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FOMC Order And PredictionTargeting sells from 1944-46 area. Golds sudden bullish movement to this price has caught my eye. I believe FOMC will not raise rates, thus I think it will have a huge impact on metals. There could be range up to that 1948, my stop is at 1948.5 with 2 targets 1940 and 1927 which was around the area of 25 key support. Ive implemented the use of FVG, BOS and CHoCH, Im slightly adjusting the way I trade news, and trying to play it safer with setting orders rather than instant executions. Overall this trade gives me a 1:1, 1:3.75 R/R. Orders set, lets see how my analysis goes.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by xEthan
ES FOMC INTEREST RATE IDEA (LEAKED FROM *SMART MONEY*)bullish idea, there's lots of space to the upside and plenty of orders to take off the initial news burst. as long as we move up follow the plan. if we move down, and only if you are not already in a position, i'd take smaller longs and add later only if it comes back to the initial idea. if price falls to the depths of hell, well, fine. just short the first pull back and come off break even for the day and wrap it up no hard feelings. keep it easy guys it aint stressful for real. delete this message after you read it they are watching your activity nvm this message will self destruct
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by Claybo
1
Reaction of Sunrun's against institutional traders Executive Summary: In Tuseday's market session, we observed a 5% increase in the price action of NASDAQ:RUN , which, as expected, triggered a minor retracement due to typical market dynamics. However, our focus today is on a highly significant order block zone, spanning from $14.13 to $14.90. After nearly a year of dedicated study into the behaviors of major institutional players in the market, we've uncovered a crucial aspect of their approach. Understanding Institutional Strategies: Institutional investors, in their quest to enter positions, follow a dual-pronged strategy. First, they aim to create adequate liquidity in the market to facilitate their trades. Second, they seek to initiate positions at the lowest possible prices, effectively maximizing their profit margins. It's important to note that their entry points often differ from those favored by retail traders, and herein lies the intriguing element of market dynamics. Manipulating Retail Sentiment: Institutional investors sometimes choose to exert selling pressure when the market approaches what appears to be a demand zone, a strategy designed to trigger stop losses placed by retail traders. This calculated move creates a cascade effect, further driving prices downward. As retail traders' stop losses are hit, the market sentiment shifts. What once seemed like a strong demand zone now appears fragile, causing retail participants to rethink their positions. Conclusion and outlook As we anticipate a continued retracement in the price action towards the demand zone, it becomes essential to employ a meticulous approach to risk management. Our objective is not only to align with institutional entry points but also to safeguard our positions against potential market volatility. The Importance of Stop Loss Calculation: In this endeavor, precise calculation of our stop loss assumes paramount significance. By leveraging historical market volatility data and average candle size, as represented by the Average True Range (ATR), we aim to strike an optimal balance between risk and reward. Maximizing Position Security: The crux of this methodology lies in maximizing the probability of maintaining open positions while positioning ourselves to capitalize on the forthcoming momentum instigated by institutional players. Defining the Stop Loss: For an entry price of $14.015, which closely aligns with the average demand zone valuation, we have determined that setting the stop loss at $13.77 provides an effective risk management strategy. This strategic adjustment substantially reduces the likelihood of liquidation in the face of adverse price movements. Conclusion: Incorporating these refined risk management techniques into our trading approach empowers us to align with institutional strategies while mitigating potential downside risks. As we move forward, we are well-equipped to not only participate in the anticipated upward momentum initiated by institutional entries but also to secure our positions, ensuring our trading endeavors remain both profitable and resilient.
NASDAQ:RUN
by lucasbasoglu
NDTV - DAILY TIME FRAMEThe Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart). Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves. we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle. Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price. Keep it simple, keep it Unique. please keep your comments useful & respectful. Thanks for your support.... Tradelikemee Academy
BSE:NDTVLong
by Tradelikemee
EUR/USD - downtrend or reversal soon?EUR/USD Technical and Fundamental Analysis (TFA) ---Fundamental Analysis From a fundamental perspective, the EUR/USD is facing some headwinds. The European economy is slowing down, and the ECB is expected to keep interest rates low for the foreseeable future. The US economy is growing at a faster pace, and the Fed is expected to raise interest rates in the coming months. However, there are also some positive factors for the EUR/USD. The eurozone is still a relatively safe haven currency, and it is benefiting from the recent weakness in the US dollar. ---Technical Analysis The pair is still correcting on the downside, forming the Wace C of a bigger Wave 4. I marked two potential targets on the downside. It is not mandatory for the price to hit them both, but for now the trend is on the downside. Watch the price carefully when it gets close to the marked areas, to not be surprised by a sudden price reversal. The technical picture for the EUR/USD is mixed. The exchange rate is trading above its 200-day moving average, which is a bullish sign. However, it is also trading below the 50-day moving average, which is a bearish sign. The key level to watch on the upside is 1.0935, which is the high from last week. A break above this level could signal a move towards 1.1000. On the downside, the key level to watch is 1.0635, which is the May low. A break below this level could signal a move towards 1.0500. Overall, the EUR/USD is a volatile market and the outlook is uncertain. Traders should be prepared for both bullish and bearish moves in the coming days. I hope this post is helpful. This analysis represents my personal thoughts at the date it is posted. This analysis does not represent professional and/or financial advice. You alone assume the sole responsibility of evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any information or other content found on this profile before making any decisions based on such information. Any feedback is encouraged and appreciated. Thank you and have a nice day!
Short
by YExplore
USDJPY 3/9/23Starting this week off with USDJPY on Friday we saw the NFP and other red folder USD news shift this pair higher and into a bullish range, now as always we don't want to just jump into a bullish range from a bearish pair. this doesn't me we wont trade the range it just means we are going to look into a more conserved methods to enter any buys. overall this move is provided by a shift from news so we are going to treat it like every news POI we come to within our trading days, confirm and protect. Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan. We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
by rosshayes
The downfall of Sunrun : What next ! Ladies and gentlemen, in today's financial analysis, we focus on Sunrun, examining recent price movements and conducting a comprhensive outlook. First, we notice something significant: the stock has dropped by 16% from its previous trading zone. This is noteworthy, especially if the stock shows signs of going up again. Now, let's discuss what happened at the Jackson Hole Symposium. The Federal Reserve Chair, Jerome Powell, talked about raising interest rates, which is different from what other officials said. For example, Patrick Harker from the Philadelphia Fed thought we should keep interest rates as they are. Austan Goolsbee, the Chicago Fed President, was also cautious. He mentioned challenges like high inflation, problems in the supply chain, and the possibility of a big strike in the auto industry. Despite these challenges, he remained hopeful that we can control inflation without causing a recession. He also stressed the importance of using data to make decisions, especially the real interest rate. The stock market liked what he said, and the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust went up by 0.8%. Now, let's look ahead. I believe things might change for $NASDAQ:RUN. This belief comes from seeing other companies in the alternative power generation sector, like NYSE:NEP , NYSE:NOVA , and NASDAQ:RNW , starting to do better based on their recent performance. We've also heard that inflation might not keep going up, which is good news for RUN. In this situation, my plan is to keep a close eye on the market and stay updated on the latest news. I'll make sure to update this report with any new information.
NASDAQ:RUN
by lucasbasoglu
USDJPY 27/8/23UJ honestly i don't have a huge amount to say about this pair or about this range, if you have looked over our other USD related pairs you will know the story by now. A news range with honestly a poor structure overall, liquid has built higher and lower meaning we may push up then shift lower, as you can see we have a reverse of our other USD pairs as in this case the USD is our primary. so you guys know what we are looking for, either a shift higher to give us a new range or a confirm entry for our NEWS created POI, on the other end we may have a sweep of our low to give us a bias the is opposite to what we have currently. Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan. We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
by rosshayes
XAUUSD 27/8/23XU is the first of our USD correlated pairs and from this you will see a very similar markup for all of the USD related pairs. This setup is showing you we are looking for sell moves overall, BUT this range was created by a news events (Jackson hole) so we don't want to blindly follow the bias down when we know the news event ranges often prove many traders wrong, this is exactly why we don't jump in as we would with a normal trend move. So as it stands we are looking at a news range that tells us we want to run the sw low, we will wait for price to tap into our POI if it is willing to deliver to it, once we get to the POI we are only entering if we see a clear confirm and breakdown in our favour. Lets keep and open mind for this as we are fully aware of the probability of this playing out fully. Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan. We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by rosshayes
Dealing with News releasesUse any economic calendar to monitor news releases. (forexfactory, myfxbook). Below is how I adapt to news when trading my personal edge, including the pairs GBPUSD, EURUSD, AUDUSD and XAUUSD in my times. If you have tested pairs with other currencies, for example with CAD etc, make sure to be aware of related news there too. Which news do I adapt to: 💀 USD high impact news - I have closed out any trades on any of my pairs before the news release, regardless of if I am in deep profit or loss on the trade. I do not enter trades on any of my pairs within 30 mins before or after a high impact USD news release. 💀 GBP high impact news - I have closed out any trade on a GBP or EUR trade before the news release, regardless of if I am in deep profit or loss on the trade. I do not enter trades on any GBP or EUR pair within 30 mins before or after a high impact USD news release. If the news release is CPI/ Inflation or Interest Rates, I also close out/ don’t enter trades on all my other pairs too. 💀 EUR high impact news - I am not concerned about EUR news as it does not tend to affect my pairs much in my experience. The only EUR news I close out/ do not enter trades on is Inflation/ CPI. Note the EUR news only applies to news on the economic calendar with the European flag next to it - not the random countries within the EU, such as Germany, Italy etc.
Education
by algoat
Eurusd : Bullish USD data and Inflation Fears 🛫 Hello everyone. Switching things up today with a in-depth look into recent sentiment and my thoughts on the last 5 bearish weekly candles on EURUSD. A mix of Bullish USD data and the fact that inflation looms above all of our heads has caused market participants to flock into the Safe haven USD. What are your thoughts on this decrease of EURUSD back into the range that EU has been stuck in since January? Thanks for joining me for another analysis and reading this far. See you in the next analysis!
by ShrewdCatfx