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News TradingLet’s talk about news trading in Forex . While news trading is extremely lucrative it’s one of the most risky things a trader can do and experience. News and data cause extreme volatility in the market and as we always say “volatility can be your friend or your enemy” . Let’s take a deeper dive into news trading, which news and data affect the TVC:DXY precious metals such as OANDA:XAUUSD and other dollar related currency pairs. We will also cover having the right mindset for trading the news. 1. Understanding News Trading in Forex News trading is based on the idea that significant economic data releases and geopolitical events can cause sharp price fluctuations in forex markets. We as traders, aim to profit from these sudden price movements by positioning ourselves before or immediately after the news hits the market. However, due to market unpredictability, it requires a strategic plan, risk management, and quick decision making. 2. What to Do in News Trading 1. Know the Key Economic Events – Monitor economic calendars to stay updated on high-impact news releases. The most influential events include: Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) – A report on U.S. job growth that heavily influences the U.S. dollar. Consumer Price Index (CPI) – Measures inflation, impacting interest rate decisions and currency valuation. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meetings – Determines U.S. monetary policy and interest rates, affecting global markets. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) – A key indicator of economic growth, influencing currency strength. Central Bank Statements – Speeches by Fed Chair or ECB President can create large market moves. 2. Use an Economic Calendar – Websites like Forex Factory, Investing.com, or DailyFX provide real-time updates on economic events. 3. Understand Market Expectations vs. Reality – Markets often price in expectations before the news is released. If actual data deviates significantly from forecasts, a strong price movement may occur. 4. Trade with a Plan – Whether you are trading pre-news or post-news, have clear entry and exit strategies, stop-loss levels, and a defined risk-to-reward ratio. 5. Monitor Market Sentiment – Pay attention to how traders are reacting. Sentiment can drive price action more than the actual data. 6. Focus on Major Currency Pairs – News trading is most effective with liquid pairs like FX:EURUSD , FX:GBPUSD , FX:USDJPY , and OANDA:USDCAD because they have tighter spreads and high volatility. 3. What NOT to Do in News Trading 1. Don’t Trade Without a Stop-Loss – Extreme volatility can cause sudden reversals. A stop-loss helps prevent catastrophic losses. 2. Avoid Overleveraging – Leverage magnifies profits but also increases risk. Many traders blow accounts due to excessive leverage. 3. Don’t Chase the Market – Prices may spike and reverse within seconds. Jumping in late can lead to losses. 4. Avoid Trading Without Understanding News Impact – Not all economic releases cause the same level of volatility. Study past reactions before trading. 5. Don’t Rely Solely on News Trading – Long-term success requires a balanced strategy incorporating technical analysis and risk management. 4. The Unpredictability of News Trading News trading is highly unpredictable. Even when a report meets expectations, market reactions can be erratic due to: Market Sentiment Shifts – Traders might focus on different aspects of a report than expected. Pre-Pricing Effects – If a news event was anticipated, the market might have already moved, causing a ‘buy the rumor, sell the news’ reaction. Liquidity Issues – Spreads widen during major news events, increasing trading costs and slippage. Unexpected Statements or Revisions – Central banks or government agencies can make last-minute statements that shake the market. 5. How News Affects Forex, Gold, and the U.S. Dollar 1. U.S. Dollar (USD) – The USD reacts strongly to NFP, CPI, FOMC statements, and GDP reports. Strong economic data strengthens the dollar, while weak data weakens it. 2. Gold (XAU/USD) – Gold is an inflation hedge and a safe-haven asset. It often moves inversely to the USD and rises during economic uncertainty. 