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BTC Fear Index Rises! Is Recovery in Sight?GM crypto bro's, this morning, the fear and greed index has increased from yesterday's 17 (extreme fear) to 29 (fear). The stoch RSI is also starting to show signs of recovery from its oversold area. Overall, the outlook remains the same as yesterday. Our target for BTC is to retest the 58K area first. Like always, keep in mind the market is dynamic. Don't be FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that nothing is impossible in the crypto market. Anything can happen. Always manage your risks, and as always, that's all for today's crypto update. I'm Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by x_Akki
EUR USD IdeaAs our grand Bullback and Continuation Theory from yesterday could still be in play, there is a critical observation to consider: our daily candle wick 1.10089 closed only over the previous range high. From years of trading experience, this is not a bullish move warranting full risk on the bullback. To think like a professional trader, if the market maker didn’t push these highs, what's the reasoning behind it? Did they just grab liquidity and go short, or are we still on the path to continuation? The answer is elusive. Therefore, my swing trade idea here will be scaled down in terms of risk. Here’s my warning if you have a similar trading plan: Be patient. Market makers are extremely tricky, and there's no need to let them hit our stops. Wait for a 4-hour shift before making a trade. We will keep our ideas posted, so stay tuned and let's navigate the market smartly!
Long
by CORE5DAN
Extreme Fear! BTC Fear Index Drops to 17! What's Next?GM crypto bro's, finally, the market has slightly calmed down this morning after our portfolios got nuked yesterday. Keep staying strong, guys. Okay, this morning's update: the fear and greed index has dropped back to 17 (extreme fear), while the stoch RSI is still dead like yesterday. In terms of price action, BTC has a small chance to visit around the 58K area and then go sideways in the 57K - 56K range. Hopefully, there won't be any more crazy drops. The long candle on 05/08/2024 has already claimed many casualties. There is a possibility that the current market drop is part of a plan by big money, whales, etc., to buy the dip on a massive scale, considering the growing rumors that Grandpa Powell from the FED might cut interest rates in September. Like always, keep in mind the market is dynamic. Don't be FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that nothing is impossible in the crypto market. Anything can happen, even the impossible. Always manage your risks, and as always, that's all for today's crypto update. I'm Akki, signing off. Stay sane, my liquidated friends, and have a nice day.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by x_Akki
Fear & Greed Index Plummets as BTCUSD Dumps SignificantlyGM Crypto Bro's, this morning BTC dumped significantly, causing the Fear and Greed Index to drop to 26 (fear). The Stoch RSI is still resting in the oversold area. There is a big chance for a drop into the red zone around the 50K area, but there is also a small chance for a pump in the nearest blue zone. As always, keep in mind that the market is dynamic. Don't be FOMO, stay safe, keep calm. Remember, anything can happen in the crypto market these days. Maintain your risk, and that's all for today's crypto update. I'm Akki, one chart, and have a nice day
INDEX:BTCUSD
by x_Akki
BTCUSD: 60K Drop! Fear Index at 34 - What's Next?GM guys, happy weekend... or not, as BTC dropped to 60K. This morning, the fear and greed index is still in the fear zone at 34, and the stoch RSI is still in the oversold area. BTC has finally revisited the 60K area as I mentioned in yesterday’s market update. My personal market outlook suggests a low probability of BTC dropping below 60K, but in the crypto market, anything is possible, so a deeper drop is still on the table. However, as usual, when the fear and greed index is in the fear zone, it usually doesn’t take long for the market to pump again, at least until the index reaches neutral before possibly dumping again, or continuing to pump until it hits greed. Keep in mind the market is dynamic. Don’t be FOMO, stay safe, keep calm. Remember, nothing is impossible in the crypto market right now. Anything can happen, even the impossible. Always maintain risk, and as always, that’s the crypto update for today. I’m Akki, one chart. Have a nice day.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by x_Akki
2
Macro Monday 56~Venezuela - Democracy Beacons Economic Reform Macro Monday 56 Venezuela - Democracy Beacons Economic Reform As one of the core members of OPEC, Venezuela holds the distinction of having the largest oil reserves in the world with over 304 billion barrels beneath its surface. This is marginally more than the Saudi Arabia oil reserves. If you ever wondered where the largest oil reserves in the whole world where, they are located on the Orinoco Oil Belt in Central Venezuela. Unfortunately Venezuela has suffered from political and economic factors that hasn’t allowed the country and its people to benefit from this large natural resource. A national election on the 28th July 2024 has the potential to change everything and allow Venezuelans to form a democratic government. This has the promise of leading the country into a new positive social and economic epoch. Venezuela’s oil production plummeted by c.75% over the past ten years, largely due to political missteps. The current administrations illegal expropriations of foreign oil and gas assets were a major red flag for potential investors. Additionally, Venezuela’s poor