ADA.X in +8.01% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on JMoving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where ADA.X advanced for three days, in 269 of 441 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
BINANCE:ADAUSDT
Price Prediction Chart
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 42 of 76 cases where ADA.X's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on January 29, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ADA.X as a result. In 67 of 124 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADA.X just turned positive on January 29, 2024. Looking at past instances where ADA.X's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 59 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
ADA.X may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
ADA.X moved below its 50-day moving average on January 14, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ADA.X crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on January 14, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADA.X declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
The Aroon Indicator for ADA.X entered a downward trend on January 29, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
NEWS
Will Gold Go To 2000$ Again ?Gold edged higher to start the week as the improving risk mood made it difficult for the USD to find demand in the absence of high-tier data releases. A Bloomberg report claiming that China was considering an equity market rescue package worth about 27 billion USD triggered a rally in global equity indexes.
On Tuesday, Gold failed to build on Monday’s gains, while the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield held steady above 4%. S&P Global PMI data showed on Wednesday that the business activity in the US private sector expanded at an accelerating pace in January. S&P Global Composite PMI improved to 52.3 from 50.9 in December, Services PMI rose to 52.9 and Manufacturing PMI recovered above 50, pointing to an expansion in the manufacturing sector for the first time since April. In turn, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edged higher, causing XAU/USD to drop to a weekly low below $2,020.
Tesla Here at Key Support at 180-187I published this chart when NASDAQ:TSLA was back up to the "Earnings Level" back in September near $280 and pointed out that it was up against "Key Resistance" and here we are 4+ months later and we have had two more earnings reports and Tesla has fallen back down to another important "News Level" that I labeled "Moody's Upgrade Level".
The reason that Moody's Upgrade level is so important is that it is the level where institutions could actually begin to consider investing in Tesla debt, which at the time was junk-rated, aka 'non-investment-grade' to say it nicely. Why that was important is that it would open the doors to Tesla getting financing at lower rates should they need it and even though Tesla didn't need to borrow any money at that time, the upgrade gave Tesla credibility where they didn't have it before.
For many years there were roadblocks to Tesla selling shares to raise the capital to build plants and grow the business and Tesla had to pay higher than average rates. The Moody's level can start on March 17th, the trading day before the news hit at the lower purple line at $180.13. The other technique is to use the mid-point of the day that the news hit and the next day and that puts $176.35-198.00 as the range or $187 as the Key Support level. You can see how the market reacted to that level multiple times before breaking out in late May on its run up to $299.29.
The entire Tesla story has changed dramatically since they have almost paid off all of their debt and also have accumulated $29.1 billion in cash and short term investments from profits over the past three years. This puts Tesla in a position unlike any other profitable auto company where cash exceeds all debt and capex plans over the next few years. The next stage of the Tesla growth story will be from new manufacturing processes, new batteries, new software and the new CyberTruck just hitting the road since December only a month ago. Stay tuned.
Since I have been following Tesla daily since it went public over 10 years ago, it has been a marathon of headwinds against the company and against Elon. Granted there is plenty of truth to many of the issues that end up in the news, but what I have found is that bias and downright frustration by advertisers, analysts, competitors and short-sellers has played a bigger role in slowing Tesla's success.
I hope you enjoy the "Earnings Level" indicator which is now *FREE* here at TradingView after being a paid-only indicator that I created many years ago. Other services have tried to copy it but the original is here at TradingView, the best software for visualizing and graphing data anywhere.
Will The Gold Retest To 1980$ After The Attack in the Red Sea ?The Houthis say they are targeting ships which are Israeli-owned, flagged or operated , or which are heading to Israeli ports. However, many have no connections with Israel.
US-led naval forces thwarted many of the attacks.
Major shipping companies have stopped using the Red Sea - through which almost 15% of global seaborne trade usually passes - and are using a much longer route around southern Africa instead.
Gold's Week Update , 2000$ ?Gold kicked off the week at high levels as it traded near $2,050 per ounce, buoyed by the Middle East conflict’s safe haven demand and stubborn market sentiment that rate cuts are coming sooner rather than later.