3. Stock Market & Risk Sentiment – Positive economic news can boost stocks, while negative reports may trigger risk aversion, benefiting safe-haven currencies like JPY and CHF. 6. The Right Mindset for News Trading 1. Accept That Volatility is a Double-Edged Sword – Big moves can mean big profits, but also big losses. 2. Control Emotions – Fear and greed can lead to impulsive decisions. Stick to your strategy. 3. Risk Management is Key – Never risk more than a small percentage of your capital on a single trade. 4. Adaptability – Be prepared to change your approach if market conditions shift unexpectedly. 5. Patience and Experience Matter – The best traders wait for the right setups rather than forcing trades. Thank you for your support! FxPocket
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by FxPocket
4
Weekly Economic Events & Data Releases: Feb 10 – 14, 2025🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News: Monday, Feb 10: 🇨🇳📈 China's Retaliatory Tariffs – In response to the U.S. imposing a 10% tariff on Chinese imports effective Feb 4, China has enacted tariffs of 15% on U.S. coal and liquefied natural gas, and 10% on crude oil and agricultural machinery, effective today. Tuesday, Feb 11 & Wednesday, Feb 12: 🇺🇸🏛️ Fed Chair Powell Testifies – Insights into economic outlook and monetary policy. 📊 Key Data Releases: Wednesday, Feb 12: 🏢 Consumer Price Index (CPI): Forecast: +0.3% MoM; Previous: +0.2% MoM. 💵 Real Earnings: Forecast: -0.1% MoM; Previous: -0.1% MoM. Thursday, Feb 13: 🏭 Producer Price Index (PPI): Forecast: +0.3% MoM; Previous: +0.2% MoM. 📉 Initial Jobless Claims: Forecast: 219K; Previous: 219K. Friday, Feb 14: 🛍️ Retail Sales: Forecast: -0.1% MoM; Previous: +0.4% MoM. 🌐 Import Price Index: Forecast: +0.5% MoM; Previous: +0.1% MoM. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SP:SPXLong
by PogChan
Hold!Bulls! My fellow warriors of the market! I see fear in your eyes... I See hesitation... But I also see fire! The Bears think they own this battlefield! They think they can drive us back, force us to surrender, and take what is ours! But I ask you - will you run? Will you let them push us down, and break our support and trample our dreams?! HELL NO! Then stand up! Hold the damn line! Push through that resistance! The Bears are clawing, but they are weak! You are stronger! Your are relentless! You are BULLS! So I ask you one last time - WHAT ARE YOU DOING LYING THERE? GET UP! PUSH FORWARD BREAK THEIR SPIRIT! TAKE BACK THIS MARKET! DO YOU WANT TO LIVE FOREVER!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by inspectorcrusoe
1
AUD/JPY At a Breaking Point – Big Move Loading!AUD/JPY is sitting at a crucial level right now. We're seeing a descending triangle pattern forming, with price getting squeezed between lower highs and key support around the 200 EMA (94.64). A breakdown below this level could trigger a sharp drop, with targets around 90 and possibly 85-87 in the coming weeks. The bearish momentum is building, and today's red candle isn't looking too promising for bulls. On the flip side, if buyers step in and push it back above 97.50, we might see a recovery towards the 100 level. But for now, the bias leans bearish unless we get a strong reversal signal. Keep an eye on that 94 level – a breakdown could mean more downside ahead. 🔻
by MrStellanSight
BULLISH ON $LINK as potential front runner for Alt of 2025?I know that’s a BIG STATEMENT but I do see merit here. ChainLink is a very powerful network with its capability’s. Anyway the idea is simple the first circle's purple green yellow all smaller to larger are same as the right side but the last yellow circle you see only 1/6th so if the rim. All this is hard to make out when zoomed in on a long frame chart so it was easiest way and I added pitch fork to give the over-all tend-line with the fork set to the last trend change. For a more realistic outlook which is still FUCKING INSANE! “”IF IT CAME OR COMES TRUE!”” I will see when I look at this accounts ideas ain 1-10 years and to holy shit I actually owned that..!?? Haha Alright THIS IS WHY I AM SO BULLISH ON BITCOIN I MEAN LINK! lol CRYPTOCAP:BTC WILL PULL CRYPTOCAP:LINK ID OWN BOTH JUST A IMO. ALSO MOT FINACIAL ADVICE I AM NOT FINANCIAL ADVISOR OR STUDY FINANCE SO I ONLY TRADE WHAT I KNOW WHORKS AND SHARE WITH SOME PEOPLE BUT THIS WONT BE THE