Get started

NEWS

Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June  26, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June  26, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 💱 Dollar Mounts Decline on Fed Credibility Concerns The U.S. dollar dropped to a 3½-year low against the euro after reports that President Trump is considering replacing Fed Chair Powell as early as September or October. The move fueled market concern about the Fed’s independence and prompted traders to raise the likelihood of a July rate cut to 25%, with nearly 64 bps of rate cuts priced in by year-end 📉 Markets Stay Cautious Ahead of Powell’s Testimony Traders remain on edge as Fed Chair Powell’s Capitol Hill testimony continues. He reiterated caution, noting inflation risks tied to tariffs despite growing calls for easing, keeping interest-rate expectations in limbo . 📈 S&P 500 Nears All-Time Highs in Second-Biggest Bi‑Monthly Rally The S&P 500 has notched its second-largest May–June rally on record (6.2% in May, further gains in June), bolstered by cooling inflation, easing Middle East tensions, and strong AI earnings momentum led by Nvidia. Bull-case scenarios could push the index to fresh highs 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Thursday, June 26: (No major U.S. economic release—markets are focused on Powell’s remaining testimony and global risk dynamics.) ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #Fed #inflation #geopolitics #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
Ather’s Affordable EV Announcement Triggers Market Rally...Technical Analysis: Ather Energy has successfully broken above the key resistance level of ₹330 and is currently trading around ₹340. This breakout is supported by a noticeable surge in volume, confirming bullish momentum. The ₹330 level, which previously acted as a strong resistance, may now serve as a potential support in the event of a retest. Traders and investors can look for buying opportunities on dips near ₹330, while those already holding the stock are advised to continue holding for further upside. Fundamental Analysis: From a fundamental standpoint, Ather’s maiden quarterly results have been encouraging. The company reported a one-third increase in revenue, while its EBITDA loss narrowed to ₹172 crore, down from ₹239 crore in the same quarter last year. This marks a significant step towards operational efficiency and profitability. Adding to the positive sentiment, Ather recently announced that it will unveil its new EL EV platform and upcoming concept models in August 2025. The highlight of this announcement is that the new scooter will be Ather’s most affordable offering, signaling a strategic push to expand market penetration and compete in the mass segment of the EV market. Conclusion: The breakout at ₹330, supported by improving financial performance and strong product pipeline news, suggests a bullish outlook for Ather Energy in the near term. Investors should monitor the ₹330 level for price retest and accumulation opportunities. Holding is recommended for existing investors, while fresh entries can be considered on technical confirmation around support zones. Note: Due to ongoing global uncertainties, market conditions may remain volatile. Investors are advised to exercise caution and manage risk accordingly.
NSE:ATHERENERG
by Kartik_Elkunchwar
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 25, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 25, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 💱 Dollar Slides on Middle East Ceasefire Optimism A fragile ceasefire between Israel and Iran lifted risk sentiment across global markets. The U.S. dollar weakened, while the euro and British pound hovered near multi‑year highs 📈 Equities Near Record Highs The S&P 500 and Nasdaq pushed toward all-time highs on June 25, supported by the Middle East truce and retreating energy prices. The S&P 500 rallied ~1.1%, with tech and discretionary sectors leading the charge 🛢 Oil & Treasuries Dip, Yield Cuts Anticipated Oil plunged ~6% to ~$65/bbl as conflict fears eased. Softer prices plus weak consumer confidence spurred expectations of up to 60 bps in Fed rate cuts by December; Treasury yields pulled back accordingly 📉 Consumer Confidence Falls Again The Conference Board’s index dropped to 93—the lowest level since May 2020—as concerns over tariffs and job availability weighed on households 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Wednesday, June 25: (No major U.S. economic data scheduled) Markets remain focused on geopolitical dynamics, Fed commentary, and next week’s PCE inflation release. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #geopolitics #Fed #inflation #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 24, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 24, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇺🇸 Markets Eye Powell Testimony & Consumer Confidence Today brings a double dose of market-moving data: the June Consumer Confidence Index and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony before Congress. These will be key indicators of household sentiment and potential shifts in Fed rate guidance 🛢️ Oil Volatility Persists on Middle East Strain Oil prices briefly spiked after U.S. strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities, prompting fears of supply disruptions. However, prices have since dipped as ceasefire hopes emerge. Investors remain cautious on energy headwinds 💱 Dollar Retraces on Safe-Haven Rotation The dollar softened after peaking as geopolitical tensions eased slightly. Still, it remains sensitive to Powell’s tone and confidence data, which could reintroduce volatility 📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊 📅 Tuesday, June 24: 10:00 AM ET – Conference Board Consumer Confidence (June) Monitors household optimism; a rebound could support consumer spending and equities. 