But as the shortened holiday week rolled onward, a steady diet of hawkish central bank comments and the absence of any energy boosts from geopolitics weakened investors’ appetite for the yellow metal.
Bitcoin Update After SEC ApprovalSEC Commission approved the listing and trading of a number of spot bitcoin exchange-traded product (ETP) shares. That will lead new investors to put their money longing btc , so that will create a good liquidity to professional ones to short at 47k - 50k levels , and that's really what happened do not get suprised by seeing btc's price range between 30k - 40k
GBPJPY: Thoughts and Analysis Pre-BOJToday's focus:
Pattern – Continuation, resistance test.
Support – 37,400
Resistance – 187.63 - 184.35
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update.
Our focus today is on the GBPJPY pre-Bank of Japan. Looking at price, we can see it continues to trade on fast trends higher but has stalled at resistance.
The market could now be waiting to see what's next from the Bank of Japan. Will they tweak their bond-buying program? We have seen some solid volatility from past meetings. Could this be another?
We have run over two scenarios in today's video, and we will look to see what happens next for the JPY after tomorrow's BOJ meeting. Rates are expected to remain on hold, and the statement and outlook report are expected between 11:30 am and 4 pm on Tuesday this week.
Good trading.
Imugene Limited (ASX: IMU) Director's Increase Stake"Imugene Limited (ASX: IMU) Director's Stake Update: On 12th Jan '24, a director affirmed their commitment by acquiring 1M RSUs at no cost, signaling bullish sentiment. Pre-acquisition, the director held 600K options and 20.73M shares, maintaining these post-acquisition. No options or shares were sold, implying a strong belief in the future of IMU. This strategic holding pattern may suggest an insider's positive outlook, potentially interesting for investors monitoring IMU's stock."
investorhub.imugene.com
XAUUSD TO 2000$ 🤔 ?Gold price has faced a sharp sell-off after failing to recapture the weekly high of $2,062. The precious metal has dropped to near $2,030 and is expected to remain on tenterhooks before getting fresh cues about the timing of rate cuts from the Fed. The yellow metal has surrendered entire gains generated on Monday and has corrected below the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which trades around $2,039.
More downside could appear in the Gold price if it fails to defend the January 3 low of $2,030, which will expose it towards the psychological support of $2,000.
Nvidia's Dance with ControversyThe Underground Market for Banned AI Chips in China"
Nvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) finds itself at the center of a storm as reports surface regarding the illicit trade of its advanced AI chips in China. Despite a U.S. ban on exporting these chips to the country, Chinese military entities, state-owned AI research centers, and universities have reportedly been actively acquiring batches of Nvidia semiconductors. This raises concerns about the efficacy of U.S. efforts to restrict China's access to critical AI technology and the potential implications for national security.
The Chinese Quest for Nvidia's Banned Chips:
According to a comprehensive analysis, various Chinese entities, including elite universities like the Harbin Institute of Technology and the University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, have been identified as purchasers of Nvidia's banned A100 and H100 chips. Even chips specifically developed for the Chinese market, the A800 and H800, faced a ban in October. The relentless demand for these chips underscores the challenges faced by the U.S. in cutting off China's access to advanced AI technology, vital for breakthroughs in artificial intelligence and high-end military applications.
Regulatory Quandaries:
While the U.S. ban prohibits the direct export of these chips to China, the emergence of an underground market reveals a complex web of transactions. Chinese vendors reportedly acquire excess stock or import through companies incorporated in countries like India, Taiwan, and Singapore. Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ), however, maintains that it complies with export control laws and pledges to take action against customers engaging in unlawful resale. U.S. authorities are equally determined to close loopholes in export restrictions, but experts argue that achieving watertight control over small chips is unrealistic.
The Superiority of Nvidia's GPUs in AI:
Nvidia's graphics processing units (GPUs) have long been recognized as superior for AI-related activities, efficiently processing vast amounts of data crucial for machine learning. The persistent demand for these banned AI chips in China highlights the absence of satisfactory alternatives for Chinese firms, with local competitors like Huawei expected to lag behind in development.
National Security Concerns:
The intersection of technology and national security is a critical aspect of this controversy. The involvement of Chinese military entities and institutions with alleged affiliations to military bodies raises questions about the potential dual-use nature of these AI chips. The U.S. government faces the challenge of balancing its commitment to innovation with the imperative to safeguard sensitive technologies that could have military applications.