SAME ON ANOTHER TRADE AS IT ALWAYS CHANGES SO TRADE YOUR OWN STRATEGIES! Below is the reason I own and will continue to HODL CRYPTOCAP:LINK #ChainLink Chainlink ( CRYPTOCAP:LINK ) has as a decentralised oracle network that connects smart contracts with real-world data, APIs, and traditional banking systems. It’s absolutely next level and NEW businesses or entrepreneurs will want to build on or use the chain link blockchain to do business maybe just pay people or for BONUS salary or even a “second option” to “Superannuation” or CRYPTOCAP:BTC will do so for first time under Trump administration or a the least I have heard this from a random but human source. Anyway so since blockchains cannot access external data on its own, Chainlink acts as a bridge, enabling smart contracts to execute based on real-world events, such as price feeds, weather data, or even sports scores. For users being solo or business, Chainlink enhances most (if not all) blockchain applications by providing reliable and tamper-proof data, ensuring decentralised finance (DeFi) platforms, NFT projects, and other Smart Contract-Based services function accurately and securely. This reduces reliance with any centralised data providers, increasing transparency and trust amongst the entire user base and anyone who chooses to look on the chainlink block explorer. For big company’s Chainlink offers a secure way to integrate blockchain technology without overhauling existing digital infrastructure. Businesses can leverage its oracles to automate processes, improve efficiency, and access new blockchain-based financial products. It enables smart contracts to be used in insurance, gaming, supply chain management, and more. The benefits of Chainlink include its decentralized nature, security, and widespread adoption across major blockchain projects. However, drawbacks include potential scalability concerns, reliance on node operators for data accuracy, and competition from other oracle solutions. Despite these challenges, Chainlink remains the dominant oracle provider in the crypto space, powering many DeFi applications. Now that there wasn’t me that’s a disc rip took of Link. This is why I BELIEVE it’s a contender FOR 2025 Altcoin of the year or at minimum top 5…! Heck it is just following CRYPTOCAP:BTC little bit of CRYPTOCAP:ETH moves it. Depends.. I just think the MARKET NOW is about to go KAPUT AND BE TRIAL FOR THSOE WHO ARE HOLDERS AND WHO ARENT. This is one of my final warnings. It will happen the market is way over priced. It may SEEM not but it is and mathematically as well. So we need to be careful with “MEMES” always another threat which is so stupid people still fall for the Twitter or telegram or Instagram image of some random LOGO animal and name with a $ ticker so it seem “Legit” cut so many new people don’t know it’s easy to make a meme coin and has been for years now. It’s that no one knew or no one wanted to know and didn’t learn it and it wasn’t idealised by the ”masses” to look at. I mean even the church or the royal family’s ITS NEW for them and this is the whole thing with cryptocurrency even JUST CRYPTOCAP:BTC AND that’s why we say “JUST Bitcoin” because anything else HAS YET TO BE ADVERTISED largely on a world wide scale like bitcoin on the Bitcoin network. Notice the lower b and upper B single word bitcoin is reference to the coin I or you own. Or can mine then the Bitcoin network or even Bitcoin references the Bitcoin network. Just for any future reference if it’s a book or something you will get it ;)
Long
by CryptoFerk
2
XAUUSD Analysis: Potential Bearish Pullback Towards Key Support📉 XAUUSD Daily Analysis 🔍 🚨 Potential for a Bearish Pullback 🚨 Gold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of a potential downward move after rejecting a key resistance level. If this momentum continues, we could see the price heading towards the support zone at 2680/2670. 💡 Key Insights: 📌 Market rejection at resistance = possible bearish momentum. 📌 Target support area: 2680/2670. 📌 Risk Management: Stick to 1-2% risk on trades. ⚠️ Historical Note: When the market last hit an all-time high, it saw a sharp one-day drop. Stay cautious! 💬 Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk effectively.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrStellanSight
11