10:00 AM ET – Fed Chair Powell Testimony Begins Powell appears before the House Financial Services Committee. Market focus: inflation outlook, tariffs, and potential timing for rate cuts. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #Fed #trade #energy #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 23–27, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 23–27, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🌐 Geopolitics Add to Risk Aversion The S&P 500 is up about 0.9% so far in June, but analysts warn it’s facing a “precarious” phase amid renewed Middle East conflict and looming U.S. tariff deadlines in July–August. Elevated oil prices could fuel inflation, while fiscal and debt ceiling pressures weigh on sentiment 🎙️ Powell Heads to Capitol Hill Fed Chair Powell will testify before Congress this week. His remarks on inflation and rate outlook—particularly regarding the Fed’s recent dot-plot revisions and monetary policy uncertainty—will be central to market direction 📈 Nike, FedEx & Micron Earnings Under Focus Key corporate earnings (Nike, FedEx, Micron) could provide fresh insight into how tariffs and supply-chain disruptions are impacting major U.S. businesses 🛢️ Oil Prices Elevated Oil remains range-bound at multi-week highs near $75–80/bbl following U.S.–Israel military action in Iran, which briefly spiked prices ~7–11%. Continued dependence on Middle Eastern supply may keep energy complex volatile ⚖️ NATO Summit Tightens Security Focus NATO leaders meet in The Hague, marking an elevated global defense posture amid geopolitical uncertainty. Defense and aerospace stocks may remain pressured or volatile depending on summit outcomes 📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊 📅 Monday, June 23 9:45 AM ET: S&P Global Flash U.S. Services & Manufacturing PMI (June) 10:00 AM ET: Existing Home Sales (May) 📅 Tuesday, June 24 10:00 AM ET: Consumer Confidence Index (June) Testimony: Fed Chair Jerome Powell appears before Congress 📅 Wednesday, June 25 10:00 AM ET: New Home Sales (May) 📅 Thursday, June 26 8:30 AM ET: Advance Q1 GDP (Final Estimate) 📅 Friday, June 27 8:30 AM ET: Core PCE Price Index (May) — Fed’s preferred inflation gauge ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before investing. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #geopolitics #Fed #oil #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 20, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 20, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🏦 Fed Holds Rates, Warns on Tariffs Fed kept interest rates steady on June 19, cautioning that tariffs could stoke inflation and slow growth. Inflation projections were raised from 2.7% to 3.0%, while growth estimates were revised lower to 1.4% 🌍 Middle East Risk Drags Markets Global stocks fell and safe-haven assets surged after U.S. futures weakened amid heightened tensions in the Israel–Iran conflict. Yields were mixed: gold weakened and bonds gained, while oil held steady near seven-week highs 📈 Treasury Yields Edge Higher Despite safe-haven demand, U.S. 10‑year yields ticked up as markets absorbed the Fed’s updated rate outlook. The yield curve remains elevated ahead of next week’s $38 bn auction of long-dated notes 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Friday, June 20: (No major U.S. economic reports) Markets will be driven by Fed commentary follow-ups and geopolitical headlines over the weekend. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #geopolitics #fixedincome #inflation #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
Price recently broke down from a descending wedge.📊 Gold (XAUUSD) – 1H Chart Analysis Structure Overview: Price recently broke down from a descending wedge/consolidation pattern after forming lower highs and lower lows — a classic sign of bearish pressure building up. 🔻 Bearish Breakout in Play: The sharp move down through the wedge's lower boundary suggests strong momentum to the downside. This aligns with the previous rejection from the top of the falling channel. 🔮 Potential Scenarios: 1. Bearish Continuation (Primary Bias): If price sustains below the wedge support and fails to reclaim the breakout zone, we could see a further decline toward lower support levels (as shown in the downward arrow). Watch for possible reactions at 3350 → 3345 → 3340 zones. 2. Bullish Fakeout Recovery (Alternative): If price quickly reclaims the broken trendline and forms a bullish engulfing or breakout structure, it could invalidate the breakdown, signaling a possible reversal and rally back up toward 3380+ (as indicated by the upward projection). ⚠️ Key Levels to Watch: Support: 3350 / 3345 / 3340 Resistance: 3365 / 3380 Zone of interest: Retest of wedge breakdown area 📌 Insight: The market has broken below the daily bullish FVG CE level, further supporting the bearish bias — but retests can trap sellers, so remain flexible.