governance, mismanagement, and U.S. sanctions have contributed to a drastic decline in oil output. In September 2023, Venezuela produced only 735,000 barrels per day, making it the 10th-largest producer in OPEC despite it being the largest global oil reserve. The situation highlights the some challenges faced by petrostates that heavily rely on oil exports and their governance over it. Path to Democracy calls for International Support Venezuela stands at a critical juncture, with the potential for a historic return to democracy by way of national election on 28th July 2024. The opposition has rallied behind a leading candidate, Edmundo González of the Democratic Unity Platform (PUD) for the upcoming national election. He has taken the place of the former disqualified Maria Corina Machado (unfairly ousted by the incumbent). The incumbent President Nicolás Maduro remains a significant obstacle and still gains support from a Chavista Base. The Chavista Base refers to the loyal supporters of Chavismo, a left-wing populist political ideology associated with the late Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez. These supporters are committed to strong socialist ideas, programs, and government style that characterized Chávez’s rule from 1999 to 2013. Despite international pressure, sanctions and disapproval, this group remains fiercely loyal to the Chavista movement and its successor, President Nicolás Maduro. The opposition Edmundo González, has been leading the polls by over 20 - 40 points and thus the people of Venezuela are calling out for change having suffered under the socialist regime. Maduro's regime has arguably eroded democracy and has been the cause of significant economic pitfalls, and social unrest. To support Venezuelans’ fight for democracy, the United States may offer a legal off-ramp for Maduro and his allies, ensuring they won’t face prosecution if they recognize electoral defeat. This approach has worked in other countries like South Africa and Chile, after which both countries could move forward constructively and relatively peacefully. This approach could allow for a peaceful transition to democracy in Venezuela. A democratic Venezuela would benefit U.S. foreign policy, limit migration to the U.S, and reduce the influence of Russia and China in the South Americas via pacts like the BRICS. Previous efforts to achieve the off-ramp approach in Venezuela have failed, however the opposition leader González is ahead in most polls and the election is days away. With some international pressure/support, this could be a major moment for Venezuela, opening up the country and its resources to operate under a free market, allowing for competitive growth, innovation freedom, consumer sovereignty and free flowing export economy. Exports Venezuela is historically highly dependent on its petroleum oil exports. Crude oil, in particular, has been the primary driver of its export revenue. In recent years, Venezuela’s top exports include: 1. Mineral fuels including oil: This category represents 26.1% of total exports. 2. Iron and steel: Comprising 21% of exports. 3. Organic chemicals: Accounting for 9.9% of exports. 4. Aluminum: Representing 8.4% of exports. 5. Fish: Contributing 7.5% to export value. These products collectively account for 88.1% of Venezuela’s global shipments. Notably, mineral fuels (especially crude oil) have experienced significant growth in recent years. China, Turkey, Spain, the U.S., and Brazil are among Venezuela’s main export partners. Blooming Tourism Sector In 2023 Venezuela experienced a remarkable resurgence in international tourism. The country welcomed 1.25 million foreign visitors, marking a 90% increase compared to the previous year when 656,000 people arrived. While specific revenue figures for 2023 are not readily available, this surge in tourist arrivals indicates a positive trend for the Venezuelan tourism sector. I thought id mention just just a few attractions: 1.Angel Falls: Located in Canaima National Park, Angel Falls is the highest waterfall in the world, dropping 979 meters. Best seen during the rainy season (May to November) when water flow is abundant. 2.Los Roques Archipelago: This chain of islands, 160 kilometres north of the central coast, offers sun-drenched beaches, turquoise waters, and coral reefs. It’s a paradise for beach lovers and nature enthusiasts. The Chart Caracas Stock Exchange- BME:IBC Summary I cannot recommend taking an entry on the above chart and regardless, it would be incredibly difficult to do so with sanctions in place and the political turmoil that is yet to be resolved. However, a major date is approaching for the national election this coming Sunday 28th July 2024 , and it could be the beginning of a monumental positive shift for the future of Venezuela’s economy. We can only watch from afar and not forget that this country boasts thee largest oil reserves in the world, has a blooming tourism scene with some of the most unique tourist attractions, and a varied export economy. Somewhere in the future there will likely be great opportunity in Venezuela, however for the moment we await the shifting winds of democracy to catch the Venezuelan sails. Lets see what happens this Sunday. PUKA
BVCV:IBC
by PukaCharts