Conclusion:
Nvidia's entanglement in the controversy surrounding the underground trade of banned AI chips in China sheds light on the complexities of enforcing export restrictions in the tech industry. As geopolitical tensions continue to shape the landscape, the story of Nvidia's chips serves as a compelling narrative, emphasizing the delicate balance between technological advancement, economic interests, and national security. The evolving situation calls for a nuanced approach from both the U.S. government and technology companies to navigate these challenging waters.
BTC TO 32K$ ?the Commission approved the listing and trading of a number of spot bitcoin exchange-traded product (ETP) shares. That will lead new traders to put their money longing btc , so that will create a good liquidity to whales to sell at 47k - 50k levels , and that's really what happened do not get suprised by seeing btc's price range between 20k - 30k
BTC - It is a matter of time ⏱Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
📈 BTC has demonstrated an overall bullish trend, trading within the ascending channel outlined in red.
Following a rejection at the 48,000 - 50,000 resistance range, BTC experienced a decline and is currently approaching the lower red trendline.
Additionally, the zone between 44,500 and 45,000 serves as a robust support area.
🎯 Therefore , the highlighted red circle signifies a significant zone to consider for potential buy setups. This area is noteworthy as it marks the convergence of the blue support and the lower red trendline, acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 In accordance with my trading style:
As BTC nears the red circle zone, I will actively search for bullish reversal setups to capitalize on the anticipated next bullish impulse movement.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
XAUUSD BuyBuying Gold due to the failed close below 2016. I predicted 2012 last week, but to see this I'd anticipate good confirmation. This has not happened yet, CPI has dropped gold over 150 pips, now im expecting a clear push back to 2025+ area.
Ive entered at 2016.54, targeting 2029.54 and my stop is set at 2013.54. Gives me a 1:4.33 R/R 1%Risk
Entered at the low end of a 4Hr OB, which I'd like price to close above.
Not to much more analysis here, kept it simple, still using @nephew_sam_ FVG indictor so testing this on my funded account.
GJ Possible movement for next week openingLooking to short GJ next week, although a break of this 184.100 zone could push GJ to longs targeting 188.60 area (8/1/24)
Zoomed out onto 4hr HTF, from here I am looking to enter within that OB thats present, targeting a FVG around 180.00
Using a new indicator by @nephew_sam_ so looking forward to 2024 using this.
Upon technical analysis, I can see the finish of 2023 bought the Pound to close around 179.54. From here we have seen the slight push to the now current 183.952 area. This has been a nice steady push for GJ, which makes me think this continuation could continue.
Having said this, there hasn't been a major consolidation of price or even a pullback. From this i'd expect a slight pullback tonight (Sunday) or even through (London) Tomorrow or in due course.
My guesses are that price will continue for the short while, but a pullback is expected, and this is what I'm targeting. Day traders this could be a good opportunity, Swing traders I would probably focus on the longer targets of buying.
First documented trade of 2024 so lets see how this runs.
Gold to 2100 ?The U.S. data points of the week will be the December consumer price index report on Thursday and the December producer price index report on Friday. U.S. inflation has cooled in recent months, which has allowed the Federal Reserve to back off on its tighter monetary policy. The CPI report is seen up 3.3%, year-on-year versus a rise of 3.1% in the November report.
Never trade on news. Everything is hidden in the price action !Everyone was looking for ETF confirmation to get long. But the market turned red!
US SEC grants approval for spot bitcoin ETFs - RTRS but the market moved against expectations.
This is why we say never trade with fundamental news.
Everything is hidden in the price action.
Bitcoin had reached the ceiling of the channel and also our indicator had given a short signal. So, contrary to all positions, we opened the shorts and had fun!
AI's Insight from News Cross-Checked with Pattern Recognition 👁Dear Investors, I believe that PLTR might fall to $13.2 in the coming months. Here, I made a short idea from the insights of the different AI algorithms I use for speculative analytics.