Ethereum 1 hr analysis 🚨 Ethereum 1 Hour Analysis 🚨 Here’s what we’re watching: 📈 Upside Targets: • TP1:3500 • TP2: 3800 📉 Downside Targets: • TP1: 3050 • TP2: 2850 So we have to watch out for $3350-$3390 level. If ETH stays below then you can target downside targets and if above then you can target above levels mentioned as TP(take profit) Keep an eye on key levels and trade smart! 💹 What’s your take? Drop a comment below and share this with your trading crew! 🚀
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by ProfitMatrix
EUR/GBP: PAT + VPA 11/2/2024Good morning, I will be closely observing the EUR/GBP currency pair on a daily basis, as I expect a bullish pullback or reversal to materialize in the forthcoming weeks. - 1W / Weekly Analysis: The market has recently dipped to a low of 0.839, with current support established at 0.832. The price has tested the 0.832 level multiple times without breaching it, suggesting a diminished appetite for selling at this juncture. Additionally, the presence of significant wicks accompanied by relatively smaller bodies may indicate a potential selling climax. - 1D / Daily Analysis: The daily time frame reveals the formation of a double bottom pattern at the weekly support level of 0.0832. Presently, the price is retesting the recent swing high of 0.84, which represents the latest peak. The price has demonstrated its capacity to remain above the 0.84 threshold, and I anticipate a continued upward movement towards 0.846 in the upcoming weeks. OANDA:EURGBP XETR:DAX TVC:BXY ThePipAssassin
Long
by ThePipAssassin
1
Traders MindsetLet’s talk about mindset! You hear everyone saying; mindset is the most important in trading. But what is having “the right mindset” ? Now here is a little secret. Mindset is not just being focused on the money. “I must be profitable”. No. Having the right mindset is having a set of attitudes. Quite literally the definition.. Mindset /ˈmʌɪn(d)sɛt/ noun (usually in singular) the established set of attitudes held by someone. How you approach the market is very important. Have a set of rules for yourself. - Do I have a trading plan? Having a trading plan is important. It helps you follow something day in and day out. - Do I have good market conditions? Having good market conditions is important as it helps you make more clear decisions. Trading in sideways markets usually ends badly. It forces the trader to become impatient and entering too soon, expecting a breakout to either side usually leads to loses. - Do I know the risk? Understanding the risk before you enter the trade is important. Majority of traders over-leverage, meaning they use high leverage thus being able to open higher lot size positions. That usually leads to blown accounts. Knowing what you are risking, eliminates a lot of the emotions. - Do I have any confirmations? Whether that’s a break, a pullback, fundamentals supporting your view that’s great! Having confirmations on your analysis or trade is important. - Is this trade forced? Am I being nervous before entering? Am I not sure? Am I gambling on this trade? Understanding your emotions is important. Ever felt like this when you opened a trade, knowing you shouldn’t and it instantly went against you? Avoid these trades. One more thing I would like to add. Ever been stuck to your screen 24/7? Lost sleep over a trade. Here is a fact. You watching the chart, won’t change its path. Sad truth. There is nothing wrong with following your trade, but if you are watching your losing trade, then I already know where it leads. You do too. Avoid this. Going back to the #1 rule. Know your risk before entering. Eliminate emotions. Having the right mindset is following your own rules and having a set of habits. Habits that help you to grow as a trader. Eliminate bad habits. Review your past trades. You all know why you lost a trade. But will you look for an excuse? “Ah the market did a liquidity sweep” or “market is manipulated”. The market is never wrong. You as a trader are. Don’t celebrate wins or mourn loses on your account. Treat it as your full time job. You have some good days, you have some bad days. You win, you move on. You lose, you move on. As long as you are following the trading plan, you will succeed. Understanding this, combined with experience will grow you as a trader. And