$QQQ Nasdaq with Rate Hiking Cycle DatesGoing along with my usual 'Key Hidden Levels' in the markets perspective that NEWS is an important price level to mark on charts so it is visible to everyone, I have created the update to the "Rate Hiking Cycle" chart. The purple triangles and lines are the range of the day of the announcement and the mid-point of the day plotted horizontally forward. With this data you can see how past levels where the Fed Rate Decision occurred has provided either support or resistance to the movement of the market. Typically it hasn't been as obvious the the observer of a chart all by itself without these markings. At some point these important news levels will be visible for all of us investors so we can see and understand more quickly how the market is absorbing or dealing with the news. I hope you enjoy this chart an continue to update it for yourself. I will work to get these dates into the system so you can all see them on every chart. Wishing you all the best in your investing and trading. Tim 1:48PM, Thursday May 23, 2024
NASDAQ:QQQ
by timwest
3
How Did MSFT Stock Price React To Global Outage?How Did MSFT Stock Price React To Global Outage? On 19th July, a global outage occurred. Numerous computers running Windows worldwide experienced "blue screens of death" (BSOD), affecting companies in different sectors, including airlines, hospitals, media, banks, and others. The outage was caused by a CrowdStrike's Falcon Sensor update, a component of the Windows system that essentially works to protect computers from cyber threats. CrowdStrike quickly acknowledged the issue, stating that it was not a cyberattack but an update error, and suggested a solution. According to CNBC, the large-scale outage did not significantly impact the operation of most financial markets. Representatives of the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq stated on Friday that they were operating despite the issues with the CrowdStrike update. The only noticeable unpleasant consequence for most was the inability to calculate the Russell stock indices, including the popular Russell 2000. However, the confusion was resolved later on Friday. At the same time, the large-scale outage affected stock prices, including Microsoft. In pre-market trading on Friday, MSFT's price dropped below $430, but during the main session, the price managed to rise above it. As technical analysis of the MSFT chart shows, the $430 level is important – as it acted as resistance in March-May 2024. Therefore, its role as support might be justified by analysts. Additionally, the MSFT share price is near the lower boundary of the upward channel (shown in blue), which may provide additional support. However, no one can guarantee that the mentioned support levels will lead to a subsequent bullish impulse. On 19th July, we wrote about bearish signs on META stock charts. These are bearish aggression signs, which are concerning: → the price's inability to reach the upper boundary of the blue channel in early July; → a wide bearish gap when breaking through the median on 17th July. Wall Street analysts remain positive for now. According to TipRanks, the average forecast for MSFT is $504.12 (+15.33% from the current price) over the next 12 months. Microsoft's Q2 earnings report, scheduled for release on 30 July, has the potential to significantly alter the balance of sentiments. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by FXOpen
1
Analysis of XAU/USD: Gold Price Sets Historical RecordAnalysis of XAU/USD: Gold Price Sets Historical Record As the XAU/USD chart shows, on 16th July, the gold price rose above $2460 for the first time in history. The bullish sentiment is driven by: → Anticipation of Fed rate cuts, as the appeal of non-yielding bullion generally increases in low-interest-rate environments. → Geopolitical tensions, with an attempt on Trump's life possibly boosting demand for the "safe-haven asset." → Demand from central banks. Reuters reports that analysts at Commonwealth Bank of Australia believe the gold price could exceed their forecast of $2500 per ounce by the end of 2024. "It is worth highlighting gold's ability to find support under any conditions this year," they say. Can the gold price rise further? Technical analysis of the XAU/USD chart provides valuable insights: → The gold price is in an upward trend (shown in blue). → The support level at $2290, reinforced by the median line of the blue channel, pushed the price up (shown by an arrow). → The bulls managed to break the $2385 level, which had acted as resistance since 7 June (shown by arrows). → The bearish Head and Shoulders (SHS) pattern failed. The contours of the upward channel suggest the potential for the gold price to rise to its upper boundary, where the psychological level of $2500 per ounce also lies. Thus, the Commonwealth Bank of Australia's forecast could come true much earlier than the end of 2024. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
2
US Banks Set a Bullish Tone at the Start of Earnings SeasonUS Banks Set a Bullish Tone at the Start of Earnings Season Company earnings reports for the second quarter will be a crucial driver of stock market movements in the coming weeks. Traditionally, the largest banks kick off the earnings season, and their performance indicators today are setting a bullish tone. For example: Bank of America (BAC), report published on 16th July: → Earnings per share: actual = $0.83, expected = $0.797; → Gross income: actual = $25.37 billion, expected = $25.22 billion; Goldman Sachs (GS), report published on 15th July: → Earnings per share: actual = $8.62, expected = $8.35; → Gross income: actual = $12.73 billion, expected = $12.35 billion. Other major banks, including JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Citigroup (C), and Wells Fargo (WFC), have also surpassed analysts' expectations. Although following different trajectories, the stock prices of all the listed banks have generally been rising after the publication of their earnings reports. Notably, the formation on the XLF chart is interesting – this is the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF, which is focused on the financial sector and includes the shares of the largest US banks. You can trade this ETF with FXOpen, taking advantage of CFD instruments. Technical analysis of the XLF chart shows that: → In 2022-2023, the price was in a broad trading range of 30.70-36.6; → In 2023-2024, the price formed an upward channel (shown in blue); → The median line of this channel acts as support; → Rising lows A and B resemble a bullish Cup and Handle pattern. In the wake of the successful bank reports: → the XLF price broke through the 42.20 level, which had been acting as resistance since the end of March; → the RSI indicator entered the overbought zone. It is possible that amid positive earnings reports from other companies in the financial sector: → the XLF price could reach the upper boundary of the blue channel; → the RSI indicator could form a divergence; → subsequently, a correction may form on the chart as investors may wish to lock in profits from the rapid growth. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AMEX:XLF
by FXOpen
1
High-Impact News Trading StrategiesHigh-Impact News Trading Strategies Trading in the dynamic world of foreign exchange demands a constant adaptation to the ever-evolving factors influencing currency markets. Among these factors, high-impact forex news stands out as a catalyst capable of reshaping market action. In this article, we explore some of the nuances of high-impact news trading, aiming to offer insights that may help manage high volatility and harness its power. Trading High-Impact News Understanding which news releases wield significant influence over the forex market and what market reaction can be expected is paramount for any trader. Forex News with High Impact High-impact news includes events like interest rate decisions, inflation rates, retail sales, consumer spending, labour market data, and nonfarm payroll reports. The impact of these events can be profound, affecting market sentiment and, thus, currency values. Traders keen on mastering this domain must comprehend the dynamics that drive market reactions to such news and position themselves accordingly. It's important to note that these news events can cause extreme volatility in either direction, creating both challenges and opportunities. Forex News Impact Analysis Traders analyse the potential impact of events on currency pairs, employing a combination of technical and fundamental analysis. Fundamental Impact of Economic Data Fundamental analysis involves evaluating the economic factors that underpin a currency's value based on the country's economic health. Traders delve into the consensus forecast, scrutinise historical data, and gauge the prevailing economic climate to gain insights into how these fundamental elements might shape market reactions. Technical Analysis Simultaneously, technical analysis plays a vital role in deciphering the market sentiment and potential price movements. Utilising technical analysis tools such as indicators, support and resistance levels, and trendlines, traders can identify key entry and exit points. By integrating technical analysis, traders gain a more comprehensive view of the market, potentially enhancing their ability to make informed decisions. Forex News Trading Strategies Considering the expected impact of economic data and utilising advanced technical analysis tools based on past forex rates performance, traders can design viable trading strategies at times of major news releases. Retracement Trading: Unveiling Potential Reversals Retracement trading is a strategic approach that capitalises on market pullbacks following significant movements triggered by high-impact news. Look at the example of trading on the US CPI announcement in November 2023: - Fibonacci Retracement: Helps identify key support and resistance areas where price corrections may occur. - Moving Averages: The 9- and 20-period MAs can be applied as a trend confirmation. Entry Traders identify significant Fibonacci retracement levels, typically 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, or 78.6%, and look for alignment with a bullish/bearish MA crossover to confirm entry points for a long/short position. Stop Loss Stop loss may be placed just below (for long positions) or above (for short positions) the identified Fibonacci retracement level to safeguard against unexpected market reversals. Take Profit A potential signal for a take-profit point could be an MA crossover in the opposite direction of a trade following a failed attempt of the price to break a resistance/support level that coincides with a Fibonacci extension level. Do you already have a strategy for the upcoming high-impact forex news today? Visit FXOpen and trade on the free TickTrader forex trading platform. Trend-Change Trading Strategy Trading during major news releases demands a nimble and precise approach to capitalise on medium-term price fluctuations. This strategy incorporates three technical indicators simultaneously to evaluate the strength of the price movement and determine potential entry and exit points. In this approach, we utilise: - Relative Strength Index (RSI): Identifying overbought or oversold conditions. - Stochastic Oscillator: Gauging the strength of a price trend. - Average True Range (ATR): Measuring market volatility, helping to settle appropriate stop-loss levels. Entry Following a major price move on the news event, traders could identify weakness in an uptrend/downtrend by observing the divergence of both RSI and Stochastic indicators with the price movement. A potential entry for a long/short position involves aligning bullish/bearish signals from RSI and Stochastic, such as crossing above/below oversold/overbought