FX:XAUUSD
by Peter_Wade
XRP - Trade The Range!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈XRP has been trading within a range between $2 and $2.35 in the shape of a flat rising broadening wedge pattern in red. 🏹 The highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support and lower red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #XRP approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
1
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 17, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 17, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📈 U.S. Retail Spending Holds Firm May’s retail sales were flat month-over-month, defying expectations of a slowdown. Core retail sales (ex-autos) edged up +0.2%, signaling resilience in consumer purchases—an encouraging sign for economic momentum 🤖 Tesla’s Robotaxi Buzz Accelerates Tesla stock surged after a weekend robotaxi video surfaced ahead of its planned Austin launch. A viral clip showed a Model Y “robotaxi” navigating traffic autonomously, sparking fresh investor enthusiasm despite safety debates 📊 BoJ Holds Rates; Dollar Edges Higher Japan’s central bank left policy unchanged at 0.5%, maintaining its dovish bias. This lifted the dollar slightly versus the yen, drawing focus to global interest-rate divergence 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Tuesday, June 17: 8:30 AM ET – Retail Sales (May) Consumer purchases are tracked, excluding autos. Monitor if activity stays steady despite inflation and rate pressures. 9:15 AM ET – Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization (May) Provides insight into factory activity and plant usage—a gauge of economic health amid global slowdown concerns. 10:00 AM ET – Business Inventories (April) Shows stock levels held by wholesalers and manufacturers. Higher inventories with weaker sales may signal slowing demand. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 16–20, 2025 🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 16–20, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🏦 Fed Holds Rates, Powell Expresses Caution The Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep rates at 4.25–4.50%, though Chair Powell likely won’t provide fresh guidance. Markets see limited upside without stronger inflation or growth cues 💱 Dollar Strengthens on Geopolitical Risk The U.S. dollar rose slightly as investors flocked to safe assets amid global tensions with Iran. Treasury yields eased slightly on risk-off flows 🛢️ Oil Near Multi-Week Highs on Mideast & OPEC Dynamics Oil held near seven-week highs (~$67–70/barrel), buoyed by Iran-Israel tensions and OPEC+ output hikes (411K bpd added from May–July), offset by demand concerns . ⚠️ G7 Summit Faces Heightened Stakes G7 finance ministers meet in Canada under pressure from Middle East escalation. Watch for policy coordination and commentary on trade, inflation, and global economic risks . 📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊 📅 Monday, June 16 Regular markets open after Juneteenth holiday Quiet day; oil & geopolitical headlines dominate 📅 Tuesday, June 17 8:30 AM ET – Retail Sales (May): Signals consumer spending strength/duration 8:30 AM ET – CPI (May): Confirms inflation trend post-CPI cooler reading 10:00 AM ET – Housing Starts & Building Permits (May): Gauges housing market demand Unexpected Tesla Robotaxi Demo (Austin): Watch for surprise developments this week 📅 Wednesday, June 18 Global Central Bank Day: FOMC, BoE, BoJ policy updates; U.S. Fed will most likely hold steady 📅 Thursday, June 19 – Juneteenth Holiday – U.S. markets closed 📅 Friday, June 20 8:30 AM ET – Existing Home Sales (May): Measures U.S. housing activity 10:00 AM ET – Leading Economic Indicators (May): Early snapshot of economic momentum ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 13, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 13, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🚨 Israel Strikes Iran — U.S. Markets Sell Off Israel launched airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear and military facilities, triggering a sharp risk-off move in global markets. U.S. stock futures slid over 1%, driven by a drop in equities and a surge in safe-haven assets 🛢️ Oil Prices Surge 7–8% on Supply Fears Brent crude jumped over 7%, reaching ~$74.65/barrel, while WTI rose nearly 8%—the strongest move since early May. The sudden energy-price spike reflects heightened fears of supply disruptions in the Middle East 💱 Dollar & Safe Havens Climb True to form, the U.S. dollar, Japanese yen, Swiss franc, gold, and Treasuries rallied as investors moved to the safety of low-risk assets amid escalating geopolitical uncertainty 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Friday, June 13 (No scheduled U.S. economic data) Data flow will take a backseat as markets digest geopolitical developments and await the weekend. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #geopolitics #oil #safety #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 12, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 12, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 💱 Dollar Slides on Trade Truce Hopes & Fed Outlook The U.S. dollar dropped 0.4%—its lowest level since April 22—after President Trump signaled flexibility on a July 8 trade deadline and U.S.–China talks showed renewed progress, boosting expectations for Fed rate cuts 📊 S&P Shiller CAPE Hints at Overvaluation Risk Stocks and bonds rallied following rebound, but valuation metrics flash caution: the S&P 500 now sits in the 94th percentile of Shiller CAPE, and equity risk premium has dropped to zero. Analysts warn these levels often precede corrections 🛢️ Oil Holds at Seven-Week Highs Oil prices remain near seven-week highs (~$66–67/barrel), supported by gradual OPEC+ output increases and hopes that easing trade tensions will aid demand 📈 CPI Cools Again, Bonds Climb U.S. consumer inflation rose just 0.1% in May (2.4% YoY), easing expectations for tighter Fed policy. Consequently, Treasury yields softened and bond markets outperformed equities 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Thursday, June 12: 8:30 AM ET – Producer Price Index (May) An early gauge of inflation at the wholesale level—may reinforce the cooling trend seen in CPI. 8:30 AM ET – Initial & Continuing Jobless Claims Weekly updates on unemployment filings. Key to monitor for labor-market tightening or softening. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This report is for educational and informational purposes only—it does not constitute financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 11, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 11, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🤝 Cautious Optimism on U.S.–China Trade Progress Markets responded positively to fresh developments in ongoing U.S.–China trade talks, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq closing ~0.6% higher — the third straight day of gains — on hopes of easing trade barriers 📉 Treasury Yields Climb as Auction Approaches Bond investors grew cautious ahead of a key Treasury debt auction and incoming U.S. inflation data. The 10-year yield stayed elevated, weighing modestly on equities . 💹 Global Markets Showing Resilience Asian and European markets tracked U.S. gains midweek, driven by trade-talk optimism, despite lingering concerns over slower global growth and debt levels . 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Wednesday, June 11: (No major U.S. releases — focus remains on market reactions to trade talks and Treasury auctions.) ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 10, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 10, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📱 Apple Disappoints at WWDC Keynote Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) faced criticism after a lackluster WWDC keynote. Major AI and Siri upgrades were delayed, prompting a 1–1.5% drop in Apple shares—the weakest move during today's presentation 🎮 GameStop to Report Q1, Crypto Pivot in Focus GameStop ( NYSE:GME ) is scheduled to announce Q1 earnings after market close. Investors will be watching for updates on its $500M Bitcoin allocation and potential crypto-related strategies 📈 Small-Business Optimism Rises The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for May came in at 95.9—above the 94.9 consensus—showing modest improvement in sentiment among small firms 📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊 📅 Tuesday, June 10: 6:00 AM ET – NFIB Small Business Optimism (May): A reading above expectations could boost risk market sentiment by showing stronger Main Street confidence. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational/informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult a licensed professional before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Bitcoin Weekly Outlook – June 9, 2025Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) continues to maintain its bullish structure, now trading around $106.6K. While price action looks strong, the market is approaching a key resistance zone between $110K–$120K, with technical signals hinting at a possible short-term rejection before further upside. 🔍 Technical Overview Current Price: $106,654 Resistance Zone: $110K – $120K Support Zone for Pullback: $98K – $100K 200 EMA & 100 EMA: Still trending up and providing strong base support The chart suggests a potential "rejection-retest-rally" structure forming, where BTC may temporarily pull back before making a fresh push toward new highs. 📊 Momentum & Indicators Stochastic RSI on the daily timeframe recently bottomed and is starting to curl back up — a potential bullish shift in momentum Volume remains stable — no signs of aggressive distribution or FOMO activity yet 💬 Sentiment & Structure The current structure remains healthy, with HH-HL (higher high - higher low) formation intact. Market sentiment is optimistic but not yet euphoric, which is ideal for continued accumulation. Short-term traders may look for a pullback opportunity near the $98K–$100K zone before re-entering. 🎯 Mid-Term Outlook If BTC holds the $98K–$100K range during a pullback, it could act as a springboard toward the $120K target in the coming weeks. ✅ Summary 🔵 Bullish trend intact 📉 Possible short-term pullback before breakout 📈 Mid-term target remains: $120K 🚫 Avoid chasing breakouts — position wisely at key supports Let the price come to you. Patience pays more than FOMO.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by x_Akki