guess what the by product of this is? Money. So don’t focus on money. Focus on self-growth, mindset, experience and upgrading your skillset of trading. Money will be the byproduct of your journey. Create your mindset plan. A set of rules for yourself. Try doing it for 30 days. Come back to this post and tell us if you have improved. Nothing or no one is stopping you from being a successful trader but yourself. It’s not the market and no it’s not the broker. Majority of traders quit after blowing a few accounts. The rest stick around for years but make no progress. Only a few % of them actually find the meaning behind it and succeed. What’s the secret? Signals? Prop Firms? Account managers? EA’s? No. Sure all these things can benefit you slightly. But what truly is the secret to being successful in trading? You! You are the secret. Understanding yourself, your emotions, your reactions to certain events. Trading is a mirror of you. An amplified picture of you. Are you impatient? Scared? Nervous? Greedy? Forex will amplify those emotions. The biggest battle you have to win is the battle with yourself. Not the market. Trading is easy, you have a trading plan, you stick to it. Sometimes you may have a loosing week, happens right? But as long as you are sticking to your strategy, understanding the market, using a positive R:R and understanding the importance of consistency you should be fine. But here is the hard part. Your reactions. Your emotions. Let’s take for example NFP Data release. Weeks or even months of progress can be wiped out due to irrational decisions during news. Don’t be that trader. Suppress your emotions, don’t get greedy. Take a jab at the market, but only after the data is out. Remember, no one is stopping you from being a successful trader, but yourself. A key element added to a traders mindset is PATIENCE . patience /ˈpeɪʃns/ (noun) - the capacity to accept or tolerate delay, problems, or suffering without becoming annoyed or anxious. That’s the definition of patience. Trading is a stressful field. Not only does your analysis have to be on point, you have to be focused, have a trading plan, use proper risk to reward ratio… so many factors and then comes the patience. We already know that the market always provides unexpected problems. It plays with our emotions, ranges, does not move, goes against us etc. How many times have you entered in a position and the price started to range, while you float in loss? You start doubting, you get scared and you close the position. Or even worse, you get stopped out. Later in the day you check the chart and you see your Take Profit (TP) would have been hit, but only if you were more patient? Or how many times have you had an A+ setup, everything was going to plan but you closed it early because you wanted to secure the profit? Being a good trader is hard, but it’s not impossible. Discipline is everything as well as patience. Without patience you are bound to lose. From talking to many people, you would be surprised at how many of them want to “flip” their account. “Do you think I can make 2000$ this week” with 1000$ in their account. We will always advocate for patience. Playing the long game. Consistency + patience will get you far. Check some of the last trades you did. Were you patient? Ask yourself. Majority can find themselves in these stories. Work on your patience, and you will get far. For example, check out this long-term analysis on XAUUSD (Gold) posted on January 9th. Now we did close it earlier, but we still managed to secure +500 pips (50$ price action) in 3 days of holding. Patience. This post was made due to a high request of people liking our minds, so it has all been posted in a single educational post. FxPocket
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by FxPocket
1