areas. Stop Loss Stop loss could be placed just below recent lows or above recent highs for long and short trades, respectively, factoring in the ATR to account for potential market volatility. Take Profit Traders may determine possible take-profit points by considering bearish/bullish signals from RSI and Stochastics. Exploiting Increased Volatility Trading during high-impact news events requires a specialised strategy that accounts for increased market volatility. A sound volatility-based approach implements specific indicators so traders may be able to capitalise on rapid forex rate deviations. The chart shows trading on Japan’s industrial production data release at the end of October 2023, and we use: - Bollinger Bands: These help identify potential surges in volatility through band expansion. - ATR (Average True Range): This can be used for trailing stop-loss levels - MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): A surge in buying or selling pressure can be reflected in MACD crossovers. Entry Traders would monitor Bollinger Bands for an expansion preceding news events. Price cross above/below the middle Bollinger Band after the release may signal an entry point for long/short positions. This should align with a bullish/bearish MACD crossover. Stop Loss Traders may place stop-loss orders just beyond recent price extremes to account for potential market reversals and limit possible losses and use the ATR indicator to calculate trailing stop-loss levels. Take Profit A possible take-profit level for long/short trades can be derived from a bearish/bullish reversal of the MACD indicator, or it can be set based on the expected price range derived from the ATR. Concluding Thoughts Trading high-impact forex news requires a mix of market analysis, risk management, and strategic execution. By understanding the dynamics of high-impact events and implementing robust trading strategies, traders may navigate the volatility inherent in these situations. Ready to trade on major economic news? You can open an FXOpen account and try out your strategies. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
5
Angel One : So Close.Here is all you need to know about Angel One: - With Financial services gaining momentum, Angel One is definitely a good bet - It consolidated for good 2 years in which it trapped bulls once, only to get back in the zone - It recently gave in a breakout and sustained above the resistance zone - BUT, Today NSE barred it from onboarding any new APs for a period of 6 months which made the stock bleed red for 7% - APs are basically sub-brokers associated with a broker who brings in more clients and thus more business - With the stock market on a bull run, the funds are flowing in and the inability to onboard new APs will definitely affect its growth in a short run - Don't let the analysis end here! Give us a boost if you find it helpful - The long run will still be dictated by its strong fundamentals and growth. Below are some interesting stats: - Profit growth of 52.2% CAGR over the last 5 years - return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 44.1% - Sales growth (5Y) - 31% - Profit growth (5Y) - 52% What are your thoughts? Feel free to comment :) ⚠️Disclaimer: We are not registered advisors. The views expressed here are merely personal opinions. Irrespective of the language used, Nothing mentioned here should be considered as advice or recommendation. Please consult with your financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Like everybody else, we too can be wrong at times ✌🏻
NSE:ANGELONE
by TheChartereds
8
EUR/USD - Forecasted Potential Setup for the Next Few DaysCurrently, the price is forming a descending triangle pattern. I expect it to take liquidity at the 1.07100 level before making another higher low. My focus is on the 1.07350 level as a potential entry point for short positions. Given that the price is down across all timeframes, I am not considering long positions at this moment. If the price breaks the daily highs, this setup will become invalid, and I will then look for long opportunities on a pullback. However, for now, my strategy is exclusively oriented towards shorts. Confluences: Forecast for negative DXY news on 27/06/2024, which is expected to cause a pullback. Anticipation of positive results in Friday's news, potentially causing a breakout in this pair and a test of the weekly highs for DXY. Like and comment if you agree with my setup idea.
Short
by Ryan-L
1
75: Identifying Support around €13.36 Amidst Selling PressureCurrently, we are witnessing selling pressure on the Fastned stock without significant buying interest. However, by examining historical data, we can identify a point of interest around the €13.36 level. This area has previously acted as a support zone, making it a potential accumulation point. Recent developments support this analysis. Fastned recently raised €32.9 million through the issuance of new bonds, with €12.3 million coming from existing investors extending their bond maturities. This successful fundraising indicates a growing interest and confidence from private investors in Fastned’s long-term potential. Given this backdrop, we anticipate that the €13.36 level could attract accumulation as investors recognize the company's ongoing investments in the fast-charging infrastructure for electric vehicles. As more motorists transition to electric vehicles, the demand for Fastned's services is expected to increase, potentially driving the stock's recovery. Monitor the €13.36 level closely for signs of accumulation and potential buying opportunities, considering the growing interest and financial backing Fastned is receiving.
EURONEXT:FAST
by seventyfiveinvest