How Did MSFT Stock Price React To Global Outage?How Did MSFT Stock Price React To Global Outage?
On 19th July, a global outage occurred. Numerous computers running Windows worldwide experienced "blue screens of death" (BSOD), affecting companies in different sectors, including airlines, hospitals, media, banks, and others.
The outage was caused by a CrowdStrike's Falcon Sensor update, a component of the Windows system that essentially works to protect computers from cyber threats. CrowdStrike quickly acknowledged the issue, stating that it was not a cyberattack but an update error, and suggested a solution.
According to CNBC, the large-scale outage did not significantly impact the operation of most financial markets. Representatives of the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq stated on Friday that they were operating despite the issues with the CrowdStrike update. The only noticeable unpleasant consequence for most was the inability to calculate the Russell stock indices, including the popular Russell 2000. However, the confusion was resolved later on Friday.
At the same time, the large-scale outage affected stock prices, including Microsoft. In pre-market trading on Friday, MSFT's price dropped below $430, but during the main session, the price managed to rise above it. As technical analysis of the MSFT chart shows, the $430 level is important – as it acted as resistance in March-May 2024. Therefore, its role as support might be justified by analysts.
Additionally, the MSFT share price is near the lower boundary of the upward channel (shown in blue), which may provide additional support. However, no one can guarantee that the mentioned support levels will lead to a subsequent bullish impulse.
On 19th July, we wrote about bearish signs on META stock charts. These are bearish aggression signs, which are concerning:
→ the price's inability to reach the upper boundary of the blue channel in early July;
→ a wide bearish gap when breaking through the median on 17th July.
Wall Street analysts remain positive for now. According to TipRanks, the average forecast for MSFT is $504.12 (+15.33% from the current price) over the next 12 months.
Microsoft's Q2 earnings report, scheduled for release on 30 July, has the potential to significantly alter the balance of sentiments.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NEWS
Analysis of XAU/USD: Gold Price Sets Historical RecordAnalysis of XAU/USD: Gold Price Sets Historical Record
As the XAU/USD chart shows, on 16th July, the gold price rose above $2460 for the first time in history. The bullish sentiment is driven by:
→ Anticipation of Fed rate cuts, as the appeal of non-yielding bullion generally increases in low-interest-rate environments.
→ Geopolitical tensions, with an attempt on Trump's life possibly boosting demand for the "safe-haven asset."
→ Demand from central banks.
Reuters reports that analysts at Commonwealth Bank of Australia believe the gold price could exceed their forecast of $2500 per ounce by the end of 2024. "It is worth highlighting gold's ability to find support under any conditions this year," they say.
Can the gold price rise further?
Technical analysis of the XAU/USD chart provides valuable insights:
→ The gold price is in an upward trend (shown in blue).
→ The support level at $2290, reinforced by the median line of the blue channel, pushed the price up (shown by an arrow).
→ The bulls managed to break the $2385 level, which had acted as resistance since 7 June (shown by arrows).
→ The bearish Head and Shoulders (SHS) pattern failed.
The contours of the upward channel suggest the potential for the gold price to rise to its upper boundary, where the psychological level of $2500 per ounce also lies. Thus, the Commonwealth Bank of Australia's forecast could come true much earlier than the end of 2024.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
US Banks Set a Bullish Tone at the Start of Earnings SeasonUS Banks Set a Bullish Tone at the Start of Earnings Season
Company earnings reports for the second quarter will be a crucial driver of stock market movements in the coming weeks. Traditionally, the largest banks kick off the earnings season, and their performance indicators today are setting a bullish tone.
For example:
Bank of America (BAC), report published on 16th July:
→ Earnings per share: actual = $0.83, expected = $0.797;
→ Gross income: actual = $25.37 billion, expected = $25.22 billion;
Goldman Sachs (GS), report published on 15th July:
→ Earnings per share: actual = $8.62, expected = $8.35;
→ Gross income: actual = $12.73 billion, expected = $12.35 billion.
Other major banks, including JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Citigroup (C), and Wells Fargo (WFC), have also surpassed analysts' expectations. Although following different trajectories, the stock prices of all the listed banks have generally been rising after the publication of their earnings reports.
Notably, the formation on the XLF chart is interesting – this is the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF, which is focused on the financial sector and includes the shares of the largest US banks. You can trade this ETF with FXOpen, taking advantage of CFD instruments.
Technical analysis of the XLF chart shows that:
→ In 2022-2023, the price was in a broad trading range of 30.70-36.6;
→ In 2023-2024, the price formed an upward channel (shown in blue);
→ The median line of this channel acts as support;
→ Rising lows A and B resemble a bullish Cup and Handle pattern.
In the wake of the successful bank reports:
→ the XLF price broke through the 42.20 level, which had been acting as resistance since the end of March;
→ the RSI indicator entered the overbought zone.
It is possible that amid positive earnings reports from other companies in the financial sector:
→ the XLF price could reach the upper boundary of the blue channel;
→ the RSI indicator could form a divergence;
→ subsequently, a correction may form on the chart as investors may wish to lock in profits from the rapid growth.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
High-Impact News Trading StrategiesHigh-Impact News Trading Strategies
Trading in the dynamic world of foreign exchange demands a constant adaptation to the ever-evolving factors influencing currency markets. Among these factors, high-impact forex news stands out as a catalyst capable of reshaping market action. In this article, we explore some of the nuances of high-impact news trading, aiming to offer insights that may help manage high volatility and harness its power.
Trading High-Impact News
Understanding which news releases wield significant influence over the forex market and what market reaction can be expected is paramount for any trader.
Forex News with High Impact
High-impact news includes events like interest rate decisions, inflation rates, retail sales, consumer spending, labour market data, and nonfarm payroll reports. The impact of these events can be profound, affecting market sentiment and, thus, currency values. Traders keen on mastering this domain must comprehend the dynamics that drive market reactions to such news and position themselves accordingly. It's important to note that these news events can cause extreme volatility in either direction, creating both challenges and opportunities.
Forex News Impact Analysis
Traders analyse the potential impact of events on currency pairs, employing a combination of technical and fundamental analysis.
Fundamental Impact of Economic Data
Fundamental analysis involves evaluating the economic factors that underpin a currency's value based on the country's economic health. Traders delve into the consensus forecast, scrutinise historical data, and gauge the prevailing economic climate to gain insights into how these fundamental elements might shape market reactions.
Technical Analysis
Simultaneously, technical analysis plays a vital role in deciphering the market sentiment and potential price movements. Utilising technical analysis tools such as indicators, support and resistance levels, and trendlines, traders can identify key entry and exit points. By integrating technical analysis, traders gain a more comprehensive view of the market, potentially enhancing their ability to make informed decisions.
Forex News Trading Strategies
Considering the expected impact of economic data and utilising advanced technical analysis tools based on past forex rates performance, traders can design viable trading strategies at times of major news releases.
Retracement Trading: Unveiling Potential Reversals
Retracement trading is a strategic approach that capitalises on market pullbacks following significant movements triggered by high-impact news. Look at the example of trading on the US CPI announcement in November 2023:
- Fibonacci Retracement: Helps identify key support and resistance areas where price corrections may occur.
- Moving Averages: The 9- and 20-period MAs can be applied as a trend confirmation.
Entry
Traders identify significant Fibonacci retracement levels, typically 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, or 78.6%, and look for alignment with a bullish/bearish MA crossover to confirm entry points for a long/short position.
Stop Loss
Stop loss may be placed just below (for long positions) or above (for short positions) the identified Fibonacci retracement level to safeguard against unexpected market reversals.
Take Profit
A potential signal for a take-profit point could be an MA crossover in the opposite direction of a trade following a failed attempt of the price to break a resistance/support level that coincides with a Fibonacci extension level.
Do you already have a strategy for the upcoming high-impact forex news today? Visit FXOpen and trade on the free TickTrader forex trading platform.
Trend-Change Trading Strategy
Trading during major news releases demands a nimble and precise approach to capitalise on medium-term price fluctuations. This strategy incorporates three technical indicators simultaneously to evaluate the strength of the price movement and determine potential entry and exit points. In this approach, we utilise:
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): Identifying overbought or oversold conditions.
- Stochastic Oscillator: Gauging the strength of a price trend.
- Average True Range (ATR): Measuring market volatility, helping to settle appropriate stop-loss levels.
Entry
Following a major price move on the news event, traders could identify weakness in an uptrend/downtrend by observing the divergence of both RSI and Stochastic indicators with the price movement. A potential entry for a long/short position involves aligning bullish/bearish signals from RSI and Stochastic, such as crossing above/below oversold/overbought areas.
Stop Loss
Stop loss could be placed just below recent lows or above recent highs for long and short trades, respectively, factoring in the ATR to account for potential market volatility.
Take Profit
Traders may determine possible take-profit points by considering bearish/bullish signals from RSI and Stochastics.
Exploiting Increased Volatility
Trading during high-impact news events requires a specialised strategy that accounts for increased market volatility. A sound volatility-based approach implements specific indicators so traders may be able to capitalise on rapid forex rate deviations. The chart shows trading on Japan’s industrial production data release at the end of October 2023, and we use:
- Bollinger Bands: These help identify potential surges in volatility through band expansion.