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 9–13, 2025 🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 9–13, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📱 Apple WWDC & Tech Momentum Apple’s annual Worldwide Developers Conference kicks off Monday with CEO Tim Cook set to discuss new products, services, and likely AI initiatives—tracks should watch include impacts on NASDAQ:AAPL and AI-related stocks 🧨 GameStop Eyed for Crypto Pivot GameStop (a meme-stock darling) reports earnings Tuesday. Markets are watching for updates on its $500M bitcoin investment and potential pivot toward crypto-driven revenue streams 🇨🇳 U.S.–China Trade Talks in London High-level trade dialogue begins Monday between U.S. and Chinese representatives in London, offering possible relief to trade tensions and providing a lift to risk assets 📉 Key Inflation Data Midweek Wednesday brings the May CPI release—crucial for assessing tariff-driven inflation trends and likely to influence Fed policy outlook ahead of next month’s meeting 💹 Oil Markets React to Trade Uncertainty Oil prices are stable to slightly up ahead of trade talks, as Brent holds around $66/barrel—reflecting balanced supply concerns and hopes for easing global tensions 🌐 G7 Summit and Global Policy Risks G7 finance ministers convene in Canada (50th anniversary), tackling trade strains, Russia–Ukraine, and inflation. Global macrospoilers could trigger renewed volatility 📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊 📅 Monday, June 9 Apple WWDC begins (CEO keynote) U.S.–China trade talks start in London 📅 Tuesday, June 10 GameStop Q2 earnings (+ bitcoin update) NFIB Small Business Index (6:00 AM ET) 📅 Wednesday, June 11 8:30 AM ET – Consumer Price Index (May) Watch for inflation signal from tariffs. 8:30 AM ET – Core CPI (May) Core inflation trend under scrutiny. 📅 Thursday, June 12 8:30 AM ET – Producer Price Index (May) Early check on wholesale inflation 8:30 AM ET – Initial & Continuing Jobless Claims 📅 Friday, June 13 10:00 AM ET – University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (June, preliminary) Consumer mood and tariff impact insights ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for informational/educational purposes only. Not financial advice. See a licensed advisor before making investing decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 6, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 6, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇺🇸 U.S. Labor Market in Focus Investors are closely watching the upcoming May employment report, which is expected to show a gain of 125,000 jobs, down from 177,000 in April. The unemployment rate is anticipated to remain steady at 4.2%. These figures will provide insights into the labor market's response to recent economic pressures, including tariff impacts . 🇮🇳 RBI Expected to Cut Rates Amid Low Inflation The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is anticipated to announce a 25 basis point cut in the repo rate on June 6, marking the third consecutive reduction. This move aims to support economic growth amid persistent low inflation and global uncertainties . 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Friday, June 6: 8:30 AM ET – U.S. Employment Report (May): Analysts expect non-farm payrolls to increase by 125,000, with the unemployment rate holding at 4.2%. Average hourly earnings are projected to rise by 0.3% month-over-month. These figures will be critical in assessing the health of the labor market and potential Federal Reserve policy actions . 3:00 PM ET – U.S. Consumer Credit (April): The Federal Reserve will release data on consumer credit, with forecasts predicting an increase of $10 billion. This report will shed light on consumer borrowing trends and financial health . ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 5, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 5, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇺🇸 JOLTS Job Openings Surprise to Upside U.S. job openings unexpectedly rose to 7.39 million in April—well above forecasts—indicating that labor demand remains robust despite macro headwinds and trade-policy uncertainty 🛢️ OPEC+ Greenlights July Supply Increase OPEC+ agreed to boost production by 411 K barrels per day starting in July, adding downward pressure to oil prices and weighing on energy equities 📈 Fed’s John Williams Signals Patience New York Fed President John Williams reiterated that the Fed sees no urgency to cut rates, citing mixed inflation signals and a balanced labor market—keeping investors cautious on rate-cut timing 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Thursday, June 5: 8:30 AM ET – JOLTS Job Openings (April) Measures total U.S. job vacancies, a leading indicator of labor-market strength. 