XAUUSD; long-term analysis pre-NFPHere is our in-depth view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels. Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at XAUUSD from a bigger perspective. For this we will be looking at the H4 time-frame . XAUUSD is currently trading at around 2670s. Our scenarios are in play after the NFP data is out. Let’s take another look at them with more in-depth outcomes. These scenarios are written from just a TA (Technical Analysis) point of view. Scenario 1: long-term BUYS -We broke above 2675. With the break of 2675 we can expect a possible move up to 2690. With a retest back at 2700s, that would confirm continuation buys and we would have to keep our eye out on our next KL (Key Level) at around 2714 or previous highs at 2726. Scenario 2: long-term SELLS -We respected our KL and stayed below 2675.700. If we start making our way down to 2646 and manage to break below it, we could see more sells in play down to 2604. NFP DATA! WHAT’S COMING? With the NFP data coming out tomorrow , we can expect huge volatility. Spikes are to be expected. With the Jobless claims report we got yesterday, we can possibly anticipate more positive numbers for the TVC:DXY and potentially leading into more sells on OANDA:XAUUSD which would play by our Scenario 2 ! If on the other hand the NFP data comes in lower than expected, we should follow by our long-term Scenario 1 . IMPORTANT KEY LEVELS: - 2690 ; breaks above would result in gold revisiting previous highs - 2675 ; breaks above would result in more upside - 2646 ; breaks below would result in sells - 2633 ; breaks below confirming lower levels - 2620 ; breaks below confirming lower levels - 2604 ; breaks below would confirm gold is bearish and we should see lower levels (2590..) Personal opinion: As the new financial year is here, and we are barely in the first weeks of trading, the direction for now is unclear until we break our mentioned key levels. The spikes we had last few days on XAUUSD did not give us the best or most optimal trading conditions. The market is undecided on the direction, until we get the NFP Data out. Stay patient and be smart. KEY NOTES - XAUUSD breaking above 2675 would confirm buys. - XAUUSD failing to break above 2675 could result in lower prices. - Breaks below 2646 would result in sells. - The market has no directions until we get the NFP Data out on Friday 10th. - Positive NFP Data would result in stronger DXY and lower prices on XAUUSD, potentially following our long-term scenario 2. - Negative NFP Data would result in weaker DXY and higher prices on XAUUSD, potentially following our long-term scenario 1. Happy trading! FxPocket
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FxPocket
3
Market Analisys: S&P 500SP:SPX In recent months, the S&P 500 has experienced notable fluctuations: 1. All-Time High : The index reached a record high of 6,099.97 points on December 6, 2024. 2. Correction : It then faced a correction, dropping to a low of 5,805.65 points by January 8, 2025. 3. Current Performance : As of January 14, 2025, the index closed at 5,842.91 points, reflecting a slight 0.11% increase compared to the previous day. 4. Technical Outlook : Analysts highlight potential weakness, with the next support level identified at 5,771.5 points. In summary, the SP:SPX has exhibited volatility, peaking in December 2024 and entering a correction phase in early 2025. Let's analyze in detail the various phases that have led us to this point – starting from October 27, 2023, the last moment with a significant downturn. Since then, we’ve seen an increase of about 50%, with a maximum drawdown of 10%. This represents a more than positive performance. Prior to this, we experienced a brief decline lasting around 90 days, with a drop of approximately 11%. Subsequent rallies have generally been strong, although they have been shorter and more contained. In total, we’ve experienced 5 rallies and 5 pullbacks. Currently, we are in a downtrend. As mentioned earlier, except for the first rally, the most significant one, recent bull runs have been consistently interrupted by unwelcome news, data that does not meet investor expectations, and announcements from the FED and ECB indicating that interest rate cuts will be smaller than anticipated. All of this has brought us to the current situation. We are now facing a maximum decline of about 5-6%, with a bounce on the trendline that has been guiding us since October 2023. This is all happening as inflation data is released today. The market seems to have entered a phase where it seeks further confirmations from the economy, and the technical chart is showing exactly that. Additionally, we have several other key economic data releases scheduled for this week. What do you think the market’s next move will be?
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by TIMINGTRADE
The Macroeconomic Impact of the Latest Inflation Report on USDIntroduction: Inflation data has always been a crucial driver of currency movements, and the upcoming inflation report is no exception. With USD/JPY currently at a pivotal point, traders are closely watching how the figures will influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy trajectory and market sentiment. Current Market Dynamics: The USD/JPY pair has been consolidating within a tight range between and , reflecting traders' caution ahead of the release. Expectations of could push the pair out of its current range. Scenarios and Key Levels: Higher-than-expected inflation: 1.Potential breakout above . Target level: . 2.Lower-than-expected inflation: Retest of and potential slide toward . 3.Neutral inflation figures: Likely continuation of range-bound trading between and . Conclusion and Community Call-to-Action: What are your thoughts on the upcoming inflation report? Will it trigger a significant move in USD/JPY, or will the pair remain range-bound? Share your analyses and charts in the comments below! 👇
by Safaric
Comprehensive Gold Analysis for the Week of January 6, 2025Comprehensive Gold Analysis for the Week of January 6, 2025 Gold enters 2025 with a complex yet promising outlook, driven by a combination of macroeconomic, technical, and geopolitical factors shaping a favorable environment for investors. Below is an in-depth analysis of the current market conditions and potential scenarios for gold this week. Current Market Context Gold concluded the first trading week of January near $2,657 per ounce , consolidating its upward momentum from late 2024. This movement has been underpinned by: - Sustained central bank demand , particularly in emerging markets. - Geopolitical uncertainty , including tensions in the Middle East and Europe. - Expectations for looser monetary policies from major central banks, including the Federal Reserve (Fed). In 2024, gold achieved an exceptional annual gain of +27% , its best performance since 2010, driven by its role as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty. The metal reached an all-time high of $2,790 , setting the stage for continued volatility and opportunity in 2025. Key Fundamental Drivers 1. Global Monetary Policies - The Fed adopted a cautious stance in December, signaling a slower pace of rate cuts in 2025. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is only an 11.2% probability of a rate cut in January, suggesting short-term stability in interest rates. - In contrast, Europe and China are expected to pursue more accommodative monetary policies. China has already announced fiscal and monetary stimulus measures to counter its economic slowdown. 2. Geopolitical Risks - Ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and heightened tensions in the Middle East remain significant drivers of safe-haven demand. - Additionally, uncertainty surrounding U.S. economic policies under President Donald Trump is adding to market volatility. While some policies may bolster the dollar, others—such as trade tariffs—could increase demand for gold as a hedge. 3. Central Bank and Physical Demand - Central banks have been aggressively accumulating gold reserves since 2022, with purchases expected to exceed the historical average of 500 tons annually in 2025. - In China, a weakening yuan and a sluggish real estate market could further boost physical gold demand. Technical Analysis Gold is currently trading within a critical range that could determine its short-term trajectory: - Key Resistance Levels: - $2,666 (psychological barrier). - $2,700 (significant technical resistance). - All-time highs near $2,790 . - Key Support Levels : - $2,635 , aligned with the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA). - Lower levels around $2,600 and $2,532 , which could act as correction zones. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers near neutral territory (50), indicating potential for upward movement if immediate resistance is breached. However, the range between $2,607 and $2,736 will be pivotal in defining this week’s trend. Projections for This Week Bullish Scenario A decisive breakout above $2,666 could pave the way for further gains toward psychological levels at $2,700 and potentially beyond. Catalysts for this scenario include: - Weak U.S. economic data—such as Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report—supporting expectations for monetary easing. - Escalation of geopolitical tensions or clear indications of additional Chinese stimulus. Bearish or Corrective Scenario Conversely, unexpected strength in the U.S. dollar or robust economic data could exert downward pressure on gold prices. In this case: - A pullback toward support levels at $2,635 or even $2,600 would be likely before resuming the broader uptrend. Strategic Insights Gold maintains a favorable outlook for this week due to strong fundamental and technical support. However, traders should closely monitor three key factors: 1. The release of U.S. labor market data (NFP) on Friday. 2. Movements in the U.S. dollar index (DXY) and Treasury yields. 3. Emerging geopolitical developments that could shift risk sentiment. The current consolidation near critical technical levels offers opportunities for both bullish and corrective strategies. Active risk management will be essential given the anticipated volatility.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by UnknownUnicorn96005149
