Get started

NEWS

USDJPY BREAK AND TEST Usdjpy technical analysis: h1 chart: price is above 200 hour sma and has tested a support zone (highlighted in orange) that corresponds at 0.382 fibonacci retracement from the last impulse. The pair is in a general uptrend in bigger timeframes as h4 and daily. There are good chances that usdjpy can push higher towards the main resistance, already tested two times. Pay attention to news of tuday on pending home sales and durable good orders for USA. Use a proper money management
Long
by Dragon_Investments
2
Chronicles of Stress, Iran and Oil,Stock Market and the FedEveryone on this planet seems to know about the current situation around Ukraine and Russia, so we will not retell the latest news and events. We only note that there is always a chance to stop the escalation. However, from the position of game theory in the current situation, it is more profitable to be a pessimist, because you will either be right or gladly wrong. But back to market realities. We have already written more than once that the main reference points are oil and gold. So yesterday, both assets updated local highs. And oil has generally updated its highs since 2014. Which means that we are still at the stage of deterioration. Recall that oil and gold prices have inflated mainly due to the expectation of a war, and its absence is a reason for a serious price correction. Moreover, a serious reason for sales may soon appear on the oil market: negotiations with Iran seem to be moving towards a happy ending. And this, in turn, means an increase in supply in the oil market. The stock market continues to be under pressure. And his future looks very bleak. Even if we are all lucky, and the topic of war is, if not closed, then postponed, which will formally be a reason for rising prices in the US stock market, the attention of the markets will immediately switch to the March meeting of the Fed and optimism will quickly give way to despondency. In general, selling in the US stock market has been and remains the basic trading idea for us.
FX_IDC:XAGUSDShort
by Trade24Fx
On the Rising Oil Prices Patterns and Reasons for SellingWe already wrote that the level of geopolitical tension is now easiest to assess not even by the usual VIX Index (aka Fear Index), but by the dynamics of oil and gold prices. So yesterday, both assets were growing, hinting that we are entering the next local peak. But imagine that common sense has not gone away. He is here, he is with us, and no one is going to start fighting either globally or locally. And after that, let's ask ourselves the question: "How fair is the current price of oil?" Yes, in 2020-2021, OPEC+ confidently provided an imbalance in the oil market in favor of an artificial shortage of the asset. Which naturally pushed oil prices up. Then in the fall of 2021, Europe, and then the world, was covered by an energy crisis. Oil, being a basic energy asset, could not pass by and quite naturally grew in price. The start of 2022 is the most powerful information attack at the global level on the subject of war between Russia and Ukraine. Which is fraught, for example, with sanctions against Russia and its hydrocarbons. Since Russia produces 10+ mb/d of oil, i.e. over 10% of the global supply on the market, the growth of the asset again looks natural and justified. And everything seems to be logical and natural. And under the worst-case scenario, the trends will clearly continue and intensify. But back to the assumption that the world has not gone mad. Let's take the position of optimists. So, in this case, it will be necessary to start at least to remove the "war premium" from the price of oil. And this is over $20 per barrel (see the dynamics of oil prices from December 2021 to the current time). Winter is coming to an end, and the Olympics are already over. That is, the energy crisis is rapidly losing its relevance: no one froze, there was enough gas for everyone, which means that there were fewer reasons to hysteria, to put it mildly. And don't forget about OPEC+. Since August 2021, production has increased by 400K b/d every month. That is, the supply on the market has already increased by 3+ million b/d. This is what we are for. And to the fact that you can take advantage of the current situation and earn. The sale of oil should give at least 20-30 dollars of earnings per barrel. Well, if the pessimistic scenario works out, then there will be no time for losses on this transaction, because there will be more important problems.
TVC:UKOILShort
by Trade24Fx
2
Apple (Short) PositionNow I am not completely sold on going short on Apple. However, follow the puzzle that is the stock market, my guess with negative press on every other FAANG stock, Apple will be the last piece of the puzzle. Something wrong in Apple's supply chain, update backfires, etc. anything can happen and betting that it will. Today, German regulators are investigating Tesla for a malfunction with their autonomous functions in their new Teslas. Why now do German regulator begin their investigation, my assumption is that people in power want to see the FAANGs drop to rebalance the rest of the market to brace for FED interest rate hikes. March is going to be fun. I am short Apple for now (3 weeks), yet I am hopeful the market will hold on but I am prepared for the blood that will be the next couple of weeks. It also doesn't help that crypto market has dropped almost 10% over the weekend, which does not lead me to believe that this week will bring good news in the stock market. I am attaching an article that I wrote earlier today about my concerns of Russia and the United States' high inflation.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by chasenlz
Week in a Glance: War, Inflation and the Fed, Retail SalesLast week, the information tension around Russia and Ukraine reached its local peak, since February 16 was the date the US announced the start of the war. Despite the fact that the date has passed without any excesses, the shadow of the war has tightly covered the financial markets and is not thinking of retreating yet. Perhaps the two main indicators of the level of information tension are the dynamics of oil and gold prices. With oil, everything is clear, since 10+ million barrels per day of production are at stake. And gold finally remembered that it is an eternal safe-haven asset, and the demand for it has been increased all week. So if anyone believes in the markets and their ability to respond as sensitively and quickly as possible to the slightest changes in the information field, then here's what you need to look at in order to understand when it will be possible to breathe a sigh of relief. Oil will fall and gold will begin to decline, which means the worst is behind us. But, unfortunately, we start the week at close to maximum levels for both assets. As for the stock market, it still should not be used as a pure indicator. Yes, it is also under downward pressure. But it still has its own separate story in the form of a change in the vector of monetary policy in the United States. And last week, the markets received a number of signals in favor of the fact that the tightening promises to be quite aggressive and very soon. Both the minutes of the last FOMC meeting and data on manufacturing inflation in the US spoke in favor of this. Considering that in other countries, for example, in the UK, the situation is no better (inflation is at its highest levels over the past 30-40 years), as in Canada, the downward pressure on the US stock market can be explained not only by geopolitical risks. At the same time, we note that positive news and an optimistic mood are not in the price now. Retail sales in the US showed solid growth, which turned out to be much higher than expected. But, judging by the reaction of the markets, it was of little interest to anyone. As is the reporting season, which is coming to an end in the US. The upcoming week is unlikely to change pessimism to optimism. The shadow of war, judging by Biden's latest comments, is only getting denser so far. But every day without a fight increases the chances that it will remain informational. In terms of the economy, this week we are waiting for the decision of the Central Bank of New Zealand, which is expected to raise the rate again. And if the comments are aggressive enough, the New Zealand dollar will very likely be in high demand in the foreign exchange market. In addition, there will be a host of less important macroeconomic statistics such as PMIs in Europe or data on personal income and spending in the US.
FOREXCOM:NAS100Short
by Trade24Fx
Ford seems to be finding a bottomFord Motor Company F Areas of interest: Consolidation: 1) $19-20.50 2) 17.52-18.59 Breakup at $21.50 Breakdown at $16.49 Recent overhead gap between $18.46-19.89 Reversal candles seem to be appearing in the lower consolidation zone (2) on the 3 day chart - almost looking like an inverted hammer but not enough wick to truly label them as such. Indicators show us on the 3 DAY chart: Currently trading below the 12 and 26 EMA The 12 is above the 26 but appear to be attempting to cross soon if bears take control and push the stock price below consolidation 2 (listed above) Currently trading above the 50 MA The 50 MA recently has acted as support and seems to have help stabilize the stocks price into consolidation for the past 1.5 weeks of trading Observations from a bull and bear side: As a bull, I (obviously) want to see the 50 MA hold and to see divergence of the 12 and 26 EMA (to the upside) to shake any fears of a potential cross under (12 under 26). Recapturing $19 would be my first target. A break and hold of this level will signify an attempt by the buyers to send the price of Ford back to its consolidation zone. This is needed in order for Ford to breakout and create NEW structure. The previous attempt was rejected as the price moved too fast to levels not seen in 20 years. Remember, there is such thing as a 20 year bag holder. Employees, insiders, investors, retail, shorts, etc. A blue