10:00 AM ET – OPEC+ Press Conference (Post-Meeting) Details on production quotas for July, guiding energy market supply expectations. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 4, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 4, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🌐 Markets Rally on Chinese PMI Surprise China’s Caixin Manufacturing PMI unexpectedly climbed to 50.8 in May, signaling expansion in smaller export-focused factories. Asian markets jumped, lifting U.S. equity futures as investors recalibrated global growth expectations . 📉 U.S. Factory Orders Remain Soft April’s U.S. Factory Orders fell 0.4%, underscoring persistent weakness in industrial demand amid elevated input costs and trade uncertainty. Declines in durable-goods orders weighed on industrial stocks . 🏦 Fed’s Bowman to Speak on Economic Outlook Fed Governor Michelle Bowman is scheduled to deliver remarks at 2:00 PM ET, likely emphasizing caution on future rate moves given mixed data. Markets will watch for any shifts in tone regarding inflation risks and labor-market resilience . 🛢️ Oil Prices Slip on Rising U.S. Inventories U.S. crude inventories rose by 3.8 million barrels last week, according to API data, pressuring oil prices lower and dragging energy shares down as supply concerns outweighed strong demand signals . 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Wednesday, June 4: 2:00 PM ET – Fed Governor Michelle Bowman Speaks Remarks on economic outlook and monetary policy, watched for any hints on the Fed’s next moves. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 2–6, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 2–6, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🏭 U.S. Manufacturing Slump Ahead of June PMI Markets are bracing for Tuesday’s ISM Manufacturing PMI (June 3), with economists forecasting a reading below 50.0, signaling continued factory contraction amid slowing global demand and lingering tariff uncertainty. 🛢️ OPEC+ Meeting to Determine Output Path On Thursday, OPEC+ convenes to decide production levels for July. Expectations center on a modest output cut extension to support prices, with Brent crude trading near $65/bbl ahead of the decision. 💻 Tech Stocks Eye Semiconductor Legislation Investors are monitoring Congress’s debate over the Chips Act extension. Senate committee hearings this week could accelerate funding for U.S. chip manufacturing—an upside catalyst for NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:AMD , and $MU. 🌐 China’s Caixin PMI Signals Pivot China’s Caixin Manufacturing PMI (June 6) is expected to edge above 50.0, indicating a stabilization in smaller export-focused factories. A better-than-expected print could lift global risk sentiment. 🏢 Fed Officials Remain Dovish Fed Governor Michelle Bowman and New York Fed President John Williams speak this week, reiterating that rate hikes are “on pause.” Their remarks should clarify the Fed’s view on inflation cooling and potential rate cuts late 2025. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Monday, June 2: 10:00 AM ET: Factory Orders (April) Tracks dollar volume of new orders for manufactured goods—an early gauge of industrial demand. 📅 Tuesday, June 3: 8:30 AM ET: ISM Manufacturing PMI (May) Measures U.S. factory-sector health. A reading below 50 indicates contraction. 10:00 AM ET: Construction Spending (April) Reports monthly change in total construction outlays—key for housing and infrastructure trends. 1:00 PM ET: 10-Year Treasury Note Auction Benchmark auction that can shift yield curve and influence $SPY/ SP:SPX positioning. 📅 Wednesday, June 4: 10:00 AM ET: Factory Orders (April) Dollar volume of new orders for manufactured goods. (Repeat for emphasis on industrial slowdown.) 2:00 PM ET: Fed Governor Michelle Bowman Speaks Comments on inflation and monetary policy outlook. 📅 Thursday, June 5: 8:30 AM ET: JOLTS Job Openings (April) Tracks number of unfilled positions—a barometer of labor-market tightness. 10:00 AM ET: OPEC+ Press Conference (Post-Meeting) Details on production quotas—critical for energy-sector flow. 📅 Friday, June 6: 8:30 AM ET: Nonfarm Payrolls (May) Monthly change in U.S. employment—core for Fed policy outlook. 8:30 AM ET: Unemployment Rate (May) Percentage of labor force unemployed—key gauge of labor-market health. 8:30 AM ET: Average Hourly Earnings (May) Tracks wage trends—important for consumer spending and inflation. 10:00 AM ET: China Caixin Manufacturing PMI (May, preliminary) Measures health of China’s smaller export-oriented factories. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao