🤖 #BTCLIVE - 13.08 - #IDEA 🤖🤖 #BTCLIVE - 13.08 - #IDEA 🤖
Snapshot:
Short-Term
40:60- Bullish:Bearish
Long-Term
60:40 - Bullish:Bearish
Technical Analysis:
Bullish Scenario:
Defending against this double top and holding above ideally $24k.1 but mainly $23.6k to not confirm this double top would be the most bullish play we can hope for - this would likely require alot of volume to come in and would create quite a high bullish conviction given alot of the bearish markers. Immediate targets in this case would be $25k and then $27k - although don't be too fooled by the short term bearish sentiment a break out here could be absolutely massive with a realistic $30k on the cards.
Bearish Scenario:
A slightly more favourable outcome atm, given that we are filling out a double top pattern quite nicely along with a confirmed bearish divergence perfectly on the 2nd top. immediate target if we break down on $24k will be the key support at $23.6k, then $23.1k and then $22.6k - this could quite easily continue down.
Bullish Factors:
+ 20, 50 DEMA in close proximity for support
+ Holding key support and $24k support holding
+ On 50 EMA and HMA and support
+ Bullish CME Gap closing in
+ Exchange Reserve turned positive
+ Transfer Volume turned positive
+ Active Addresses turned positive
+ Relatively minimal FUD
Bearish Factors:
- Poor weekend volume
- Double Top pattern in play
- Bearish Divergence confirmed
- Strong upper resistance
- $25k resistance
- RSi Pullback Signal
- Bearish POC & Future Weekly Pivot forming
- aSOPR turned negative
- Taker Buy Sell Ratio turned negative
Key News:
Bull:
+ ETH Merge causing bullish sentiment market wide
+ "We are fully ready to regulate cryptocurrencies, says CFTC Chairman" t.co
+ 💥NEW: Union Bank of the Philippines to enable users buy #Bitcoin and crypto from its app!
Bear:
- SEC going after hedge funds for crypto
- France inflation reaches 6.1%, the highest it’s seen in 37 years.
- Spain inflation reaches 10.8%, the highest it’s seen in 38 years.
Metrics:
Exchange
+ Exchange Reserve - As the exchange reserve continues to fall, it indicates lower selling pressure.
+ Exchange Netflow Total - Net deposits on exchanges are low compared to the 7-day average. Lower deposits can be interpreted as lower selling pressure.
Miners
/ Miners' Position Index ( MPI ) - Miners' are selling holdings in a moderate range compared to its one-year average.
/ Puell Multiple -Miner's revenue is in a moderate range, compared to its one-year average.
On-Chain
- aSOPR - More investors are selling at a profit. In the middle of a bull market, it can indicate a market top.
+ Binary CDD - Long term holders' movement in the last 7days were lower than the average. They have a motive to hold their coins
+ Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL) -Investors are in a Fear phase where they are currently with unrealized profits that are slightly more than losses.
+ Transfer Volume - The total number of coins transferred has increased by 14.00% compared to yesterday.
+ Active Addresses - The total number of active wallets used to send and receive coins has increased by 22.00% compared to yesterday.
+ Transactions - The total number of transactions has increased by 4.00% compared to yesterday.
Sentiment
+ Coinbase Premium - US investors' buying pressure is relatively strong in Coinbase.
- Korea Premium -Korean retail investors' buying pressure is relatively strong.
- Fund Premium - Investors in funds and trusts including Grayscale have relatively weak buying sentiment.
Derivatives
+ Funding Rate - Long position traders are dominant and are willing to pay to short traders.
- Taker Buy Sell Ratio - Selling sentiment is dominent in the derivatives market. More sell orders are filled by takers.
/ Open Interest - As OI increases, it indicates more liquidity, volatility , and attention are coming into the derivative market. The increasing trend in OI could support the current ongoing price trend.
+ Liquidation - 65354916.17 of short positions were liquidated in the last 24 hours.
NEWS
FLUXUSDTHello, I hope we have a profitable week
It should be noted that a higher ceiling has not yet been formed for us. But the divergence of RSA in different time frames cannot be ignored!