chip company like this needs to gradually climb, in stairstep manor, creating small consolidation periods where the market accepts small movements one at a time. That said, I would love to see Ford make use of its previous consolidation zone to prep for the next level. In my opinion, this would be $21.50-22.50. As a bear, a break below the 50 MA while considering the breakdown level of $16.73 should be watched. A break below 16.49 would potentially send Ford down to it's PREVIOUS structure between $12.38-16.49. I want to highlight this only to prep for the potential this could happen -imo it is unlikely unless the entire market continues to slide further into a true recession/crash. For this fact alone, either selling covered calls at this breakdown level or buying puts would be a good way for Ford longs to fight against this scenario. Most recent news - I will makes this as UNBIASED as possible: 1. (RUMOR) - "Ford is considering separating its electric vehicle business from its legacy operations, Bloomberg reported Friday." www.thestreet.com 2. (Heavy Bullish Opinion Piece) - "The legacy automaker has copied from its great rival a method which makes it possible to have updated cars regularly and to reduce costs." www.thestreet.com 3. (Bearish Facts, sorry Bulls) - "New Broncos Are Reportedly Sitting Undelivered Due to Chip Shortage" www.roadandtrack.com 4. (Interesting way to approach safety) - "Ford’s latest road safety idea? In-car sounds of pedestrians and bike bells" road.cc 5. (Counter to #1) - "“We have no plans to spin off our battery electric-vehicle business or our traditional ICE business.” www.barrons.com 6. (Consumer Report top EV pick awarded to Ford) "Ford Mustang Mach-E Is Consumer Reports' EV Top Pick. The Tesla Model 3 won the award for the last two consecutive years." insideevs.com 7. (DON'T count out NASCAR, man) www.nascar.com 8. (New turbocharged inline-4 SUV) - www.motorauthority.com 9. (Not sure how this will play out, probably BAD PR tbh) - "Ford says it's working with unvaccinated salaried employees before rolling out unpaid leave plan" www.wxyz.com 10. (Ford building new plants) - www.autonews.com 11. (Fords push to EV and battery solutions) - "Ford, Volvo join Redwood in EV battery recycling push in California" www.reuters.com
NYSE:FLong
by OccamsPhazer
19
APPLE lawsuit delayed until 2023The much-anticipated trial between Apple and Ericsson, related to a dispute over licensing fees for a number of 4G and 5G patents, will not take place until June 2023. According to the news site Foss Patents, Apple was hoping to get the trial started as early as December, but the East Texas court that specialises in these kinds of cases deemed this too early. The dispute between the two tech giants forms part of their regular negotiations over patent licensing fees; the last time such negotiations broke down, back in 2015, they sued each other before eventually reaching a settlement. That settlement expired at the end of 2021, whereupon Apple sued Ericsson, citing "strong-arm tactics". Ericsson in turn sued Apple in three countries at once for what is now allegedly unlicensed use of its patents.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by Kitty81531
Is It Time to Buy in the US Stock Market?Due to the fact that the Dow Jones index showed the worst day in 2022 yesterday, and Nasdaq has lost about 15% over the past month and a half, more and more investors are interested in the question: “Isn't it time to start buying?”. Outwardly, the question looks more than natural: “buy the dip” is one of the pillars of investing, and if we put “fear of missing out” on top of it, we get an extremely explosive mixture, having accepted which it is difficult for investors to resist the temptation to bribe cheaper. Cathy Woods adds fuel to the fire by telling how cheap everything is now. Well, yes, part of the shares of her portfolio lost 70% or more. So really, it's cheaper. But if we look deeper into the very essence of things, then we see the obvious answer to this question: “no, the time has not come yet.” The vector of the Fed's monetary policy is just beginning to change direction (however, it is doing it quite rapidly: after the publication of the FOMC protocols on Wednesday, the markets are now expecting 6 (!) rate hikes in 2022), the remnants of fiscal and monetary steroids are quickly disappearing from the market organism, and ahead life without an injection awaits us, and on the contrary, there is reason to expect a tightening of not only monetary, but also fiscal policy (the fight against the budget deficit, tax increases and a host of other amenities, after which it will be more and more difficult for the stock market to grow, and it will become easier to fall). And there is, after all, its geopolitics with potentially very negative outcomes. Yes, potential, but unlikely, but the mood from this is not improving on the markets yet (see the dynamics of prices for gold and other safe-haven assets). And the question of whether the US stock market has become cheap is actually extremely rhetorical. No, it didn't come cheap. It is still very expensive. More expensive than ever in its history. It's expensive even compared to the dot-com bubble. And then, we recall, upon its collapse, the Nasdaq index lost about 80%. So 15% is just the beginning of a long way down. Ahead is not only denial and bargaining, but also depression. So we are waiting. We are waiting for hopelessness and despondency in the market. And when they become dominant, that's when it's time to buy.
FOREXCOM:NAS100Short
by Trade24Fx
Retail Sales, FOMC Minutes, Pound, Inflation and OilThe main event of yesterday in terms of news, of course, was the absence of war. As a result, the mood on the eve of the publication of data on retail sales in the US was optimistic. Markets were expecting US retail sales to rise 2%. But the fact exceeded the most optimistic expectations: retail sales rose by 3.8% in January. The reasons are not only the growth of consumer activity, but also inflation. So the markets were in no hurry to rejoice in anticipation of the publication of the text of the minutes of the last FOMC meeting. The US Central Bank did not keep itself waiting and reminded that the rate hike in March is a settled issue, and the reduction of the Fed's balance sheet is not far off. In general, buying on the stock market now is too risky and premature. Markets must absorb the fact of the change in the vector of monetary policy, as well as the speed and scale of this. Among other news, it is worth noting inflation data from the UK. As usual, the facts exceeded expectations: consumer prices rose by 5.5% over the year, and industrial inflation came out at the American level of 9.9%. That is, inflation in the country is at 30-year highs. As a result, there is every reason to expect further aggression from the Bank of England. In this light, we recall our idea to sell the EURGBP pair, counting on the growth of the interest rate differential in favor of the pound and its subsequent strengthening against the euro. A little bit of the oil market in the end. We have already written that oil growth in recent years was mainly associated with geopolitical instability, and before that, the inability of OPEC + to increase production caused concern. So, if the first factor, apparently, will lose relevance in the foreseeable future, the second, on the contrary, can increase it. Just yesterday, the International Energy Agency released a number of figures clarifying the current state of affairs. The 10 members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, which are subject to quotas, produced 23.9 million barrels per day in January, compared with a target of 24.6 million barrels per day, according to the IEA. In general, when the dust of the information war settles, it is OPEC + that will determine the future of the oil market and prices on it. We remain optimistic in the sense that we believe in the market rebalancing and the upcoming deep price correction. The price of $100 per barrel now does not suit everyone, because it continues to accelerate inflation and even the OPEC countries, no matter how paradoxical it may sound, are interested in reducing price pressure. Well, let us recall that high prices give rise to the activation of American oil producers. U.S. shale crude oil production is expected to rise by 109,000 bpd in March to over 8.7 million bpd.
FOREXCOM:NAS100Short
by Trade24Fx
2
If There's No War, Then Where Will the Prices Go?Yesterday, the markets continued to expect a war between Russia and Ukraine, but the level of confidence in its prospects began to decline. And behind it, oil and gold quotes began to decline, as well as stock markets to grow. In addition, prices for natural gas and agricultural products (grain) were falling. Considering that the current prices largely took into account a certain probability of the transition of the information war into the actual one, the lack of realization of these expectations is a reason for price correction. So the sale of oil and gold seems to us quite a promising undertaking this week. Unless, of course, you believe that the escalation will subside further. Otherwise, avoid this venture or even do everything exactly the opposite. The fact that Russia withdrew part of its troops from the border does not really mean anything. So we continue to follow the development of events, while not forgetting that there is also the economy with its laws and indicators. So, employment in the eurozone in the last quarter of 2021 exceeded the pre-pandemic level, and unemployment in the region generally reached a record low in December. The times of pandemic restrictions seem to be coming to an end as more and more countries are not only not implementing lockdowns, but rather lifting restrictions, even such as wearing masks. And finally, about the US stock market. Its growth under a friendly exhalation of relief is almost inevitable, but, in our opinion, it will be short-term and will last exactly as long as the Fed does not return it to the ground with reminders of monetary tightening. So we use growth as an opportunity to sell higher. Moreover, yesterday's data on manufacturing inflation in the US grew much stronger than forecasts.
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by Trade24Fx
Bullard Raises Stakes as Gold and Oil Prepare for WarAnd although traditionally all the headlines are devoted to divination around Ukraine, we should not forget about the tectonic shifts taking place in the global financial system. This, of course, is about changing the vectors of the monetary policies of the Central Banks and, first of all, the US Federal Reserve. So St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said that by July the Fed's rate should be raised by at least 1% in order to curb inflation. As a result, according to CME, the markets estimate about 55% chance that this year the rate will increase seven (!) times. In our opinion, this entire information war around Russia’s attack on Ukraine is an attempt to divert attention from what is happening in the financial markets, and at the same time write off falling stock market prices for a war, albeit possible, albeit in the minds. Who is now blaming the Fed for the fall of the same Nasdaq by more than 2,000 points over the past month or so? But God bless them with conspiracy theories. For their main charm is that they can be generated indefinitely, but they don’t give much real understanding of what is happening. On the other hand, looking at the dynamics of oil and gold, it is obvious that even a virtual war should not be ignored as long as the markets believe in its real embodiment. Oil continues to creep towards $100 per barrel of Brent. As we believe the information war has reached its peak, oil prices are also at their peak.
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by Trade24Fx
GBPAUD: Supply Ready 🚨My analysis suggests a strong bearish drop. Will we begin to see bearish pressure from this zone or will it attack the supply I have marked? Whatever happens, I expect a strong sell-off in and around this area. Good luck traders! Traders, if you have your own opinion about this idea, write in the comments section, I always reply. 💬 🚨 RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Crypto, Futures, Forex, CFDs, and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use a tight stop loss. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe, and share this idea with others! ⬇️ --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Short
by AlkalineFX
6
Week in a Glance: Inflation and Rates, Oil & Earnings SeasonLast week was remembered first of all by the inflation statistics from the USA. No joke, 7.5% growth in consumer prices. This has not happened since the early 1980s. Actually, after such figures, it became completely clear to everyone that inflation would not disappear by itself and strong antipyretic drugs were needed. This, of course, is about raising rates by the Fed. No one is talking about the start of the increase in May or June, as it was a couple of months ago. The question on the agenda is not “will the Fed raise rates in March?” but “by how much will the Fed raise rates in March?”. And judging by the latest projections, 0.25% is no longer an option. Minimum 0.5%. Not surprisingly, the US stock market failed at the end of last week. Note that, given the current development of events, this decline is only the beginning of the movement, and not the end. Yes, the reporting season helps and keeps the ranks of buyers from falling apart completely, but there will be less unity as the quarterly data period ends and as the X hour in March approaches. The lion's share of the rise in inflation is accounted for by rising energy prices. And the markets pay surprisingly little attention to this moment. After all, it is obvious that in order to combat such a serious inflation, it is necessary to use all available methods, including, for example, reducing pressure on the energy asset market. At the end of last year, the US has already made efforts in the form of a coordinated attack on the oil market in the form of interventions. But this, obviously, was not enough. The next ace up the US sleeve is Iran. There is a feeling that there will be a nuclear deal and oil supply may increase by 1-2 million barrels per day, at least in the short term. But the markets are somehow not at all worried about this, but in vain. The coming week will be rich in macroeconomic statistics: retail sales in the world's leading economies, plus inflation in the US, China, the UK and Canada, as well as the GDP of the Eurozone are unlikely to relax.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by Trade24Fx
2
MY PREDICTION FOR NZDUSD 1HR MOVING PROJECTIONAs we can observe market tracing back its original path after a great moves on news last week , so in my opinion it will try to get down back into zone after it done trying to respect minor trend rejection , and if it cant break the zone of prev reversal it will make a certain fakeout before goes on downtrend path , but if a reversal occur it will goes up and respect the supply zone before going down Thats all from me GP XENIX , Have a nice Traders , till next mapping by me
by XENIXTV
$NXMH Gains Multiple Big Investors Restricted @ 2X Current PriceOn January 31, 2022, White Knight Co., Ltd., a Japanese Corporation, owned and controlled by Koichi Ishizuka, sold a total of 999,999 shares of restricted common stock of Next Meats Holdings, Inc., a Nevada Company, at a price of $2.63 USD per share, to two Japanese Citizens, both of whom are not considered to be related parties to Next Meats Holdings, Inc., pursuant to Regulation S of the United States Securities Act of 1933. Koichi Ishizuka is an Officer and Director of Next Meats Holdings, Inc. archive.fast-edgar.com/20220202/A7Z2622CZ22ZP2Z2222O22ZWEVVOXZ2S7242/ Over the last month $NXMH has dropped several filings similar to the one above indicating investors have taken huge positions in the stock with restricted shares at 2-3x the current price. It is also collaborating or possibly the shell umbrella company for Wayback Burgers Restaurants and Dr. Foods Inc. both of which is estimated to pull in substantial revenues. With these filings in, it is only a matter of time before the shell status is removed and the real fun begins here. With the current float, $30-$50 is a possibility, but to be on the more conservative side I would say $15-$20 for the first year. It reached $14.50 early in 2021 so anything is possible. Looking forwards to the future of this great company.
OTC:NXMHLong
by StockGuild