- ATR (Average True Range): This can be used for trailing stop-loss levels
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): A surge in buying or selling pressure can be reflected in MACD crossovers.
Entry
Traders would monitor Bollinger Bands for an expansion preceding news events. Price cross above/below the middle Bollinger Band after the release may signal an entry point for long/short positions. This should align with a bullish/bearish MACD crossover.
Stop Loss
Traders may place stop-loss orders just beyond recent price extremes to account for potential market reversals and limit possible losses and use the ATR indicator to calculate trailing stop-loss levels.
Take Profit
A possible take-profit level for long/short trades can be derived from a bearish/bullish reversal of the MACD indicator, or it can be set based on the expected price range derived from the ATR.
Concluding Thoughts
Trading high-impact forex news requires a mix of market analysis, risk management, and strategic execution. By understanding the dynamics of high-impact events and implementing robust trading strategies, traders may navigate the volatility inherent in these situations. Ready to trade on major economic news? You can open an FXOpen account and try out your strategies.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Pro Setups for Swing Trading Ahead of News: TSLANASDAQ:TSLA had a velocity run on the release of its production update for Q2. Velocity runs have gaps between candles which do not overlap. It is a run of enormous speculation to gambling mode and the professionals are taking advantage of it. Notice the pro trader setup candle patterns prior to the retail side getting the news.
Angel One : So Close.Here is all you need to know about Angel One:
- With Financial services gaining momentum, Angel One is definitely a good bet
- It consolidated for good 2 years in which it trapped bulls once, only to get back in the zone
- It recently gave in a breakout and sustained above the resistance zone
- BUT, Today NSE barred it from onboarding any new APs for a period of 6 months which made the stock bleed red for 7%
- APs are basically sub-brokers associated with a broker who brings in more clients and thus more business
- With the stock market on a bull run, the funds are flowing in and the inability to onboard new APs will definitely affect its growth in a short run
- Don't let the analysis end here! Give us a boost if you find it helpful
- The long run will still be dictated by its strong fundamentals and growth.
Below are some interesting stats:
- Profit growth of 52.2% CAGR over the last 5 years
- return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 44.1%
- Sales growth (5Y) - 31%
- Profit growth (5Y) - 52%
What are your thoughts? Feel free to comment :)
⚠️Disclaimer: We are not registered advisors. The views expressed here are merely personal opinions. Irrespective of the language used, Nothing mentioned here should be considered as advice or recommendation. Please consult with your financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Like everybody else, we too can be wrong at times ✌🏻
EJ Analysis ahead of newsVery volatile market open. 5 news events by monday. I am currently long and looking at pairs for reversal. 1:1 in profit currently.
Disclosure: As of 6/30 I am long EURJPY
I moved my TP up to breakeven and am prepared to use the leverage to add if further profits. Targeting risk/reward of 20:1. I will be trailing my take profit along with the trade until whenever dip.
EUR/USD - Forecasted Potential Setup for the Next Few DaysCurrently, the price is forming a descending triangle pattern. I expect it to take liquidity at the 1.07100 level before making another higher low. My focus is on the 1.07350 level as a potential entry point for short positions. Given that the price is down across all timeframes, I am not considering long positions at this moment.
If the price breaks the daily highs, this setup will become invalid, and I will then look for long opportunities on a pullback. However, for now, my strategy is exclusively oriented towards shorts.
Confluences:
Forecast for negative DXY news on 27/06/2024, which is expected to cause a pullback.
Anticipation of positive results in Friday's news, potentially causing a breakout in this pair and a test of the weekly highs for DXY.
Like and comment if you agree with my setup idea.
75: Identifying Support around €13.36 Amidst Selling PressureCurrently, we are witnessing selling pressure on the Fastned stock without significant buying interest. However, by examining historical data, we can identify a point of interest around the €13.36 level. This area has previously acted as a support zone, making it a potential accumulation point.
Recent developments support this analysis. Fastned recently raised €32.9 million through the issuance of new bonds, with €12.3 million coming from existing investors extending their bond maturities. This successful fundraising indicates a growing interest and confidence from private investors in Fastned’s long-term potential.
Given this backdrop, we anticipate that the €13.36 level could attract accumulation as investors recognize the company's ongoing investments in the fast-charging infrastructure for electric vehicles. As more motorists transition to electric vehicles, the demand for Fastned's services is expected to increase, potentially driving the stock's recovery.
Monitor the €13.36 level closely for signs of accumulation and potential buying opportunities, considering the growing interest and financial backing Fastned is receiving.
xauusd analysisOn last monday we have posted a chart analysis major bullish and bearish points of xauusd. And all our targets were hit ✅✅✅✅
BULLISH:
2335 ✅✅✅
2343 ✅✅✅
2347 ✅✅✅
2355 ✅✅✅
2367 ✅✅✅
2376 ✅✅✅
2398
BEARISH;
2321 ✅✅✅
2312 ✅✅✅
2298 ✅✅✅
2287 ✅✅✅
2282
our analysis for monday june 10 2024
as xauusd has fallen around 120 points or 1200 pips from its top of 2388 on friday a possible retracement can be elicited out.
if the support area from 2288-2282 is not breached then xauusd will fly back to 2333 area where it has major resistance
minor resistance are present in 2304 2315 2321
more updates will be posted soon.
please like share and follow us for more market related updates
US DOLLAR INDEX The us dollar index opened with a gap. today the us dollar index which was closed at 104.94 opened at 105.5 with 11 point gap.
this gap may be an indication that us dollar is going to resume its upward momentum this week which it has started on last Friday.
if this momentum continues it will be a fall for xauusd.
more clear cut analysis will be posted soon .
but please post your comments which will be helpful to understand what the crowd thinks and thus understand market sentiments.
LIKE BOOST FOLLOW US
What the last PMI USD news did to DJ30News was slightly negative on USD but it pushed DJ up. Is the (tech-) industry currently connected to Eastern companies like TikTok aso. ?
Correlation between Gold and DXY is currently out of order, like the last time in 2008 or 2020.
Lets see where it wants to go in the next hour and decide then. Todays News are positive on DXY.
GOLD SHORTPrices Already on Resistance!!
If Market Crash Price can go higher up to $2900 (I mean 20% rally).
or Opposite, It come down to $2100 to $2000 level
It will provide a bearish divergence signal shortly. Keep an eye on it, but make a trade plan in advance.
A surge in the US dollar and Treasury yields also brought down the price of gold.
Central Banks are adding gold to their reserves.
Decresing Tick Volume
No matter the asset, investing always involves some risk, but savvy investors usually recognize the value of seeing openings during market downturns.
Furthermore, investors now have a compelling opportunity to diversify their holdings, protect themselves from market fluctuations, and maybe profit from a price comeback thanks to the recent drop in gold prices that occurred on April 25.
But before making any financial decisions, including adding gold to your portfolio, it's imperative that you carry out extensive study and evaluate your needs, goals, and risk tolerance.
"Escalating geopolitical risks significantly bolster gold as hot and cold conflicts, and a record number of elections this year, keep the risk thermometer high," HSBC was quoted as saying by Reuters.
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**First Scenario - Long:**
If Market Structure breaks on Daily TF and retest at 61.8%
Initial Target: $2900
Entry: $2390
Stoploss: $2325
**Second Scenario - Short:**
Initial Target: $2080
Entry: $2415
Stoploss: $2441
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Take into consideration:
Psychological Resistance at $2900
Psychological Support at $2050
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Price already in my area of value, just waiting for the market to tell me to get in on a sell.
NFA
DYOR
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Good Luck!
⚠️Caution: Just because I've set my buy and sell position Settings or drawn direction lines on my chart doesn't indicate I've opened a position or am obsessed with a particular bias. This is only a forecast; I don't trade when the price reaches my level; I have rules of engagement. Perhaps the most crucial element is 🆘RISK MANAGEMENT🆘.
New H1 Range for Gold/ NEWS TradingGold is near the daily floor, but didn't want to drop all the way. I do not like that zone, there is a daily and a new hourly Key Level. If you trade here with 500 pip SL from zone to zone.
News is coming out in 20 minutes, I will be watching for a News trade today, about 30 minutes to 2 hours after News, when market has calmed down.
xauusd new update and signalstwo days before we have published a chart showing potential movement of xauusd and its possible downward tends and upto what level it will fall. we have explained that if it breaches 2407 then it may fall to 2376
bullish targets: 2440
2433 done
2427 done
2421 done
2413 done
bearish targets : 2401 done
2397 done
2396 done
2391 done
2383 done
2376
we pin that previous charts also here.
like share follow us for more results
US30 neutral 1. we are currently consolidating in a tight controlled price range - this clearly illustrates to me that we are waiting a big price move soon (most likely after the high impact new releases today)
2. i believe a break below the line below wil lead to a bullish continuation upwards or a break below the line above will lead to a short term bearish break down of price to the downside.
Always maintain a open mindset about the outcome of news as nothing is guareteed in the trading market at any time