Even if we don't consider the pattern in the daily time frame as a bearish wedge
(because it has taken a long time in terms of waves)
The downward trend line has been broken upwards and the zones have been maintained in the correctional movements.
In my opinion, the probability of reaction to the range of $0.4 is high and if the price does not fall below the specified ranges.
And in the upward trend, if it is above the yellow area ($0.511), the upward trend is likely to extend to higher areas.
We would be very happy if you share your thoughts with us.
Thank you for your support (:
CPI price action trap zone Following yesterday's exciting price action movements, there always follows a difficult period when the market needs to establish tradable levels. the EUR has fallen into consolidation on multiple pairs but EURAUD is the first to start trapping traders long and short. I'm sitting on my hands unfortunately until this plays out. As a technical trader my skills are only useful when there is consistency in price points, which are difficult to find after oversized moves like we've just seen.
There is a void below 1.45100 and obviously the area parallel to the large move so I'll let the battle happen before taking a position.
TWTR UPTRENDING DESPITE EARININGSNYSE:TWTR
has been running for 4 weeks with a RSI now over 80%
By comparison, META is sideways.
Musk just liquidated $6B in TSLA to fund a contingency
in case the court forces the contract to purchase at $54.20
www.cnbc.com
This may cause buying pressure at the present price
far below the contract price. Potentially a short
squeeze could augment the price action.
This may be a good time for a long entry on TWTR.
Potential trade on EURUSDAlthough, EURUSD isn't giving us any new highs or lows, today we may actually have a trade.
There are some USD news coming out (Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy) that could affect price action.
If we see price rejecting the resistance again, then we can look for short trades with first targets at 1,0121.
BATUSDTHello again
Currently, we are at the bottom of the long-term ascending channel, the channel has not broken down, the ranges have been maintained in the corrective trends.
As long as the price range of $0.2919 is maintained, there is a possibility of completing the head and shoulder pattern at the end of the downward trend.
Don't forget that in order to form an upward trend, the downward trend line must be broken upwards and the failure must be consolidated.
We would be happy to hear your comments(;
⚡️ #BTCLIVE - 04.08 ⚡️⚡️ #BTCLIVE - 04.08 ⚡️
60:40
Bullish:Bearish
Current Status:
At the bottom of a symmetrical triangle - bouncing twice recently with relatively level volume showing distinct signs of ranging. Longer term Bullish Divergence is now in play. Unfilled CME Gap sitting at 23.7k to 23.9k along with the POC, both bullish. On a more macro level currently sat in the middle of a longer term range that is effectively a bear flag with a high of $25.5k and a low of $21.5k. Expecting to see a break out of this consolidation triangle over the next 24hours - direction unconfirmed.
News:
- Coinbase X BlackRock Partner for institutional investment > Bullish on BTC & ETH
- Coinbase starts Ethereum Staking > Bullish on BTC & ETH
- META introduces Coinbse Wallets to platform > Bullish on BTC
- Options Expiry Friday > Heavy Volatility
- China x Taiwan FUD/Conflict > Bearish on all markets
On-Chain
Growing supply in older age bands - This signifies that both HODLers be HODLing, AND that they are not spending their cold storage coins.
Declining supply in younger age bands - literally the equal and opposite reaction.
Generally speaking - this is what we want and are starting to see for a bear market floor
Bullish Scenario
Breaking and retesting $23.4k will see a short term target of approx. $24k and a bigger term target of $25.5k
Bearish Scenario
A Break down and retest of $22.7k will likely start the descent to $21.5k at the lower range of the longer term - breaking down on that will spell major bloodshed.
THE MOST IMPORTANT FOREX FUNDAMENTALS 📰
Hey traders,
Even though I am a pure technician and I rely only on technical analysis when I trade, we can not deny the fact that fundamentals are the main driver of the financial markets.
In this post, we will discuss the most important fundamentals that affect forex market.
📍Unemployment rate.
Unemployment rate reflects the percentage of people without a job in a selected country or region.
Rising unemployment rate usually signifies an unhealthy state of the economy and negatively affects the currency strength.
📍Housing prices.
Housing prices reflect people's demand for housing. Rising rate reflects a healthy state of the economy, strengthening purchasing power of the individuals and their confidence in the future.