#XAUUSDFed exposed: Probability of raising interest rates next year up to 40%? 🔻 The Fed reduced interest rates by 0.25% to 4.25%-4.50%, but the market perceived this as a "hawkish" move. 🔻 The market reacted strongly: USD soared, stocks fell sharply, US bond yields increased. 🔻 The Fed's economic forecast is controversial when it increases the 2025 inflation forecast to 2.5% and reduces the number of interest rate cuts in 2024 to two. 🔻 Some economists, like Apollo Global Management's Torsten Slok, predict a 40% probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 2025. 🔻 The upcoming Trump administration's trade and tax policies could push inflation higher, forcing the Fed to consider raising interest rates sooner, possibly as soon as the second quarter of 2025. 🔻 Chairman Powell did not rule out the possibility of raising interest rates, emphasizing the need to maintain a flexible stance in the face of
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SadarExplore
Gold Market Update:Corective Phase Set Stage for Further DeclineGold has entered a corrective phase following yesterday's substantial decline, with price action consolidating within a defined range. This period of consolidation is expected to persist, allowing the market to recalibrate before the prevailing bearish momentum likely resumes. Downside targets remain intact, with the next leg lower anticipated once the correction concludes. Engage with this analysis by liking, sharing, or sharing your perspectives in the comments below.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FXKAMRAN8
1
BTCUSD Wyckoff Accumulation Phase completedLets assume that the strength in the US dollar wont last for too much longer, as Central Banks try and work out how many more trillions are needed in the system. The BTCUSD had been in a trading range for some time and this week we convincingly left it, with a big dose of Bullish price action. Will it last? IDK. I am long BTCUSD so I am fundamentally in the Bitcoin 🚀 camp so I am also talking up my own book. However, if we look to Wyckoff and transpose his teachings on the stages of the accumulation phase, we get quite a convincing outlook to the upside. It could all be down to the fact that we see what we want to see, or it could be a run on the banks to the crypto-sphere.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Macrobriefing
3
BEML Ltd: Bullish Breakout AnalysisUpdate: BEML secured a ₹136 crore order from the Ministry of Defence, strengthening its fundamentals and boosting investor sentiment. Technical Highlights: Breakout Zone: Stock broke above ₹4,500 resistance with strong volumes, confirming bullish momentum. Key Levels: Support: ₹4,300 | ₹4,040 Resistance: ₹4,762 | ₹4,995 | ₹5,205 | ₹5,472 (Fibonacci target). Trend: Higher highs and higher lows indicate a sustained uptrend. Momentum: RSI in overbought territory suggests strong buying pressure, with potential minor pullbacks. Outlook: The technical breakout, combined with a solid fundamental catalyst, positions BEML for a potential rally toward ₹5,200–₹5,470. A stop-loss below ₹4,300 is advised for risk management. Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Please consult a financial advisor before investing.
NSE:BEMLLong
by AngshumanSaikia
VIRTUALUSDT: Strategic Entry into AI-Driven Metaverse TokenVirtuals Protocol ( KUCOIN:VIRTUALUSDT ): Strategic Entry into AI-Driven Metaverse Token Trade Setup: - Entry Price: $1.586 - Stop-Loss: $1.421 - Take-Profit Targets: - TP1: $1.927 - TP2: $2.333 Fundamental Analysis: Virtuals Protocol is an innovative cryptocurrency aiming to revolutionize virtual interactions through its AI and Metaverse protocol. It serves as the infrastructure layer for co-owned, human-curated, plug-and-play gaming AIs, positioning itself at the forefront of integrating artificial intelligence with immersive virtual environments. Technical Analysis: - Current Price: $1.64 - Moving Averages: - 50-Day SMA: $1.50 - 200-Day SMA: $1.20 - Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 70, indicating overbought conditions. - Support and Resistance Levels: - Support: $1.50 - Resistance: $1.80 Market Sentiment: The cryptocurrency market is experiencing renewed interest, with Virtuals Protocol standing out due to its innovative combination of AI and Metaverse elements. Its recent listing on major exchanges like Gate.io has increased its visibility and trading volume. Risk Management: Setting a stop-loss at $1.421 helps mitigate potential losses, while the take-profit targets of $1.927 and $2.333 offer favourable risk-reward ratios. Given VIRTUAL's volatility, strict adherence to these levels is crucial. *When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, Just Ride the Wave!* *Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
Long
by SiriusTrading