News Analytics - Natural Language Processing
1 Palantir's revenue growth has slowed in recent quarters. The company's revenue grew by 31% year-over-year in the first quarter of 2023, but this was down from 54% growth in the fourth quarter of 2022. This slowdown in revenue growth could be a sign that Palantir is facing challenges in the market.
2 Palantir's gross margin has been declining. The company's gross margin was 74% in the first quarter of 2023, down from 77% in the fourth quarter of 2022. This decline in gross margin could be a sign that Palantir is having to invest more in sales and marketing to drive revenue growth.
3 Palantir has been losing market share. The company's market share in the data analytics market is estimated to be around 1%, according to Gartner. This is a very small market share, and it has been shrinking in recent years. This could be a sign that Palantir is not as competitive as its rivals.
4 Palantir's stock price has been volatile in recent months. The stock price has fallen by more than 50% from its all-time high in August 2021. This volatility could be a sign that investors are uncertain about Palantir's future.
Cross-Checking Logic
Of course, there are also some positive news about Palantir that could suggest that the stock price will not fall to $13.2. For example, the company has a strong pipeline of new business opportunities. Palantir is also investing heavily in research and development, which could lead to new products and services that could boost the company's growth.
Chart Pattern Recognition - Deep Neural Networks
Between the two red trendlines, my neural networks believe to be a bearish channel. Your human eyes can see how Palantir rejected the upper trendline on 11 October and 21 November. I marked these price points with red ellipses. The channel had some bullish aspects when the bottom trendline acted as a support on 02 November and possibly today. Look at the left green arrow. Palantir's last rally related to this point. Today, the stock is near the same trendline again, and there's a chance that it can reignite a similar rally. The white arrow shows this possible scenario. I, however, feel skeptical that history would repeat itself.
Ensembling Technical Indicators
I asked different AIs to weigh technical indicators to represent their opinions. I ensembled the results of these AI opinions and selected MACD, RSI, and volume to simulate AI's insights in a way you can reproduce on your chart without AI. From declining volume bars I suspect the continuation of the bearish trend. The price action has been bearish over the last week, and I can't see the volume to reverse it. I can see extreme sell volumes every now and then, but they seemed to escalate the bearish trend. I don't see where the orders are that could absorb the end of the bearish trend. RSI tried to make a bullish cross below the volume indicator, but it happened to be a failed cross. RSI reversed as it crossed the SMA, which suggests a lack of bullish momentum. The potential bullish signal turned out to be an indication of how weak bulls are. At the same time, MACD has been going on the bearish side with a strong momentum, and periodically pulsing bearish momentum without signs of weakening. Overall, these indicators simulate what my AI bots believe about the market. Their ensembled opinion seems to be a bearish continuation.
Chart Explanation
I already explained the red bearish channel, the channel contacts, the indicators, and a potential bullish scenario, but I think bears enjoy a better risk-reward ratio. Theoretically, channel breakdown could pull the price into the support level of 13.2. I've got a green line at this level. Thus, the target price of a short could be within the green box around this level where the bearish trajectory's red arrow shows. The stock might reverse or not at this level. I'll have to reassess if I see the playout of my bearish expectation.
Conclusion
Ultimately, the direction of Palantir's stock price will depend on a variety of factors, including the company's financial performance, the overall market conditions, and investor sentiment. It is always important to do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Kind regards,
Ely
Elevated Inflation News Amplify Safe Haven Demand for Gold 🧈Abstract:
Recent inflation data from the Federal Reserve has fueled concerns over persistent price pressures. In this environment, gold's inherent value as a haven asset stands to benefit. My open-source Adaptive MFT Extremum Pivots indicator, which can be applied across various markets, reveals support and resistance levels on the gold market. Based on these calculations, the nearest resistance zone lies around $2055, while the mathematical middle of all resistances is estimated to be around $2072. A potential trade setup involves purchasing gold upon breaching the nearest resistance level. Aim for a target price slightly above the resistance level, allowing for potential retracements. Establish a stop-loss order below the recent price consolidation zone. Alternatively, consider purchasing gold upon bouncing from the nearest support level. Aim slightly above the resistance level, again with a stop-loss order below the recent price consolidation zone.
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Dear Esteemed Readers, Fellow Analysts,
I. News Catalyst:
1: Higher-Than-Expected Inflation Reading: The recent inflation data from the Federal Reserve suggests persistent inflationary pressures.
Implications for Gold:
2: Safe Haven Demand Amplified: Gold's inherent value as a haven asset is further enhanced amidst heightened inflation.
3: Technical Outlook Optimistic: Gold's recent price trend and favorable technical indicators indicate potential upside movement.
II. Chart Description:
1: Indicator:
I've used my open-source Adaptive MFT Extremum Pivots indicator to autonomously compute the support and resistance levels. I tried to write this indicator, which you find among relevant publications, as general as I could. The gold market is only one of my choices where I deployed this script. You can try it on any of this and any other markets. If you've got feedback, I'd be happy to update what I've got or create a new branch to experiment with your unique approach. You can change the indicator without coding knowledge through the user configuration block like colors and precision (!) per the documentation I wrote. The script is "adaptive" because you'll always get a bit of different data on the same market depending on the moment you use this indicator. But that's good because you can monitor the data velocity between time points with this knowledge. As I mentioned, the script is general and in the following, I'll explain how it helped me to write this particular analytics on the gold market.
2: Data Explanation and Chart Elements:
You can find the script's window in the bottom right corner of the chart. As you can see in the center of the table, the Pivot point is about $2044.948. The script computed this data from a monthly timeframe. In the upper half of the window, you find the monthly high ($2075.430), monthly low ($2033.940), weekly high ($2148.990), and weekly low ($2020.135) values on this market. The latter two data came from a weekly timeframe. So, you can consider this analytics to be a Multi-TimeFrame Analytics (MTF or MTFA, see the keywords.
S1, S2, and S3 mean three support levels (green lines on the chart) and R1, R2, and R3 mean three resistance levels (red lines on the chart). I named the levels according to their distance from the pivot point. S1/R1 are the closest and S3/R3 are the most distant levels. The actual price is $2033.050. The price's a bit below the pivot point, which could be a bearish signal. In this context, however, I'd call it a retracement because it's above the double support levels of $2020 and $1998. The third support level is around $1971. If you remember my messages from the chat, you know I estimated the support zone around $2000, see the green zone on the chart, which aligns with the mathematical middle level of the support levels. I believe these computations could make a bit of sense because if you look to the left of the chart, you'll see how the price bounced repeatedly from either of these supports or got rejected at either of these resistances. I'd point out the interval between 19 April and 02 May 2023 to observe these price actions. With the price consolidating above all the support levels, I'd estimate an attempt to breach the resistances. The nearest resistance is around $2055 while the mathematical middle of all the resistances is around $2072, see the red zone on the chart. If the positive news persists on the market, I estimate the price could reach as high as $2055 (R1), $2087 (R2), and $2098 (R3). You find all these data with higher precision in the bottom half of the script's window, the bottom right corner of the chart.
The dotted arrows depict various price scenarios that gold could follow. The more pronounced the bullish momentum, the less retracement we can expect. In the most optimistic scenario, gold could reach resistance R3 from its current support levels. However, if demand weakens, the price might briefly dip to support S2 or even S3. Still, a breakdown below S3 would be necessary to invalidate the bullish trend. As long as the bullish trend remains intact, resistances R1 and R2 remain attainable targets. Below, I propose some possible positions according to a support/resistance strategy.
You can interpret the market in various ways and the sentiment dynamically changes. That's why I made the script adaptive. You can load to your chart any time and see the market dynamics. Furthermore, I'm open to all confirmation, conflicting, extending, or questioning opinions of yours.
III. Trade Setup:
Entry Point: Consider purchasing gold upon breaching the nearest resistance level.
Target Price: Aim slightly above the resistance level, allowing for potential retracement.
Stop-Loss: Establish a stop-loss order below the recent price consolidation zone.
And:
Entry Point: Consider purchasing gold upon bouncing from the nearest support level.
Target Price: Aim slightly above the resistance level, allowing for potential retracement.
Stop-Loss: Establish a stop-loss order below the recent price consolidation zone.
IV. Risk Disclosure:
Please note: This is solely a speculative outlook based on current economic developments and does not constitute investment advice. Trading in financial markets carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
Kind regards,
Ely