Growing demand for housing is considered to be one of the most important drivers in the economy.
📍Inflation.
Inflation reflects the purchasing power of a currency.
It is usually measured by evaluation of the price of the selected basket of goods or services over some period.
High inflation is usually the primary indicator of the weakness of the currency and the unhealthy state of the economy.
📍Monetary policy.
Monetary policy is the actions of central banks related to money supply in the economy.
There are two main levers: interests rates and bank reserve requirements.
Higher interest rates suppress the economy, making the currency stronger. Lower interests rates increase the money supply, making the economy grow but devaluing the national currency.
📍Political discourse.
Political discourse is the social, economical and geopolitical policies of the national government.
Political ideology determines the set of priorities for the ruling party that directly impacts the state of the economy.
📍Payrolls and earnings.
Payroll reports reflect the dynamic of the creation of new jobs by the economy, while average earnings show the increase or decrease of the earnings of the individuals.
Growing earnings and payrolls positively affect the value of a national currency and signify the expansion of the economy.
Pay closes attention to these fundamentals and monitor how the market reacts to that data.
What fundamentals do you consider to be the most important?
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Do you think there will be an uptrend or a downtrend!? (XVSUSDT)Hi(: Have a profitable day
Do you think there will be an uptrend or a downtrend!?!?
We must not forget that we have an event in Toronto on July 6, but on the other hand, the Ingulf area should not be ignored!
In such a situation, the best thing to do is to wait. If the price movement is higher than the price range of $7, there is a possibility that the price will increase to the blue range.
But if the upward trend line of orange is broken downwards, the possibility of price reduction to the yellow range is not out of mind at all!
We are very happy to share your comments with
DOCKUSDTHi dear friends
In your opinion, the possibility of forming a head and shoulder pattern is not reversed!?!
On the daily time frame, it has reached an important range, we have a positive divergence of the RSI, the bulls have consumed the ranges nicely in the uptrend.
The possibility of a reaction in the yellow range of $0.01592 is very high. By observing the specified loss limit, there is a possibility of forming an upward trend up to the white range ($0.02756).
We would be very happy to hear your comments
matic make a bull flag pattern and it loks like it will move upmatic will move after makeing bull flag pattern and on 4EMA indicator to take a long position
NAS100 Daily Outlook | July 28Hi All,
After FOMC news drive yesterday, WHAT ELSE?
Here are my thoughts;
1. There is a lot of noise to the left hand side so am capping my profit target for buys from 12565 to 12667 zones.
2. Buying mostly today is also confirmed by my WICK FILL play (join my live session to access my 90% winrate playbook) but traders must not expect price to move aggressively to 12900 rather focus on the closest resistance level
3. There are chances that price can drop up until 12303/12174 levels in near term and this is because;
a. We have a strong support level around 12303
b. Previous day's bar does not have a bottom wick hence has the tendency to draw price back to itself.
Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment session.
To learn more about my favorite setups and how to perfectly harness pips using them, join my live streaming today.
Daily Live Trading session at 8:45AM EST/ 4:45PM GST
Pairs: EURUSD / NAS100 / GER30
-Kings.
⚡️ #BTC OUTLOOK - 27.07 ⚡️⚡️ #BTC OUTLOOK - 27.07 ⚡️
Showing strength at the bottom of the channel as expected to drive up to approx. $22k region likely with in next 24 hours prior to the FOMC announcement where expecting a natural FUD sell off along with the big sell walls sat at $22k.
Bull Play:
Long to $21.9k - re enter at $20k region
Bear Play
Short at $22k region to $20k region - pre set sells as it could be a flash dump
EURUSD before FEDToday we have FED Interest Rate decision, the most important news right now.
A strong USD is expected but in order to make an entry we need to see some confirmation.
The main scenario is a move up at first, price collecting some SL orders and then leaving a rejection wick. This will give us a chance to sell.
This is only one way to take advantage of the situation today. We don't recommend trading before the news!
COINBASE What happens to a dream deferred?
Part Two of the Qualitative and Quantitative NASDAQ:COIN analysis.
Quantitative
My updated levels for Coinbase are 63.5 and 53.5 , these are support levels and potential Short targets.
I added the 105 level for balance, Long target but I wouldn't hold my breath for it.
Tangible Book Value Range is still the same: 35.22 to 23.48
Net Current Asset Value: 11.48
The price has reached an upper wall of the channel I traced from around November 2021. Considering the volume Coinbase trades with, I think it can easily break through this wall, whether if I think it should is another topic.
I've linked my previous Coinbase ideas below, if anyone is interested in previous levels.
Qualitative
I will list the events and at the end make a conclusion as to why this Qualitative analysis matters, and how it should affect the NASDAQ:COIN price.
Coinbase in the news, July 21
July 21st 2022 - Former Coinbase product manager charged with tipping off co-conspirator about tokens that were about to be listed on the exchange.
This is commonly known as insider trading . Link to the official Press Release is attached below.
www.justice.gov
This was originally brought to light by a Twitter user Cobie, on April 12th 2022.
Brian Armstrong, the CEO of Coinbase in a twitter thread has revealed that since April they've investigated the alleged misconduct and provided the information to law enforcement. Happy ending, Coinbase did the right thing. Investigations take time, especially when multiple agencies are involved, if anything the timeline from April to July 21st of Investigation to Indictment is very quick.
For those of us following the crypto industry, often hear the word Regulation , we understand it's just a matter of time until the industry gets regulated.
It is funny that Coinbase in doing the right thing and reporting insider trading, led to the SEC officially naming several Coinbase listed tokens as Securities. What will this result in, I can't tell.
I linked the official SEC Press Release below.
Tokens Affected:
AMP, RLY, DDX, XYO, RGT, LCX, POWR, DFX, KROM
Regarding the DFX and KROM tokens, they do not show up in Coinbase symbol search, I assume they're no longer listed.
www.sec.gov
Conclusion
Coinbase has been struggling with financials, looking at the chart, it is clear that a lot of value has been lost. But, Coinbase has also done a lot to optimize it's operations since last quarter. Earnings Report is on August 9th, and I intend to read through the 10-Q.
Coinbase listed tokens being named as securities in the SEC report, SEC has mentioned before that currently it does not consider BTC and ETH to be securities, this might change. I anticipate Coinbase will revise it's listing framework, stricter rules, stricter due diligence. Either way, short term effects will be clear when the market opens today.
This is my Thesis, targets are purely hypothetical based on my analysis.
This is NOT Investment and/or Trading Advice.
Happy Trades!
❤️ If you enjoy my ideas , Please like/comment , It means a lot, Thank You! ❤️
Next move on EURUSD pending This week we're about to see the FED Interest Rate decision.
This will most likely cause some moves and bring some trading opportunities.
On EURUSD we could expect that to push price above 1,0278 and take it up to our sell zone.
That's where we will look for possible short positions.
The target will then be a breakout below 1,0000!
COST news should cause drop on 7/8I was intuitively alerted that there might be news that takes COST down soon, and lo and behold I hear they have sales number being released tomorrow. SO, I decided to dowse on it to see what I come up with. The result is that COST should be down tomorrow around 7.25% or so and it is a long/buying opportunity. We'll see how it goes.
⚡️ #ETH/USD - The Merge-ereum ⚡️#PEOPLESCHOICE
#ETH
Probably the most talked about and promising assets to hold rn, it is pretty hard to go anywhere in crypto atm with out getting slapped with some Mergereum news. although it is what the market needs right now, so no complaints here- with huge consistent volume coming in them Whales are accumulating. As per some handy on-chain data the larget ETH buy in 7 months has been made at $1.7b which is a whole lotta ETH at these levels.
The big story is the Merge - whilst its not in the roadmap for Sept. it is a prediction of one of the devs there.
Projection on chart are based on the perfect scenario - ie no more global meltdowns or FUD and is ultimately subject to BTC. Expecting a retrace with TD9 forming, trendline & price resistance as well as a Bearish peak on the Alpha Wave.
Deeper Network DPR Crypto Bearish MDeeper Network DPR Crypto breaking down from the Bearish M Pattern with a drop to .0186cents. I am assuming it will do the drop when BTC Bitcoin does its next major drop.
Bullish News: Aug. 5 & 6, 2022 Deeper Network has an invitation to showcase at Sir Richard Branson’s Block Chain Summit on Necker Island at the Neckerverse Showcase for a chance to pitch to the Virgin Impact team and other global heavyweight investors.
Bearish News: Possible Token Crash Starting around September 6, 2022 thru the next 8 months, investors getting Deeper Chain DPR returned to them who bought in at .006cents to .02cents. Deeper is only allowing 750,000 DPR total perday from the miners and the invests to go over the bridge from Deeper Chain to the other two chains to get to an exchange and to sell. Some of the people have set up computer programs to keep dumping coins over the bridge first so they do not get locked out when the daily total of 750,000 is hit. There was 2Billion token allocated to sell but they only advertise 1Billion being sold. DPR given out already to the investors that crashed the coin the first time, there is an estimated amount of 3.3Million to 6.6Million Deeper Chain DPR being released each day to their investors for the next 8 months starting in September 2022 thru May 2023. Will Deeper fully open the bridge or will they try to control their investors cash out for a second time, well see what happens…….. How will the miners plan for this apocalyptic scenario of no longer being able to move Deeper Chain DPR across the bridge to get it on an exchange to pay for their expenses? I foresee another massive upset that Deeper Network will hush the investors by kicking people out of there Deeper Network community social groups when people complain and get upset like what happened when they lock up the investors DPR the first time without paying them back as was promised in their smart contract that had a hidden back door in the smart contract to reprogram it and to lock back up again. This is a lack of trust that I don’t think Deeper Network will every out live.
-Crypto Whale Information: See the Whale news on my channel for their Wallet address & Location, as you can track for yourself who is a true supporter and who is a dumper…… (AMA said Whales are allowed in the project now)
- Deeper Chain Community Governance - Currently being controlled directly by Deeper Network, not by the Community but thru a back door in the program (Verified on AMA)
- 7 Validator Nodes on Deeper Chain, 3 have been verified to be in control of by Deeper Network DEVs, apparently they can control votes on the Governance with their locked DPR rewards- Wallet Addresses 1st 5C4vNVT5pDroqufEtXKYp3RKrNXVTHk9yqTeNNUSnJ6EbGGY ; 2nd 5CJDFR5RCMxPwVdzgH6JA9D7M625FEFKrdsJG1JnQVQdQkH2 ; 3rd 5HCG6MvAhYgLZdPoD1BVHEjgKee9n4AhMLKfq64VLiM4znuU
-Deeper Chain DPR Crypto Burn Wallet #1: (Warning this is a subject Deeper does not like to talk about) There has not been a routine burn setup yet promised by Deeper to fight inflation . The only burning is est 21DPR perday equivalent to about .80cents per day!!! from the Validator transactions which they are calling a “Routine Burning or Every Gas Fee”. The old burning was every 7 days and burnt all the treasury wallet. Then they slowed it down to every 24 Days thru the Treasury and to burn only about 1% now. There is credit burning set up for the miners, which is false advertisement because they only burn 1% of the money paid to buy credit to increase mining rewards. The rest of the money is added to the treasury wallet for Deeper to pay their DEVs instead. Waiting for Deeper Network to provide Burn Wallet Address for all three Blockchains so the community can monitor what they are being told. Talking about this subject will get you band and removed from Deeper Network Social media accounts so be aware………… Deeper Network has responded to my concern about this saying "that 1% of the treasury wallet is burned each day" but I don't believe that's what happens, I believe that only 1% of each transaction that is transferred to the Treasury wallet is then sent into the burn wallet only during the transaction process, not that 1% of the treasury wallet total is burned. So once the funds go into the Treasury wallet once the 1% has been taken out, the remaining funds are no longer programed to be burned. (...to be determined) At the moment it is unknown how to see a total burn amount from this wallet but you can see how much DPR will be burned in the next 7 day burn period.
-Deeper Chain DPR Crypto Burn Wallet #2: Deeper Network has not provided the wallet address from the burning during the Pico sale so the community can monitor the wallet activity.
- Deeper Token ECR-20 Blockchain Ethereum Burn Wallet Address - Deeper Network has not provided the wallet address from the burning during the Pico sale so the community can monitor the wallet activity.
- Deeper Token BSC Binance Smart Chain Burn Wallet Address - Deeper Network has not provided the wallet address, nothing would be in the wallet address that i would be aware of if it exist yet
- Deeper Chain Treasury Wallet Address: 5EYCAe5ijiYfyeZ2JJCGq56LmPyNRAKzpG4QkoQkkQNB5e6Z (At the moment this is funded by the left over Validator Transactions & Burn DPR for Credit Score Increase, 1% of Transactions going into the wallet are Burned, this is confirmed)
- Polkadot Parachain for Deeper Chain – not yet, no future plans at the moment (Verified by Polkadot Support)
-10 Billion DPR Total: 6 Billion DPR will be mined within 25years (Verified on AMA); & 4 Billion DPR Belong to Deeper & Investors
-Location of Deeper Network servers where VPN data is stored: Unverified, Programmers working from China, ect. , Government Jurisdiction over VPN data information unknown, Privacy VPN info shows data is kept by Deeper Network, time period kept unknown.
- Deeper Network VPN / DPN equipment concerns: They say they do not keep logs of records of your internet access BUT!!!!! When you login to the device for the first time it makes you approve there two privacy agreements first. Terms and Condition of Use agreement under point Prohibited and restricted uses point #25 say : “We shall have the right… to monitor User Content”; The second agreement you must approve is the Deeper Network Privacy Policy under Data we Collect says “We may receive access to basic personal information from your social network accounts should you register or sign onto such services using Deeper Network Products or Services” (Why in the world is Deeper trying to collect your personal information?????????, also would they not also be able to see your banking information then...), then under section Data Retention it says “We will keep records containing personal data….. as maybe required by applicable laws (So then which governments laws are you under because there are countries that require no data collected) at the end of the day Deeper Network is not a Decentralized VPN because your data is collected in Deeper Networks Servers and Deeper Does not allow the Miners with the Exit Nodes for the VPN service to erase the VPN data on there own devices, even if their country allows for no logs to be collected. Will Deeper Network change their policy’s to be in harmony with what they told their community of NO LOGS/DATA KEEP BY DEEPER and ONLY DATA COLLECTED ON EACH EXIT NODE, apparently, they changed their minds……
Pico - At the moment the Pico is only good for mining with a Staked credit score, if the Pico has its own Public IP and is connected for months without being disconnected it will currently not get 10mb of traffic each day to get an increased organic credit score as an exit node, the network currently will choose a faster path out thru a Mini instead. So the Pico at the moment is not a good mining device if that's what you bought it for organically. This has been confirmed.
-Company Info:
-Deeper Network INC of the Marshal Islands (no office location there currently) Crypto Currency company that was set up as a shell company, filed on March 8, 2019 Entity number 100333 (Legal system mixed legal system of US and English common law, customary law, and local statutes; International law organization participation accepts compulsory ICJ jurisdiction with reservations; accepts ICCt jurisdiction)
-Deeper Network Inc of Delaware USA (no office location there currently) Software Developer/ VPN / DPN , Entity 201816910575 6/14/2018, EIN Tax ID# 841835438, State ID 04799167 This is the company that controls everything.
-Location Of Head Quartiers Office (5200 Great America Pkwy, Santa Clara, California, 95054) : The main temp office rental location no longer exists that is advertised and on Entity Documents the location is currently enmity and abandoned, supposedly working remotely from home and out of a shipping warehouse since the past two years or longer, unable to verify from the last trip to California. No new permanent office location currently that I am aware of that has been verified. Even from there past video of this office location you can tell it was just a temp location as if it was like one of those rent a cubical to work at temporary location.
(A Few people have come and gone from the head ranks, not sure if currently accurate)
Chief Executive Officer: Hui (Russell) Liu; San Jose, California
Chief Technology Officer: Hui Liu/Chao Ma
Secretary/Chief Financial Officer: Xiaoshuai (Cheryl) Liu ; Maple Ridge, British Columbia, Canada
Corporate Officer: Adam Wolfe
Lei Chang; Saratoga, California
Chief Marketing Officer: Eric Ma (Thailand)
Chief Branding Officer: Yinan S.
Software Developer: Arturo Jimenez
Product manager: Kain Xu