traders MindsetLet’s talk about mindset! You hear everyone saying; mindset is the most important in trading. But what is having “the right mindset” ? Now here is a little secret. Mindset is not just being focused on the money. “I must be profitable”. No. Having the right mindset is having a set of attitudes. Quite literally the definition.. Mindset /ˈmʌɪn(d)sɛt/ noun (usually in singular) the established set of attitudes held by someone. How you approach the market is very important. Have a set of rules for yourself. - Do I have a trading plan? Having a trading plan is important. It helps you follow something day in and day out. - Do I have good market conditions? Having good market conditions is important as it helps you make more clear decisions. Trading in sideways markets usually ends badly. It forces the trader to become impatient and entering too soon, expecting a breakout to either side usually leads to loses. - Do I know the risk? Understanding the risk before you enter the trade is important. Majority of traders over-leverage, meaning they use high leverage thus being able to open higher lot size positions. That usually leads to blown accounts. Knowing what you are risking, eliminates a lot of the emotions. - Do I have any confirmations? Whether that’s a break, a pullback, fundamentals supporting your view that’s great! Having confirmations on your analysis or trade is important. - Is this trade forced? Am I being nervous before entering? Am I not sure? Am I gambling on this trade? Understanding your emotions is important. Ever felt like this when you opened a trade, knowing you shouldn’t and it instantly went against you? Avoid these trades. One more thing I would like to add. Ever been stuck to your screen 24/7? Lost sleep over a trade. Here is a fact. You watching the chart, won’t change its path. Sad truth. There is nothing wrong with following your trade, but if you are watching your losing trade, then I already know where it leads. You do too. Avoid this. Going back to the #1 rule. Know your risk before entering. Eliminate emotions. Having the right mindset is following your own rules and having a set of habits. Habits that help you to grow as a trader. Eliminate bad habits. Review your past trades. You all know why you lost a trade. But will you look for an excuse? “Ah the market did a liquidity sweep” or “market is manipulated”. The market is never wrong. You as a trader are. Don’t celebrate wins or mourn loses on your account. Treat it as your full time job. You have some good days, you have some bad days. You win, you move on. You lose, you move on. As long as you are following the trading plan, you will succeed. Understanding this, combined with experience will grow you as a trader. And guess what the by product of this is? Money. So don’t focus on money. Focus on self-growth, mindset, experience and upgrading your skillset of trading. Money will be the byproduct of your journey. Create your mindset plan. A set of rules for yourself. Try doing it for 30 days. Come back to this post and tell us if you have improved. Nothing or no one is stopping you from being a successful trader but yourself. It’s not the market and no it’s not the broker. Majority of traders quit after blowing a few accounts. The rest stick around for years but make no progress. Only a few % of them actually find the meaning behind it and succeed. What’s the secret? Signals? Prop Firms? Account managers? EA’s? No. Sure all these things can benefit you slightly. But what truly is the secret to being successful in trading? You! You are the secret. Understanding yourself, your emotions, your reactions to certain events. Trading is a mirror of you. An amplified picture of you. Are you impatient? Scared? Nervous? Greedy? Forex will amplify those emotions. The biggest battle you have to win is the battle with yourself. Not the market. Trading is easy, you have a trading plan, you stick to it. Sometimes you may have a loosing week, happens right? But as long as you are sticking to your strategy, understanding the market, using a positive R:R and understanding the importance of consistency you should be fine. But here is the hard part. Your reactions. Your emotions. Let’s take for example NFP Data release. Weeks or even months of progress can be wiped out due to irrational decisions during news. Don’t be that trader. Suppress your emotions, don’t get greedy. Take a jab at the market, but only after the data is out. Remember, no one is stopping you from being a successful trader, but yourself. A key element added to a traders mindset is PATIENCE . patience /ˈpeɪʃns/ (noun) - the capacity to accept or tolerate delay, problems, or suffering without becoming annoyed or anxious. That’s the definition of patience. Trading is a stressful field. Not only does your analysis have to be on point, you have to be focused, have a trading plan, use proper risk to reward ratio… so many factors and then comes the patience. We already know that the market always provides unexpected problems. It plays with our emotions, ranges, does not move, goes against us etc. How many times have you entered in a position and the price started to range, while you float in loss? You start doubting, you get scared and you close the position. Or even worse, you get stopped out. Later in the day you check the chart and you see your Take Profit (TP) would have been hit, but only if you were more patient? Or how many times have you had an A+ setup, everything was going to plan but you closed it early because you wanted to secure the profit? Being a good trader is hard, but it’s not impossible. Discipline is everything as well as patience. Without patience you are bound to lose. From talking to many people, you would be surprised at how many of them want to “flip” their account. “Do you think I can make 2000$ this week” with 1000$ in their account. We will always advocate for patience. Playing the long game. Consistency + patience will get you far. Check some of the last trades you did. Were you patient? Ask yourself. Majority can find themselves in these stories. Work on your patience, and you will get far. For example, check out this long-term analysis on XAUUSD (Gold) posted on January 9th. Now we did close it earlier, but we still managed to secure +500 pips (50$ price action) in 3 days of holding. Patience. This post was made due to a high request of people liking our minds, so it has all been posted in a single educational post. FxPocket
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by FxPocket
1
XAUUSD; long-term analysis pre-NFPHere is our in-depth view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels. Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at XAUUSD from a bigger perspective. For this we will be looking at the H4 time-frame . XAUUSD is currently trading at around 2670s. Our scenarios are in play after the NFP data is out. Let’s take another look at them with more in-depth outcomes. These scenarios are written from just a TA (Technical Analysis) point of view. Scenario 1: long-term BUYS -We broke above 2675. With the break of 2675 we can expect a possible move up to 2690. With a retest back at 2700s, that would confirm continuation buys and we would have to keep our eye out on our next KL (Key Level) at around 2714 or previous highs at 2726. Scenario 2: long-term SELLS -We respected our KL and stayed below 2675.700. If we start making our way down to 2646 and manage to break below it, we could see more sells in play down to 2604. NFP DATA! WHAT’S COMING? With the NFP data coming out tomorrow , we can expect huge volatility. Spikes are to be expected. With the Jobless claims report we got yesterday, we can possibly anticipate more positive numbers for the TVC:DXY and potentially leading into more sells on OANDA:XAUUSD which would play by our Scenario 2 ! If on the other hand the NFP data comes in lower than expected, we should follow by our long-term Scenario 1 . IMPORTANT KEY LEVELS: - 2690 ; breaks above would result in gold revisiting previous highs - 2675 ; breaks above would result in more upside - 2646 ; breaks below would result in sells - 2633 ; breaks below confirming lower levels - 2620 ; breaks below confirming lower levels - 2604 ; breaks below would confirm gold is bearish and we should see lower levels (2590..) Personal opinion: As the new financial year is here, and we are barely in the first weeks of trading, the direction for now is unclear until we break our mentioned key levels. The spikes we had last few days on XAUUSD did not give us the best or most optimal trading conditions. The market is undecided on the direction, until we get the NFP Data out. Stay patient and be smart. KEY NOTES - XAUUSD breaking above 2675 would confirm buys. - XAUUSD failing to break above 2675 could result in lower prices. - Breaks below 2646 would result in sells. - The market has no directions until we get the NFP Data out on Friday 10th. - Positive NFP Data would result in stronger DXY and lower prices on XAUUSD, potentially following our long-term scenario 2. - Negative NFP Data would result in weaker DXY and higher prices on XAUUSD, potentially following our long-term scenario 1. Happy trading! FxPocket
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FxPocket
3